Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

• Favorable 46% {50%} (49%) [49%]
• Unfavorable 48% {46%} (44%) [46%]

Among Democrats

• Favorable 81% {85%} (82%) [84%]
• Unfavorable 15% {13%} (11%) [13%]

Among Republicans

• Favorable 14% {9%} (11%) [10%]
• Unfavorable 83% {87%} (83%) [86%]

Among Independents

• Favorable 40% {54%} (48%) [46%]
• Unfavorable 47% {42%} (45%) [46%]

Among Liberals

• Favorable 85% {90%} (88%) [89%]
• Unfavorable 11% {9%} (6%) [7%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 59% {63%} (62%) [61%]
• Unfavorable 33% {34%} (31%) [32%]

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 19% {17%} (17%) [16%]
• Unfavorable 78% {78%} (77%) [83%]

Among Men

• Favorable 38% {48%} (44%) [44%]
• Unfavorable 56% {50%} (49%) [50%]

Among Women

• Favorable 53% {54%} (54%) [54%]
• Unfavorable 41% {42%} (40%) [42%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% {50%} (48%) [46%]
• Disapprove 51% {46%} (45%) [49%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 78% {83%} (79%) [80%]
• Disapprove 18% {14%} (12%) [15%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 14% {11%} (12%) [9%]
• Disapprove 85% {85%} (82%) [87%]

Among Independents

• Approve 42% {53%} (48%) [43%]
• Disapprove 50% {41%} (47%) [51%]

Among Liberals

• Approve 81% {91%} (81%) [81%]
• Disapprove 15% {7%} (8%) [13%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 59% {63%} (62%) [60%]
• Disapprove 35% {33%} (31%) [34%]

Among Conservatives

• Approve 18% {16%} (16%) [14%]
• Disapprove 80% {79%} (78%) [84%]

Among Men

• Approve 38% {47%} (45%) [42%]
• Disapprove 58% {50%} (49%) [53%]

Among Women

• Approve 52% {53%} (51%) [51%]
• Disapprove 44% {42%} (41%) [45%]

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 49% {44%} (46%) [47%]
• Too conservative 9% {10%} (9%) [8%]
• About right 38% {43%} (42%) [43%]

Among Democrats

• Too liberal 17% {13%} (14%) [13%]
• Too conservative 14% {14%} (11%) [10%]
• About right 66% {70%} (71%) [73%]

Among Republicans

• Too liberal 83% {83%} (84%) [84%]
• Too conservative 5% {5%} (5%) [3%]
• About right 10% {8%} (9%) [10%]

Among Independents

• Too liberal 49% {38%} (45%) [50%]
• Too conservative 9% {10%} (12%) [10%]
• About right 38% {47%} (40%) [39%]

Among Liberals

• Too liberal 11% {6%} (6%) [8%]
• Too conservative 24% {25%} (22%) [23%]
• About right 58% {63%} (68%) [67%]

Among Moderates

• Too liberal 34% {32%} (33%) [33%]
• Too conservative 11% {8%} (7%) [7%]
• About right 53% {58%} (57%) [57%]

Among Conservatives

• Too liberal 79% {76%} (78%) [82%]
• Too conservative 3% {5%} (6%) [3%]
• About right 15% {15%} (13%) [12%]

Among Men

• Too liberal 56% {48%} (49%) [52%]
• Too conservative 10% {11%} (10%) [10%]
• About right 32% {38%} (38%) [37%]

Among Women

• Too liberal 43% {40%} (43%) [42%]
• Too conservative 9% {9%} (9%) [6%]
• About right 44% {48%} (46%) [48%]

Generally speaking if there was an election today would you vote to reelect Barack Obama, or would you vote for his Republican opponent?

• Republican opponent 48%
• Barack Obama 45%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 82%
• Republican opponent 14%

Among Republicans

• Republican opponent 85%
• Barack Obama 10%

Among Independents

• Republican opponent 44%
• Barack Obama 41%

Among Men

• Republican opponent 53%
• Barack Obama 38%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52%
• Republican opponent 43%

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 election for President?

• Very excited 57%
• Somewhat excited 26%
• Not at all excited 17%

Among Democrats

• Very excited 57%
• Somewhat excited 30%
• Not at all excited 13%

Among Republicans

• Very excited 63%
• Somewhat excited 21%
• Not at all excited 16%

Among Independents

• Very excited 49%
• Somewhat excited 27%
• Not at all excited 24%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Harry Reid is doing?

• Approve 22%
• Disapprove 47%

Among Democrats

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 24%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mitch McConnell is doing?

• Approve 20%
• Disapprove 34%

Among Republicans

• Approve 29%
• Disapprove 29%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democratic Party?

• Favorable 43%
• Unfavorable 50%

Among Men

• Favorable 35%
• Unfavorable 57%

Among Women

• Favorable 50%
• Unfavorable 43%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party?

• Favorable 39%
• Unfavorable 48%

Among Men

• Favorable 46%
• Unfavorable 42%

Among Women

• Favorable 33%
• Unfavorable 54%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 18% {16%} (18%) [15%]
• No 71% {74%} (70%) [73%]

If passed into law one version of immigration reform that people have discussed would secure the border and crack down on employers who hire illegal immigrants. It would also require illegal immigrants to register for legal immigration status, pay back taxes, and learn English in order to be eligible for U.S. citizenship. Do you favor or oppose Congress passing this version of immigration reform?

• Favor 69%
• Oppose 17%

Among Democrats

• Favor 57%
• Oppose 25%

Among Republicans

• Favor 78%
• Oppose 12%

Among Independents

• Favor 74%
• Oppose 12%

Later this month the federal government will shut down if President Obama and Republicans in Congress cannot agree on a budget. Would you consider a shutdown of the federal government to be a good thing or a bad thing for the country?

• Good thing 30%
• Bad thing 57%

Among Democrats

• Good thing 14%
• Bad thing 74%

Among Republicans

• Good thing 44%
• Bad thing 42%

Among Independents

• Good thing 35%
• Bad thing 54%

Among Men

• Good thing 39%
• Bad thing 51%

Among Women

• Good thing 23%
• Bad thing 62%

If the government does shut down, who would you give more credit to: President Obama, the Republicans in Congress, or both equally?

• Would give the Republicans in Congress the most credit 38%
• Would give President Obama the most credit 31%
• Would give both sides equal credit 24%

Among Democrats

• Would give President Obama the most credit 35%
• Would give the Republicans in Congress the most credit 32%
• Would give both sides equal credit 19%

Among Republicans

• Would give the Republicans in Congress the most credit 46%
• Would give President Obama the most credit 28%
• Would give both sides equal credit 20%

Among Independents

• Would give President Obama the most credit 35%
• Would give the Republicans in Congress the most credit 29%
• Would give both sides equal credit 33%

If the government does shut down, who would you blame more: President Obama, the Republicans in Congress, or both equally?

• Would blame the Republicans in Congress the most 53%
• Would blame President Obama the most 22%
• Would blame both equally 25%

Among Democrats

• Would blame the Republicans in Congress the most 76%
• Would blame President Obama the most 4%
• Would blame both equally 20%

Among Republicans

• Would blame President Obama the most 55%
• Would blame the Republicans in Congress the most 20%
• Would blame both equally 24%

Among Independents

• Would blame the Republicans in Congress the most 44%
• Would blame President Obama the most 19%
• Would blame both equally 37%

If the government does shut down, who would you hold more responsible: President Obama, the Republicans in Congress, or both equally?

• Would hold President Obama most responsible 38%
• Would hold the Republicans in Congress most responsible 28%
• Would hold both equally responsible 24%

Among Democrats

• Would hold the Republicans in Congress most responsible 58%
• Would hold President Obama most responsible 16%
• Would hold both equally responsible 26%

Among Republicans

• Would hold President Obama most responsible 63%
• Would hold the Republicans in Congress most responsible 4%
• Would hold both equally responsible 22%

Among Independents

• Would hold President Obama most responsible 33%
• Would hold the Republicans in Congress most responsible 23%
• Would hold both equally responsible 24%

Among Men

• Would hold President Obama most responsible 46%
• Would hold the Republicans in Congress most responsible 19%
• Would hold both equally responsible 27%

Among Women

• Would hold the Republicans in Congress most responsible 35%
• Would hold President Obama most responsible 33%
• Would hold both equally responsible 22%

Survey of 1,003 registered voters was conducted March 10-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 38% {37%} (41%) [37%] Democrat; 37% {33%} (35%) [31%] Republican; 26% {29%} (24%) [31%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 46% {46%} (46%) [50%] Moderate; 41% {37%} (38%) [35%] Conservative; 13% {17%} (16%) [14%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll February 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.