Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {49%} [48%] (51%) {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 47% {48%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 87% {86%} [86%] (91%) {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
• Mitt Romney 10% {13%} [13%] (7%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 90% {87%} [85%] (85%) {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
• Barack Obama 9% {10%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 47% {43%} [46%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
• Mitt Romney 46% {51%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 49% {45%} [47%] (49%) {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)
• Mitt Romney 48% {53%} [49%] (44%) {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% {53%} [49%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
• Mitt Romney 47% {44%} [48%] (44%) {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)

Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?

• Yes 34% {32%} [31%]
• No 66% {68%} [69%]

Already Voted

• Barack Obama 68% {64%} [66%]
• Mitt Romney 32% {35%} [32%]

Did Not Vote Yet

• Mitt Romney 55% {54%} [56%]
• Barack Obama 39% {42%} [39%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 50% {48%} / 47% {49%} {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [48%] (40%) {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 48% {49%} [47%] (55%) {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-1%}

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 88% {84%} / 11% {15%} {+77%}
• Mitt Romney 13% {13%} [15%] (7%) {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 82% {84%} [83%] (92%) {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-69%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 86% {87%} [83%] (79%) {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 11% {12%} [14%] (15%) {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+75%}
• Barack Obama 10% {10%} / 87% {89%} {-77%} 

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 48% {44%} / 47% {51%} {+1%}
• Mitt Romney 44% {48%} [41%] (37%) {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 48% {43%} [48%] (53%) {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-4%}

Among Men

• Barack Obama 49% {44%} / 48% {54%} {+1%} 
• Mitt Romney 44% {52%} [48%] (40%) {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 49% {45%} [46%] (54%) {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {-5%}

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% {52%} / 47% {45%} {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 48% {43%} [49%] (40%) {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 48% {52%} [47%] (55%) {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {0%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48% {44%} [46%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
• Disapprove 49% {52%} [50%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 84% {76%} [85%] (91%) {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
• Disapprove 12% {18%} [13%] (8%) {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 9% {9%} [13%] (10%) {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
• Disapprove 90% {89%} [86%] (88%) {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)

Among Independents

• Approve 46% {38%} [44%] (40%) {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
• Disapprove 49% {55%} [46%] (52%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)

Among Men

• Approve 48% {38%} [44%] (46%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
• Disapprove 49% {57%} [51%] (50%) {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 47% {48%} [48%] (52%) {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
• Disapprove 49% {47%} [49%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)

Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to stand up for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51% {50%}
• Mitt Romney 46% {47%}

Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to make sure the wealthiest Americans pay their fair share of taxes: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51% {50%}
• Mitt Romney 41% {43%}

Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to keep tax rates fair for the middle class: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 50% {48%}
• Mitt Romney 47% {49%}

Which of the Presidential candidates do you trust more to protect Medicare: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 50% {47%}
• Mitt Romney 45% {47%}

Survey of 690 likely Iowa voters was conducted October 23-24, 2012 on behalf of Health Care for America Now. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {41%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% {34%} [38%] (33%) {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 28% {25%} [27%] (30%) {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.