Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Monmouth University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 23% (24%) {19%} [28%] (27%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% (18%) {13%} [9%] (16%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 16% (17%) {22%} [8%] (9%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (15%) {18%} [19%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 10% (8%) {5%} [3%] (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 4% (4%) {3%} [3%]
  • Andrew Yang 3% (3%) {3%} [2%] (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (2%) {2%} [1%] (0%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (1%)
  • No one (vol.) 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Other (vol.) 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 5% (5%) {8%} [10%] (12%)
Very Liberal
  • Bernie Sanders 41% (29%) {22%} [19%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 23% (25%) {35%} [37%]
  • Pete Buttigieg 11% (14%) {15%} [5%]
  • Joe Biden 10% (11%) {12%} [7%]
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% (5%) {0%} [2%]
Somewhat Liberal
  • Bernie Sanders 26% (20%) {19%} [8%]
  • Pete Buttigieg 19% (22%) {23%} [10%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 18% (16%) {20%} [20%]
  • Joe Biden 16% (16%) {10%} [31%]
  • Amy Klobuchar 10% (5%) {7%} [2%]
Moderate/Conservative
  • Joe Biden 33% (35%) {26%} [36%] (35%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17% (15%) {26%} [8%] (5%)
  • Bernie Sanders 11% (13%) {7%} [5%] (20%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 13% (11%) {7%} [4%] (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% (9%) {10%} [9%] (3%)
Men
  • Bernie Sanders 22% (21%) {19%} [12%] (24%)
  • Joe Biden 20% (22%) {13%} [27%] (15%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (11%) {16%} [16%] (5%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 14% (21%) {20%} [8%] (13%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 10% (6%) {2%} [2%] (3%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 25% (26%) {22%} [29%] (37%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% (15%) {8%} [6%] (11%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17% (14%) {24%} [8%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (17%) {20%} [20%] (9%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11% (9%) {7%} [4%] (5%)
Age 18-49
  • Bernie Sanders 41% (26%) {19%} [18%] (18%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 23% (22%) {24%} [20%] (10%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 11% (18%) {19%} [10%] (12%)
  • Joe Biden 10% (13%) {12%} [19%] (16%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% (4%) {1%} [1%] (3%)
Age 50-64
  • Joe Biden 31% (22%) {17%} [35%] (23%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 16% (10%) {12%} [2%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% (12%) {17%} [18%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 13% (20%) {24%}[6%] (7%)
  • Bernie Sanders 12% (16%) {8%} [5%] (20%)
Age 65+
  • Joe Biden 37% (44%) {29%} [33%] (44%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 20% (11%) {26%} [6%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11% (13%) {5%} [7%] (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% (6%) {12%} [17%] (5%)
  • Bernie Sanders 9% (8%) {9%} [1%] (13%)
College Degree
  • Elizabeth Warren 22% (16%) {21%} [26%] (9%)
  • Joe Biden 20% (21%) {15%} [23%] (20%)
  • Bernie Sanders 19% (15%) {7%} [5%] (13%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 13% (17%) {24%} [10%] (12%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 13% (9%) {7%} [3%] (4%)
No College Degree
  • Joe Biden 25% (27%) {21%} [32%] (34%)
  • Bernie Sanders 23% (19%) {18%} [12%] (19%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 19% (17%) {21%} [6%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% (13%) {16%} [13%] (5%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 8% (8%) {3%} [4%] (5%)
First and Second Choices Combined
  • Joe Biden 39% (34%) {29%} [40%] (39%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 34% (38%) {35%} [38%] (17%)
  • Bernie Sanders 32% (32%) {25%} [17%] (24%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 29% (32%) {37%} [17%] (15%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 22% (18%) {14%} [5%] (7%)
  • Tom Steyer 10% (8%) {6%} [6%]
  • Andrew Yang 7% (7%) {4%} [4%] (1%)
If the only viable candidates in your caucus site were the following four people who would you caucus for?
  • Joe Biden 29% (28%)
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (24%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 20% (25%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 19% (16%)
Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)
  • Elizabeth Warren 71% (73%) {69%} [76%] (67%) / 21% (19%) {23%} [14%] (20%) (+50)
  • Pete Buttigieg 68% (71%) {73%} [68%] (45%) / 19% (17%) {10%} [11%] (9%) (+49)
  • Joe Biden 68% (66%) {65%} [73%] (78%) / 22% (28%) {26%} [19%] (14%) (+46)
  • Amy Klobuchar 63% (63%) {54%} [50%] (51%) / 18% (16%) {18%} [17%] (10%) (+45)
  • Andrew Yang 60% (57%) {39%} (15%) / 17% (20%) {24%} (9%) (+43)
  • Bernie Sanders 61% (70%) {61%} [58%] (67%) / 32% (22%) {29%} [33%] (26%) (+29)
  • Tom Steyer 50% (46%) {33%} [34%] / 28% (32%) {29%} [25%] (+22)
Survey of 544 Iowa voters who are likely to attend the Democratic presidential caucuses was conducted January 23-27, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 7-11, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2019 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 26% (25%) {30%} [29%] (24%) {21%} [27%] (26%) {25%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [22%] (30%) {35%} [38%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% (19%) {16%} [17%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (16%) {16%} [15%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (19%) {16%} [11%] (19%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (16%) {17%} [15%] (14%) {28%} [30%] (29%) {27%} [19%] (21%) {15%} [14%] (15%) {13%} [12%] (4%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 8% (6%) {7%} [5%] (3%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% (8%) {9%} [9%] (16%) {10%} [8%] (4%) {7%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (8%) {5%} [10%] (4%)
  • Andrew Yang 3% (5%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%)
  • Tom Steyer 2% (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 26% (24%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [31%] (24%) {23%} [32%] (33%) {35%} [22%] (30%) {36%} [36%] (32%)
  • Bernie Sanders 26% (24%) {20%} [20%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {14%} [19%] (25%) {16%} [15%] (22%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (12%) {17%} [12%] (12%) {22%} [24%] (27%) {27%} [18%] (16%) {15%} [13%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% (9%) {6%} [10%] (17%) {11%} [5%] (5%) {9%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (10%) {4%} [11%] (5%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 7% (5%) {7%} [6%] (3%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6% (2%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 25% (26%) {33%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [25%] (27%) {26%} [32%] (31%) {34%} [22%] (29%) {34%} [39%] (28%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 18% (18%) {17%} [17%] (16%) {31%} [33%] (31%) {26%} [20%] (24%) {15%} [15%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (4%)
  • Bernie Sanders 17% (15%) {14%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (12%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (15%) {16%} [8%] (17%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 8% (7%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 5% (8%) {11%} [9%] (16%) {10%} [9%] (4%) {6%} [3%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (7%) {6%} [10%] (4%)
Among Whites
  • Joe Biden 21% (22%) {22%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {23%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [21%] (27%) {32%} [35%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18% (15%) {20%} [18%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% (19%) {19%} [17%] (18%) {33%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [23%] (27%) {18%} [20%] (18%) {16%} [13%] (7%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 10% (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 9% (11%) {13%} [14%] (23%) {13%} [11%] (6%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [6%] (12%) {7%} [14%] (6%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 9% (6%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
Among Blacks
  • Joe Biden 49% (33%) {52%} [51%] (43%) {43%} [50%] (36%) {40%} [46%] (47%) {53%} [31%] (44%)
  • Bernie Sanders 17% (24%) {6%} [13%] (11%) {12%} [5%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (16%) {8%} [16%] (17%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 7% (8%) {7%} [4%] (0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% (8%) {14%} [12%] (6%) {20%} [18%] (20%) {19%} [10%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% (0%) {0%} [2%] (1%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 0% (2%) {2%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Paying a lot of attention to the election campaign for president: 55% of all voters (53%) {56%} [53%] (52%) {56%} [64%] (60%) {55%} [50%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (45%) {44%}
  • Joe Biden 28% (29%) {32%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [32%] (32%) {36%} [21%] (32%) {42%}
  • Bernie Sanders 17% (18%) {16%} [13%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (11%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {8%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% (18%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {33%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [25%] (25%) {17%} [19%] (17%) {15%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 9% (4%) {5%} [5%] (2%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 9% (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% (10%) {12%} [13%] (20%) {13%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [5%] (10%) {9%}
  • Andrew Yang 2% (4%) {2%} [4%] (3%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%}
  • Tom Steyer 1% (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
  • Deval Patrick 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 827 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted January 22-27, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-26, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses.

Monday, January 27, 2020

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 25.4% [17.6%] (24.0%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18.6% [9.0%] (9.0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17.6% [13.2%] (6.2%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13.2% [16.8%] (13.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5.6% [2.6%] (2.0%)
  • Andrew Yang 3.0% [1.2%] (0.6%)
  • Tom Steyer 2.2% [3.0%]
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0.8% [2.6%] (1.4%)
  • Deval Patrick 0.2%
  • Michael Bennet 0.0% [0.0%] (0.6%)
  • John Delaney 0.0% [0.2%] (0.6%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 27% [18%] (25%)
  • Bernie Sanders 20% [11%] (11%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 18% [15%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% [13%] (11%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 24% [17%] (23%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18% [8%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17% [12%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% [20%] (14%)
Survey of 500 likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers was conducted January 23-26, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 26% {30%} [31%] (32%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {32%} [35%] (31%)
  • Bernie Sanders 23% {20%} [19%] (17%) {18%} [10%] (15%) {13%} [17%] (23%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% {13%} [21%] (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 10% {5%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% {7%} [7%] (4%) {5%} [3%] (5%) {8%} [6%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 5% {3%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 3% {5%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 1% {*}
  • Michael Bennet * {1%} [*] (1%) {1%} [*] (*) {*}( [*] (*)
  • John Delaney * {*} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard * {3%} [2%] (1%) {*} [1%] (*) {1%} [1%] (*)
  • Other (vol.) 0% {*} [*] (*) {0%} [1%] (0%) {*} [*] (1%)
  • None of the above (vol.) 1% {2%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (*) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know (vol.) 5% {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%] (11%)
Under Age 45
  • Bernie Sanders 39% {30%} [31%] (27%) {29%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [25%] (37%)
  • Joe Biden 18% {18%} [24%] (22%) {20%} [20%] (18%) {21%} [22%] (19%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% {12%} [15%] (18%) {15%} [23%] (11%) {6%} [9%] (4%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 7% {4%}
Age 45+
  • Joe Biden 32% {40%} [37%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% {14%} [26%] (25%) {17%} [18%] (12%) {11%} [9%] (3%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 12% {5%}
  • Bernie Sanders 12% {10%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (11%)
White, College Degree
  • Joe Biden 23% {24%} [25%] (31%) {28%} [29%] (28%) {29%} [27%]
  • Bernie Sanders 19% {15%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [6%] (10%) {10%} [13%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% {20%} [32%] (30%) {20%} [33%] (16%) {9%} [14%]
  • Mike Bloomberg 13% {7%}
White, No College Degree
  • Joe Biden 25% {30%} [35%] (31%) {24%} [34%] (36%) {31%} [40%]
  • Bernie Sanders 24% {21%} [21%] (20%) {16%} [8%] (18%) {17%} [23%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% {13%} [17%] (22%) {19%} [15%] (12%) {11%} [7%]
  • Mike Bloomberg 6% {2%}
Survey of Democratic primary voters was conducted January 19-22, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 8-11, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 6-8, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 11-14, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (21%) {19%} [30%] (26%
  • Joe Biden 16% (15%) {24%} [18%] (22%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 15% (10%) {10%} [15%] (1%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (18%) {19%} [5%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6% (5%) {0%} [2%] (4%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 5% (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 5% (5%) {1%} [2%]
  • Tom Steyer 2% (3%) {0%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 1%
  • John Delaney 1% (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%) {1%}
  • Deval Patrick 0%
  • Undecided 10% (10%) {9%} [12%] (14%)
Survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 15-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-27, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 8-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-26, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 26% {23%} [22%] (21%) {26%} [19%] (22%)
  • Joe Biden 25% {23%} [22%] (22%) {29%} [24%] (30%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 22% {23%} [21%] (14%) {7%} [7%] (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% {16%} [18%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (12%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% {7%} [5%] (2%) {2%} [4%] (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%]
  • Andrew Yang 1% {2%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • John Delaney 1% [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (2%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% {1%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% {0%}
Survey of 1,401 Iowa registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted January 16-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 27, 2019 - January 3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 6-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3-11, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

New York Times/Siena College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (19%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 18% (18%)
  • Joe Biden 17% (17%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (22%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 8% (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% (2%)
  • Andrew Yang 3% (3%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (2%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 0%
Survey of 584 likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers was conducted January 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 29.8% (21.8%) {12.6%} [24.1%] (14.8%)
  • Joe Biden 20.9% (23.4%) {22.7%} [25.3%] (29.2%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 12.4% (10.2%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (3.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10.7% (12.3%) {22.7%} [8.5%] (10.6%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 10.4% (17.8%) {16.1%} [11.4%] (0.0%)
  • Tom Steyer 5.1% (3.4%) {2.5%}
  • Andrew Yang 4.9% (1.8%) {4.7%} [0.0%] (0.0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 4.4% (1.8%) {2.2%} [0.9%] (0.0%)
  • John Delaney 0.7% (0.0%) {0.0%}
  • Michael Bennet 0.0% (0.0%) {0.9%}
  • Deval Patrick 0.0% (0.0%)
  • Someone else 0.7% (2.4%) {4.4%} [4.3%] (7.7%)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 31.6% (23.6%) {14.2%} [24.1%] (18.3%)
  • Joe Biden 22.1% (25.5%) {17.9%} [30.4%] (25.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 14.1% (8.9%) {1.6%} [2.3%] (3.6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5.0% (13.9%) {19.1%} [4.3%] (10.2%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7.4% (11.1%) {20.0%} [16.7%] (0.0%)
Among Women
  • Bernie Sanders 28.4% (20.3%) {11.3%} [24.1%] (12.6%)
  • Joe Biden 19.9% (21.8%) {26.5%} [21.0%] (32.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15.1% (11.0%) {25.2%} [12.0%] (10.9%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 12.6% (22.9%) {13.2%} [6.9%] (0.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11.3% (11.0%) {0.9%} [1.3%] (2.5%)
Survey of 450 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted January 23-26, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-24, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019 are in parentheses. 

Friday, January 24, 2020

Poll Watch: Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 30.0% [32.2%] (27.4%) {27.4%} [25.0%] (31.3%) {32.9%} [29.7%] (33.9%) {32.6%} [23.9%] (25.9%) {27.4%}
  • Bernie Sanders 27.4% [24.8%] (26.5%) {24.4%} [21.7%] (24.2%) {20.2%} [15.4%] (27.1%) {24.9%} [28.9%] (26.3%) {17.2%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 12.7% [12.4%] (19.4%) {21.2%} [22.9%] (15.2%) {14.0%} [14.6%] (14.2%) {9.7%} [6.7%] (8.4%) {9.3%}
  • Andrew Yang 7.6% [6.3%] (4.1%) {4.4%} [8.1%] (4.5%) {1.9%} [3.1%] (0.7%) {1.1%} [2.8%] (1.4%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 7.4% [2.9%] (0.9%) {2.2%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 5.4% [7.8%] (7.5%) {6.5%} [6.4%] (3.2%) {6.3%} [5.2%] (6.3%) {7.5%} [9.0%] (2.9%) {0.0%}
  • Amy Klobuchar 3.6% [2.1%] (1.5%) {0.9%} [0.4%] (0.8%) {0.2%} [0.8%] (0.7%) {0.6%} [1.1%] (0.8%) {4.6%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1.2% [3.8%] (2.4%) {2.8%} [0.9%] (2.9%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (0.2%) {1.0%} [0.8%] (1.0%) {1.9%}
  • Tom Steyer 1.2% [1.7%] (1.7%) {0.5%} [0.0%] (0.0%) {1.5%}
  • John Delaney 0.6% [1.0%] (0.2%) {0.2%} [0.3%] (0.3%) {0.8%} [0.4%] (0.4%) {0.0%} [0.6%] {0.0}
  • Michael Bennet 0.4% [0.2%] (0.0%) {0.2%} [0.3%] (0.0%) {0.2%} [1.2%] (0.2%) {0.7%}
  • Deval Patrick 0.0% [0.0%] (0.2%)
  • Someone else 2.2% [2.5%] (2.8%) {2.0%} [2.1%] (1.0%) {1.2%} [2.3%] (2.4%) {1.7%} [2.0%] (4.7%) {5.6%}
Survey of 497 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 21-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted December 15-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21-23, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 24-26, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 27-29, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-18, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2019 are in curly brackets.

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 30% {26%} [23%] (25%) {19%} [32%] (33%) {27%} [28%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 23% {21%} [20%] (15%) {20%} [14%] (15%) {20%} [25%] (16%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% {17%} [23%] (28%) {20%} [15%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (8%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 9% {5%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% {8%} [9%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [0%] (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% {4%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {1%} [3%] (2%)
  • Andrew Yang 3% {3%} [3%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 1% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Tom Steyer 1% {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% {1%}
  • Other (vol.) 1% {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • No one (vol.) 1% {3%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {3%} [0%] (3%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 6% {11%} [7%] (10%) {10%} [11%] (9%) {14%} [8%] (9%)
Among Liberals
  • Bernie Sanders 26% {29%} [23%] (20%) {21%} [17%] (20%) {23%} [30%] (23%)
  • Joe Biden 24% {16%} [13%] (20%) {15%} [24%] (22%) {17%} [20%] (18%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 23% {25%} [26%] (37%) {24%} [25%] (14%) {8%} [8%] (11%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 9% {2%}
Among Moderates/Conservatives
  • Joe Biden 35% {31%} [34%] (30%) {22%} [40%] (41%) {36%} [35%] (39%)
  • Bernie Sanders 19% {15%} [17%] (11%) {20%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [19%] (9%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 10% {6%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 6% {12%} [17%] (20%) {16%} [6%] (7%) {4%} [7%] (5%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 32% {27%} [18%] (31%) {24%} [38%] (27%) {31%} [28%] (35%)
  • Bernie Sanders 24% {22%} [28%] (14%) {24%} [16%] (20%) {22%} [30%] (17%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 13% {5%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% {11%} [19%] (19%) {15%} [11%] (9%) {4%} [6%] (7%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 28% {25%} [27%] (21%) {16%} [29%] (37%) {24%} [27%] (26%)
  • Bernie Sanders 22% {20%} [15%] (16%) {17%} [13%] (12%) {19%} [21%] (16%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 18% {20%} [25%] (33%) {23%} [18%] (11%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 7% {4%}
Age 18-49
  • Bernie Sanders 33% {34%} [33%] (25%) {27%} [20%] (25%) {30%} [29%] (27%)
  • Joe Biden 23% {16%} [21%] (17%) {6%} [21%] (26%) {25%} [22%] (21%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% {19%} [17%] (28%) {19%} [15%] (10%) {2%} [8%] (8%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 5% {1%}
Age 50+
  • Joe Biden 36% {38%} [26%] (33%) {33%} [42%] (40%) {28%} [34%] (38%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 13% {8%}
  • Bernie Sanders 12% {5%} [10%] (6%) {11%} [8%] (4%) {10%} [19%] (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 11% {14%} [28%] (28%) {19%} [16%] (10%) {10%} [8%] (7%)
Survey of 372 registered Democrats and leaning Democratic voters was conducted January 16-20, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 30 - November 3, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

CNN 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 27% (20%) {17%} [16%] (17%) {15%} [14%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (14%)
  • Joe Biden 24% (26%) {28%} [34%] (24%) {29%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [28%] (33%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% (16%) {14%} [19%] (18%) {14%} [15%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 11% (8%) {11%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (5%) {7%} [1%]
  • Michael Bloomberg 5% (5%) {3%} (2%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 4% (3%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Andrew Yang 4% (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
  • Tom Steyer 2% (1%) {3%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%]
  • Deval Patrick 0% (0%) {0%}
Survey of 500 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted January 16-19, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 5-9, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28-30, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 14-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2018 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, January 21, 2020

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 16.40% {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
  • Joe Biden 14.80% {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 12.2% {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9.80% {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
  • Andrew Yang 5.60% {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 5.40% {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 4.60% {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
  • Tom Steyer 2.60% {2.00%} [0.60%]
  • Michael Bennet 1.40% {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
  • Deval Patrick 0.60% {1.20%}
  • John Delaney 0.00% {0.60%} [1.00%] (0.70%)
  • Other 1.20% {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
  • Refused 1.60% {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
  • Undecided 23.80% {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)
Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 15-19, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Saturday, January 18, 2020

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

SurveyUSA 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 32% (32%) {32%} [33%] (33%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% (17%) {17%} [17%] (20%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% (16%) {22%} [19%] (19%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 9% (12%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 9%
  • Andrew Yang 4% (4%) {2%} [3%] (0%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% (2%) {1%} (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2% (2%) {1%} (0%)
Survey of 1,086 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 14-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 20-21, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

SurveyUSA California 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Joe Biden 30% (28%) {33%} [27%] (25%)
  • Bernie Sanders 20% (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 20% (13%) {18%} [16%] (21%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 8% (8%) {4%} [3%] (6%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 6% (3%)
  • Andrew Yang 4% (5%) {4%} [7%] (1%)
  • Tom Steyer 4% (3%) {1%} (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2% (2%) {1%} (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%)
Survey of 565 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 14-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 20-22, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-15, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, January 15, 2020

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll
  • Joe Biden (D) 49% (47%) {44%} [50%] (51%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% (46%) {47%} [44%] (42%)
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 47% (45%) {45%} [48%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% (47%) {48%} [46%] (44%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% (44%) {47%} [45%]
  • Pete Buttigieg (D) 44% (43%) {39%} [43%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 48% (45%) {48%} [46%] (45%)
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 45% (44%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
    Survey of 800 registered voters was conducted January 8-12, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 3-8, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 13-17, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 25-29, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2020 Presidential Survey

    • Michael Bloomberg (D) 49%
    • Donald Trump (R) 42%
    • Joe Biden (D) 50% {51%} [52%] (52%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 44% {41%} [41%] (39%)
    • Bernie Sanders (D) 50% {48%}
    • Donald Trump (R) 45% {44%}
    • Pete Buttigieg (D) 47%
    • Donald Trump (R) 43%
    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 48% {49%}
    • Donald Trump (R) 45% {43%}
    Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
    • Joe Biden 44% / 41% (+3)
    • Pete Buttigieg 27% / 27% (0)
    • Bernie Sanders 44% / 45% (-1)
    • Elizabeth Warren 32% / 39% (-7)
    • Michael Bloomberg 26% / 34% (-8)
    • Donald Trump 41% / 54% (-13)
    Survey of 600 active and likely voters was conducted January 9-12, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4%. Results from the poll conducted August 17-21, 2019 are in curly  brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-12, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28-30, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

    Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
    • Joe Biden 23% (23%) {30%} [31%] (28%)
    • Bernie Sanders 19% (19%) {17%} [17%] (20%) 
    • Pete Buttigieg 15% (15%) {13%} [7%] (6%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 14% (16%) {15%} [24%] (17%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 6% (3%)
    • Andrew Yang 6% (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 4% (3%) {3%} [3%] (1%)
    • Cory Booker 1% (4%) {3%} [1%] (1%)
    • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (1%) {0%} [2%] (0%)
    • Tom Steyer 1% (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
    • Marianne Williamson 0% {1%} [1%] (0%)
    • Deval Patrick 0% (0%)
    Survey of 358 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 8-12, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 6.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 3-8, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 13-17, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 25-29, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Tuesday, January 14, 2020

    Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling North Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

    PPP North Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
    • Joe Biden 31% (39%)
    • Bernie Sanders 18% (6%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 15% (22%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 8%
    • Pete Buttigieg 6% (9%)
    • Andrew Yang 5% (3%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 3%
    • Tom Steyer 3%
    • Cory Booker 1% (2%)
    Among Whites
    • Joe Biden 22% (26%)
    • Bernie Sanders 19% (7%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 15% (31%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 9% (12%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 8%
    • Andrew Yang 7% (2%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 4%
    • Tom Steyer 4%
    • Cory Booker 0% (2%)
    Among Blacks
    • Joe Biden 47% (63%)
    • Bernie Sanders 16% (6%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 14% (3%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 9%
    • Tom Steyer 3%
    • Andrew Yang 2% (4%)
    • Cory Booker 1% (2%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 1% (3%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 0%
    Survey of 509 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 10-12, 2020. Results from the poll conducted October 4-6, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Monday, January 13, 2020

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

    Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
    • Joe Biden 25% {30%} [29%] (24%) {21%} [27%] (26%) {25%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [22%] (30%) {35%} [38%] (29%)
    • Bernie Sanders 19% {16%} [17%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (16%) {16%} [15%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (19%) {16%} [11%] (19%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 16% {17%} [15%] (14%) {28%} [30%] (29%) {27%} [19%] (21%) {15%} [14%] (15%) {13%} [12%] (4%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 8% {9%} [9%] (16%) {10%} [8%] (4%) {7%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (8%) {5%} [10%] (4%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 6% {7%} [5%] (3%)
    • Andrew Yang 5% {3%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 4% {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
    • Michael Bennet 1% {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
    • Cory Booker 1% {2%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
    • Tulsi Gabbard 1% {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
    • Deval Patrick 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
    • Tom Steyer 1% {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
    • John Delaney 0% {0%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
    Among Men
    • Joe Biden 24% {26%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [31%] (24%) {23%} [32%] (33%) {35%} [22%] (30%) {36%} [36%] (32%)
    • Bernie Sanders 24% {20%} [20%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {14%} [19%] (25%) {16%} [15%] (22%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 12% {17%} [12%] (12%) {22%} [24%] (27%) {27%} [18%] (16%) {15%} [13%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (4%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 9% {6%} [10%] (17%) {11%} [5%] (5%) {9%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (10%) {4%} [11%] (5%)
    • Andrew Yang 6%
    • Michael Bloomberg 5% {7%} [6%] (3%)
    Among Women
    • Joe Biden 26% {33%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [25%] (27%) {26%} [32%] (31%) {34%} [22%] (29%) {34%} [39%] (28%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 18% {17%} [17%] (16%) {31%} [33%] (31%) {26%} [20%] (24%) {15%} [15%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (4%)
    • Bernie Sanders 15% {14%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (12%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (15%) {16%} [8%] (17%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 8% {11%} [9%] (16%) {10%} [9%] (4%) {6%} [3%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (7%) {6%} [10%] (4%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 7% {7%} [5%] (4%)
    • Andrew Yang 5%
    Among Whites
    • Joe Biden 22% {22%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {23%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [21%] (27%) {32%} [35%] (29%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 19% {19%} [17%] (18%) {33%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [23%] (27%) {18%} [20%] (18%) {16%} [13%] (7%)
    • Bernie Sanders 15% {20%} [18%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 11% {13%} [14%] (23%) {13%} [11%] (6%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [6%] (12%) {7%} [14%] (6%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 6%
    • Michael Bloomberg 5% {7%} [5%] (3%)
    • Andrew Yang 5%
    Among Blacks
    • Joe Biden 33% {52%} [51%] (43%) {43%} [50%] (36%) {40%} [46%] (47%) {53%} [31%] (44%)
    • Bernie Sanders 24% {6%} [13%] (11%) {12%} [5%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (16%) {8%} [16%] (17%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 8% {7%} [4%] (0%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 8% {14%} [12%] (6%) {20%} [18%] (20%) {19%} [10%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (0%)
    • Andrew Yang 5%
    • Pete Buttigieg 2% {2%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 0%
    Paying a lot of attention to the election campaign for president: 53% of all voters {56%} [53%] (52%) {56%} [64%] (60%) {55%} [50%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (45%) {44%}
    • Joe Biden 29% {32%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [32%] (32%) {36%} [21%] (32%) {42%}
    • Bernie Sanders 18% {16%} [13%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (11%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {8%}
    • Elizabeth Warren 18% {18%} [17%] (16%) {33%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [25%] (25%) {17%} [19%] (17%) {15%}
    • Pete Buttigieg 10% {12%} [13%] (20%) {13%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [5%] (10%) {9%}
    • Amy Klobuchar 5% {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%}
    • Michael Bloomberg 4% {5%} [5%] (2%)
    • Andrew Yang 4% {2%} [4%] (3%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%}
    • Tulsi Gabbard 2% {1%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%}
    • Cory Booker 1% {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [2%] (3%) {0%} [4%] (1%) {2%}
    • Tom Steyer 1% {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
    • Michael Bennet 0% {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
    • John Delaney 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
    • Deval Patrick 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
    Survey of 651 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted January 8-12, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-26, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

    Monmouth University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
    • Joe Biden 24% {19%} [28%] (27%)
    • Bernie Sanders 18% {13%} [9%] (16%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 17% {22%} [8%] (9%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 15% {18%} [19%] (7%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 8% {5%} [3%] (4%)
    • Cory Booker 4% {2%} [1%] (3%)
    • Tom Steyer 4% {3%} [3%]
    • Andrew Yang 3% {3%} [2%] (1%)
    • Tulsi Gabbard 2% {2%} [1%] (0%)
    • Michael Bennet 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
    • John Delaney 0% {0%} [1%] (1%)
    • Deval Patrick 0%
    • No one (vol.) 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
    • Other (vol.) 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
    • Undecided (vol.) 5% {8%} [10%] (12%)
    Among Men
    • Joe Biden 22% {13%} [27%] (15%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 21% {20%} [8%] (13%)
    • Bernie Sanders 21% {19%} [12%] (24%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 11% {16%} [16%] (5%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 6% {2%} [2%] (3%)
    Among Women
    • Joe Biden 26% {22%} [29%] (37%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 17% {20%} [20%] (9%)
    • Bernie Sanders 15% {8%} [6%] (11%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 14% {24%} [8%] (6%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 9% {7%} [4%] (5%)
    College Degree
    • Joe Biden 21% {15%} [23%] (20%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 17% {24%} [10%] (12%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 16% {21%} [26%] (9%)
    • Bernie Sanders 15% {7%} [5%] (13%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 9% {7%} [3%] (4%)
    No College Degree
    • Joe Biden 27% {21%} [32%] (34%)
    • Bernie Sanders 19% {18%} [12%] (19%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 17% {21%} [6%] (6%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 13% {16%} [13%] (5%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 8% {3%} [4%] (5%)
    First and Second Choices Combined
    • Elizabeth Warren 38% {35%} [38%] (17%)
    • Joe Biden 34% {29%} [40%] (39%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 32% {37%} [17%] (15%)
    • Bernie Sanders 32% {25%} [17%] (24%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 18% {14%} [5%] (7%)
    • Tom Steyer 8% {6%} [6%]
    • Andrew Yang 7% {4%} [4%] (1%)
    Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)
    • Elizabeth Warren 73% {69%} [76%] (67%) / 19% {23%} [14%] (20%) (+54)
    • Pete Buttigieg 71% {73%} [68%] (45%) / 17% {10%} [11%] (9%) (+54)
    • Bernie Sanders 70% {61%} [58%] (67%) / 22% {29%} [33%] (26%) (+48)
    • Amy Klobuchar 63% {54%} [50%] (51%) / 16% {18%} [17%] (10%) (+47)
    • Cory Booker 58% {48%} [56%] (54%) / 16% {19%} [16%] (16%) (+42)
    • Joe Biden 66% {65%} [73%] (78%) / 28% {26%} [19%] (14%) (+38)
    • Andrew Yang 57% {39%} (15%) / 20% {24%} (9%) (+37)
    • Tom Steyer 46% {33%} [34%] / 32% {29%} [25%] (+14)
    Survey of 405 Iowa voters who are likely to attend the Democratic presidential caucuses was conducted January 9-12, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted November 7-11, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Friday, January 10, 2020

    Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

    Des Moines Register/CNN/Mediacom Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
    • Bernie Sanders 20% [15%] (11%) {16%} [25%] (19%) 
    • Elizabeth Warren 17% [16%] (22%) {15%} [9%] (8%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 16% [25%] (9%) {14%} [1%]
    • Joe Biden 15% [15%] (20%) {24%} [27%] (32%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 6% [6%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
    • Andrew Yang 5% [3%] (2%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
    • Cory Booker 3% [3%] (3%) {1%} [3%] (4%)
    • Tulsi Gabbard 2% [3%] (2%) {1%} [0%]
    • Tom Steyer 2% [3%] (2%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 1% [2%] (3%)
    • Michael Bennet 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
    • John Delaney 0% [0%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
    • Deval Patrick 0%
    • Marianne Williamson 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
    • None of these (vol.) 1% [2%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
    • Not sure 11% [5%] (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%)
    Survey of 701 likely 2020 Democratic caucusgoers was conducted January 2-8, 2020 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 8-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2018 are in parentheses.

    Thursday, January 09, 2020

    Poll Watch: Fox News Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Survey

    Fox News Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll
    • Joe Biden (D) 46% (48%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 41% (39%)
    • Bernie Sanders (D) 46% (45%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 42% (40%)
    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 44% (45%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 42% (41%)
    • Pete Buttigieg (D) 42%
    • Donald Trump (R) 41%
    Survey of 1,504 Wisconsin voters was conducted January 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 2, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Fox News Wisconsin 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

    Fox News Wisconsin 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
    • Joe Biden 23% (28%)
    • Bernie Sanders 21% (17%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 13% (22%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 9% (7%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 7%
    • Amy Klobuchar 4% (2%)
    • Cory Booker 3% (2%)
    • Andrew Yang 3% (2%)
    • Tulsi Gabbard 2% (1%)
    • Tom Steyer 2% (0%)
    • Marianne Williamson 1% (0%)
    • Michael Bennet 0% (0%)
    • John Delaney 0% (0%)
    • Deval Patrick 0%
    Under Age 45
    • Bernie Sanders 36% (33%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 15% (18%)
    • Joe Biden 11% (18%) 
    • Pete Buttigieg 7% (6%)
    • Andrew Yang 7% (6%)
    Age 45+
    • Joe Biden 29% (32%)
    • Bernie Sanders 13% (10%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 13% (24%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 9%
    • Pete Buttigieg 9% (7%)
    Survey of 671 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 2, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Fox News Nevada 2020 Presidential Survey

    Fox News Nevada 2020 Presidential Poll
    • Joe Biden (D) 47% (47%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 39% (40%)
    • Bernie Sanders (D) 46% (47%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 41% (40%)
    • Elizabeth Warren (D) 43% (44%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 42% (41%)
    • Pete Buttigieg (D) 41% (41%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 40% (41%)
    Survey of 1,505 Nevada voters was conducted January 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Fox News Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

    Fox News Nevada 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
    • Joe Biden 23% (24%)
    • Bernie Sanders 17% (18%)
    • Tom Steyer 12% (5%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 12% (18%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 6% (8%)
    • Andrew Yang 4% (3%)
    • Cory Booker 3% (1%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 2%
    • Tulsi Gabbard 2% (2%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 2% (2%)
    • Marianne Williamson 1% (0%)
    • Michael Bennet 0% (0%)
    • John Delaney 0% (0%)
    • Deval Patrick 0%
    Under Age 45
    • Bernie Sanders 27%
    • Joe Biden 17%
    • Tom Steyer 12%
    • Elizabeth Warren 10%
    • Andrew Yang 9%
    • Pete Buttigieg 4%
    Age 45+
    • Joe Biden 27%
    • Elizabeth Warren 13%
    • Bernie Sanders 12%
    • Tom Steyer 12%
    • Pete Buttigieg 7%
    Survey of 635 Democratic caucus voters was conducted January 5-8, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Fox News South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

    Fox News South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
    • Joe Biden 36% [41%] (35%)
    • Tom Steyer 15% [4%] (0%)
    • Bernie Sanders 14% [10%] (14%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 10% [12%] (5%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 4% [2%] (2%)
    • Michael Bloomberg 2%
    • Cory Booker 2% [3%] (3%)
    • Andrew Yang 2% [1%] (1%)
    • Tulsi Gabbard 1% [1%] (0%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 1% [0%] (0%)
    • Michael Bennet 0% [1%] (0%)
    • John Delaney 0% [0%] (1%)
    • Deval Patrick 0%
    • Marianne Williamson 0% [1%] (1%)
    Among Whites
    • Joe Biden 22% [24%] (25%)
    • Bernie Sanders 17% [13%] (12%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 16% [20%] (11%)
    • Tom Steyer 12% [5%] (0%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 9% [5%] (5%)
    Among Blacks
    • Joe Biden 43% [50%] (41%)
    • Tom Steyer 16% [4%] (0%)
    • Bernie Sanders 12% [9%] (15%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 6% [8%] (2%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 2% [0%] (1%)
    Under Age 45
    • Bernie Sanders 26% [22%] (31%)
    • Joe Biden 21% [26%] (22%)
    • Tom Steyer 17% [6%] (0%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 16% [17%] (5%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 3% [3%] (4%)
    Age 45+
    • Joe Biden 43% [48%] (41%)
    • Tom Steyer 14% [3%] (0%)
    • Bernie Sanders 8% [5%] (7%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 7% [10%] (5%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 5% [1%] (1%)
    Survey of 808 South Carolina Democratic primary voters was conducted January 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 2, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

    Monmouth University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
    • Pete Buttigieg 20% [10%] (9%)
    • Joe Biden 19% [25%] (36%)
    • Bernie Sanders 18% [12%] (18%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 15% [27%] (8%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 6% [2%] (2%)
    • Tulsi Gabbard 4% [2%] (0%)
    • Tom Steyer 4% [2%]
    • Andrew Yang 3% [2%] (1%)
    • Michael Bennet 2% [0%] (0%)
    • Cory Booker 1% [2%] (2%)
    • John Delaney 0% [0%] (0%)
    • Deval Patrick 0%
    • Marianne Williamson 0% [1%] (0%)
    • Undecided 7% [9%] (11%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable (Net)
    • Bernie Sanders 69% [63%] (73%) / 23% [28%] (19%) (+46)
    • Pete Buttigieg 62% [62%] (54%) / 17% [12%] (7%) (+45)
    • Elizabeth Warren 64% [74%] (63%) / 27% [19%] (24%) (+37)
    • Andrew Yang 53% [31%] (11%) / 18% [26%] (14%) (+35)
    • Joe Biden 62% [66%] (80%) / 29% [24%] (15%) (+33)
    • Amy Klobuchar 48% [41%] (44%) / 17% [19%] (11%) (+31)
    • Cory Booker 47% [49%] (54%) / 23% [18%] (12%) (+24)
    • Tom Steyer 41% [32%] / 26% [22%] (+15)
    • Deval Patrick 27% / 32% (-5)
    Survey of 404 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 3-7, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-7, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Sunday, January 05, 2020

    Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

    CBS News/YouGov New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
    • Bernie Sanders 27% [20%] (17%) {25%} [20%] (20%)
    • Joe Biden 25% [22%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (33%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 18% [31%] (32%) {27%} [18%] (17%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 13% [16%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (10%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 7% [3%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
    • Tom Steyer 3% [1%] (4%) {1%} [1%]
    • Cory Booker 3% [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
    • Andrew Yang 2% [1%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
    • Deval Patrick 1%
    • Tulsi Gabbard 1% [0%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (0%)
    • Michael Bennet 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
    • Julián Castro 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
    • John Delaney 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
    • Marianne Williamson 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
    Survey of 519 New Hampshire registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted December 27 - January 3, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 6-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3-11, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

    CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
    • Bernie Sanders 23% [22%] (21%) {26%} [19%] (22%)
    • Joe Biden 23% [22%] (22%) {29%} [24%] (30%)
    • Pete Buttigieg 23% [21%] (14%) {7%} [7%] (11%)
    • Elizabeth Warren 16% [18%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (12%)
    • Amy Klobuchar 7% [5%] (2%) {2%} [4%] (4%)
    • Andrew Yang 2% [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
    • Tom Steyer 2% [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%]
    • Cory Booker 2% [1%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
    • Tulsi Gabbard 1% [0%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
    • Julián Castro 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%)
    • Marianne Williamson 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
    • John Delaney [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (2%)
    • Michael Bennet [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
    • Deval Patrick 0%
    Survey of 953 Iowa registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted December 27, 2019 - January 3, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 6-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3-11, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.