Showing posts with label Abortion. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Abortion. Show all posts

Tuesday, January 07, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
  • Pro-Choice 52% (53%) {46%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
  • Pro-Life 43% (39%) {43%} [40%] (36%) {38%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 6-7, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-24, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, October 08, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
  • Pro-Choice 53% {46%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
  • Pro-Life 39% {43%} [40%] (36%) {38%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 6-7, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-24, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Friday, August 02, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac National Survey on Abortion

Quinnipiac National Poll on Abortion

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
  • Legal in all cases 20% [24%] (22%)
  • Legal in most cases 38% [32%] (33%)
  • Illegal in most cases 25% [25%] (25%)
  • Illegal in all cases 12% [14%] (14%)
Among Democrats
  • Legal in all cases 31% [38%] (33%)
  • Legal in most cases 47% [34%] (40%)
  • Illegal in most cases 14% [13%] (12%)
  • Illegal in all cases 6% [10%] (10%)
Among Republicans
  • Legal in all cases 10% [11%] (12%)
  • Legal in most cases 29% [24%] (21%)
  • Illegal in most cases 39% [39%] (37%)
  • Illegal in all cases 18% [23%] (24%)
Among Independents
  • Legal in all cases 17% [22%] (21%)
  • Legal in most cases 37% [35%] (37%)
  • Illegal in most cases 26% [25%] (27%)
  • Illegal in all cases 13% [11%] (9%)
Among Moderates
  • Legal in all cases 22% [29%]
  • Legal in most cases 46% [36%]
  • Illegal in most cases 20% [19%]
  • Illegal in all cases 8% [10%]
Among Men
  • Legal in all cases 16% [22%] (20%)
  • Legal in most cases 37% [30%] (35%)
  • Illegal in most cases 27% [27%] (27%)
  • Illegal in all cases 12% [14%] (13%)
Among Women
  • Legal in all cases 23% [26%] (24%)
  • Legal in most cases 38% [33%] (30%)
  • Illegal in most cases 23% [23%] (23%)
  • Illegal in all cases 13% [14%] (16%)
College Degree
  • Legal in all cases 21% [31%] (26%)
  • Legal in most cases 42% [35%] (36%)
  • Illegal in most cases 24% [22%] (24%)
  • Illegal in all cases 8% [8%] (8%)
No College Degree
  • Legal in all cases 19% [21%] (20%)
  • Legal in most cases 36% [30%] (31%)
  • Illegal in most cases 25% [26%] (25%)
  • Illegal in all cases 15% [17%] (17%)
White Born-Again Evangelicals
  • Legal in all cases 8% [10%] (8%)
  • Legal in most cases 28% [20%] (18%)
  • Illegal in most cases 36% [37%] (41%)
  • Illegal in all cases 23% [30%] (29%)
The U.S. Supreme Court has said abortion is legal without restriction in about the first 24 weeks of pregnancy. Some states have passed laws reducing this to 20 weeks. If it has to be one or the other, would you rather have abortions legal without restriction up to 20 weeks, or up to 24 weeks?
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 55%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 30%
Among Democrats
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 46%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 44%
Among Republicans
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 62%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 17%
Among Independents
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 59%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 26%
Among Moderates
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 56%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 33%
Among Men
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 50%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 35%
Among Women
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 60%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 25%
College Degree
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 47%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 39%
No College Degree
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 59%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 25%
White Born-Again Evangelicals
  • Legal without restriction up to 20 weeks 65%
  • Legal without restriction up to 24 weeks 13%
Survey of 1,468 registered voters was conducted July 28-31, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [33%] (30%) Democrat; 23% [24%] (28%) Republican; 33% [34%] (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 4, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Monday, July 29, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Abortion



















Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases, or illegal in all cases?
  • Legal in all cases 20%
  • Legal in most cases 34%
  • Illegal in most cases 24%
  • Illegal in all cases 15%
State Restrictions and Views about Legal Abortion  
Wide Regional Differences in Attitudes about Abortion
Survey of 1,480 adults was conducted July 17-21, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.

Tuesday, July 09, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
  • Pro-Choice 46% [53%] (54%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
  • Pro-Life 43% [40%] (36%) {38%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted July 5, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-24, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Friday, April 12, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
  • Pro-Choice 53% (54%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
  • Pro-Life 40% (36%) {38%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 9-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 23-24, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Thursday, February 07, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac National Survey on Abortion

Quinnipiac National Poll on Abortion

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
  • Legal in all cases 24% (22%)
  • Legal in most cases 32% (33%)
  • Illegal in most cases 25% (25%)
  • Illegal in all cases 14% (14%)
Among Democrats
  • Legal in all cases 38% (33%)
  • Legal in most cases 34% (40%)
  • Illegal in most cases 13% (12%)
  • Illegal in all cases 10% (10%)
Among Republicans
  • Legal in all cases 11% (12%)
  • Legal in most cases 24% (21%)
  • Illegal in most cases 39% (37%)
  • Illegal in all cases 23% (24%)
Among Independents
  • Legal in all cases 22% (21%)
  • Legal in most cases 35% (37%)
  • Illegal in most cases 25% (27%)
  • Illegal in all cases 11% (9%)
Among Moderates
  • Legal in all cases 29%
  • Legal in most cases 36%
  • Illegal in most cases 19%
  • Illegal in all cases 10%
College Degree
  • Legal in all cases 31% (26%)
  • Legal in most cases 35% (36%)
  • Illegal in most cases 22% (24%)
  • Illegal in all cases 8% (8%)
No College Degree
  • Legal in all cases 21% (20%)
  • Legal in most cases 30% (31%)
  • Illegal in most cases 26% (25%)
  • Illegal in all cases 17% (17%)
White Born-Again Evangelicals
  • Legal in all cases 10% (8%)
  • Legal in most cases 20% (18%)
  • Illegal in most cases 37% (41%)
  • Illegal in all cases 30% (29%)
In general, do you agree or disagree with the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion?
  • Agree 63% (64%)
  • Disagree 30% (31%)
Among Democrats
  • Agree 78% (80%)
  • Disagree 14% (16%)
Among Republicans
  • Agree 42% (44%)
  • Disagree 52% (51%)
Among Independents
  • Agree 66% (67%)
  • Disagree 28% (29%)
Among Moderates
  • Agree 75%
  • Disagree 19%
College Degree
  • Agree 73% (72%)
  • Disagree 24% (26%)
No College Degree
  • Agree 59% (60%)
  • Disagree 33% (34%)
White Born-Again Evangelicals
  • Agree 33% (36%)
  • Disagree 61% (60%)
Survey of 1,772 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 4, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (30%) Democrat; 24% (28%) Republican; 34% (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 14-20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
  • Pro-Choice 54% {54%} [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
  • Pro-Life 36% {38%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted January 23-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Forty years after the landmark Roe vs. Wade case legalizing abortion in the United States, fewer voters than ever consider themselves pro-life, while those who say they are pro-choice remains at an all-time high.
Fifty-nine percent (59%) of female voters are now pro-choice, compared to 47% of male voters. Voters under 40 are much more likely to be pro-choice than their elders.

Monday, January 21, 2013

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal Survey on Roe v. Wade and Abortion

NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll on Roe v. Wade and Abortion

The Supreme Court's 1973 Roe versus Wade decision established a woman's constitutional right to an abortion, at least in the first three months of pregnancy. Would you like to see the Supreme Court completely overturn its Roe versus Wade decision, or not?
  • Yes, overturn 24%
  • No, do not overturn 70% 
Which comes closest to your view on abortion--abortion should always be legal, should be legal most of the time, should be made illegal except in cases of rape, incest and to save the mother's life, or abortion should be made illegal without any exceptions?
  • Always legal 31%
  • Legal most of the time 23%
  • Illegal with exceptions 35%
  • Illegal without any exceptions 9%
Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted January 12-15, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Roe v. Wade

Pew Research Poll on Roe v. Wade

In 1973 the Roe versus Wade decision established a woman’s constitutional right to an abortion, at least in the first three months of pregnancy. Would you like to see the Supreme Court completely overturn its Roe versus Wade decision, or not?
  • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 29%
  • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 63%
Among Democrats
  • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 20%
  • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 74%
Among Republicans
  • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 46%
  • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 48%
Among Independents
  • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 28%
  • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 64%
College Graduates
  • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 22%
  • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 73%
High School Education or Less
  • Yes, overturn Roe v. Wade 36%
  • No, do not overturn Roe v. Wade 53%
Survey of 1,502 adults was conducted January 9-13, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers: 
There is no gender gap in opinions about Roe v. Wade: Nearly identical percentages of women (64%) and men (63%) oppose reversing the decision.
White evangelical Protestants are the only major religious group in which a majority (54%) favors completely overturning the Roe v. Wade decision. Large percentages of white mainline Protestants (76%), Black Protestants (65%) and white Catholics (63%) say the ruling should not be overturned. Fully 82% of the religiously unaffiliated oppose overturning Roe v. Wade.
Half of Americans who attend religious services at least weekly favor completely overturning the Roe v. Wade decision, compared with just 17% of those who attend less often.

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Rasmussen (R) Survey on Abortion

Generally speaking, on the issue of abortion, do you consider yourself pro-choice or pro-life?
  • Pro-Choice 54% [52%] (51%) {53%} [49%] (50%)
  • Pro-Life 38% [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (40%)
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
More voters than ever now identify themselves as pro-choice when it comes to abortion, and most rate the issue as important to how they vote.
The number of pro-choice voters is up only slightly from 52% in August but is now at the highest level ever measured by Rasmussen Reports in surveys dating back to 2007. This also marks the first time that the percentage of pro-life voters has fallen below 40% in several years.
Republican candidates favored to win U.S. Senate races in Indiana and Missouri lost last week in large part because of controversial abortion-related remarks they made.
Fifty-six percent (56%) of women are now pro-choice, as are 51% of men.

Voters younger than 40 are more likely than their elders to be pro-choice.
Sixty-two percent (62%) of voters now consider abortion important to how they will vote, including 37% who view it as Very Important. Among female voters, 45% feel the issue of abortion is Very Important to their vote.
Forty-five percent (45%) of pro-life voters say abortion is Very Important as a voting issue, compared to 34% who are Pro-Choice.
Among all voters, only 35% say the issue is not important in terms of how they vote, with 13% who feel it is Not At All Important.

Thursday, November 08, 2012

AC360: Interview with Rudy Giuliani


COOPER: Joining me now is former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. Mr. Mayor, thanks very much for being with us. Looking at last night's exit poll results, it is clear or I guess, I should ask you.

Do you think it is clear that your party has a big problem on its hands reaching out to Hispanic-Americans, for instance? It shows the Hispanic votes decreasing and if so, what do you do about that?
 
RUDY GIULIANI (R), 2008 PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE: Well, I certainly agree that we have a big problem reaching out for the Hispanic vote, what was it -- twenty-five percent? 
I ran for mayor of New York, and each time I ran, I got a higher percentage of the Hispanic vote. That probably elected me with 43 percent, then I got 48 percent. I think President Bush had us up to about 44 percent to 48 percent nationally. And since then we've been declining. I think there's one big issue. I think Lindsey Graham would agree with this. I just talked to Lindsey about this a couple of days ago. We have to get over this immigration reform hurdle.
I mean, President Bush was on the right track with comprehensive immigration reform. If we had passed that, we would be a party that probably had a 40 percent, 45 percent Hispanic base.
COOPER: How do you sell that message to the fringe of your party? Because that is not a message they want to hear?

GIULIANI: Big opportunity lost really in Mitt Romney losing because I think that is one of the things Mitt Romney could have accomplished with a Democratic Senate, Republican House and new president. He probably could have gotten 100-150 Republican votes for comprehensive immigration reforms, which means to the Hispanic community being sensible about the 12, 14, 15 million people that are here.

You can't deport them all. You can't chase them all out. Sure, you can focus on the ones that are criminals or the ones that are doing bad things. But I know that community really well.
And 90 percent of them are hard-working people who are actually making a contribution. So why the heck do we want to hound them? And I think that's the major thing that hurts us, and --

COOPER: What's also interesting about your record, I mean, you're someone who's held positions on social issues that certainly are not in step with the rest of your party as it is right now according to exit polls. Unmarried women went for the president by nearly 40 points.

Do you think the Democrats, what they said was a 'War on Women' message, resonated? Should your party adjust to this approach on women's issues, especially reproductive issues, or same-sex issues, same-sex marriage? Do you think there needs to be an evolution there?

GIULIANI: Well, I ran that way in 2008. I didn't get the nomination. And nobody with my views ran in 2012. Frankly, Anderson, I didn't run in 2012 because I didn't think I could be nominated being pro-choice and being pro-gay rights. I signed, as mayor of New York, I signed the first -- I think the first in the nation civil union bill, and that was--

COOPER: Didn't you officiate at a gay wedding? I remember reading once, or you had some friends who got married, or something like that.

GIULIANI: No, didn't do that. I still believe that marriage should be between a man and a woman, but I'm very open to civil unions, and I'm also open to allowing states to decide this on a state by state basis.

So if New York wants gay marriage, fine. If some other state doesn't want to have gay marriage.
Here we are, a party that believes in state's rights -- until we get to an issue like gay marriage. And then we don't believe in state's rights.

COOPER: And also this is a party that doesn't believe in heavy federal government involvement in people's private lives, unless on certain issues. And, again, it's something Alex Castellanos brought up earlier. So again, how do things evolve in that? Do they need to evolve for the GOP?

GIULIANI: My ideal Republican Party would be a Republican Party that was fiscally conservative, conservative on foreign policy and military policy. And on social issues we would be libertarian. We would say, you know, we're going to stay out of your pocketbook and we're going to stay out of your bedroom.
And I think that party could be a majority party. I think if we were running that way this time, I think we win by 4 or 5 percent.

COOPER: What about the Tea Party? There are people who say the Tea Party decided it wanted "pure" candidates. So your party lost some 'unlosable' races, that they may have caused Republicans control of the Senate. Some say Republicans can't win with the Tea Party, but they can't win without them, and a lot of leaders don't feel comfortable publicly, you know, even bringing this issue up.

GIULIANI: Well, I think what we really should try to do with the Tea Party is to get them to figure out: What are your priority issues? Their priority issue, the whole reason it got established was: Big government, heavy taxes, ObamaCare, government trying to direct your life.

And then allow a certain amount of flexibility on social issues. If we could organize around fiscal conservatism, conservatism on foreign policy and on military policy, and then allow people to disagree with each other, sort of in the Ronald Reagan mold of, if you agree with me on eight out of ten issues, you are my friend.

Somehow we're going to have to get around to that kind of party. Otherwise, and I've been saying this for, you know, 10 years. Otherwise, we give away -- look at the map. We give away the entire northeast.

When you give away the entire west coast, by the time we get to the electoral vote, we've got to win by one state or two states. And when you get a good campaign against you. Barack Obama had a great ground game, and a great campaign -- then you lose.
Source: CNN

Wednesday, November 07, 2012

Fox News 2012 Exit Polling Data on Abortion

Which comes closest to your position?  Abortion should be: 

National
  • Legal in all cases 29%
  • Legal in most cases 30%
  • Illegal in most cases 23%
  • Illegal in all cases 13%
New Hampshire
  • Legal in all cases 40%
  • Legal in most cases 32%
  • Illegal in most cases 18%
  • Illegal in all cases 7%
New York
  • Legal in all cases 42%
  • Legal in most cases 29%
  • Illegal in most cases 17%
  • Illegal in all cases 4%
New Jersey
  • Legal in all cases 40%
  • Legal in most cases 31%
  • Illegal in most cases 11%
  • Illegal in all cases 14%
California
  • Legal in all cases 35%
  • Legal in most cases 33%
  • Illegal in most cases 18%
  • Illegal in all cases 9%
Nevada
  • Legal in all cases 33%
  • Legal in most cases 31%
  • Illegal in most cases 21%
  • Illegal in all cases 9%
Illinois
  • Legal in all cases 32%
  • Legal in most cases 32%
  • Illegal in most cases 22%
  • Illegal in all cases 11%
Arizona
  • Legal in all cases 26%
  • Legal in most cases 37%
  • Illegal in most cases 27%
  • Illegal in all cases 8%
Virginia 
  • Legal in all cases 31%
  • Legal in most cases 31%
  • Illegal in most cases 22%
  • Illegal in all cases 10%
Wisconsin
  • Legal in all cases 30%
  • Legal in most cases 27%
  • Illegal in most cases 28%
  • Illegal in all cases 12%
Ohio
  • Legal in all cases 25%
  • Legal in most cases 31%
  • Illegal in most cases 27%
  • Illegal in all cases 12%
Michigan
  • Legal in all cases 31%
  • Legal in most cases 25%
  • Illegal in most cases 24%
  • Illegal in all cases 15%
Iowa
  • Legal in all cases 23%
  • Legal in most cases 32%
  • Illegal in most cases 26%
  • Illegal in all cases 13%
North Carolina
  • Legal in all cases 25%
  • Legal in most cases 28%
  • Illegal in most cases 27%
  • Illegal in all cases 13%
Missouri
  • Legal in all cases 24%
  • Legal in most cases 29%
  • Illegal in most cases 30%
  • Illegal in all cases 15%

Friday, November 02, 2012

Poll Watch: Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senatorial Survey

Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senate Poll
  • Joe Donnelly (D) 47% [40%] (35%)
  • Richard Mourdock (R) 36% [38%] (35%)
  • Andrew Horning (L) 6% [7%]
  • Undecided 11%
Among Independents
  • Joe Donnelly (D) 51%
  • Richard Mourdock (R) 17%
Among Men
  • Joe Donnelly (D) 43% [38%]
  • Richard Mourdock (R) 41% [42%] 
Among Women
  • Joe Donnelly (D) 50% [41%] 
  • Richard Mourdock (R) 31.5% [35%] 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joe Donnelly 36% [24%] / 31% [21%] {+5%}
  • Richard Mourdock 30% [26%] (15%) / 49% [32%] (18%) {-19%}
In the past week or so, has your opinion of Richard Mourdock become more favorable, less favorable, or has it stayed the same?
  • More favorable 11%
  • Less favorable 43%
  • Stayed the same 46% 
Are you aware or unaware of comments Richard Mourdock made during the final Senate debate regarding his views on abortion in the case of rape? 
  • Aware 87%
  • Unaware 13% 
Did what he had to say on this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Richard Mourdock, or did it not make much difference in your decision? 
  • More likely 6%
  • Less likely 40%
  • Didn't make much difference 54%
Among Independents
  • More likely 3%
  • Less likely 44%
Among Women
  • More likely 5%
  • Less likely 44%
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2012, by Republican pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 45% [43%] Republican; 34% [38%] Democrat; 21% [19%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-20 and 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26-28, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Mourdock has not consolidated his GOP base. He is only polling 70% of the Republican vote, an indicator that he never brought in the Lugar wing of the GOP, nor did the campaign attempt to try, instead sending out a post-primary fundraising letter citing Lugar’s “betrayal” to conservatives. In the September survey, Mourdock was polling only 71% of the GOP.  Mourdock is only polling 31.5% of the female vote and just 77% of his base, the Tea Party.
Donnelly has consolidated Democrats, winning 88% of the vote among his own party.
In the Republican-rich doughnut counties, Mourdock's fav/unfavs stood at 30/50%. With independent women he stood at 12/48% and with independent men, 23/51%. Donnelly’s fav/unfav in the doughnut was 36/32% and with independent women, 31/16%.
In the Indiana Congressional Districts, Mourdock has his strongest support in 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 9th districts where he barely polls above 40%. Mourdock only has 29% support his home 8th district. In comparison, Donnelly leads in all districts except the 3rd and 4th.

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [48%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [46%] (46%) 
Independents
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [42%] (50%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 39% [46%] (44%)
Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [47%] (52%)
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [47%] (44%) 
Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52% [50%] (53%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [45%] (41%) 
Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
  • Strongly favor 68% [65%] (65%)
  • Like with reservations 19% [20%] (20%)
  • Dislike Romney 12% [13%] (12%)
Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?
  • Strongly favor 57% [61%] (47%)
  • Like with reservations 25% [22%] (27%)
  • Dislike Obama 17% [15%] (23%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 44% [43%] (37%) / 43% [40%] (38%) {+1%}
  • Paul Ryan 35% (29%) / 34% (26%) {+1%} 
  • Barack Obama 46% [47%] (44%) / 46% [42%] (44%) {0%}
  • Joe Biden 37% (33%) / 43% (37%) {-6%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues – Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

The Federal Budget Deficit
  • Mitt Romney 54% [48%] (51%)
  • Barack Obama 39% [42%] (43%)
The Economy and Unemployment
  • Mitt Romney 51% [48%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 45% [45%] (47%
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 49% [50%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (39%)
Health Care
  • Barack Obama 48% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) 
Taxes
  • Mitt Romney 47% (46%)
  • Barack Obama 46% (48%)
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 51% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (43%)
Help Middle Class Americans
  • Barack Obama 52% (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (40%)
Dealing with the Issue of Abortion
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 39%
Dealing with Illegal Immigration
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 42%
Dealing with Terrorism and National Security
  • Barack Obama 49% [49%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% [42%]
Which candidate do you think would work better with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress?
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 39%
Do you think Barack Obama has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
  • Has 59%
  • Does not have 39%
Do you think Mitt Romney has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
  • Has 67%
  • Does not have 30%
Do you think Barack Obama says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • Says what he believes 50% (54%)
  • What people want to hear 47% (43%)
Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • Says what he believes 42% (42%)
  • Says what people want 54% (53%)
How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama’s ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?
  • A lot 40% [38%] (39%)
  • Some 22% [24%] (26%)
  • A little 15% [15%] (13%)
  • None at all 22% [22%] (21%)
How much confidence do you have in Mitt Romney’s ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?
  • A lot 30% [30%] (26%)
  • Some 27% [28%] (32%)
  • A little 15% [16%] (15%)
  • None at all 26% [25%] (22%)
Do you think Barack Obama has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were re-elected president, or not?
  • Yes, he has 57% (59%)
  • No, he has not 41% (37%)
Do you think Mitt Romney has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were elected president, or not?
  • Yes, he has 53% (50%)
  • No, he has not 46% (44%)
Do you think Barack Obama's views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right?
  • Too liberal 42%
  • Not liberal enough 9%
  • About right 46%
Do you think Mitt Romney's views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?
  • Too liberal 35%
  • Not liberal enough 15%
  • About right 45%
Do you think Barack Obama does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?
  • Does 59% [59%] (60%)
  • Does not 39% [38%] (37%)
Do you think Mitt Romney does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?
  • Does 49% [48%] (46%)
  • Does not 48% [48%] (48%)
Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 66%
  • No 29%
Do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 46%
  • No 50%
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2012, who do you expect to finally win the 2012 presidential election?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
Survey of 563 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [32%] (35%) Democrat; 31% [32%] (29%) Republican; 33% [35%] (32%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses. 

Monday, October 29, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll
  • Patrick Murphy (D) 48% (42%)
  • Allen West (R) 47% (51%)
  • Undecided 5% (8%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Allen West 45% (49%) / 49% (41%) {-4%}
If your member of Congress opposed a woman's right to choose, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?
  • More likely 19%
  • Less likely 48%
  • Wouldn't make a difference 33%
If your member of Congress voted for Rep. Paul Ryan's budget that would make cuts to Medicare benefits, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?
  • More likely 22%
  • Less likely 51%
  • Wouldn't make a difference 26%
Survey of 631 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted October 25-26, 2012 for the CREDO SuperPAC.  Party ID: 43% (40%) Republican; 35% (32%) Democrat; 21% (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2012 are in parentheses.