Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  
• Donald Trump 43% {41%} [40%] (41%)
  

Democrat

• Joe Biden 96% {95%} [94%] (93%)
  
• Donald Trump 2% {3%} [3%] (4%)
  

Republican

• Donald Trump 91% {90%} [89%] (84%)
  
• Joe Biden 5% {6%} [8%] (11%)
  

Independent

• Joe Biden 52% {53%} [54%] (51%)
  
• Donald Trump 34% {28%} [23%] (33%)
  

Men

• Donald Trump 49% {46%} [43%] (45%)
  
• Joe Biden 41% {44%} [45%] (42%)
  

Women

• Joe Biden 56% {55%} [54%] (54%)
  
• Donald Trump 38% {37%} [37%] (37%)
  

Whites with BA+

• Joe Biden 54% {46%} [55%]
  
• Donald Trump 39% {45%} [40%]
  

Whites without BA+

• Donald Trump 58% {51%} [50%]
  
• Joe Biden 36% {41%} [39%]
  

Hispanic

• Joe Biden 66% {65%} [57%] (66%)
  
• Donald Trump 26% {27%} [26%] (26%)
  

Survey of 1,252 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.