Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mike Huckabee 49% (49%)
• Barack Obama 43% (42%)

• Mitt Romney 44% (47%)
• Barack Obama 43% (41%)

• Barack Obama 44% (44%)
• Newt Gingrich 44% (45%)

• Barack Obama 48% (46%)
• Sarah Palin 43% (43%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 50% of the vote in Missouri. In 2004, George W. Bush received 53% of the vote in MO.

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 49% (49%)
• Barack Obama 35% (37%)

• Mitt Romney 45% (47%)
• Barack Obama 33% (35%)

• Newt Gingrich 41% (43%)
• Barack Obama 39% (41%)

• Barack Obama 43% (45%)
• Sarah Palin 40% (40%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 51% of the Independent vote in Missouri (26% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the Independent vote in MO (29% of the electorate).

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 62% (59%)
• Mike Huckabee 28% (29%)

• Barack Obama 61% (55%)
• Mitt Romney 25% (28%)

• Barack Obama 65% (63%)
• Newt Gingrich 24% (24%)

• Barack Obama 70% (67%)
• Sarah Palin 22% (25%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 38% of the Moderate vote in Missouri (45% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 46% of the Moderate vote in MO (45% of the electorate).

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 51% (54%)
• Barack Obama 41% (38%)

• Mitt Romney 47% (52%)
• Barack Obama 40% (36%)

• Newt Gingrich 47% (50%)
• Barack Obama 42% (40%)

• Barack Obama 45% (43%)
• Sarah Palin 44% (48%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 50% of the Male vote in Missouri (46% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the Male vote in MO (47% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 48% (46%)
• Barack Obama 45% (45%)

• Barack Obama 45% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (42%)

• Barack Obama 46% (47%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% (41%)

• Barack Obama 50% (48%)
• Sarah Palin 42% (39%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Female vote in Missouri (54% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 54% of the Female vote in MO (53% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 45% (51%) / 35% (29%) {+10%}
• Mitt Romney 32% (30%) / 44% (42%) {-12%}
• Newt Gingrich 31% (33%) / 50% (48%) {-19%}
• Sarah Palin 37% (39%) / 56% (53%) {-19%}

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 72% (79%) / 14% (11%) {+58%}
• Sarah Palin 67% (69%) / 23% (22%) {+44%}
• Newt Gingrich 55% (60%) / 26% (25%) {+29%}
• Mitt Romney 46% (49%) / 29% (24%) {+17%}

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 54% (46%) / 30% (27%) {+24%}
• Mitt Romney 35% (26%) / 41% (39%) {-6%}
• Sarah Palin 34% (35%) / 59% (55%) {-25%}
• Newt Gingrich 28% (27%) / 55% (53%) {-27%}

Among Moderates

• Mike Huckabee 31% (39%) / 44% (36%) {-13%}
• Mitt Romney 29% (20%) / 47% (48%) {-18%}
• Newt Gingrich 19% (17%) / 64% (64%) {-45%}
• Sarah Palin 19% (23%) / 76% (71%) {-57%}

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 46% (55%) / 38% (31%) {+8%}
• Mitt Romney 32% (34%) / 49% (42%) {-17%}
• Sarah Palin 36% (44%) / 56% (50%) {-20%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% (36%) / 54% (51%) {-22%}

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 44% (48%) / 33% (27%) {+11%}
• Mitt Romney 31% (27%) / 39% (42%) {-8%}
• Newt Gingrich 31% (31%) / 47% (46%) {-16%}
• Sarah Palin 38% (36%) / 56% (55%) {-18%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 43% (43%)
• Disapprove 52% (52%)

Among Independents

• Approve 38% (39%)
• Disapprove 53% (52%)

Among Men

• Approve 41% (39%)
• Disapprove 56% (57%)

Among Women

• Approve 45% (46%)
• Disapprove 49% (48%)

Survey of 612 Missouri voters was conducted March 3-6, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 38% (36%) Democrat; 37% (39%) Republican; 25% (26%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 27% Somewhat conservative; 22% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.