Showing posts with label Medicare. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Medicare. Show all posts

Sunday, December 30, 2012

President Barack Obama on Meet the Press



Monday, November 12, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on the Fiscal Cliff

Rasmussen (R) Poll on the Fiscal Cliff 

If Congress and the President take no action, a variety of tax cuts will expire on December 31. These include the Bush tax cuts and temporary cuts in payroll taxes that fund Social Security and Medicare. Should Congress and the President extend the tax cuts for another year or should they let the tax cuts expire?
  • Extend tax cuts another year 60%
  • Let tax cuts expire 28%
  • Undecided 12%
If Congress and the President take no action, automatic spending cuts including cuts in defense spending and Medicare are scheduled to go into effect on January 1. Should Congress and the President allow these automatic spending cuts to go into effect?
  • Yes, they should 32%
  • No, they should not 48%
  • Not sure 19%
If the tax cuts expire, will that be good for the economy, bad for the economy, or have no impact on the economy?
  • Good 18%
  • Bad 56%
  • Have no impact 10%
  • Undecided 16%
If the automatic spending cuts in government programs go into effect, will that be good for the economy, bad for the economy, or have no impact on the economy?
  • Good 24%
  • Bad 41%
  • Have no impact 12%
  • Undecided 23%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 8-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

Most Republicans (80%) and voters not affiliated with either major political party (60%) want to see the tax cuts extended. Forty-five percent (45%) of Democrats also want to see the tax cuts extended, but 41% do not.
However, 54% of Republicans and 50% of Democrats agree that the government should not allow the automatic spending cuts to take place, while 46% of unaffiliated voters think those cuts should be allowed to go into effect.
Regardless of what voters believe, 76% of them are following news of the “fiscal cliff” closely, including 44% who are following very closely.

Thursday, November 01, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% (51%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (46%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 88% (89%) {88%} [91%] (90%) {95%} [93%] (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
  • Mitt Romney 9% (10%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 92% (86%) {90%} [92%] (85%) {92%} [92%] (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
  • Barack Obama 6% (13%) {7%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [5%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 44% (47%) {44%} [46%] (31%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (45%) {45%} [46%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 56% (50%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 40% (45%) {43%} [48%] (38%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 56% (57%) {54%} [52%] (57%) {56%} [55%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% (41%) {42%} [44%] (35%) {42%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 56% (57%) {59%} [57%] {57%}
  • Barack Obama 39% (41%) {38%} [40%] {40%}
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama 86% (88%) {91%} [90%] {91%}
  • Mitt Romney 11% (8%) {7%} [8%] {7%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {49%} [52%] {47%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) / 46% (51%) {47%} [44%] {49%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {+3%}
  • Barack Obama 49% (51%) {48%} / 48% (47%) {51%} {+1%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 85% (88%) {85%} / 13% (12%) {15%} {+72%}
  • Mitt Romney 15% (12%) {15%} [21%] {6%} [9%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (6%) / 81% (85%) {80%} [76%] {90%} [88%] (86%) {80%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [73%] (69%) {-66%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 88% (83%) {87%} [87%] {90%} [90%] (77%) {71%} [44%] (53%) {52%} [52%] (57%) / 8% (15%) {12%} [9%] {8%} [5%] (16%) {20%} [42%] (34%) {24%} [26%] (28%) {+80%}
  • Barack Obama 6% (14%) {8%} / 93% (83%) {89%} {-87%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 53% (44%) {51%} [51%] {48%} [48%] (33%) {40%} [36%] (31%) {34%} [42%] (37%) / 40% (50%) {44%} [43%] {45%} [46%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {+13%}
  • Barack Obama 49% (46%) {44%} / 46% (52%) {53%} {+3%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 55% (49%) {53%} [53%] {51%} [51%] (42%) {42%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (33%) / 38% (47%) {42%} [43%] {45%} [45%] (48%) {50%} [56%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (50%) {+17%}
  • Barack Obama 42% (44%) {43%} / 46% (53%) {56%} {-14%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% (56%) {52%} / 42% (42%) {46%} {+13%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% (42%) {46%} [50%] {42%} [42%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (33%) / 53% (55%) {52%} [45%] {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [48%] (47%) {39%} [50%] (42%) {-9%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% (47%) {45%} [50%] {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% (49%) {53%} [48%] {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51% (52%) {53%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (44%) {45%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% (41%) {43%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {48%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) {47%}
Survey of 600 likely Virginia voters was conducted October 30-31, 2012, on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (38%) {42%} [38%] (40%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 36% (34%) {37%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 22% (28%) {21%} [30%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other.  Race: 73% (71%) {72%} [75%] {73%} White; 20% (20%) {20%} [18%] {17%} Black; 7% (9%) {8%} [7%] {10%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, October 31, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 53% [51%] (51%) {53%} [53%] (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% [42%] (44%) {39%} [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 48% [44%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)
  • Barack Obama 42% [42%] (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% [49%] (40%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)
  • Barack Obama 44% [43%] (53%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 60% [58%] (49%) {59%} [58%] (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% [36%] (48%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% / 44% {+8%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {38%} [35%] (29%) {39%} [37%] (39%) / 49% (49%) {55%} [57%] (58%) {43%} [45%] (37%) {-3%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 52% (39%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {48%} [42%] (43%) / 42% (51%) {57%} [60%] (52%) {34%} [39%] (34%) {+10%}
  • Barack Obama 43% / 49% {-6%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 55% (43%) {43%} [40%] (35%) {41%} [35%] (46%) / 43% (52%) {50%} [53%] (55%) {40%} [50%] (41%) {+12%}
  • Barack Obama 43% / 54% {-11%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 59% / 37% {+22%} 
  • Mitt Romney 39% (47%) {32%} [30%] (25%) {37%} [39%] (33%) / 55% (46%) {61%} [60%] (61%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-16%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 52% (49%) {51%} [53%] (52%) {50%} [47%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 46% (49%) {44%} [41%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (45%)
Among Men
  • Approve 44% (52%) {44%} [48%] (44%) {47%} [49%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 54% (46%) {50%} [48%] (52%) {49%} [47%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 58% (46%) {58%} [57%] (58%) {53%} [46%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 39% (52%) {37%} [36%] (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Survey of 500 likely Michigan voters was conducted October 30-31, 2012 on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [41%] (33%) {32%} [38%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 33% [30%] (34%) {28%} [28%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 24% [29%] (33%) {40%} [34%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 50% (51%) {49%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (47%) {48%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 45% (50%) {49%} [50%] (42%) {51%} [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
  • Barack Obama 45% (46%) {42%} [45%] (41%) {34%} [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 48% (46%) {41%} [48%] (50%) {43%} [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%) 
  • Mitt Romney 47% (52%) {57%} [50%] (43%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% (55%) {55%} [54%] (48%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (43%) {41%} [42%] (46%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 33% (36%) {21%} [19%]
  • No 67% (64%) {79%} [81%]
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 62% (63%) {66%} [76%]
  • Mitt Romney 35% (36%) {34%} [24%]
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 50% (53%) {52%} [51%]
  • Barack Obama 45% (45%) {44%} [45%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 50% / 47% {+3%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (47%) {49%} [45%] (45%) [44%] (41%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 48% (51%) {47%} [51%] (49%) [49%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-2%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 46% / 48% {-2%
  • Mitt Romney 45% (50%) {47%} [47%] (41%) [42%] (34%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 48% (48%) {41%} [47%] (45%) [47%] (57%) {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {-3%}
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 48% / 47% {+1%}
  • Mitt Romney 47% (51%) {55%} [49%] (46%) [47%] (45%) {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 48% (48%) {40%} [48%] (51%) [47%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {-1%}
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% / 46% {+6%} 
  • Mitt Romney 46% (44%) {44%} [42%] (44%) [41%] (37%) {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 48% (53%) {52%} [54%] (48%) [52%] (55%) {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-2%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 50% (51%) {48%} [50%] (48%) [48%] (46%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 47% (48%) {50%} [48%] (49%) [48%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 42% (42%) {41%} [45%] (41%) [40%] (46%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
  • Disapprove 50% (54%) {54%} [50%] (52%) [54%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Survey of 600 likely Ohio voters was conducted October 29-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 45% (43%) {42%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 36% (35%) {34%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 19% (21%) {23%} [24%] (23%) {26%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 51% [51%] (49%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {53%} [46%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% [45%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [46%] (44%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
Note: 2008 Barack Obama 56%, John McCain 43% / 2004 John Kerry 50%, George W. Bush 49%

Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 50% [48%] (51%) {52%} [47%] {53%} [53%] (53%) {57%} [38%] (40%) {47%} [45%] (43%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% [43%] (42%) {43%} [43%] {39%} [35%] (36%) {33%} [42%] (37%) {36%} [33%] (36%)
Note: Independents: 2008 (29%): Barack Obama 58%, John McCain 39% / 2004 (27%): John Kerry 53%, George W. Bush 45%

Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% [48%] (50%) {47%} [52%] {48%} [49%] (49%) {42%} [49%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 47% [48%] (46%) {50%} [43%] {46%} [42%] (46%) {51%} [40%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% [54%] (52%) {54%} [50%] {53%} [51%] (53%) {54%} [52%] (51%) {56%} [53%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% [42%] (45%) {43%} [44%] {41%} [43%] (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {33%} [32%] (40%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 52% [51%] / 46% [45%] {+6%}
  • Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (49%) {44%} (45%) {41%} [37%] (38%) {25%} [31%] (32%) {29%} [30%] (33%) / 49% [50%] (48%) {51%} (48%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {61%} [53%] (48%) {49%} [41%] (45%) {-2%}
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 51% [50%] / 44% [45%] {+7%} 
  • Mitt Romney 41% [44%] (45%) {42%} (41%) {35%} [26%] (30%) {24%} [30%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) / 50% [50%] (52%) {51%} (50%) {54%} [53%] (53%) {60%} [50%] (44%) {43%} [38%] (46%) {-9%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% [49%] (51%) {48%} (50%) {45%} [42%] (43%) {24%} [35%] (33%) {34%} [35%] (35%) / 46% [48%] (47%) {47%} (46%) {47%} [43%] (45%) {62%} [51%] (48%) {50%} [42%] (50%) {+4%}
  • Barack Obama 48% [48%] / 49% [50%] {-1%}
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% [54%] / 43% [41%] {+12%} 
  • Mitt Romney 44% [45%] (48%) {40%} (42%) {38%} [32%] (34%) {25%} [27%] (31%) {26%} [25%] (31%) / 51% [52%] (49%) {56%} (49%) {53%} [52%] (52%) {60%} [54%] (47%) {47%} [40%] (41%) {-7%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 50% [49%] (49%) {52%} [46%] {47%} [44%] (47%) {52%} [44%] (45%) {52%} [49%] (47%)
  • Disapprove 47% [47%] (49%) {47%} [50%] {48%} [50%] (47%) {44%} [51%] (51%) {44%} [45%] (46%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% [52%]
  • Mitt Romney 46% [44%]
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% [54%]
  • Mitt Romney 42% [41%]
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% [51%]
  • Mitt Romney 46% [44%]
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% [52%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% [45%]
Survey of 825 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted October 29-30, 2012 on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% [34%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (32%) {30%} [28%] (31%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (35%) Democrat; 30% [29%] (33%) {31%} [36%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [31%] (34%) {32%} [32%] (31%) Republican; 36% [38%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (34%) {38%} [37%] (37%) {36%} [32%] (29%) {31%} [35%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-13, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 12-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50% (49%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (47%) {48%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 88% (87%) {86%} [86%] (91%) {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
  • Mitt Romney 11% (10%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 89% (90%) {87%} [85%] (85%) {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
  • Barack Obama 11% (9%) {10%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 47% (47%) {43%} [46%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% (46%) {51%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 48% (48%) {53%} [49%] (44%) {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%
  • Barack Obama 46% (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% (49%) {53%} [49%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (47%) {44%} [48%] (44%) {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 42% (34%) {32%} [31%]
  • No 58% (66%) {68%} [69%]
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 64% (68%) {64%} [66%]
  • Mitt Romney 35% (32%) {35%} [32%]
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 53% (55%) {54%} [56%]
  • Barack Obama 40% (39%) {42%} [39%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {48%} / 46% (47%) {49%} {+4%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% (47%) {47%} [48%] (40%) {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 51% (48%) {49%} [47%] (55%) {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-5%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 89% (88%) {84%} / 9% (11%) {15%} {+80%}
  • Mitt Romney 12% (13%) {13%} [15%] (7%) {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 86% (82%) {84%} [83%] (92%) {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-74%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 87% (86%) {87%} [83%] (79%) {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 12% (11%) {12%} [14%] (15%) {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+75%}
  • Barack Obama 10% (10%) {10%} / 89% (87%) {89%} {-79%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 45% (48%) {44%} / 45% (47%) {51%} {0%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% (44%) {48%} [41%] (37%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 50% (48%) {43%} [48%] (53%) {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-8%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% (44%) {52%} [48%] (40%) {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 46% (49%) {45%} [46%] (54%) {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {+4%}
  • Barack Obama 45% (49%) {44%} / 50% (48%) {54%} {-5%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55% (51%) {52%} / 42% (47%) {45%} {+13%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% (48%) {43%} [49%] (40%) {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 56% (48%) {52%} [47%] (55%) {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {-15%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% (48%) {44%} [46%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 47% (49%) {52%} [50%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 88% (84%) {76%} [85%] (91%) {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
  • Disapprove 9% (12%) {18%} [13%] (8%) {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 10% (9%) {9%} [13%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
  • Disapprove 89% (90%) {89%} [86%] (88%) {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 43% (46%) {38%} [44%] (40%) {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 47% (49%) {55%} [46%] (52%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Approve 44% (48%) {38%} [44%] (46%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 51% (49%) {57%} [51%] (50%) {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 55% (47%) {48%} [48%] (52%) {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 42% (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) {47%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (51%) {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% (41%) {43%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% (50%) {48%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% (47%) {49%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%) {47%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% (45%) {47%}
Survey of 676 likely Iowa voters was conducted October 29-30, 2012 on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (37%) {41%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% (34%) {34%} [38%] (33%) {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 27% (28%) {25%} [27%] (30%) {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% [48%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% [46%] (46%) 
Independents
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [42%] (50%
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 39% [46%] (44%)
Men
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51% [47%] (52%)
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% [47%] (44%) 
Women
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52% [50%] (53%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% [45%] (41%) 
Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?
  • Strongly favor 68% [65%] (65%)
  • Like with reservations 19% [20%] (20%)
  • Dislike Romney 12% [13%] (12%)
Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?
  • Strongly favor 57% [61%] (47%)
  • Like with reservations 25% [22%] (27%)
  • Dislike Obama 17% [15%] (23%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 44% [43%] (37%) / 43% [40%] (38%) {+1%}
  • Paul Ryan 35% (29%) / 34% (26%) {+1%} 
  • Barack Obama 46% [47%] (44%) / 46% [42%] (44%) {0%}
  • Joe Biden 37% (33%) / 43% (37%) {-6%
Regardless of how you intend to vote, which candidate do you think would do a better job handling each of the following issues – Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

The Federal Budget Deficit
  • Mitt Romney 54% [48%] (51%)
  • Barack Obama 39% [42%] (43%)
The Economy and Unemployment
  • Mitt Romney 51% [48%] (46%)
  • Barack Obama 45% [45%] (47%
Foreign Policy
  • Barack Obama 49% [50%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (39%)
Health Care
  • Barack Obama 48% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% (46%) 
Taxes
  • Mitt Romney 47% (46%)
  • Barack Obama 46% (48%)
Medicare
  • Barack Obama 51% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (43%)
Help Middle Class Americans
  • Barack Obama 52% (54%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (40%)
Dealing with the Issue of Abortion
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 39%
Dealing with Illegal Immigration
  • Mitt Romney 48%
  • Barack Obama 42%
Dealing with Terrorism and National Security
  • Barack Obama 49% [49%]
  • Mitt Romney 44% [42%]
Which candidate do you think would work better with both Democrats and Republicans in Congress?
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 39%
Do you think Barack Obama has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
  • Has 59%
  • Does not have 39%
Do you think Mitt Romney has strong qualities of leadership, or not?
  • Has 67%
  • Does not have 30%
Do you think Barack Obama says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • Says what he believes 50% (54%)
  • What people want to hear 47% (43%)
Do you think Mitt Romney says what he believes most of the time, or does he say what he thinks people want to hear?
  • Says what he believes 42% (42%)
  • Says what people want 54% (53%)
How much confidence do you have in Barack Obama’s ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?
  • A lot 40% [38%] (39%)
  • Some 22% [24%] (26%)
  • A little 15% [15%] (13%)
  • None at all 22% [22%] (21%)
How much confidence do you have in Mitt Romney’s ability to handle an international crisis -- a lot, some, a little, or none at all?
  • A lot 30% [30%] (26%)
  • Some 27% [28%] (32%)
  • A little 15% [16%] (15%)
  • None at all 26% [25%] (22%)
Do you think Barack Obama has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were re-elected president, or not?
  • Yes, he has 57% (59%)
  • No, he has not 41% (37%)
Do you think Mitt Romney has made it clear what he wants to accomplish if he were elected president, or not?
  • Yes, he has 53% (50%)
  • No, he has not 46% (44%)
Do you think Barack Obama's views on most issues are too liberal for you, not liberal enough, or just about right?
  • Too liberal 42%
  • Not liberal enough 9%
  • About right 46%
Do you think Mitt Romney's views on most issues are too conservative for you, not conservative enough, or just about right?
  • Too liberal 35%
  • Not liberal enough 15%
  • About right 45%
Do you think Barack Obama does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?
  • Does 59% [59%] (60%)
  • Does not 39% [38%] (37%)
Do you think Mitt Romney does or does not understand the needs and problems of people like yourself?
  • Does 49% [48%] (46%)
  • Does not 48% [48%] (48%)
Do you think Barack Obama understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 66%
  • No 29%
Do you think Mitt Romney understands the needs and problems of women in the workforce, or not?
  • Yes 46%
  • No 50%
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2012, who do you expect to finally win the 2012 presidential election?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
Survey of 563 likely voters was conducted October 25-28, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [32%] (35%) Democrat; 31% [32%] (29%) Republican; 33% [35%] (32%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2012 are in parentheses. 

Monday, October 29, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll
  • Patrick Murphy (D) 48% (42%)
  • Allen West (R) 47% (51%)
  • Undecided 5% (8%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Allen West 45% (49%) / 49% (41%) {-4%}
If your member of Congress opposed a woman's right to choose, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?
  • More likely 19%
  • Less likely 48%
  • Wouldn't make a difference 33%
If your member of Congress voted for Rep. Paul Ryan's budget that would make cuts to Medicare benefits, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for them, or would it make no difference?
  • More likely 22%
  • Less likely 51%
  • Wouldn't make a difference 26%
Survey of 631 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted October 25-26, 2012 for the CREDO SuperPAC.  Party ID: 43% (40%) Republican; 35% (32%) Democrat; 21% (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% {49%} [48%] (51%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {48%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 87% {86%} [86%] (91%) {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
  • Mitt Romney 10% {13%} [13%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 90% {87%} [85%] (85%) {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
  • Barack Obama 9% {10%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 47% {43%} [46%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% {51%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 49% {45%} [47%] (49%) {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% {53%} [49%] (44%) {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 49% {53%} [49%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {44%} [48%] (44%) {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 34% {32%} [31%]
  • No 66% {68%} [69%]
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 68% {64%} [66%]
  • Mitt Romney 32% {35%} [32%]
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 55% {54%} [56%]
  • Barack Obama 39% {42%} [39%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 50% {48%} / 47% {49%} {+3%}
  • Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [48%] (40%) {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 48% {49%} [47%] (55%) {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-1%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 88% {84%} / 11% {15%} {+77%}
  • Mitt Romney 13% {13%} [15%] (7%) {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 82% {84%} [83%] (92%) {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-69%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 86% {87%} [83%] (79%) {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 11% {12%} [14%] (15%) {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+75%}
  • Barack Obama 10% {10%} / 87% {89%} {-77%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 48% {44%} / 47% {51%} {+1%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% {48%} [41%] (37%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 48% {43%} [48%] (53%) {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-4%}
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 49% {44%} / 48% {54%} {+1%
  • Mitt Romney 44% {52%} [48%] (40%) {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 49% {45%} [46%] (54%) {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {-5%}
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 51% {52%} / 47% {45%} {+4%}
  • Mitt Romney 48% {43%} [49%] (40%) {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 48% {52%} [47%] (55%) {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {0%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48% {44%} [46%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% {52%} [50%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 84% {76%} [85%] (91%) {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
  • Disapprove 12% {18%} [13%] (8%) {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 9% {9%} [13%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
  • Disapprove 90% {89%} [86%] (88%) {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 46% {38%} [44%] (40%) {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 49% {55%} [46%] (52%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Approve 48% {38%} [44%] (46%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 49% {57%} [51%] (50%) {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 47% {48%} [48%] (52%) {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 49% {47%} [49%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51% {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% {47%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51% {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% {43%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% {48%}
  • Mitt Romney 47% {49%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% {47%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {47%}
Survey of 690 likely Iowa voters was conducted October 23-24, 2012 on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {41%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% {34%} [38%] (33%) {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 28% {25%} [27%] (30%) {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 51% {49%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 89% {88%} [91%] (90%) {95%} [93%] (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
  • Mitt Romney 10% {10%} [8%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 86% {90%} [92%] (85%) {92%} [92%] (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
  • Barack Obama 13% {7%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [5%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 47% {44%} [46%] (31%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {45%} [46%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% {53%} [49%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 45% {43%} [48%] (38%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 57% {54%} [52%] (57%) {56%} [55%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% {42%} [44%] (35%) {42%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 57% {59%} [57%] {57%}
  • Barack Obama 41% {38%} [40%] {40%}
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama 88% {91%} [90%] {91%}
  • Mitt Romney 8% {7%} [8%] {7%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 51% {48%} / 47% {51%} {+4%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% {49%} [52%] {47%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) / 51% {47%} [44%] {49%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {-5%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 88% {85%} / 12% {15%} {+76%}
  • Mitt Romney 12% {15%} [21%] {6%} [9%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (6%) / 85% {80%} [76%] {90%} [88%] (86%) {80%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [73%] (69%) {-73%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 83% {87%} [87%] {90%} [90%] (77%) {71%} [44%] (53%) {52%} [52%] (57%) / 15% {12%} [9%] {8%} [5%] (16%) {20%} [42%] (34%) {24%} [26%] (28%) {+68%}
  • Barack Obama 14% {8%} / 83% {89%} {-69%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 46% {44%} / 52% {53%} {-6%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% {51%} [51%] {48%} [48%] (33%) {40%} [36%] (31%) {34%} [42%] (37%) / 50% {44%} [43%] {45%} [46%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {-6%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% {53%} [53%] {51%} [51%] (42%) {42%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (33%) / 47% {42%} [43%] {45%} [45%] (48%) {50%} [56%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (50%) {+2%}
  • Barack Obama 44% {43%} / 53% {56%} {-9%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 56% {52%} / 42% {46%} {+14%}
  • Mitt Romney 42% {46%} [50%] {42%} [42%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (33%) / 55% {52%} [45%] {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [48%] (47%) {39%} [50%] (42%) {-13%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47% {45%} [50%] {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% {53%} [48%] {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 52% {53%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% {45%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51% {50%}
  • Mitt Romney 41% {43%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {48%}
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50% {49%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% {47%}
Survey of 722 likely Virginia voters was conducted October 23-24, 2012, on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {42%} [38%] (40%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 34% {37%} [32%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 28% {21%} [30%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other.  Race: 71% {72%} [75%] {73%} White; 20% {20%} [18%] {17%} Black; 9% {8%} [7%] {10%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.

Sunday, October 21, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% [48%] (51%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% [49%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 86% [86%] (91%) {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
  • Mitt Romney 13% [13%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 87% [85%] (85%) {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
  • Barack Obama 10% [14%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 51% [42%] (43%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)
  • Barack Obama 43% [46%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% [49%] (44%) {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%)
  • Barack Obama 45% [47%] (49%) {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% [49%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% [48%] (44%) {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 32% [31%]
  • No 68% [69%]
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 64% [66%]
  • Mitt Romney 35% [32%]
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 54% [56%]
  • Barack Obama 42% [39%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Barack Obama 48% / 49% {-1%}
  • Mitt Romney 47% [48%] (40%) {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 49% [47%] (55%) {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-2%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 84% / 15% {+69%}
  • Mitt Romney 13% [15%] (7%) {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 84% [83%] (92%) {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-71%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 87% [83%] (79%) {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 12% [14%] (15%) {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+75%}
  • Barack Obama 10% / 89% {-79%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 48% [41%] (37%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 43% [48%] (53%) {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {+5%}
  • Barack Obama 44% / 51% {-7%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% [48%] (40%) {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 45% [46%] (54%) {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {+7%}
  • Barack Obama 44% / 54% {-10%}
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% / 45% {+7%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% [49%] (40%) {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 52% [47%] (55%) {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {-9%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 44% [46%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 52% [50%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 76% [85%] (91%) {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
  • Disapprove 18% [13%] (8%) {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 9% [13%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
  • Disapprove 89% [86%] (88%) {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 38% [44%] (40%) {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 55% [46%] (52%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Approve 38% [44%] (46%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 57% [51%] (50%) {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 48% [48%] (52%) {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 47% [49%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Mitt Romney 49%
  • Barack Obama 48%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 47%
Survey of 660 likely Iowa voters was conducted October 18-19, 2012 on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [34%] (37%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% [38%] (33%) {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 25% [27%] (30%) {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

Marco Rubio and David Axelrod on Meet the Press



Saturday, October 20, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% [50%] (49%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% [47%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 88% [91%] (90%) {95%} [93%] (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
  • Mitt Romney 10% [8%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 90% [92%] (85%) {92%} [92%] (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
  • Barack Obama 7% [7%] (12%) {7%} [5%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 45% [46%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
  • Barack Obama 44% [46%] (31%) {45%} [43%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% [49%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 43% [48%] (38%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% [52%] (57%) {56%} [55%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% [44%] (35%) {42%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)
Among Whites
  • Mitt Romney 59% [57%] {57%}
  • Barack Obama 38% [40%] {40%}
Among Blacks
  • Barack Obama 91% [90%] {91%}
  • Mitt Romney 7% [8%] {7%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 49% [52%] {47%} [46%] (38%) {38%} [33%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (33%) / 47% [44%] {49%} [49%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {+2%}
  • Barack Obama 48% / 51% {-3%}
Among Democrats
  • Barack Obama 85% / 15% {+70%}
  • Mitt Romney 15% [21%] {6%} [9%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (6%) / 80% [76%] {90%} [88%] (86%) {80%} [66%] (69%) {62%} [73%] (69%) {-65%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 87% [87%] {90%} [90%] (77%) {71%} [44%] (53%) {52%} [52%] (57%) / 12% [9%] {8%} [5%] (16%) {20%} [42%] (34%) {24%} [26%] (28%) {+75%}
  • Barack Obama 8% / 89% {-81%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 51% [51%] {48%} [48%] (33%) {40%} [36%] (31%) {34%} [42%] (37%) / 44% [43%] {45%} [46%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (44%) {43%} [40%] (38%) {+7%}
  • Barack Obama 44% / 53% {-9%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 53% [53%] {51%} [51%] (42%) {42%} [33%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (33%) / 42% [43%] {45%} [45%] (48%) {50%} [56%] (51%) {49%} [47%] (50%) {+11%}
  • Barack Obama 43% / 56% {-13%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% / 46% {+6%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% [50%] {42%} [42%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (31%) {34%} [28%] (33%) / 52% [45%] {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [48%] (47%) {39%} [50%] (42%) {-6%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 45% [50%] {50%} [49%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 53% [48%] {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (45%)
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 48%
Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Survey of 500 likely Virginia voters was conducted October 18-19, 2012, on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% [38%] (40%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 37% [32%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 21% [30%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other.  Race: 72% [75%] {73%} White; 20% [18%] {17%} Black; 8% [7%] {10%} Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.