Monday, July 15, 2024

Fox News 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Fox News 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Registered Voters

  • Donald Trump 49% {48%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [48%] (41%)
  • Joe Biden 48% {50%} [48%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [46%] (44%)
Men
  • Donald Trump 53% {56%} [49%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [49%] (44%)
  • Joe Biden 44% {41%} [48%] (42%) {42%} [47%] (41%) {48%} [46%] (42%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 51% {58%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [46%] (50%) {50%} [45%] (45%)
  • Donald Trump 45% {41%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [50%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (39%)
  • Donald Trump 44% {42%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
  • Joe Biden 41% {43%} [40%] (38%) {38%} [37%] (35%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 10% {10%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [14%] (15%)
  • Jill Stein 3% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Cornel West 1% {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (3%)

Survey of 1,210 registered voters was conducted July 7-10, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 14-17, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2023 are in parentheses.

Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Redfield Wilton/The Telegraph 2024 Swing States Poll

Arizona

  • Donald Trump 43% {40%} [44%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (42%)
  • Joe Biden 39% {38%} [42%] (41%) {35%} [33%] (37%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7% {6%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [10%] (8%)
  • Jill Stein 1% {1%}
  • Chase Oliver 0% {0%}

Florida

  • Donald Trump 45% {43%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
  • Joe Biden 41% {37%} [38%] (39%) {34%} [34%] (37%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 5% {7%} [6%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
  • Chase Oliver 0% {1%}
  • Jill Stein 0% {1%}
Georgia
  • Donald Trump 46% {44%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
  • Joe Biden 40% {39%} [38%] (41%) {34%} [35%] (38%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {6%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (8%)
  • Jill Stein 1% {0%}
  • Chase Oliver 0% {0%}
Michigan
  • Joe Biden 43% {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} [38%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump 42% {37%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [39%] (40%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {8%} [7%] (6%) {9%} [9%] (7%)
  • Chase Oliver 1% {1%}
  • Jill Stein 0% {1%}
North Carolina
  • Donald Trump 44% {43%} [44%] (43%) {37%} [44%] (41%)
  • Joe Biden 42% {40%} [37%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (38%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% {7%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
  • Jill Stein 1% {1%}
  • Chase Oliver 0% {0%}
Pennsylvania
  • Donald Trump 45% {44%} [43%] (44%) {40%} [44%] (39%)
  • Joe Biden 40% {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [37%] (39%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% {5%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [7%] (9%)
  • Jill Stein 1% {1%}
  • Chase Oliver 0% {0%}
Survey of eligible voters: 506 (Arizona), 574 (Florida), 534 (Georgia), 560 (Michigan), 536 (North Carolina), and 891 (Pennsylvania) was conducted July 8-10, 2024. Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 14-17, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 28-30, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27-29, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2023 are in parentheses.

Friday, July 12, 2024

NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

NPR/PBS News/Marist 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Registered Voters

  • Joe Biden 50% (49%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump 48% (49%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (46%)
  • Donald Trump 43% (42%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {41%}
  • Joe Biden 42% (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {43%}
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 8% (11%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {11%}
  • Cornel West 3% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%}
  • Jill Stein 2% (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
  • Chase Oliver <1% (1%)
  • Kamala Harris 50%
  • Donald Trump 49%
  • Gavin Newsom 50%
  • Donald Trump 48%
  • Gretchen Whitmer 49%
  • Donald Trump 49%

Survey of 1,174 registered voters was conducted July 9-10, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 10-12, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-18, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2023 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2023 are in parentheses.

Saturday, July 06, 2024

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Morning Consult/Bloomberg News 2024 Swing States Tracking Poll

Arizona

  • Donald Trump 48% (49%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%}
  • Joe Biden 45% (44%) {42%} [43%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (42%) {43%}

Georgia

  • Donald Trump 47% (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
  • Joe Biden 46% (44%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {43%}
Michigan
  • Joe Biden 48% (46%) {47%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {44%}
  • Donald Trump 43% (45%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (43%) {44%}
Nevada
  • Donald Trump 48% (47%) {51%} [46%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {43%}
  • Joe Biden 45% (47%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {40%} [44%] (43%) {46%}
North Carolina
  • Donald Trump 46% (49%) {51%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%}
  • Joe Biden 43% (42%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {43%}
Pennsylvania
  • Donald Trump 51% (48%) {47%} [45%] (49%) {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%}
  • Joe Biden 44% (46%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%}

Wisconsin

  • Joe Biden 47% (46%) {44%} [46%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (46%) {44%}
  • Donald Trump 44% (47%) {48%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (47%) {46%}
Survey of 4,902 registered voters (781 in Arizona, 790 in Georgia, 694 in Michigan, 452 in Nevada, 696 in North Carolina, 794 in Pennsylvania, and 695 in Wisconsin) was conducted July 1-5, 2024. The overall margin of error is +/- 1 percentage point (+/-4% in AZ, +/-3% in GA, +/-4% in MI, +/-5% in NV, +/-4% in NC, +/-3% in PA, +/-4% in WI). Results from the poll conducted May 7-13, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 8-15, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8-15, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-20, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 16-22, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 6, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 7, 2023 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2023 are in curly brackets. 

Friday, July 05, 2024

Cygnal 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Cygnal 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

  • Donald Trump 48.2% (46.5%) {45.8%} [46.9%] (47.0%)
  • Joe Biden 43.1% (44.5%) {45.0%} [45.3%] (45.8%)
Democrat
  • Joe Biden 91% (89%) {91%} [91%] (89%)
  • Donald Trump 4% (6%) {3%} [5%] {6%)
Republican
  • Donald Trump 94% (92%) {93%} [93%] (92%)
  • Joe Biden 4% (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Independent
  • Donald Trump 45% (39%) {39%} [41%] (43%)
  • Joe Biden 38% (43%) {39%} [38%] (41%)

White

  • Donald Trump 54% (51%) {51%} [52%] (53%)
  • Joe Biden 38% (41%) {42%} [41%] (41%)
Black
  • Joe Biden 64% (67%) {70%} [70%] (67%)
  • Donald Trump 24% (23%) {17%} [22%] (21%)
Hispanic
  • Joe Biden 46% (44%) {44%} [52%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump 43% (45%) {44%} [44%] (43%)

Likely Voters

  • Donald Trump 43.5% (41.2%) {40.8%} [41.5%] (40.8%)
  • Joe Biden 38.1% (38.4%) {37.7%} [39.4%] (39.1%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 7.1% (8.4%) {8.8%} [8.6%] (13.0%)
  • Cornel West 2.1% (2.3%) {2.3%} [1.8%]
  • Jill Stein 2.0% (1.8%) {2.4%} [1.1%]
Democrat
  • Joe Biden 86% (81%) {81%} [82%] (80%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 3% (6%) {5%} [6%] (11%)
  • Jill Stein 3% (3%) {2%} [2%]
  • Donald Trump 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
  • Cornel West 1% (3%) {2%} [2%]
Republican
  • Donald Trump 90% (88%) {88%} [87%] (85%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 4% (4%) {5%} [7%] (7%)
  • Joe Biden 2% (3%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
  • Jill Stein 1% (0%) {1%} [0%]
  • Cornel West 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]
Independent
  • Donald Trump 37% (31%) {28%} [31%] (32%)
  • Joe Biden 28% (33%) {26%} [29%] (30%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 14% (16%) {23%} [18%] (26%)
  • Cornel West 6% (4%) {5%} [5%]
  • Jill Stein 3% (2%) {5%} [2%]

White

  • Donald Trump 51% (47%) {45%} [46%] (47%)
  • Joe Biden 35% (36%) {37%} [37%] (36%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 6% (7%) {8%} [8%] (12%)
  • Cornel West 2% (2%) {2%} [1%]
  • Jill Stein 1% (1%) {2%} [1%]
Black
  • Joe Biden 57% (60%) {58%} [58%] (58%)
  • Donald Trump 17% (15%) {14%} [18%] (15%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 10% (11%) {11%} [10%] (15%)
  • Cornel West 6% (1%) {4%} [5%]
  • Jill Stein 3% (4%) {1%} [1%]
Hispanic
  • Joe Biden 41% (33%) {30%} [41%] (44%)
  • Donald Trump 36% (37%) {35%} [37%] (35%)
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 13% (13%) {19%} [10%] (13%)
  • Jill Stein 3% (2%) {4%} [0%]
  • Cornel West 1% (8%) {2%} [3%]
Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted July 1-2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.53 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 4-6, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-8, 2024 are in parentheses.

Thursday, July 04, 2024

New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

 New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

  • Donald Trump 49% [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (43%)
  • Joe Biden 43% [44%] (46%) {44%} [47%] (43%)

Democrat

  • Joe Biden 91% [94%] (90%) {90%} [91%] (83%)
  • Donald Trump 5% [3%] (8%) {7%} [5%] (7%)
Republican
  • Donald Trump 95% [94%] (91%) {91%} [90%] (88%)
  • Joe Biden 3% [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (5%)
Independent
  • Donald Trump 45% [47%] (47%) {41%} [38%] (37%)
  • Joe Biden 42% [40%] (44%) {45%} [50%] (42%)
Men
  • Donald Trump 57% [52%] (57%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
  • Joe Biden 34% [40%] (37%) {42%} [42%] (36%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 51% [48%] (54%) {46%} [51%] (49%)
  • Donald Trump 43% [43%] (38%) {47%} [42%] (37%)

White with B.A.+

  • Joe Biden 54% [51%] (55%) {56%} [60%] (51%)
  • Donald Trump 40% [44%] (39%) {40%} [35%] (36%)

White without B.A.

  • Donald Trump 67% [62%] (63%) {61%} [65%] (59%)
  • Joe Biden 28% [30%] (31%) {30%} [29%] (30%)
Black
  • Joe Biden 79% [65%] (76%) {71%} [82%] (71%)
  • Donald Trump 14% [26%] (16%) {20%} [13%] (12%)
Hispanic
  • Joe Biden 47% [52%] (52%) {43%} [47%] (41%)
  • Donald Trump 46% [38%] (39%) {45%} [35%] (38%)
Age 18-29
  • Joe Biden 48% [54%] (47%) {54%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump 45% [35%] (45%) {41%} [44%] (37%)
Age 30-44
  • Donald Trump 49% [45%] (44%) {48%} [42%] (42%)
  • Joe Biden 43% [47%] (46%) {43%} [53%] (39%)
Age 45-64
  • Donald Trump 55% [56%] (52%) {55%} [51%] (48%)
  • Joe Biden 37% [37%] (44%) {37%} [39%] (39%)
Age 65+
  • Joe Biden 48% [48%] (52%) {51%} [52%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump 45% [45%] (43%) {42%} [41%] (43%)
Survey of 1,532 likely voters was conducted June 28 - July 2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-27, 2023 are in parentheses.