The Argo Journal: March 2011

Thursday, March 31, 2011

Giuliani: If We Are Protecting the Libyan People, Don't We Have to Remove Qaddafi?

Poll Watch: Strategic National (R) 2012 Ohio Republican Primary Survey

Strategic National (R) 2012 Ohio GOP Primary Survey

If the 2012 Presidential Primary were held today, and the only candidates running were Michele Bachmann, Haley Barbour, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?

Mike Huckabee 24.49%
Newt Gingrich 21.94%
Sarah Palin 16.33%
Mitt Romney 13.78%
Michele Bachmann 5.61%
Tim Pawlenty 3.57%
Rick Santorum 2.04%
Haley Barbour 1.53%
Jon Huntsman 1.53%
Undecided 9.18%

Survey of 500 registered voters was conducted March 24- 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Barack Obama 46% (46%)
Mitt Romney 44% (44%)

Barack Obama 48%
Jeb Bush 45%

Barack Obama 48%
Rudy Giuliani 42%

Barack Obama 50% (49%)
Mike Huckabee 43% (44%)

Barack Obama 50% (47%)
Newt Gingrich 42% (42%)

Barack Obama 52% (52%)
Sarah Palin 39% (38%)

Among Republicans

Jeb Bush 81%
Barack Obama 10%

Mike Huckabee 80% (77%)
Barack Obama 11% (15%)

Mitt Romney 79% (76%)
Barack Obama 10% (12%)

Rudy Giuliani 75%
Barack Obama 9%

Newt Gingrich 77% (76%)
Barack Obama 12% (15%)

Sarah Palin 74% (63%)
Barack Obama 15% (20%)

Among Democrats

Barack Obama 80% (76%)
Mitt Romney 15% (20%)

Barack Obama 83%
Jeb Bush 14%

Barack Obama 83%
Rudy Giuliani 13%

Barack Obama 84% (73%)
Newt Gingrich 14% (19%)

Barack Obama 84% (77%)
Mike Huckabee 13% (21%)

Barack Obama 86% (76%)
Sarah Palin 11% (19%)

Among Independents

Barack Obama 41% (52%)
Mitt Romney 39% (28%)

Barack Obama 47%
Jeb Bush 42%

Barack Obama 50%
Rudy Giuliani 39%

Barack Obama 52% (56%)
Newt Gingrich 38% (22%)

Barack Obama 50% (60%)
Mike Huckabee 35% (24%)

Barack Obama 52% (67%)
Sarah Palin 34% (26%)

Among Moderates

Barack Obama 67% (62%)
Mitt Romney 21% (28%)

Barack Obama 68%
Jeb Bush 21%

Barack Obama 71%
Rudy Giuliani 18%

Barack Obama 75% (69%)
Newt Gingrich 19% (26%)

Barack Obama 74% (69%)
Mike Huckabee 16% (25%)

Barack Obama 74% (70%)
Sarah Palin 16% (19%)

Among Men

Jeb Bush 49%
Barack Obama 44%

Mitt Romney 47% (45%)
Barack Obama 42% (46%)

Newt Gingrich 48% (45%)
Barack Obama 46% (49%)

Mike Huckabee 47% (46%)
Barack Obama 46% (51%)

Rudy Giuliani 46%
Barack Obama 46%

Barack Obama 48% (52%)
Sarah Palin 43% (40%)

Among Women

Barack Obama 49% (46%)
Mitt Romney 41% (42%)

Barack Obama 52%
Jeb Bush 41%

Barack Obama 50%
Rudy Giuliani 38%

Barack Obama 53% (47%)
Mike Huckabee 39% (41%)

Barack Obama 55% (45%)
Newt Gingrich 37% (40%)

Barack Obama 56% (52%)
Sarah Palin 35% (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Mike Huckabee 40% (41%) / 39% (43%) {+1%}
Mitt Romney 39% (43%) / 39% (38%) {0%}
Jeb Bush 44% / 44% {0%}
Rudy Giuliani 37% / 46% {-9%}
Newt Gingrich 32% (36%) / 48% (47%) {-16%}
Sarah Palin 32% (36%) / 60% (57%) {-28%}

Among Republicans

Jeb Bush 70% / 24% {+46%}
Mike Huckabee 63% (67%) / 25% (22%) {+38%}
Mitt Romney 59% (58%) / 26% (26%) {+33%}
Newt Gingrich 54% (61%) / 28% (24%) {+26%}
Sarah Palin 59% (62%) / 33% (34%) {+26%}
Rudy Giuliani 50% / 34% {+16%}

Among Democrats

Rudy Giuliani 26% / 53% {-27%}
Mike Huckabee 20% (24%) / 48% (54%) {-28%}
Mitt Romney 19% (31%) / 53% (43%) {-34%}
Jeb Bush 21% / 66% {-45%}
Newt Gingrich 13% (16%) / 63% (63%) {-50%}
Sarah Palin 10% (15%) / 84% (75%) {-74%}

Among Independents

Mitt Romney 43% (36%) / 32% (51%) {+11%}
Jeb Bush 41% / 38% {+3%}
Mike Huckabee 38% (25%) / 45% (62%) {-7%}
Rudy Giuliani 35% / 53% {-18%}
Newt Gingrich 31% (24%) / 52% (60%) {-21%}
Sarah Palin 28% (30%) / 58% (66%) {-30%}

Among Moderates

Mitt Romney 33% (31%) / 44% (43%) {-11%}
Rudy Giuliani 30% / 56% {-26%}
Jeb Bush 30% / 57% {-27%}
Mike Huckabee 21% (23%) / 53% ( 57%) {-32%}
Newt Gingrich 16% (19%) / 63% (62%) {-47%}
Sarah Palin 12% (17%) / 82% (71%) {-70%}

Among Men

Mitt Romney 42% (44%) / 37% (43%) {+5%}
Mike Huckabee 41% (42%) / 37% (50%) {+4%}
Jeb Bush 44% / 45% {-1%}
Newt Gingrich 37% (39%) / 47% (53%) {-10%}
Rudy Giuliani 38% / 50% {-12%}
Sarah Palin 36% (42%) / 56% (54%) {-20%}

Among Women

Jeb Bush 43% / 43% {0%}
Mike Huckabee 39% (40%) / 41% (35%) {-2%}
Mitt Romney 36% (42%) / 40% (32%) {-4%}
Rudy Giuliani 36% / 42% {-6%}
Newt Gingrich 28% (32%) / 48% (40%) {-20%}
Sarah Palin 28% (31%) / 63% (60%) {-35%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve 48% (45%)
Disapprove 47% (49%)

Among Republicans

Approve 10% (13%)
Disapprove 85% (81%)

Among Democrats

Approve 81% (69%)
Disapprove 13% (49%)

Among Independents

Approve 49% (59%)
Disapprove 44% (35%)

Among Moderates

Approve 73% (62%)
Disapprove 24% (30%)

Among Men

Approve 44% (45%)
Disapprove 51% (52%)

Among Women

Approve 52% (45%)
Disapprove 42% (46%)

Survey of 500 registered Florida voters was conducted March 24-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% (42%) Democrat; 37% (40%) Republican; 22% (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 7% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind 2012 Presidential Survey

FDU PublicMind 2012 Presidential Survey

Mike Huckabee 46%
Barack Obama 46%

Barack Obama 44%
Mitt Romney 43%

Barack Obama 46%
Chris Christie 40%

Barack Obama 48%
Tim Pawlenty 34%

Barack Obama 52%
Newt Gingrich 37%

Barack Obama 54%
Sarah Palin 34%

Among Democrats

Barack Obama 77%
Mitt Romney 10%

Barack Obama 83%
Mike Huckabee 12%

Barack Obama 82%
Chris Christie 7%

Barack Obama 87%
Sarah Palin 6%

Barack Obama 92%
Tim Pawlenty 4%

Barack Obama 91%
Newt Gingrich 3%

Among Republicans

Mitt Romney 86%
Barack Obama 4%

Newt Gingrich 86%
Barack Obama 7%

Mike Huckabee 85%
Barack Obama 8%

Tim Pawlenty 75%
Barack Obama 5%

Chris Christie 78%
Barack Obama 9%

Sarah Palin 71%
Barack Obama 17%

Among Independents

Mike Huckabee 49%
Barack Obama 40%

Chris Christie 43%
Barack Obama 40%

Barack Obama 45%
Mitt Romney 44%

Barack Obama 45%
Newt Gingrich 40%

Barack Obama 41%
Tim Pawlenty 33%

Barack Obama 52%
Sarah Palin 34%

In 2012 there will be an election for President of the United States. To run as the Republican candidate for President, who would you prefer?

Among Republicans & GOP-Leaning Independents

Mike Huckabee 21%
Mitt Romney 19%
Chris Christie 11%
Sarah Palin 11%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Tim Pawlenty 5%
Unsure/Other 23%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

Approve 44%
Disapprove 48%

Among Democrats

Approve 74%
Disapprove 17%

Among Republicans

Approve 13%
Disapprove 81%

Among Independents

Approve 39%
Disapprove 53%

Survey of 800 registered voters nationwide was conducted March 21-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 31% Democrat; 23% Republican; 41% Independent; 4% Other.

Wednesday, March 30, 2011

Poll Watch: AP-GfK 2012 Favorability Survey

AP-GfK 2012 Favorability Survey

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Mike Huckabee 45% / 33% {+12%}
Mitt Romney 41% / 33% {+8%}
Jon Huntsman 19% / 14% {+5%}
Tim Pawlenty 25% / 21% {+4%}
Michele Bachmann 30% / 27% {+3%}
Haley Barbour 24% / 22% {+2%}
Rick Santorum 23% / 21% {+2%}
Mitch Daniels 20% / 18% {+2%}
Newt Gingrich 40% / 42% {-2%}
Sarah Palin 39% / 57% {-18%}

Survey of 1,001 adults was conducted March 24-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% Democrat; 33% Republican; Political ideology: 32% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 18% Strongly conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 8% Strongly liberal.

Poll Watch: AP-GfK Survey on the Situation in Libya

AP-GfK Survey on the Situation in Libya

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Libya?

Approve 54%
Disapprove 43%

In general, do you think it should or should not be the role of the United States to promote the establishment of democratic governments in other countries?

Should be the role 32%
Should not be the role 64%

Do you approve or disapprove of U.S. involvement in military actions taken in Libya?

Approve 48%
Disapprove 50%

Would you favor or oppose the U.S. sending ground troops into Libya?

Favor 13%
Oppose 78%

Would you favor or oppose the U.S. taking increased military action against Libya to remove Moammar Gadhafi from power?

Favor 55%
Oppose 33%

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Survey on President Obama and the Situations in Afghanistan and Libya

Quinnipiac Survey on President Obama and the Situations in Afghanistan & Libya

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Approve 42%
Disapprove 48%

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

Yes/Deserves 41%
No/Does not 50%

If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama, the Democratic candidate, or the Republican candidate?

Republican candidate 37%
Barack Obama 36%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the budget deficit?

Approve 30%
Disapprove 64%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

Approve 34%
Disapprove 60%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care?

Approve 38%

Disapprove 55%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling energy policy?

Approve 35%
Disapprove 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling foreign policy?

Approve 41%
Disapprove 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Afghanistan?

Approve 42%
Disapprove 45%

Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?

Doing the right thing 41%
Should not be involved 50%

Among Democrats

Doing the right thing 38%
Should not be involved 56%

Among Republicans

Doing the right thing 50%
Should not be involved 35%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the situation in Libya?

Approve 41%

Disapprove 45%

Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by using military force in Libya now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Libya now?

Doing the right thing 41%
Should not be involved 47%

Among Democrats

Doing the right thing 48%
Should not be involved 42%

Among Republicans

Doing the right thing 40%
Should not be involved 45%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Obama's decision to use cruise missiles to destroy Libya's air defense installations?

Approve 53%
Disapprove 35%

Do you think President Obama has clearly stated the goals of the US military mission in Libya or not?

Yes 29%
No 58%

Among Democrats

Yes 47%
No 40%

Among Republicans

Yes 16%
No 70%

Among Independents

Yes 24%
No 64%

Do you think the US should or should not use military force to remove Libyan leader Moammar Gadhafi from power?

Yes 41%
No 48%

Among Democrats

Yes 43%
No 47%

Among Republicans

Yes 46%
No 40%

Do you think the US should or should not use military force to protect civilians from Gadhafi?

Yes/Should 65%
No/Should not 27%

Do you think removing Gadhafi from power is a worthwhile goal for American troops to fight and possibly die for or not?

Yes 30%
No 61%

Among Democrats

Yes 32%
No 59%

Among Republicans

Yes 36%
No 52%

Do you think protecting civilians from Gadhafi is a worthwhile goal for American troops to fight and possibly die for or not?

Yes 46%
No 45%

Among Democrats

Yes 52%
No 38%

Among Republicans

Yes 46%
No 45%

Survey of 2,069 registered voters was conducted March 22-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research Survey on the Tea Party Movement

CNN/Opinion Research Survey on the Tea Party Movement

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party movement?

Favorable 32% (37%) [38%]
Unfavorable 47% (43%) [42%]

Among Democrats

Favorable 10% (12%) [12%]
Unfavorable 71% (68%) [63%]

Among Republicans

Favorable 61% (63%) [64%]
Unfavorable 18% (19%) [20%]

Among Independents

Favorable 31% (42%) [40%]
Unfavorable 48% (36%) [41%]

Among Liberals

Favorable 9% (15%) [17%]
Unfavorable 75% (67%) [67%]

Among Moderates

Favorable 19% (28%) [28%]
Unfavorable 57% (52%) [49%]

Among Conservatives

Favorable 58% (61%) [62%]
Unfavorable 25% (18%) [21%]

Among Men

Favorable 39% (42%) [41%]
Unfavorable 49% (40%) [43%]

Among Women

Favorable 26% (32%) [35%]
Unfavorable 46% (45%) [41%]

Among Whites

Favorable 37% (39%) [43%]
Unfavorable 43% (43%) [40%]

Among Non-Whites

Favorable 21% (29%) [25%]
Unfavorable 57% (45%) [49%]

Survey of 1,023 adults was conducted March 11-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 11-14, 2010 are in square brackets.

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Tampa-St. Pete Survey on the Situation in Libya

SurveyUSA Tampa-St. Pete Survey on the Situation in Libya

Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. response to events in Libya?

Approve 48%
Disapprove 44%

Among Democrats

Approve 55%
Disapprove 31%

Among Republicans

Approve 37%
Disapprove 57%

Among Independents

Approve 52%
Disapprove 43%

Among Men

Approve 53%
Disapprove 38%

Among Women

Approve 43%
Disapprove 49%

Did the United States get involved in Libya too soon? Did the United States wait too long to get involved? Or did the United States get involved at the right time?

Too soon 27%
Waited too long 29%
Right time 33%

Among Democrats

Too soon 24%
Waited too long 15%
Right time 47%

Among Republicans

Too soon 31%
Waited too long 45%
Right time 19%

Among Independents

Too soon 24%
Waited too long 28%
Right time 35%

Did President Obama have a legal obligation to get Congressional approval before military action against Libya began?

Yes 47%
No 35%

Among Democrats

Yes 35%
No 39%

Among Republicans

Yes 62%
No 23%

Among Independents

Yes 45%
No 41%

Among Men

Yes 51%
No 35%

Among Women

Yes 43%
No 35%

Survey of 500 adults in the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Sarasota metropolitan area was conducted March 29, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 33% Republican; 31% Democrat; 34% Independent. Political ideology: 43% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 18% Liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Michigan Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Michigan GOP Primary Survey

Mitt Romney 26% {22%} [30%] (37%)
Mike Huckabee 20% {22%} [14%] (12%)
Newt Gingrich 16% {15%} [16%] (16%)
Sarah Palin 14% {18%} [17%] (24%)
Ron Paul 7% {10%} [8%] (6%)
Mitch Daniels 4% {2%}
Tim Pawlenty 3% {3%}
Someone else/Undecided 10% {7%}

Among Men

Mitt Romney 27% {22%} [29%] (31%)
Newt Gingrich 19% {18%} [17%] (24%)
Mike Huckabee 19% {16%} [16%] (8%)
Sarah Palin 13% {18%} [17%] (26%)
Ron Paul 8% {11%} [9%] (9%)
Mitch Daniels 5% {3%}
Tim Pawlenty 2% {3%}
Someone else/Undecided 8% {8%}

Among Women

Mitt Romney 24% {22%} [30%] (45%)
Mike Huckabee 22% {27%} [13%] (17%)
Newt Gingrich 14% {12%} [15%] (7%)
Sarah Palin 14% {17%} [17%] (22%)
Ron Paul 6% {8%} [7%] (3%)
Tim Pawlenty 4% {3%}
Mitch Daniels 3% {2%}
Someone else/Undecided 13% {11%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Mitt Romney 66% {66%} / 20% {18%} {+46%}
Mike Huckabee 63% {63%} / 20% {20%} {+43%}
Sarah Palin 64% {64%} / 28% {28%} {+36%}
Newt Gingrich 55% {52%} / 24% {26%} {+31%}

Among Men

Mitt Romney 67% {71%} / 23% {18%} {+44%}
Sarah Palin 67% {65%} / 27% {27%} {+40%}
Mike Huckabee 59% {65%} / 24% {24%} {+35%}
Newt Gingrich 58% {59%} / 24% {25%} {+34%}

Among Women

Mike Huckabee 67% {63%} / 17% {14%} {+50%}
Mitt Romney 65% {63%} / 16% {18%} {+49%}
Sarah Palin 60% {63%} / 29% {28%} {+31%}
Newt Gingrich 51% {44%} / 24% {25%} {+27%}

Survey of 360 Republican primary voters was conducted March 18-20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% Very conservative; 38% Somewhat conservative; 16% Moderate; 3% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 25-27, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Name Recognition/Positive Intensity Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Name Recognition/Positive Intensity Survey

Click Images to Enlarge

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Mississippi 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Mississippi 2012 Presidential Survey

Mike Huckabee 54%
Barack Obama 40%

Haley Barbour 51%
Barack Obama 41%

Mitt Romney 46%
Barack Obama 40%

Newt Gingrich 48%
Barack Obama 42%

Sarah Palin 48%
Barack Obama 44%

Among Republicans

Mike Huckabee 92%
Barack Obama 4%

Haley Barbour 89%
Barack Obama 6%

Newt Gingrich 84%
Barack Obama 9%

Mitt Romney 80%
Barack Obama 6%

Sarah Palin 85%
Barack Obama 7%

Among Democrats

Barack Obama 79%
Mitt Romney 14%

Barack Obama 80%
Haley Barbour 14%

Barack Obama 79%
Newt Gingrich 12%

Barack Obama 82%
Mike Huckabee 15%

Barack Obama 83%
Sarah Palin 13%

Among Independents

Mike Huckabee 55%
Barack Obama 31%

Newt Gingrich 47%
Barack Obama 35%

Haley Barbour 48%
Barack Obama 37%

Mitt Romney 42%
Barack Obama 33%

Sarah Palin 42%
Barack Obama 39%

Among Moderates

Barack Obama 50%
Mike Huckabee 44%

Barack Obama 47%
Mitt Romney 38%

Barack Obama 52%
Haley Barbour 38%

Barack Obama 54%
Newt Gingrich 33%

Barack Obama 55%
Sarah Palin 34%

Among Men

Mike Huckabee 61%
Barack Obama 35%

Haley Barbour 59%
Barack Obama 36%

Newt Gingrich 56%
Barack Obama 39%

Sarah Palin 56%
Barack Obama 39%

Mitt Romney 53%
Barack Obama 37%

Among Women

Mike Huckabee 48%
Barack Obama 44%

Barack Obama 46%
Haley Barbour 46%

Barack Obama 43%
Mitt Romney 41%

Barack Obama 44%
Newt Gingrich 42%

Barack Obama 47%
Sarah Palin 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Mike Huckabee 51% / 29% {+22%}
Newt Gingrich 42% / 38% {+4%}
Mitt Romney 34% / 41% {-7%}
Sarah Palin 42% / 50% {-8%}

Among Republicans

Mike Huckabee 73% / 13% {+60%}
Newt Gingrich 64% / 19% {+45%}
Sarah Palin 67% / 25% {+42%}
Mitt Romney 43% / 35% {+8%}

Among Democrats

Mike Huckabee 29% / 42% {-13%}
Mitt Romney 25% / 41% {-16%}
Newt Gingrich 19% / 52% {-33%}
Sarah Palin 15% / 76% {-61%}

Among Independents

Mike Huckabee 48% / 33% {+15%}
Sarah Palin 45% / 48% {-3%}
Newt Gingrich 42% / 46% {-4%}
Mitt Romney 35% / 52% {-17%}

Among Moderates

Mike Huckabee 41% / 30% {+11%}
Mitt Romney 36% / 31% {+5%}
Newt Gingrich 30% / 43% {-13%}
Sarah Palin 34% / 54% {-20%}

Among Men

Mike Huckabee 54% / 29% {+25%}
Newt Gingrich 51% / 36% {+15%}
Sarah Palin 47% / 47% {0%}
Mitt Romney 32% / 48% {-16%}

Among Women

Mike Huckabee 49% / 28% {+21%}
Mitt Romney 36% / 35% {+1%}
Newt Gingrich 35% / 39% {-4%}
Sarah Palin 38% / 52% {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

Approve 42%
Disapprove 54%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Haley Barbour’s job performance?

Approve 52%
Disapprove 39%

Among Republicans

Approve 83%
Disapprove 12%

Among Independents

Approve 53%
Disapprove 42%

Do you want Haley Barbour to run for President next year?

Yes 33%
No 48%

Among Republicans

Yes 54%
No 27%

Among Independents

Yes 35%
No 36%

Survey of 817 Mississippi voters was conducted March 24-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% Republican; 40% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 26% Very conservative; 24% Somewhat conservative; 11% Somewhat liberal; 11% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research Birther Survey

CNN/Opinion Research Birther Survey

Do you think Barack Obama was definitely born in the United States, probably born in the United States, probably born in another country, or definitely born in another country?

Definitely born in U.S. 46%
Probably born in the U.S. 26%
Probably born in another country 15%
Definitely born in another country 10%

Among Democrats

Definitely born in U.S. 73%
Probably born in the U.S. 16%
Probably born in another country 5%
Definitely born in another country 6%

Among Republicans

Definitely born in U.S. 20%
Probably born in the U.S. 32%
Probably born in another country 28%
Definitely born in another country 15%

Among Independents

Definitely born in U.S. 43%
Probably born in the U.S. 31%
Probably born in another country 14%
Definitely born in another country 9%

Among Liberals

Definitely born in U.S. 73%
Probably born in the U.S. 13%
Probably born in another country 4%
Definitely born in another country 8%

Among Moderates

Definitely born in U.S. 52%
Probably born in the U.S. 27%
Probably born in another country 11%
Definitely born in another country 8%

Among Conservatives

Definitely born in U.S. 27%
Probably born in the U.S. 32%
Probably born in another country 25%
Definitely born in another country 12%

Attended College

Definitely born in U.S. 50%
Probably born in the U.S. 28%
Probably born in another country 12%
Definitely born in another country 8%

No College Education

Definitely born in U.S. 40%
Probably born in the U.S. 25%
Probably born in another country 20%
Definitely born in another country 12%

Among Tea Party Supporters

Definitely born in U.S. 19%
Probably born in the U.S. 32%
Probably born in another country 28%
Definitely born in another country 16%

Oppose Tea Party

Definitely born in U.S. 76%
Probably born in the U.S. 15%
Probably born in another country 5%
Definitely born in another country 4%

Northeast

Definitely born in U.S. 55%
Probably born in the U.S. 19%
Probably born in another country 9%
Definitely born in another country 14%

Midwest

Definitely born in U.S. 47%
Probably born in the U.S. 26%
Probably born in another country 17%
Definitely born in another country 6%

South

Definitely born in U.S. 40%
Probably born in the U.S. 28%
Probably born in another country 18%
Definitely born in another country 12%

West

Definitely born in U.S. 46%
Probably born in the U.S. 30%
Probably born in another country 15%
Definitely born in another country 6%

Survey of 1,023 adult Americans was conducted March 11-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Political Survey

PPP (D) Florida Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Scott’s job performance?

Approve 32%
Disapprove 55%

Among Democrats

Approve 11%
Disapprove 81%

Among Republicans

Approve 57%
Disapprove 27%

Among Independents

Approve 31%
Disapprove 54%

Among Moderates

Approve 17%
Disapprove 72%

Among Men

Approve 39%

Disapprove 51%

Among Women

Approve 26%

Disapprove 59%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Alex Sink or Republican Rick Scott?

Alex Sink 56%
Rick Scott 37%

Among Democrats

Alex Sink 85%
Rick Scott 10%

Among Republicans

Rick Scott 73%
Alex Sink 21%

Among Independents

Alex Sink 61%
Rick Scott 29%

Among Moderates

Alex Sink 78%
Rick Scott 15%

Among Men

Alex Sink 52%
Rick Scott 41%

Among Women

Alex Sink 60%
Rick Scott 33%

In the election for Governor last year did you vote for Democrat Alex Sink or Republican Rick Scott?

Alex Sink 48%
Rick Scott 41%

Note: Rick Scott was elected by one percentage point over Alex Sink last fall.

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?

Approve 43%
Disapprove 31%

Among Democrats

Approve 17%
Disapprove 51%

Among Republicans

Approve 70%
Disapprove 10%

Among Independents

Approve 44%
Disapprove 31%

Among Moderates

Approve 21%
Disapprove 47%

Among Men

Approve 50%
Disapprove 30%

Among Women

Approve 35%
Disapprove 31%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Charlie Crist?

Favorable 46%
Unfavorable 42%

Among Democrats

Favorable 59%
Unfavorable 28%

Among Republicans

Favorable 33%
Unfavorable 57%

Among Independents

Favorable 44%
Unfavorable 44%

Among Moderates

Favorable 64%
Unfavorable 24%

Among Men

Favorable 43%
Unfavorable 45%

Among Women

Favorable 49%
Unfavorable 39%

If he seeks office again in the future do you think Charlie Crist should run as a Democrat, Republican, or independent?

Democrat 39%
Independent 36%
Republican 12%

Among Democrats

Democrat 51%
Independent 34%
Republican 8%

Among Republicans

Democrat 34%
Independent 30%
Republican 19%

Among Independents

Independent 50%
Democrat 25%
Republican 8%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 28%
Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 31%
There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 37%

Among Democrats

Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 40%
Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 25%
There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 32%

Among Republicans

Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 11%
Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 38%
There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 49%

Among Independents

Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 36%
Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 32%
There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 26%

Survey of 500 registered Florida voters was conducted March 24-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Democrat; 37% Republican; 22% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 21% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 7% Very liberal.

Tim Pawlenty on Morning Joe

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Monday, March 28, 2011

Donald Trump Goes On the Record As A Birther

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President Obama Delivers Address to Update American People on Situation in Libya

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Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Libya

Pew Research Survey on Libya

All things considered, do you think that the U.S. and its allies made the right decision or the wrong decision to conduct military air strikes in Libya?

Right decision 47%
Wrong decision 36%

Among Democrats

Right decision 49%
Wrong decision 36%

Among Republicans

Right decision 54%
Wrong decision 29%

Among Independents

Right decision 44%
Wrong decision 41%

From what you have heard and read, do you think the U.S. involvement in military action in Libya will last for some time, or will it be over pretty quickly?

Will last for some time 60%
Will be over pretty quickly 33%

Is it your impression that the U.S. is leading the military action in Libya, or is the U.S. just one of a coalition of countries that are involved?

U.S. is playing the leadership role 35%
U.S. is playing no more central of a role than others 57%

Note: Coalition aircraft have carried out 1,600 missions since March 19, with U.S. aircraft involved in 60 percent of the runs. The Pentagon reports, of the 199 cruise missiles that have been launched against Libya, 192 were from U.S. ships (96.5%); 7 from coalition (3.5%).

Do you think the U.S. and its allies have a clear goal in taking military action in Libya, or not?

Yes, have a clear goal 39%
No, do not 50%

Among Democrats

Yes, have a clear goal 48%
No, do not 43%

Among Republicans

Yes, have a clear goal 41%
No, do not 52%

Among Independents

Yes, have a clear goal 35%

No, do not 57%

In your view, should the aim of the military action by the U.S. and its allies in Libya include removing Muammar Qaddafi from power, or should they focus only on protecting Libyan civilians from violence?

Remove Qaddafi from power 46%
Focus only on protecting civilians 43%

Survey of 1,002 adults was conducted March 24-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

When you think about politics, which of the following sets of issues is most important to you?

Government spending and power 38% {35%}
Business and the economy 32% {31%}
Social issues and moral values 17% {17%}
National security and foreign policy 12% {15%}

Among those who say government spending and power are most important issues

Mike Huckabee 22% {18%}
Mitt Romney 18% {17%}
Newt Gingrich 12% {13%}
Sarah Palin 9% {11%}
Mitch Daniels 6%
Ron Paul 6%
Jon Huntsman 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Haley Barbour 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Gary Johnson 1%

Among those who say business and the economy are most important issues

Mitt Romney 15% {20%}
Mike Huckabee 15% {13%}
Sarah Palin 13% {17%}
Newt Gingrich 7% {8%}
Ron Paul 6%
Haley Barbour 5%
Mitch Daniels 5%
Michele Bachmann 5%
Gary Johnson 2%
Tim Pawlenty 2%
Rick Santorum 1%
Jon Huntsman 0%

Among those who say social issues and moral values are most important issues

Mike Huckabee 24% {28%}
Sarah Palin 14% {19%}
Mitt Romney 9% {7%}
Newt Gingrich 9% {6%}
Ron Paul 9%
Rick Santorum 4%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Mitch Daniels 3%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Jon Huntsman 2%
Haley Barbour 1%
Gary Johnson 0%

Among those who say national security and foreign policy are most important issues

Mitt Romney 17% {17%}
Sarah Palin 16% {22%}
Mike Huckabee 14% {20%}
Newt Gingrich 13% {9%}
Michele Bachmann 8%
Jon Huntsman 4%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Ron Paul 4%
Gary Johnson 3%
Mitch Daniels 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Haley Barbour 0%

Survey of 1,082 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted March 18-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Harris Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

Harris Interactive: Rudy Giuliani Only One of 11 Possible Republican Candidates Who Could Beat President Obama

Looking at the list below, assuming each person listed is the Republican nominee running against President Obama in the 2012 presidential election, who would you vote for?

Rudy Giuliani 51%
Barack Obama 49%

Barack Obama 51%
Mitt Romney 49%

Barack Obama 52%
Mike Huckabee 48%

Barack Obama 55%
Donald Trump 45%

Barack Obama 56%
Mitch Daniels 44%

Barack Obama 56%
Newt Gingrich 44%

Barack Obama 56%
Tim Pawlenty 44%

Barack Obama 57%
Rick Santorum 43%

Barack Obama 58%
Sarah Palin 42%

Barack Obama 59%
Haley Barbour 41%

Barack Obama 59%
Michele Bachmann 41%

Among Independents

Rudy Giuliani 55%
Barack Obama 45%

Mitt Romney 52%
Barack Obama 48%

Mike Huckabee 52%
Barack Obama 48%

Barack Obama 52%
Donald Trump 48%

Barack Obama 53%
Tim Pawlenty 47%

Barack Obama 54%
Mitch Daniels 46%

Barack Obama 54%
Newt Gingrich 46%

Barack Obama 54%
Rick Santorum 46%

Barack Obama 56%
Haley Barbour 44%

Barack Obama 56%
Michele Bachmann 44%

Barack Obama 57%
Sarah Palin 43%

Among Republicans

Rudy Giuliani 87%
Barack Obama 13%

Mitt Romney 85%
Barack Obama 15%

Mike Huckabee 83%
Barack Obama 17%

Newt Gingrich 81%
Barack Obama 19%

Mitch Daniels 80%
Barack Obama 20%

Tim Pawlenty 79%
Barack Obama 21%

Rick Santorum 79%
Barack Obama 21%

Sarah Palin 75%
Barack Obama 25%

Haley Barbour 74%
Barack Obama 26%

Donald Trump 73%
Barack Obama 27%

Michele Bachmann 72%
Barack Obama 28%

Among Democrats

Barack Obama 85%
Rudy Giuliani 15%

Barack Obama 86%
Mitt Romney 14%

Barack Obama 86%
Donald Trump 14%

Barack Obama 87%
Mike Huckabee 13%

Barack Obama 90%
Mitch Daniels 10%

Barack Obama 90%
Haley Barbour 10%

Barack Obama 90%
Michele Bachmann 10%

Barack Obama 90%
Sarah Palin 10%

Barack Obama 91%
Newt Gingrich 9%

Barack Obama 91%
Tim Pawlenty 9%

Barack Obama 91%
Rick Santorum 9%

If you were voting in the Republican primary election and these were the candidates, who would you vote for?

Among Republicans

Mike Huckabee 15%
Mitt Romney 13%
Sarah Palin 12%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Donald Trump 8%
Rudy Giuliani 7%
Michele Bachmann 3%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Mitch Daniels 2%
Rick Santorum 2%
Haley Barbour 0%
Not at all sure 26%

Survey of 2,379 adults was conducted online between March 7 and 14, 2011.

Sunday, March 27, 2011

Fox News Sunday: Sens. John McCain and Joe Lieberman Discuss Situations in Libya & Syria

Donald Rumsfeld: If Gadhafi Remains, American Reputation Damaged, Enemies Emboldened

Hillary Clinton and Robert Gates Discuss Military Mission in Libya

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Saturday, March 26, 2011

Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Michele Bachmann Slams Obama's Credibility at Conservative Principles Conference in Iowa

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President Obama Delivers Weekly Address: The Military Mission in Libya

Poll Watch: Reuters/Ipsos Survey on Libya

Reuters/Ipsos Survey on Libya

Do you support or oppose the U.S. and allied military action in Libya?

Support 60%
Oppose 40%

And to what extent do you agree or disagree that the U.S. and its Western allies should seek to remove Libyan leader Moammar Gaddafi?

Agree 79%
Disagree 21%

Which set of adjectives best describe President Obama’s leadership as Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces?

Strong and decisive 17%
Cautious and consultative 48%
Indecisive and dithering 36%

If the current air strikes fail to restrain Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, which of the folling actions should be taken? (MULTIPLE RESPONSES ACCEPTED)