Monday, March 09, 2020

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 54% {17%} [26%] (25%) {30%} [29%] (24%) {21%} [27%] (26%) {25%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [22%] (30%) {35%} [38%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 35% {25%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [17%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (16%) {16%} [15%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (19%) {16%} [11%] (19%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 54% {14%} [26%] (24%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [31%] (24%) {23%} [32%] (33%) {35%} [22%] (30%) {36%} [36%] (32%)
  • Bernie Sanders 37% {32%} [26%] (24%) {20%} [20%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {14%} [19%] (25%) {16%} [15%] (22%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 54% {19%} [25%] (26%) {33%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [25%] (27%) {26%} [32%] (31%) {34%} [22%] (29%) {34%} [39%] (28%)
  • Bernie Sanders 34% {20%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (12%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (15%) {16%} [8%] (17%)
Survey of 559 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted March 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 5-9, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-26, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses.

Thursday, February 27, 2020

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Bernie Sanders (D) 48% [47%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% [46%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (44%) 
  • Joe Biden (D) 46% [49%] (47%) {44%} [50%] (51%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (42%)
  • Amy Klobuchar (D) 46% {36%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% {50%}
  • Pete Buttigieg (D) 45% [44%] (43%) {39%} [43%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [46%] (44%) {47%} [45%] 
  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Michael Bloomberg (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 47% [48%] (45%) {48%} [46%] (45%)
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 44% [45%] (44%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted February 19-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-8, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 13-17, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 25-29, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Monmouth University South Carolina 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Joe Biden 36% [33%] (39%)
  • Bernie Sanders 16% [12%] (10%)
  • Tom Steyer 15% [4%] (2%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% [16%] (9%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% [3%] (5%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 4% [2%] (1%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% [1%] (0%)
Among Whites
  • Joe Biden 26% [28%] (24%)
  • Bernie Sanders 17% [13%] (10%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 13% [8%] (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% [24%] (21%)
  • Tom Steyer 12% [3%] (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% [3%] (3%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2% [3%] (1%)
Among Blacks
  • Joe Biden 45% [39%] (51%)
  • Tom Steyer 17% [5%] (2%)
  • Bernie Sanders 13% [11%] (10%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5% [11%] (2%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 2% [1%] (1%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 0% [0%] (0%)
Survey of 454 South Carolina voters who are likely to vote in the Democratic presidential primary on February 29, 2020 was conducted February 23-25, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-21, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2019 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, February 18, 2020

Poll Watch: Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 28.8% {27.4%} [24.8%] (26.5%) {24.4%} [21.7%] (24.2%) {20.2%} [15.4%] (27.1%) {24.9%} [28.9%] (26.3%) {17.2%}
  • Joe Biden 22.3% {30.0%} [32.2%] (27.4%) {27.4%} [25.0%] (31.3%) {32.9%} [29.7%] (33.9%) {32.6%} [23.9%] (25.9%) {27.4%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 13.6% {7.4%} [2.9%] (0.9%) {2.2%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 11.5% {12.7%} [12.4%] (19.4%) {21.2%} [22.9%] (15.2%) {14.0%} [14.6%] (14.2%) {9.7%} [6.7%] (8.4%) {9.3%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 7.7% {5.4%} [7.8%] (7.5%) {6.5%} [6.4%] (3.2%) {6.3%} [5.2%] (6.3%) {7.5%} [9.0%] (2.9%) {0.0%}
  • Amy Klobuchar 5.8% {3.6%} [2.1%] (1.5%) {0.9%} [0.4%] (0.8%) {0.2%} [0.8%] (0.7%) {0.6%} [1.1%] (0.8%) {4.6%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 3.7% {1.2%} [3.8%] (2.4%) {2.8%} [0.9%] (2.9%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (0.2%) {1.0%} [0.8%] (1.0%) {1.9%}
  • Tom Steyer 2.6% {1.2%} [1.7%] (1.7%) {0.5%} [0.0%] (0.0%) {1.5%}
  • Someone else 4.0% {2.2%} [2.5%] (2.8%) {2.0%} [2.1%] (1.0%) {1.2%} [2.3%] (2.4%) {1.7%} [2.0%] (4.7%) {5.6%}
Survey of 573 Democratic primary voters was conducted February 16-18, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 21-23, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 15-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21-23, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 24-26, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 27-29, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-18, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2019 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 31% (22%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 19% (4%)
  • Joe Biden 15% (24%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (17%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 9% (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 8% (13%)
  • Tom Steyer 2% (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% (1%)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 41% (27%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 15%
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (14%)
  • Joe Biden 9% (18%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 9% (12%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 8%
Among Women
  • Bernie Sanders 24% (18%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 22%
  • Joe Biden 18% (28%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 11% (18%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 9%
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% (14%)
Under Age 45
  • Bernie Sanders 54% (37%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% (18%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 8%
  • Joe Biden 6% (14%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 5% (9%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5%
Age 45+
  • Michael Bloomberg 27%
  • Joe Biden 22% (33%)
  • Bernie Sanders 13% (8%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11%
  • Pete Buttigieg 10% (16%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% (15%)

Survey of 527 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents was conducted February 13-16, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 9-11, 2019 are in parentheses.

Monday, February 10, 2020

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 25% [21%] (19%) {16%} [17%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (16%) {16%} [15%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (19%) {16%} [11%] (19%)
  • Joe Biden 17% [26%] (25%) {30%} [29%] (24%) {21%} [27%] (26%) {25%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [22%] (30%) {35%} [38%] (29%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 15% [8%] (6%) {7%} [5%] (3%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% [15%] (16%) {17%} [15%] (14%) {28%} [30%] (29%) {27%} [19%] (21%) {15%} [14%] (15%) {13%} [12%] (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 10% [6%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (16%) {10%} [8%] (4%) {7%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (8%) {5%} [10%] (4%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 4% [7%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Andrew Yang 2% [3%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tom Steyer 1% [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Deval Patrick 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 32% [26%] (24%) {20%} [20%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {14%} [19%] (25%) {16%} [15%] (22%)
  • Joe Biden 14% [26%] (24%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [31%] (24%) {23%} [32%] (33%) {35%} [22%] (30%) {36%} [36%] (32%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 13% [7%] (5%) {7%} [6%] (3%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 10% [7%] (9%) {6%} [10%] (17%) {11%} [5%] (5%) {9%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (10%) {4%} [11%] (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% [12%] (12%) {17%} [12%] (12%) {22%} [24%] (27%) {27%} [18%] (16%) {15%} [13%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (4%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% [6%] (2%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
Among Women
  • Bernie Sanders 20% [17%] (15%) {14%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (12%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (15%) {16%} [8%] (17%)
  • Joe Biden 19% [25%] (26%) {33%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [25%] (27%) {26%} [32%] (31%) {34%} [22%] (29%) {34%} [39%] (28%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 16% [8%] (7%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% [18%] (18%) {17%} [17%] (16%) {31%} [33%] (31%) {26%} [20%] (24%) {15%} [15%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 11% [5%] (8%) {11%} [9%] (16%) {10%} [9%] (4%) {6%} [3%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (7%) {6%} [10%] (4%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 4% [7%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
Among Whites
  • Bernie Sanders 22% [18%] (15%) {20%} [18%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% [16%] (19%) {19%} [17%] (18%) {33%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [23%] (27%) {18%} [20%] (18%) {16%} [13%] (7%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 15% [10%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%)
  • Joe Biden 14% [21%] (22%) {22%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {23%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [21%] (27%) {32%} [35%] (29%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 14% [9%] (11%) {13%} [14%] (23%) {13%} [11%] (6%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [6%] (12%) {7%} [14%] (6%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6% [9%] (6%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
Among Blacks
  • Joe Biden 27% [49%] (33%) {52%} [51%] (43%) {43%} [50%] (36%) {40%} [46%] (47%) {53%} [31%] (44%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 22% [7%] (8%) {7%} [4%] (0%)
  • Bernie Sanders 19% [17%] (24%) {6%} [13%] (11%) {12%} [5%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (16%) {8%} [16%] (17%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% [7%] (8%) {14%} [12%] (6%) {20%} [18%] (20%) {19%} [10%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 4% [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 0% [2%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (1%)
Survey of 665 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted February 5-9, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-26, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 29% (28%) {28%} [25%] (21%) {19%} [30%] (26%
  • Pete Buttigieg 22% (21%) {21%} [15%] (10%) {10%} [15%] (1%)
  • Joe Biden 11% (12%) {11%} [16%] (15%) {24%} [18%] (22%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% (9%) {9%} [12%] (18%) {19%} [5%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {0%} [2%] (4%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 5% (5%) {6%} [5%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 4% (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {1%} [2%]
  • Tom Steyer 1% (2%) {3%} [2%] (3%) {0%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 0% (1%) {2%} [1%]
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%] (0%) {1%}
  • Undecided (11%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [12%] (14%)
Survey of 365 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 6-9, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 5-8, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 4-7, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-23, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-27, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 8-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-26, 2019 are in parentheses.

Sunday, February 09, 2020

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 26.60% (23.80%) {23.80%} [23.60%] (24.80%) {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 19.40% (21.80%) {25.00%} [22.60%] (18.60%) {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 13.60% (8.60%) {6.00%} [6.00%] (5.60%) {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
  • Joe Biden 11.80% (10.40%) {10.60%} [10.60%] (12.00%) {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 11.60% (13.40%) {14.20%} [12.60%] (11.00%) {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2.80% (2.00%) {2.00%} [3.60%] (4.80%) {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
  • Andrew Yang 2.60% (2.60%) {3.20%} [3.20%] (2.20%) {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
  • Tom Steyer 1.60% (1.80%) {2.40%} [2.80%] (4.20%) {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
  • Deval Patrick 0.80% (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
  • Michael Bennet 0.20% (0.20%) {0.80%} [0.80%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
  • Other 1.60% (2.60%) {2.80%} [1.80%] (1.40%) {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
  • Refused 0.20% (0.60%) {1.40%} [1.20%] (1.00%) {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
  • Undecided 7.20% (11.80%) {7.40%} [10.60%] (13.60%) {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)
Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 8-9, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 7-8, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 6-7, 2020, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 28% {28%} [25%] (21%) {19%} [30%] (26%
  • Pete Buttigieg 21% {21%} [15%] (10%) {10%} [15%] (1%)
  • Joe Biden 12% {11%} [16%] (15%) {24%} [18%] (22%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9% {9%} [12%] (18%) {19%} [5%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6% {5%} [6%] (5%) {0%} [2%] (4%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 5% {6%} [5%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 4% {3%} [5%] (5%) {1%} [2%]
  • Tom Steyer 2% {3%} [2%] (3%) {0%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 1% {2%} [1%]
  • Undecided 11% {11%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [12%] (14%)
Survey of 384 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 4-7, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-23, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-27, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 8-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-26, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

CBS News/YouGov New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 29% {27%} [20%] (17%) {25%} [20%] (20%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 25% {13%} [16%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (10%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% {18%} [31%] (32%) {27%} [18%] (17%)
  • Joe Biden 12% {25%} [22%] (24%) {26%} [27%] (33%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 10% {7%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2% {1%} [0%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (0%)
  • Andrew Yang 1% {2%} [1%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Tom Steyer 1% {3%] [1%] (4%) {1%} [1%]
  • Deval Patrick 1% {1%}
  • Michael Bennet 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 848 likely Democratic primary voters in New Hampshire was conducted February 5-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 27, 2019 - January 3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 6-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3-11, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.

Saturday, February 08, 2020

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 23.80% {23.80%} [23.60%] (24.80%) {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 21.80% {25.00%} [22.60%] (18.60%) {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13.40% {14.20%} [12.60%] (11.00%) {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
  • Joe Biden 10.40% {10.60%} [10.60%] (12.00%) {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 8.60% {6.00%} [6.00%] (5.60%) {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
  • Andrew Yang 2.60% {3.20%} [3.20%] (2.20%) {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2.00% {2.00%} [3.60%] (4.80%) {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
  • Tom Steyer 1.80% {2.40%} [2.80%] (4.20%) {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
  • Deval Patrick 0.40% {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
  • Michael Bennet 0.20% {0.80%} [0.80%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
  • Other 2.60% {2.80%} [1.80%] (1.40%) {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
  • Refused 0.60% {1.40%} [1.20%] (1.00%) {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
  • Undecided 11.80% {7.40%} [10.60%] (13.60%) {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)
Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 7-8, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 6-7, 2020, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 28% [25%] (21%) {19%} [30%] (26%
  • Pete Buttigieg 21% [15%] (10%) {10%} [15%] (1%)
  • Joe Biden 11% [16%] (15%) {24%} [18%] (22%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9% [12%] (18%) {19%} [5%] (7%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 6 [5%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% [6%] (5%) {0%} [2%] (4%)
  • Andrew Yang 3% [5%] (5%) {1%} [2%]
  • Tom Steyer 3% [2%] (3%) {0%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 2% [1%]
  • Undecided 11% [10%] (10%) {9%} [12%] (14%)
Survey of 365 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 4-7, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 15-23, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-27, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 8-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-26, 2019 are in parentheses.

Friday, February 07, 2020

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Pete Buttigieg 25.00% [22.60%] (18.60%) {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
  • Bernie Sanders 23.80% [23.60%] (24.80%) {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14.20% [12.60%] (11.00%) {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
  • Joe Biden 10.60% [10.60%] (12.00%) {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6.00% [6.00%] (5.60%) {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
  • Andrew Yang 3.20% [3.20%] (2.20%) {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
  • Tom Steyer 2.40% [2.80%] (4.20%) {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
  • Tulsi Gabbard 2.00% [3.60%] (4.80%) {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
  • Michael Bennet 0.80% [0.80%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
  • Deval Patrick 0.40% [0.60%] (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
  • Other 2.80% [1.80%] (1.40%) {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
  • Refused 1.40% [1.20%] (1.00%) {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
  • Undecided 7.40% [10.60%] (13.60%) {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)
Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 6-7, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Thursday, February 06, 2020

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 23.60% (24.80%) {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 22.60% (18.60%) {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12.60% (11.00%) {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
  • Joe Biden 10.60% (12.00%) {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6.00% (5.60%) {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 3.60% (4.80%) {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
  • Andrew Yang 3.20% (2.20%) {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
  • Tom Steyer 2.80% (4.20%) {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
  • Michael Bennet 0.80% (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
  • Deval Patrick 0.60% (0.40%) {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
  • Other 1.80% (1.40%) {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
  • Refused 1.20% (1.00%) {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
  • Undecided 10.60% (13.60%) {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)
Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 5-6, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Monmouth University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 24% {18%} [12%] (18%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 20% {20%} [10%] (9%)
  • Joe Biden 17% {19%} [25%] (36%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% {15%} [27%] (8%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 9% {6%} [2%] (2%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 4% {4%} [2%] (0%)
  • Andrew Yang 4% {3%} [2%] (1%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% {4%} [2%]
  • Michael Bennet 1% {2%} [0%] (0%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% {0%}
  • Undecided 5% {7%} [9%] (11%)
Survey of 503 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 3-5, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 3-7, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-7, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Globe/WBZ-TV/Suffolk University New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 24.80% {24.40%} [24.00%] (16.40%) {15.60%} [16.80%] (12.35%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 18.60% {15.20%} [11.00%] (12.20%) {13.40%} [5.80%] (11.89%)
  • Joe Biden 12.00% {15.00%} [17.80%] (14.80%) {12.00%} [21.40%] (20.05%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 11.00% {10.20%} [12.80%] (9.80%) {13.80%} [13.60%] (8.39%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5.60% {6.00%} [6.20%] (4.60%) {1.20%} [ 0.80%] (1.17%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 4.80% {5.20%} [5.40%] (5.40%) {6.20%} [3.20%] (1.17%)
  • Tom Steyer 4.20% {5.00%} [4.00%] (2.60%) {2.00%} [0.60%]
  • Andrew Yang 2.20% {3.20%} [3.40%] (5.60%) {3.80%} [1.40%] (1.17%)
  • Michael Bennet 0.40% {0.40%} [0.60%] (1.40%) {0.00%} [1.60%] (0.23%)
  • Deval Patrick 0.40% {0.40%} [0.60%] (0.60%) {1.20%}
  • Other 1.40% {0.60%} [0.60%]  (1.20%) {2.00%} [1.20%] (0.00%)
  • Refused 1.00% {1.80%} [1.60%] (1.60%) {0.60%} [0.20%] (1.17%)
  • Undecided 13.60% {12.60%} [12.00%] (23.80%) {21.20%} [20.80%] (26.81%)
Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 4-5, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 21-24, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in parentheses.

Monday, February 03, 2020

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 27.4% [29.8%] (21.8%) {12.6%} [24.1%] (14.8%)
  • Joe Biden 21.0% [20.9%] (23.4%) {22.7%} [25.3%] (29.2%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 14.5% [10.4%] (17.8%) {16.1%} [11.4%] (0.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13.5% [10.7%] (12.3%) {22.7%} [8.5%] (10.6%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 10.8% [12.4%] (10.2%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (3.0%)
  • Andrew Yang 4.7% [4.9%] (1.8%) {4.7%} [0.0%] (0.0%)
  • Tom Steyer 4.3% [5.1%] (3.4%) {2.5%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0.9% [4.4%] (1.8%) {2.2%} [0.9%] (0.0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0.8% [0.0%] (0.0%) {0.9%}
  • Deval Patrick 0.1% [0.0%] (0.0%)
  • Someone else 2.0% [0.7%] (2.4%) {4.4%} [4.3%] (7.7%)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 30.9% [31.6%] (23.6%) {14.2%} [24.1%] (18.3%)
  • Joe Biden 24.5% [22.1%] (25.5%) {17.9%} [30.4%] (25.0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 13.0% [7.4%] (11.1%) {20.0%} [16.7%] (0.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 9.3% [14.1%] (8.9%) {1.6%} [2.3%] (3.6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 7.4% [5.0%] (13.9%) {19.1%} [4.3%] (10.2%)
Among Women
  • Bernie Sanders 25.0% [28.4%] (20.3%) {11.3%} [24.1%] (12.6%)
  • Joe Biden 18.4% [19.9%] (21.8%) {26.5%} [21.0%] (32.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 17.8% [15.1%] (11.0%) {25.2%} [12.0%] (10.9%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 15.5% [12.6%] (22.9%) {13.2%} [6.9%] (0.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11.9% [11.3%] (11.0%) {0.9%} [1.3%] (2.5%)
Survey of 853 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted January 30 - February 2, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-24, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019 are in parentheses. 

Wednesday, January 29, 2020

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Monmouth University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 23% (24%) {19%} [28%] (27%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% (18%) {13%} [9%] (16%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 16% (17%) {22%} [8%] (9%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (15%) {18%} [19%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 10% (8%) {5%} [3%] (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 4% (4%) {3%} [3%]
  • Andrew Yang 3% (3%) {3%} [2%] (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (2%) {2%} [1%] (0%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (1%)
  • No one (vol.) 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Other (vol.) 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 5% (5%) {8%} [10%] (12%)
Very Liberal
  • Bernie Sanders 41% (29%) {22%} [19%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 23% (25%) {35%} [37%]
  • Pete Buttigieg 11% (14%) {15%} [5%]
  • Joe Biden 10% (11%) {12%} [7%]
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% (5%) {0%} [2%]
Somewhat Liberal
  • Bernie Sanders 26% (20%) {19%} [8%]
  • Pete Buttigieg 19% (22%) {23%} [10%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 18% (16%) {20%} [20%]
  • Joe Biden 16% (16%) {10%} [31%]
  • Amy Klobuchar 10% (5%) {7%} [2%]
Moderate/Conservative
  • Joe Biden 33% (35%) {26%} [36%] (35%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17% (15%) {26%} [8%] (5%)
  • Bernie Sanders 11% (13%) {7%} [5%] (20%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 13% (11%) {7%} [4%] (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% (9%) {10%} [9%] (3%)
Men
  • Bernie Sanders 22% (21%) {19%} [12%] (24%)
  • Joe Biden 20% (22%) {13%} [27%] (15%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (11%) {16%} [16%] (5%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 14% (21%) {20%} [8%] (13%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 10% (6%) {2%} [2%] (3%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 25% (26%) {22%} [29%] (37%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% (15%) {8%} [6%] (11%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17% (14%) {24%} [8%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (17%) {20%} [20%] (9%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11% (9%) {7%} [4%] (5%)
Age 18-49
  • Bernie Sanders 41% (26%) {19%} [18%] (18%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 23% (22%) {24%} [20%] (10%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 11% (18%) {19%} [10%] (12%)
  • Joe Biden 10% (13%) {12%} [19%] (16%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% (4%) {1%} [1%] (3%)
Age 50-64
  • Joe Biden 31% (22%) {17%} [35%] (23%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 16% (10%) {12%} [2%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% (12%) {17%} [18%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 13% (20%) {24%}[6%] (7%)
  • Bernie Sanders 12% (16%) {8%} [5%] (20%)
Age 65+
  • Joe Biden 37% (44%) {29%} [33%] (44%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 20% (11%) {26%} [6%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11% (13%) {5%} [7%] (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% (6%) {12%} [17%] (5%)
  • Bernie Sanders 9% (8%) {9%} [1%] (13%)
College Degree
  • Elizabeth Warren 22% (16%) {21%} [26%] (9%)
  • Joe Biden 20% (21%) {15%} [23%] (20%)
  • Bernie Sanders 19% (15%) {7%} [5%] (13%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 13% (17%) {24%} [10%] (12%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 13% (9%) {7%} [3%] (4%)
No College Degree
  • Joe Biden 25% (27%) {21%} [32%] (34%)
  • Bernie Sanders 23% (19%) {18%} [12%] (19%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 19% (17%) {21%} [6%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% (13%) {16%} [13%] (5%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 8% (8%) {3%} [4%] (5%)
First and Second Choices Combined
  • Joe Biden 39% (34%) {29%} [40%] (39%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 34% (38%) {35%} [38%] (17%)
  • Bernie Sanders 32% (32%) {25%} [17%] (24%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 29% (32%) {37%} [17%] (15%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 22% (18%) {14%} [5%] (7%)
  • Tom Steyer 10% (8%) {6%} [6%]
  • Andrew Yang 7% (7%) {4%} [4%] (1%)
If the only viable candidates in your caucus site were the following four people who would you caucus for?
  • Joe Biden 29% (28%)
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (24%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 20% (25%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 19% (16%)
Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)
  • Elizabeth Warren 71% (73%) {69%} [76%] (67%) / 21% (19%) {23%} [14%] (20%) (+50)
  • Pete Buttigieg 68% (71%) {73%} [68%] (45%) / 19% (17%) {10%} [11%] (9%) (+49)
  • Joe Biden 68% (66%) {65%} [73%] (78%) / 22% (28%) {26%} [19%] (14%) (+46)
  • Amy Klobuchar 63% (63%) {54%} [50%] (51%) / 18% (16%) {18%} [17%] (10%) (+45)
  • Andrew Yang 60% (57%) {39%} (15%) / 17% (20%) {24%} (9%) (+43)
  • Bernie Sanders 61% (70%) {61%} [58%] (67%) / 32% (22%) {29%} [33%] (26%) (+29)
  • Tom Steyer 50% (46%) {33%} [34%] / 28% (32%) {29%} [25%] (+22)
Survey of 544 Iowa voters who are likely to attend the Democratic presidential caucuses was conducted January 23-27, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 7-11, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2019 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, January 28, 2020

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 26% (25%) {30%} [29%] (24%) {21%} [27%] (26%) {25%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [22%] (30%) {35%} [38%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% (19%) {16%} [17%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (16%) {16%} [15%] (14%) {11%} [13%] (19%) {16%} [11%] (19%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (16%) {17%} [15%] (14%) {28%} [30%] (29%) {27%} [19%] (21%) {15%} [14%] (15%) {13%} [12%] (4%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 8% (6%) {7%} [5%] (3%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% (8%) {9%} [9%] (16%) {10%} [8%] (4%) {7%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (8%) {5%} [10%] (4%)
  • Andrew Yang 3% (5%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%)
  • Tom Steyer 2% (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 26% (24%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [31%] (24%) {23%} [32%] (33%) {35%} [22%] (30%) {36%} [36%] (32%)
  • Bernie Sanders 26% (24%) {20%} [20%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {14%} [19%] (25%) {16%} [15%] (22%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (12%) {17%} [12%] (12%) {22%} [24%] (27%) {27%} [18%] (16%) {15%} [13%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% (9%) {6%} [10%] (17%) {11%} [5%] (5%) {9%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (10%) {4%} [11%] (5%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 7% (5%) {7%} [6%] (3%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6% (2%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 25% (26%) {33%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [25%] (27%) {26%} [32%] (31%) {34%} [22%] (29%) {34%} [39%] (28%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 18% (18%) {17%} [17%] (16%) {31%} [33%] (31%) {26%} [20%] (24%) {15%} [15%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (4%)
  • Bernie Sanders 17% (15%) {14%} [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (12%) {16%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (15%) {16%} [8%] (17%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 8% (7%) {7%} [5%] (4%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 5% (8%) {11%} [9%] (16%) {10%} [9%] (4%) {6%} [3%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (7%) {6%} [10%] (4%)
Among Whites
  • Joe Biden 21% (22%) {22%} [21%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (23%) {23%} [30%] (30%) {32%} [21%] (27%) {32%} [35%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18% (15%) {20%} [18%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (10%) {8%} [11%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% (19%) {19%} [17%] (18%) {33%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [23%] (27%) {18%} [20%] (18%) {16%} [13%] (7%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 10% (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 9% (11%) {13%} [14%] (23%) {13%} [11%] (6%) {10%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [6%] (12%) {7%} [14%] (6%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 9% (6%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
Among Blacks
  • Joe Biden 49% (33%) {52%} [51%] (43%) {43%} [50%] (36%) {40%} [46%] (47%) {53%} [31%] (44%)
  • Bernie Sanders 17% (24%) {6%} [13%] (11%) {12%} [5%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (16%) {8%} [16%] (17%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 7% (8%) {7%} [4%] (0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% (8%) {14%} [12%] (6%) {20%} [18%] (20%) {19%} [10%] (8%) {4%} [4%] (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% (0%) {0%} [2%] (1%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 0% (2%) {2%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Paying a lot of attention to the election campaign for president: 55% of all voters (53%) {56%} [53%] (52%) {56%} [64%] (60%) {55%} [50%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (45%) {44%}
  • Joe Biden 28% (29%) {32%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [32%] (32%) {36%} [21%] (32%) {42%}
  • Bernie Sanders 17% (18%) {16%} [13%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (11%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {8%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% (18%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {33%} [34%] (35%) {31%} [25%] (25%) {17%} [19%] (17%) {15%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 9% (4%) {5%} [5%] (2%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 9% (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% (10%) {12%} [13%] (20%) {13%} [9%] (5%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [5%] (10%) {9%}
  • Andrew Yang 2% (4%) {2%} [4%] (3%) {1%} [1%] (3%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%}
  • Tom Steyer 1% (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
  • John Delaney 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
  • Deval Patrick 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 827 registered Democrats and Democratic leaners was conducted January 22-27, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2020 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-9, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 4-7, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-26, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 1-5, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 16-20, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-25, 2019 are in parentheses.

Monday, January 27, 2020

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 25.4% [17.6%] (24.0%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18.6% [9.0%] (9.0%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17.6% [13.2%] (6.2%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13.2% [16.8%] (13.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5.6% [2.6%] (2.0%)
  • Andrew Yang 3.0% [1.2%] (0.6%)
  • Tom Steyer 2.2% [3.0%]
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0.8% [2.6%] (1.4%)
  • Deval Patrick 0.2%
  • Michael Bennet 0.0% [0.0%] (0.6%)
  • John Delaney 0.0% [0.2%] (0.6%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 27% [18%] (25%)
  • Bernie Sanders 20% [11%] (11%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 18% [15%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% [13%] (11%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 24% [17%] (23%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18% [8%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 17% [12%] (6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% [20%] (14%)
Survey of 500 likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers was conducted January 23-26, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 26% {30%} [31%] (32%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {32%} [35%] (31%)
  • Bernie Sanders 23% {20%} [19%] (17%) {18%} [10%] (15%) {13%} [17%] (23%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14% {13%} [21%] (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (4%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 10% {5%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% {7%} [7%] (4%) {5%} [3%] (5%) {8%} [6%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 5% {3%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 3% {5%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 1% {*}
  • Michael Bennet * {1%} [*] (1%) {1%} [*] (*) {*}( [*] (*)
  • John Delaney * {*} [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard * {3%} [2%] (1%) {*} [1%] (*) {1%} [1%] (*)
  • Other (vol.) 0% {*} [*] (*) {0%} [1%] (0%) {*} [*] (1%)
  • None of the above (vol.) 1% {2%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (*) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know (vol.) 5% {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%] (11%)
Under Age 45
  • Bernie Sanders 39% {30%} [31%] (27%) {29%} [15%] (25%) {18%} [25%] (37%)
  • Joe Biden 18% {18%} [24%] (22%) {20%} [20%] (18%) {21%} [22%] (19%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% {12%} [15%] (18%) {15%} [23%] (11%) {6%} [9%] (4%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 7% {4%}
Age 45+
  • Joe Biden 32% {40%} [37%] (41%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% {14%} [26%] (25%) {17%} [18%] (12%) {11%} [9%] (3%)
  • Mike Bloomberg 12% {5%}
  • Bernie Sanders 12% {10%} [10%] (8%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (11%)
White, College Degree
  • Joe Biden 23% {24%} [25%] (31%) {28%} [29%] (28%) {29%} [27%]
  • Bernie Sanders 19% {15%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [6%] (10%) {10%} [13%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 16% {20%} [32%] (30%) {20%} [33%] (16%) {9%} [14%]
  • Mike Bloomberg 13% {7%}
White, No College Degree
  • Joe Biden 25% {30%} [35%] (31%) {24%} [34%] (36%) {31%} [40%]
  • Bernie Sanders 24% {21%} [21%] (20%) {16%} [8%] (18%) {17%} [23%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 17% {13%} [17%] (22%) {19%} [15%] (12%) {11%} [7%]
  • Mike Bloomberg 6% {2%}
Survey of Democratic primary voters was conducted January 19-22, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 8-11, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 27-30, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 6-8, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 11-14, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/CNN New Hampshire 2020 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (21%) {19%} [30%] (26%
  • Joe Biden 16% (15%) {24%} [18%] (22%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 15% (10%) {10%} [15%] (1%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% (18%) {19%} [5%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 6% (5%) {0%} [2%] (4%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 5% (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 5% (5%) {1%} [2%]
  • Tom Steyer 2% (3%) {0%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 1%
  • John Delaney 1% (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%) {1%}
  • Deval Patrick 0%
  • Undecided 10% (10%) {9%} [12%] (14%)
Survey of 516 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 15-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-27, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 8-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-26, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

CBS News/YouGov Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 26% {23%} [22%] (21%) {26%} [19%] (22%)
  • Joe Biden 25% {23%} [22%] (22%) {29%} [24%] (30%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 22% {23%} [21%] (14%) {7%} [7%] (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% {16%} [18%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (12%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 7% {7%} [5%] (2%) {2%} [4%] (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%]
  • Andrew Yang 1% {2%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • John Delaney 1% [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (2%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% {1%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 0% {0%}
Survey of 1,401 Iowa registered voters who are Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted January 16-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 27, 2019 - January 3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 6-13, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3-11, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 4, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-18, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 12, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

New York Times/Siena College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (19%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 18% (18%)
  • Joe Biden 17% (17%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15% (22%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 8% (4%)
  • Tom Steyer 3% (2%)
  • Andrew Yang 3% (3%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (2%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% (1%)
  • Deval Patrick 0%
Survey of 584 likely Iowa Democratic caucusgoers was conducted January 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 25-30, 2019 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 29.8% (21.8%) {12.6%} [24.1%] (14.8%)
  • Joe Biden 20.9% (23.4%) {22.7%} [25.3%] (29.2%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 12.4% (10.2%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (3.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10.7% (12.3%) {22.7%} [8.5%] (10.6%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 10.4% (17.8%) {16.1%} [11.4%] (0.0%)
  • Tom Steyer 5.1% (3.4%) {2.5%}
  • Andrew Yang 4.9% (1.8%) {4.7%} [0.0%] (0.0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 4.4% (1.8%) {2.2%} [0.9%] (0.0%)
  • John Delaney 0.7% (0.0%) {0.0%}
  • Michael Bennet 0.0% (0.0%) {0.9%}
  • Deval Patrick 0.0% (0.0%)
  • Someone else 0.7% (2.4%) {4.4%} [4.3%] (7.7%)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 31.6% (23.6%) {14.2%} [24.1%] (18.3%)
  • Joe Biden 22.1% (25.5%) {17.9%} [30.4%] (25.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 14.1% (8.9%) {1.6%} [2.3%] (3.6%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 5.0% (13.9%) {19.1%} [4.3%] (10.2%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7.4% (11.1%) {20.0%} [16.7%] (0.0%)
Among Women
  • Bernie Sanders 28.4% (20.3%) {11.3%} [24.1%] (12.6%)
  • Joe Biden 19.9% (21.8%) {26.5%} [21.0%] (32.0%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 15.1% (11.0%) {25.2%} [12.0%] (10.9%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 12.6% (22.9%) {13.2%} [6.9%] (0.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 11.3% (11.0%) {0.9%} [1.3%] (2.5%)
Survey of 450 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted January 23-26, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted December 7-10, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-24, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019 are in parentheses. 

Friday, January 24, 2020

Poll Watch: Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Emerson College 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 30.0% [32.2%] (27.4%) {27.4%} [25.0%] (31.3%) {32.9%} [29.7%] (33.9%) {32.6%} [23.9%] (25.9%) {27.4%}
  • Bernie Sanders 27.4% [24.8%] (26.5%) {24.4%} [21.7%] (24.2%) {20.2%} [15.4%] (27.1%) {24.9%} [28.9%] (26.3%) {17.2%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 12.7% [12.4%] (19.4%) {21.2%} [22.9%] (15.2%) {14.0%} [14.6%] (14.2%) {9.7%} [6.7%] (8.4%) {9.3%}
  • Andrew Yang 7.6% [6.3%] (4.1%) {4.4%} [8.1%] (4.5%) {1.9%} [3.1%] (0.7%) {1.1%} [2.8%] (1.4%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 7.4% [2.9%] (0.9%) {2.2%}
  • Pete Buttigieg 5.4% [7.8%] (7.5%) {6.5%} [6.4%] (3.2%) {6.3%} [5.2%] (6.3%) {7.5%} [9.0%] (2.9%) {0.0%}
  • Amy Klobuchar 3.6% [2.1%] (1.5%) {0.9%} [0.4%] (0.8%) {0.2%} [0.8%] (0.7%) {0.6%} [1.1%] (0.8%) {4.6%}
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1.2% [3.8%] (2.4%) {2.8%} [0.9%] (2.9%) {1.3%} [1.7%] (0.2%) {1.0%} [0.8%] (1.0%) {1.9%}
  • Tom Steyer 1.2% [1.7%] (1.7%) {0.5%} [0.0%] (0.0%) {1.5%}
  • John Delaney 0.6% [1.0%] (0.2%) {0.2%} [0.3%] (0.3%) {0.8%} [0.4%] (0.4%) {0.0%} [0.6%] {0.0}
  • Michael Bennet 0.4% [0.2%] (0.0%) {0.2%} [0.3%] (0.0%) {0.2%} [1.2%] (0.2%) {0.7%}
  • Deval Patrick 0.0% [0.0%] (0.2%)
  • Someone else 2.2% [2.5%] (2.8%) {2.0%} [2.1%] (1.0%) {1.2%} [2.3%] (2.4%) {1.7%} [2.0%] (4.7%) {5.6%}
Survey of 497 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 21-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted December 15-17, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21-23, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 24-26, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 27-29, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-18, 2019 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2019 are in curly brackets.