New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

 New York Times/Siena College 2024 Presidential Election Poll

Likely Voters

• Donald Trump 49% [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (43%)
• Joe Biden 43% [44%] (46%) {44%} [47%] (43%)

Democrat

• Joe Biden 91% [94%] (90%) {90%} [91%] (83%)
  
• Donald Trump 5% [3%] (8%) {7%} [5%] (7%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 95% [94%] (91%) {91%} [90%] (88%)
  
• Joe Biden 3% [4%] (5%) {6%} [6%] (5%)
  

Independent

• Donald Trump 45% [47%] (47%) {41%} [38%] (37%)
• Joe Biden 42% [40%] (44%) {45%} [50%] (42%)

Men

• Donald Trump 57% [52%] (57%) {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Joe Biden 34% [40%] (37%) {42%} [42%] (36%)

Women

• Joe Biden 51% [48%] (54%) {46%} [51%] (49%)
• Donald Trump 43% [43%] (38%) {47%} [42%] (37%)

White with B.A.+

• Joe Biden 54% [51%] (55%) {56%} [60%] (51%)
• Donald Trump 40% [44%] (39%) {40%} [35%] (36%)

White without B.A.

• Donald Trump 67% [62%] (63%) {61%} [65%] (59%)
• Joe Biden 28% [30%] (31%) {30%} [29%] (30%)

Black

• Joe Biden 79% [65%] (76%) {71%} [82%] (71%)
  
• Donald Trump 14% [26%] (16%) {20%} [13%] (12%)

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 47% [52%] (52%) {43%} [47%] (41%)
  
• Donald Trump 46% [38%] (39%) {45%} [35%] (38%)

Age 18-29

• Joe Biden 48% [54%] (47%) {54%} [47%] (47%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% [35%] (45%) {41%} [44%] (37%)

Age 30-44

• Donald Trump 49% [45%] (44%) {48%} [42%] (42%)
  
• Joe Biden 43% [47%] (46%) {43%} [53%] (39%)

Age 45-64

• Donald Trump 55% [56%] (52%) {55%} [51%] (48%)
  
• Joe Biden 37% [37%] (44%) {37%} [39%] (39%)

Age 65+

• Joe Biden 48% [48%] (52%) {51%} [52%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 45% [45%] (43%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Survey of 1,532 likely voters was conducted June 28 - July 2, 2024. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-25, 2024 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2024 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 25-28, 2024 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2023 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-27, 2023 are in parentheses.