President Obama's White House Correspondents' Dinner Speech

The President's Speech Trailer

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA National Birther Poll

SurveyUSA National Birther Poll

Based on what you know now, was Barack Obama definitely born in the United States? Probably born in the United States? Probably born in another country? Or definitely born in another country?

• Definitely born in the United States 50%
• Probably born in the United States 27%
• Probably born in another country 15%
• Definitely born in another country 6%

Among Democrats

• Definitely born in the United States 73%
• Probably born in the United States 15%
• Probably born in another country 8%
• Definitely born in another country 3%

Among Republicans

• Definitely born in the United States 28%
• Probably born in the United States 37%
• Probably born in another country 21%
• Definitely born in another country 12%

Among Independents

• Definitely born in the United States 46%
• Probably born in the United States 29%
• Probably born in another country 17%
• Definitely born in another country 6%

Among Tea Party Members (12%)

• Definitely born in the United States 22%
• Probably born in the United States 34%
• Probably born in another country 29%
• Definitely born in another country 13%

Not a Member of the Tea Party (79%)

• Definitely born in the United States 56%
• Probably born in the United States 25%
• Probably born in another country 13%
• Definitely born in another country 5%

Among Liberals

• Definitely born in the United States 70%
• Probably born in the United States 15%
• Probably born in another country 9%
• Definitely born in another country 6%

Among Moderates

• Definitely born in the United States 52%
• Probably born in the United States 28%
• Probably born in another country 15%
• Definitely born in another country 4%

Among Conservatives

• Definitely born in the United States 34%
• Probably born in the United States 34%
• Probably born in another country 21%
• Definitely born in another country 10%

Have Seen Newly Released Birth Certificate (42%)

• Definitely born in the United States 63%
• Probably born in the United States 19%
• Probably born in another country 11%
• Definitely born in another country 6%

Have NOT Seen Newly Released Birth Certificate (57%)

• Definitely born in the United States 40%
• Probably born in the United States 32%
• Probably born in another country 19%
• Definitely born in another country 7%

(Among those who have seen President Obama's newly released birth certificate) Which describes you: (1): I always knew the President was born in America. (2): I had my doubts, but now I am satisfied that the President was born in America. (3): I still have doubts about where the President was born. (4): I am sure the birth certificate newly released by the White House is a forgery.

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 57%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 14%
• Still have doubts 18%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 10%

Among Democrats (39%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 79%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 7%
• Still have doubts 10%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 3%

Among Republicans (23%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 24%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 24%
• Still have doubts 33%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 18%

Among Independents (38%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 54%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 15%
• Still have doubts 18%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 13%

Among Tea Party Members (14%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 19%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 24%
• Still have doubts 40%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 17%

Not a Member of the Tea Party (79%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 65%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 13%
• Still have doubts 13%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 9%

Among Liberals (24%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 74%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 6%
• Still have doubts 10%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 10%

Among Moderates (42%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 64%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 13%
• Still have doubts 17%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 7%

Among Conservatives (31%)

• Always knew President was born in U.S. 34%
• Had doubts, but now satisfied 23%
• Still have doubts 27%
• Sure birth certificate is a forgery 16%

As it stands now, is Obama's birthplace still an open item to be debated? Or is it now a closed incident?

• Open item 27%
• Closed incident 56%

Among Democrats

• Open item 14%
• Closed incident 74%

Among Republicans

• Open item 42%
• Closed incident 38%

Among Independents

• Open item 27%
• Closed incident 53%

Among Tea Party Members

• Open item 47%
• Closed incident 33%

Not a Member of the Tea Party

• Open item 22%
• Closed incident 61%

Among Liberals

• Open item 17%
• Closed incident 71%

Among Moderates

• Open item 22%
• Closed incident 59%

Among Conservatives

• Open item 42%
• Closed incident 42%

Based on what you know, will Barack Obama be re-elected president in 2012? Or will someone else be elected president?

• Obama re-elected 33%
• Someone else 49%

Among Democrats

• Obama re-elected 55%
• Someone else 25%

Among Republicans

• Obama re-elected 11%
• Someone else 77%

Among Independents

• Obama re-elected 28%
• Someone else 50%

Among Tea Party Members

• Obama re-elected 11%
• Someone else 81%

Not a Member of the Tea Party

• Obama re-elected 36%
• Someone else 44%

Among Liberals

• Obama re-elected 52%
• Someone else 30%

Among Moderates

• Obama re-elected 34%
• Someone else 42%

Among Conservatives

• Obama re-elected 17%
• Someone else 71%

If there were an election for president of the United States today, which describes you: I would vote FOR Barack Obama no matter who runs against him. I would vote AGAINST Barack Obama no matter who runs against him. I would need to see who is on the ballot before I know how I would vote

• Vote FOR Obama 26%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 34%
• Need to See Ballot First 35%

Among Democrats

• Vote FOR Obama 53%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 13%
• Need to See Ballot First 30%

Among Republicans

• Vote FOR Obama 4%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 68%
• Need to See Ballot First 27%

Among Independents

• Vote FOR Obama 18%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 29%
• Need to See Ballot First 45%

Among Tea Party Members

• Vote FOR Obama 6%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 71%
• Need to See Ballot First 21%

Not a Member of the Tea Party

• Vote FOR Obama 30%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 28%
• Need to See Ballot First 37%

Among Liberals

• Vote FOR Obama 50%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 12%
• Need to See Ballot First 31%

Among Moderates

• Vote FOR Obama 24%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 26%
• Need to See Ballot First 44%

Among Conservatives

• Vote FOR Obama 11%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 62%
• Need to See Ballot First 26%

Among Men

• Vote FOR Obama 22%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 38%
• Need to See Ballot First 36%

Among Women

• Vote FOR Obama 29%
• Vote AGAINST Obama 31%
• Need to See Ballot First 35%

National survey of 1,500 adults, including a subsample of 631 who have seen Barack Obama's newly released birth certificate, was conducted April 27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points among all adults; +/- 3.9 percentage points among adults who have seen Obama's long-form birth certificate, which was released by the White House on April 27. Party ID breakdown: 34% Democrat; 26% Republican; 39% Independent. Political ideology: 40% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 22% Liberal.

Rep. James Lankford (R-OK) Delivers Weekly Republican Address

President Obama Delivers Weekly Address: Ending Taxpayer Subsidies for Oil Companies

Fox News 2012 Primary Preview: Ron Paul

Sarah Palin on Special Report with Bret Baier

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 GOP Nomination Survey (Dark Horse Edition)

If the 2012 Republican Primary for President were held today and you had a choice between Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Michele Bachman, Herman Cain, Buddy Roemer, Gary Johnson, Thaddeus McCotter or John Huntsman for whom would you vote?

• Michele Bachmann 27%
• Rick Santorum 12%
• Herman Cain 9%
• Rick Perry 7%
• Jon Huntsman 3%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Thaddeus McCotter 1%
• Some other candidate 17%
• Undecided 22%

National survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Bachmann’s support climbs to 31% among unaffiliated voters who are likely to vote in a Republican primary. 

Given this slate of candidates, however, 42% of Republicans who plan to vote in the primaries either want another candidate or are undecided, compared to 32% of unaffiliated primary voters.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Suppose some of the bigger names decided not to run for President in 2012 and you had a choice between Mitt Romney, Rick Perry, Chris Christie, John Huntsman, Tim Pawlenty, Mitch Daniels and Paul Ryan….for whom would you vote?

• Mitt Romney 27%
• Chris Christie 26%
• Paul Ryan 12%
• Tim Pawlenty 8%
• Mitch Daniels 4%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Some other candidate 6%
• Undecided 12%

National survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Romney, who unsuccessfully sought the GOP presidential nomination in 2008, has a slight edge among Republicans. But Christie holds a double-digit lead over the former Massachusetts governor among unaffiliated voters who are likely to vote in GOP primaries. 

Tea Party members likely to vote in Republican primaries strongly prefer Christie to Romney. Those who are not members of the grass roots movement favor Romney by nearly as wide a margin. 

Evangelical Christian primary voters are closely divided between the two, but other Protestants like Romney more. Catholics give the nod to Christie. Those of other faiths are evenly divided. 

Those who earn more than $60,000 per year favor Christie; those who earn less like Romney more. 

Across all demographic categories, Christie and Romney are the clear leaders in this pack of potential GOP presidential hopefuls.

Fox News 2012 Primary Preview: Herman Cain

Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

Republican Nomination

• Mitt Romney 19% (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 17% (15%)
• Sarah Palin 9% (12%)
• Donald Trump 8% (11%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% (7%)
• Ron Paul 7% (3%)
• Herman Cain 4% (2%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (4%)
• Michele Bachmann 3% (2%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (2%)
• Mitch Daniels 2% (3%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%)
• Gary Johnson 1% (1%)
• Fred Karger 1%
• Roy Moore 1%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Someone else 1% (1%)
• Too soon to say 9% (5%)
• Don't know 4% (8%)

Note: Rudy Giuliani was included in the April 3-5 poll, and received 9 percent of the vote.

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 53% / 44% {+9%}
• Donald Trump 33% / 57% {-24%}

How proud are you to have Barack Obama as president?

• Extremely 22%
• Very 19%
• Somewhat 24%
• Not at all 33%

How proud would you be to have Mike Huckabee as president?

• Extremely 5%
• Very 13%
• Somewhat 29%
• Not at all 38%

Among Republicans

• Extremely 8%
• Very 26%
• Somewhat 42%
• Not at all 15%

How proud would you be to have Mitt Romney as president?

• Extremely 4%
• Very 11%
• Somewhat 31%
• Not at all 39%

Among Republicans

• Extremely 9%
• Very 20%
• Somewhat 42%
• Not at all 16%

How proud would you be to have Donald Trump as president?

• Extremely 3%
• Very 7%
• Somewhat 23%
• Not at all 62%

Among Republicans

• Extremely 5%
• Very 10%
• Somewhat 35%
• Not at all 46%

Regardless of whether you would vote for Donald Trump or not, do you like his straight talk and the message he sends to the world, or not?

• Yes 47%
• No 47%

Regardless of how you feel about whether Barack Obama was born in the United States, do you think he has been trying to hide something about his upbringing and his past before he got into politics, or not?

• Yes, trying to hide something 33%
• No, not trying to hide something 61%

Among Democrats

• Yes, trying to hide something 12%
• No, not trying to hide something 85%

Among Republicans

• Yes, trying to hide something 58%
• No, not trying to hide something 35%

Among Independents

• Yes, trying to hide something 36%
• No, not trying to hide something 56%

Among Moderates

• Yes, trying to hide something 17%
• No, not trying to hide something 70%

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Yes, trying to hide something 66%
• No, not trying to hide something 26%

Survey of 911 registered voters, including a subsample of 322 Republicans, was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) April 25-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points; +/- 6 percentage points among Republican voters.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Gallup: Negative Views of the Tea Party Rise to New High

Negative Views of the Tea Party Rise to New High

Survey Methods

Results for this USA Today/Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted April 20-23, 2011, with a random sample of 1,013 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. 

For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 50% (49%)
• Barack Obama 43% (41%)

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mike Huckabee 42%

• Barack Obama 45% (44%)
• Tim Pawlenty 38% (37%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 44% (46%)
• Disapprove 52% (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way President Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 40% (42%)
• Disapprove 57% (55%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling health care policy?

• Approve 40% (39%)
• Disapprove 57% (56%)

The U.S. House and Senate passed legislation in March that will overhaul the nation’s health care system. Based on what you have seen or heard, do you favor or oppose the health care legislation that was passed in Congress?

• Favor 35% (38%)
• Oppose 52% (52%)

Do you think Congress should try to repeal the health care law that was passed last year, or should they let it stand?

• Repeal 52% (52%)
• Let stand 39% (41%)

Survey of 504 adults was conducted April 15-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 2011 are in parentheses.

Gary Johnson on The Daily Rundown

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Sen. Pat Toomey on Morning Joe

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Massachusetts Republican Survey on RomneyCare

Magellan Strategies (R) Massachusetts GOP Survey on RomneyCare

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Massachusetts Health Care Plan that was enacted by Governor Mitt Romney and the Massachusetts Legislature in 2006?

• Very Favorable 15%
• Somewhat Favorable 15%
• Somewhat Unfavorable 17%
• Very Unfavorable 34%

• Total Favorable 30%
• Total Unfavorable 51%

Do you think the state of Massachusetts should keep the Health Care Plan or repeal it and replace it with something else?

• Repeal Health Care Plan and replace it 53%
• Keep Health Care Plan 29%

Do you think the Massachusetts Health Care Plan will help Mitt Romney's presidential campaign, hurt Mitt Romney's presidential campaign, or will it not make much of a difference at all?

• Help Romney's campaign 13%
• Hurt Romney's campaign 42%
• Not make much difference 43%

How would you describe Mitt Romney's time as Governor of Massachusetts? Would you say he was a "Tea Party conservative" seeking drastic changes to reduce the size of government, or as an "Establishment Republican" willing to compromise with Democrats and maintain the status quo, or a "Moderate or Liberal Republican" who is economically conservative, but liberal on social issues like abortion and gay rights?

• Establishment Republican 40%
• Moderate or Liberal Republican 37%
• Tea Party Conservative 13%

Survey of 740 likely 2012 Massachusetts Republican Presidential primary voters was conducted April 25-26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 55% Republican; 45% Independent.

Poll Watch: University of Iowa Hawkeye 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

UI Hawkeye 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

National Republican Nomination

• Mitt Romney 17%
• Mike Huckabee 16%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Sarah Palin 11%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Haley Barbour 2%
• Mitch Daniels 1%
• Someone else 10%
• Don't know 16%

Iowa Caucus

• Mitt Romney 24%
• Mike Huckabee 23%
• Sarah Palin 15%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Tim Pawlenty 8%
• Ron Paul 2%
• Haley Barbour 1%
• Michele Bachmann 0%
• Mitch Daniels 0%
• Someone else 11%
• Don't know 8%

Survey of 234 adult self-described Republicans nationwide, including a subsample of 92 adult Republicans in Iowa, was conducted April 4-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 6.41 percentage points among Republicans nationally; +/- 10.22 percentage points among Republicans in Iowa.  Click here to view topline results.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) West Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) West Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

• Joe Manchin (D) 48% (50%)
• Shelley Moore Capito (R) 40% (41%)

• Joe Manchin (D) 61% (60%)
• John Raese (R) 29% (31%)

• Joe Manchin (D) 63% (57%)
• David McKinley (R) 25% (28%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Joe Manchin’s job performance?

• Approve 55% (52%)
• Disapprove 31% (32%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 61% (62%)
• Disapprove 24% (26%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 45% (42%)
• Disapprove 41% (38%)

Among Independents

• Approve 46% (31%)
• Disapprove 42% (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jay Rockefeller’s job performance?

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Shelley Moore Capito 48% (54%) / 32% (30%) {+16%}
• David McKinley 22% (19%) / 25% (25%) {-3%}
• John Raese 26% (30%) / 52% (52%) {-26%}

Survey of 850 West Virginia voters was conducted April 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 60% (57%) Democrat; 29% (32%) Republican; 10% (10%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 18% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 GOP Caucus Survey 

• Mitt Romney 29% {31%} (34%) [34%]
• Newt Gingrich 17% {18%} (21%) [28%]
• Sarah Palin 12% {19%} (16%) [16%]
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Mike Huckabee 9% {14%} (11%) [11%]
• Ron Paul 7% {7%}
• Tim Pawlenty 7% {1%} (2%)
• Someone else/Undecided 9% {8%} (13%)

If the Republican candidates for President in 2012 were Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 24%
• Donald Trump 16%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Mike Huckabee 10%
• Tim Pawlenty 8%
• Sarah Palin 8%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Someone else/Undecided 12%

What if neither Mike Huckabee nor Donald Trump ran and the candidates for President in 2012 were just Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 33%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Sarah Palin 14%
• Michele Bachmann 11%
• Tim Pawlenty 9%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Someone else/Undecided 8%

What if Mike Huckabee did run, but neither Sarah Palin nor Donald Trump did, and the candidates for President in 2012 were just Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 31%
• Newt Gingrich 16%
• Mike Huckabee 15%
• Michele Bachmann 11%
• Tim Pawlenty 10%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Someone else/Undecided 9%

What if neither Mike Huckabee, nor Sarah Palin, nor Donald Trump ran for President and the candidates were just Michele Bachmann, Newt Gingrich, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 38%
• Newt Gingrich 21%
• Michele Bachmann 14%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Tim Pawlenty 8%
• Someone else/Undecided 9%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 64% {70%} / 23% {18%} {+41%}
• Newt Gingrich 61% {63%} / 21% {20%} {+40%}
• Sarah Palin 65% {70%} / 26% {24%} {+39%}
• Mike Huckabee 61% {65%} / 26% {22%} {+35%}
• Donald Trump 47% / 40% {+7%}

Among Birthers

• Sarah Palin 81% / 13% {+68%}
• Newt Gingrich 75% / 13% {+62%}
• Mitt Romney 67% / 23% {+44%}
• Mike Huckabee 66% / 24% {+42%}
• Donald Trump 61% / 27% {+34%}

Among Non-Birthers

• Mitt Romney 62% / 27% {+35%}
• Mike Huckabee 51% / 33% {+18%}
• Newt Gingrich 48% / 33% {+15%}
• Sarah Palin 46% / 46% {0%}
• Donald Trump 27% / 62% {-35%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 34%
• No 51%

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 28%
• No 43%
• Not sure 29%

Would you be willing to vote for someone who supported a bill at the state level mandating that voters have health insurance for President?

• Would be willing to vote for someone for President who supported a bill at the state level mandating that voters have health insurance 7%
• Would not be willing to 69%
• Not sure 23%

Survey of 300 Republican primary voters was conducted April 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 42% Somewhat conservative; 34% Very conservative; 19% Moderate; 4% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 42% (51%) [44%]
• Disapprove 53% (44%) [43%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 76% (81%) [72%]
• Disapprove 18% (14%) [17%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 9% (15%) [18%]
• Disapprove 89% (80%) [75%]

Among Independents

• Approve 37% (50%) [41%]
• Disapprove 57% (46%) [42%]

Among Men

• Approve 35% (47%) [43%]
• Disapprove 60% (49%) [43%]

Among Women

• Approve 48% (55%) [45%]
• Disapprove 47% (39%) [42%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

• Republican candidate 41% (39%) [37%]
• Barack Obama 40% (45%) [41%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 13% (11%) [14%]

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 78% (82%) [77%]
• Republican candidate 9% (7%) [7%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 11% (7%) [9%]

Among Republicans

• Republican candidate 84% (87%) [81%]
• Barack Obama 4% (4%) [5%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 8% (8%) [11%]

Among Independents

• Republican candidate 36% (33%) [36%]
• Barack Obama 29% (43%) [32%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 23% (19%) [21%]

Among Men

• Republican candidate 45% (41%) [39%]
• Barack Obama 33% (42%) [41%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 16% (11%) [13%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 45% (48%) [42%]
• Republican candidate 37% (37%) [36%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 12% (11%) [14%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 42% (48%) [44%]
• No/Does not 52% (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Yes/Deserves 77% (82%) [76%]
• No/Does not 16% (12%) [14%]

Among Republicans

• Yes/Deserves 6% (7%) [9%]
• No/Does not 91% (86%) [84%]

Among Independents

• Yes/Deserves 37% (47%) [40%]
• No/Does not 56% (42%) [40%]

Among Men

• Yes/Deserves 35% (44%) [44%]
• No/Does not 60% (48%) [44%]

Among Women

• Yes/Deserves 48% (51%) [44%]
• No/Does not 46% (42%) [46%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 44% (44%) [39%]
• Disapprove 26% (24%) [29%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr. the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

• Bob Casey 46% (45%) [43%]
• Republican 34% (35%) [35%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 9% (9%) [11%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 48% (46%) [40%]
• No/Does not 31% (28%) [33%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 43% (41%)
• Disapprove 25% (21%)

What do you think is more important, to protect the right of Americans to own guns or to control gun ownership?

• Protect rights 48%
• Control ownership 47%

Among Democrats

• Protect rights 29%
• Control ownership 66%

Among Republicans

• Protect rights 69%
• Control ownership 28%

Among Independents

• Protect rights 49%
• Control ownership 44%

Among Men

• Protect rights 58%
• Control ownership 35%

Among Women

• Protect rights 39%
• Control ownership 56%

Among Gun Owners (43%)

• Protect rights 68%
• Control ownership 28%

Among Non-Gun Owners (54%)

• Protect rights 32%
• Control ownership 62%

Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?

• Doing the right thing 30% (40%) [38%]
• Should not be involved 64% (52%) [56%]

Among Democrats

• Doing the right thing 26% (29%) [27%]
• Should not be involved 72% (61%) [68%]

Among Republicans

• Doing the right thing 36% (55%) [54%]
• Should not be involved 60% (36%) [41%]

Among Independents

• Doing the right thing 29% (39%) [40%]
• Should not be involved 62% (54%) [54%]

Among Men

• Doing the right thing 36% (47%) [44%]
• Should not be involved 58% (46%) [50%]

Among Women

• Doing the right thing 25% (32%) [33%]
• Should not be involved 70% (57%) [61%]

Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by using military force in Libya now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Libya now?

• Doing the right thing 27%
• Should not be involved 68%

Among Democrats

• Doing the right thing 31%
• Should not be involved 65%

Among Republicans

• Doing the right thing 25%
• Should not be involved 71%

Among Independents

• Doing the right thing 23%
• Should not be involved 72%

Among Men

• Doing the right thing 32%
• Should not be involved 64%

Among Women

• Doing the right thing 23%
• Should not be involved 72%

Do you think Congress should try to repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?

• Repeal it 52% (48%) [45%]
• Let it stand 40% (42%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Repeal it 24% (22%) [22%]
• Let it stand 66% (69%) [68%]

Among Republicans

• Repeal it 76% (81%) [73%]
• Let it stand 17% (12%) [20%]

Among Independents

• Repeal it 59% (47%) [42%]
• Let it stand 35% (40%) [45%]

Among Men

• Repeal it 55% (54%) [45%]
• Let it stand 38% (38%) [45%]

Among Women

• Repeal it 49% (43%) [44%]
• Let it stand 41% (46%) [46%]

Survey of 1,366 registered voters was conducted April 19-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-13, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

If the 2012 Republican Primary for President were held today, would you vote for Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Donald Trump, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Newt Gingrich or Mitch Daniels?

• Donald Trump 19%
• Mitt Romney 17% [24%] (20%)
• Mike Huckabee 15% [17%] (19%)
• Newt Gingrich 9% [11%] (13%)
• Sarah Palin 9% [19%] (19%)
• Ron Paul 8% [4%] (5%)
• Tim Pawlenty 5% [6%] (6%)
• Mitch Daniels 3% [3%] (3%)
• Some other candidate 5% [6%] (7%)
• Not sure 11% [10%] (8%)

National survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1, 2010 are in parentheses.


Inside the numbers:

Trump leads among male GOP primary voters, while female voters prefer Romney as their first choice. 

Similarly, Republican voters favor Trump, but unaffiliated voters who are likely to vote in GOP primaries like Romney best. 

Trump is the top choice of likely primary voters who are Tea Party members with 22% support, compared to 16% support among non-members. Romney is the top choice of those who are not members of the grass roots movement. 

Huckabee runs strongest among primary voters who are Evangelical Christians with 23% support. Romney leads among other Protestants and is tied with Trump among Catholic voters. Trump has a slight edge among likely primary voters of other faiths. 

The nationally-known businessman and reality TV star leads among most income groups, too. He’s also ahead among married voters and those with children in the home.

Rep. Paul Ryan vs. President Obama?

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Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Survey on Barack Obama & the Economy

Marist/McClatchy Survey on Barack Obama and the Economy

Do you approve or disapprove of how President Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 40%
• Disapprove 57%

Among Democrats

• Approve 71%
• Disapprove 27%

Among Republicans

• Approve 11%
• Disapprove 87%

Among Independents

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 63%

Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 63%
• Economic conditions mostly result of his own policies 30%

Among Democrats

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 84%
• Economic conditions mostly result of his own policies 11%

Among Republicans

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 34%
• Economic conditions mostly result of his own policies 55%

Among Independents

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 65%
• Economic conditions mostly result of his own policies 29%

Survey of 1,084 registered voters was conducted April 10-14, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% Democrat; 27% Republican; 36% Independent. Political ideology: 40% Conservative; 39% Moderate; 21% Liberal.

Gallup: Brief Honeymoon Ends for Speaker Boehner as Ratings Slide

Image now equally negative and positive

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 46% (46%)
• Barack Obama 43% (47%)

• Barack Obama 45% (51%)
• Mike Huckabee 43% (41%)

• Barack Obama 46% (51%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% (40%)

• Barack Obama 47%
• Donald Trump 41%

• Barack Obama 50% (52%)
• Sarah Palin 39% (39%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 58% (52%)
• Barack Obama 27% (41%)

• Mike Huckabee 49% (35%)
• Barack Obama 32% (58%)

• Newt Gingrich 46% (29%)
• Barack Obama 35% (56%)

• Donald Trump 45%
• Barack Obama 41%

• Sarah Palin 43% (35%)
• Barack Obama 41% (57%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 53% (61%)
• Mitt Romney 34% (35%)

• Barack Obama 56% (68%)
• Mike Huckabee 29% (24%)

• Barack Obama 57% (69%)
• Newt Gingrich 28% (23%)

• Barack Obama 59%
• Donald Trump 29%

• Barack Obama 61% (68%)
• Sarah Palin 25% (21%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 51% (47%)
• Barack Obama 38% (44%)

• Donald Trump 47%
• Barack Obama 40%

• Mike Huckabee 47% (41%)
• Barack Obama 40% (49%)

• Newt Gingrich 46% (38%)
• Barack Obama 40% (51%)

• Barack Obama 45% (50%)
• Sarah Palin 44% (38%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 47% (49%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (45%)

• Barack Obama 50% (53%)
• Mike Huckabee 39% (40%)

• Barack Obama 51% (51%)
• Newt Gingrich 39% (41%)

• Barack Obama 52%
• Donald Trump 36%

• Barack Obama 54% (54%)
• Sarah Palin 35% (39%)

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump running as an independent, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 42%
• Mitt Romney 34%
• Donald Trump 20%

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mike Huckabee, and Donald Trump running as an independent, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 44%
• Mike Huckabee 30%
• Donald Trump 21%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 43% (47%) / 43% (37%) {0%}
• Mike Huckabee 36% (43%) / 45% (39%) {-9%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% (35%) / 53% (51%) {-20%}
• Donald Trump 32% / 59% {-27%}
• Sarah Palin 34% (36%) / 61% (58%) {-27%}

Among Republicans

• Sarah Palin 67% (67%) / 25% (27%) {+42%}
• Newt Gingrich 61% (67%) / 26% (21%) {+35%}
• Mitt Romney 61% (71%) / 27% (20%) {+34%}
• Mike Huckabee 59% (67%) / 27% (21%) {+32%}
• Donald Trump 51% / 37% {+14%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48% (58%) / 38% (28%) {+10%}
• Mike Huckabee 40% (38%) / 42% (50%) {-2%}
• Donald Trump 35% / 57% {-22%}
• Sarah Palin 35% (28%) / 59% (61%) {-24%}
• Newt Gingrich 31% (26%) / 56% (65%) {-25%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 44% (42%) / 38% (42%) {+6%}
• Mike Huckabee 26% (35%) / 51% (47%) {-25%}
• Donald Trump 29% / 64% {-35%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% (20%) / 61% (65%) {-37%}
• Sarah Palin 24% (17%) / 69% (74%) {-45%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 42% (45%) / 45% (46%) {-3%}
• Mike Huckabee 36% (44%) / 50% (40%) {-14%}
• Sarah Palin 37% (36%) / 57% (57%) {-20%}
• Newt Gingrich 34% (31%) / 54% (58%) {-20%}
• Donald Trump 35% / 58% {-23%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 44% (49%) / 41% (30%) {+3%}
• Mike Huckabee 37% (42%) / 42% (39%) {-5%}
• Newt Gingrich 32% (38%) / 53% (44%) {-21%}
• Donald Trump 30% / 59% {-29%}
• Sarah Palin 32% (36%) / 63% (58%) {-31%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% (50%)
• Disapprove 52% (46%)

Survey of 491 Nevada voters was conducted April 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% (45%) Democrat; 35% (39%) Republican; 20% (16%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 18% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Sestak 32% / 31% {+1%}
• Arlen Specter 32% / 53% {-21%}
• Ed Rendell 33% / 55% {-22%}

If there was an election today do you think you would vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate for Congress from your district, or are you not sure?

• Democrat 42%
• Republican 36%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 30%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 33%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 35%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 40%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 27%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 14%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 37%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 47%

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 37%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 31%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 30%

Survey of 593 Pennsylvania voters was conducted April 7-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 51% Democrat; 38% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 39% (39%)
• Disapprove 37% (11%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 20% (27%)
• Disapprove 55% (16%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 64% (57%)
• Disapprove 18% (4%)

Among Independents

• Approve 40% (40%)
• Disapprove 31% (13%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Tom Corbett is handling the state budget?

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 52%

To balance the state budget, if you had to choose, would you prefer - raising taxes or cutting government programs and services?

• Cut services 54% (56%)
• Raise taxes 36% (30%)

Do you think an increase in taxes is necessary to balance the budget or not?

• Yes 40%
• No 55%

In order to balance the state budget, Governor Corbett has proposed cuts in state spending. Do you think Corbett's cuts in state spending go too far, not far enough or are they about right?

• Too far 35%
• Not far enough 20%
• About right 31%

To help balance the state budget do you support or oppose layoffs for state employees?

• Support 43% (52%)
• Oppose 50% (40%)

To help balance the state budget, do you support or oppose a wage freeze for state employees?

• Support 68%
• Oppose 27%

Governor Tom Corbett has pledged that in trying to balance the state's budget deficit that he will not raise taxes or fees. Do you think Tom Corbett should have made this pledge or not?

• Yes 41% (49%)
• No 53% (43%)

Do you think Tom Corbett will be able to keep his campaign pledge or not?

• Yes 33% (33%)
• No 57% (53%)

Which comes closer to your view regarding Governor Corbett's budget proposal - A)Taxes should not be raised, there should only be spending cuts, or B)Taxes should be raised so that there will be fewer spending cuts.

• Only spending cuts 55%
• Taxes should be raised/fewer cuts 39%

Survey of 1,366 registered voters was conducted April 19-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses.

Sen. Bob Corker on Morning Joe

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Rep. Ron Paul on Fox & Friends

Fox News 2012 Primary Preview: Tim Pawlenty

Michele Bachmann on The O'Reilly Factor

Sarah Palin Goes On the Record with Greta

Poll Watch: Newsmax/InsiderAdvantage 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Newsmax/InsiderAdvantage 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

• Donald Trump 14.3%
• Mike Huckabee 14.1%
• Mitt Romney 13.5%
• Sarah Palin 11.8%
• Newt Gingrich 7.5%
• Michele Bachmann 6.2%
• Tim Pawlenty 5.9%
• Mitch Daniels 2.6%
• Undecided 23%

Survey of 883 registered Republican and Republican-leaning independents was conducted April 25, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Paul Ryan Defends Budget Plans, Changes to Medicare

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 48% [45%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (44%)
• Mike Huckabee 47% [45%] (47%) {45%} [46%] (48%)

• Barack Obama 47% [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 49% [47%] (48%) {50%} [48%] (46%)
• Newt Gingrich 45% [42%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (45%)

• Barack Obama 51%
• Donald Trump 39%

• Barack Obama 52% [51%] (51%) {50%} [52%] (48%)
• Sarah Palin 40% [40%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 46% [45%] (40%) {51%} [37%] (37%)
• Mike Huckabee 44% [36%] (45%) {40%} [47%] (46%)

• Barack Obama 43% [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)
• Mitt Romney 40% [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)

• Barack Obama 47% [45%] (45%) {49%} [41%] (39%)
• Newt Gingrich 43% [27%] (38%) {42%} [38%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 55%
• Donald Trump 37%

• Barack Obama 54% [55%] (54%) {48%} [51%] (42%)
• Sarah Palin 32% [30%] (33%) {32%} [33%] (46%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 48% [43%] (44%) {45%} [38%] (36%)
• Mike Huckabee 47% [47%] (52%) {49%} [51%] (55%)

• Barack Obama 49% [44%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (38%)
• Newt Gingrich 45% [45%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (55%)

• Barack Obama 49% [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)

• Barack Obama 50%
• Donald Trump 41%

• Barack Obama 54% [47%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (39%)
• Sarah Palin 38% [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (51%)

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 46% [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)
• Barack Obama 44% [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)

• Barack Obama 47% [48%] (48%) {53%} [50%] (50%)
• Mike Huckabee 46% [43%] (43%) {41%} [42%] (41%)

• Barack Obama 49% [50%] (51%) {53%} [52%] (53%)
• Newt Gingrich 46% [39%] (40%) {41%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 50% [54%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (55%)
• Sarah Palin 41% [36%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (35%)

• Barack Obama 52%
• Donald Trump 38%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Huckabee 42% [42%] (43%) {42%} [43%] (44%) / 37% [39%] (34%) {32%} [34%] (31%) {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 31% [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 44% [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-13%}
• Newt Gingrich 31% [29%] (30%) {34%} [35%] (34%) / 50% [48%] (48%) {45%} [47%] (43%) {-19%}
• Sarah Palin 33% [37%] (37%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 60% [57%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (55%) {-27%}
• Donald Trump 27% / 62% {-35%}

Among Republicans

• Mike Huckabee 69% [69%] (67%) {69%} [72%] (67%) / 15% [13%] (15%) {11%} [15%] (11%) {+54%}
• Sarah Palin 63% [66%] (71%) {73%} [68%] (62%) / 28% [26%] (23%) {17%} [24%] (24%) {+35%}
• Newt Gingrich 50% [48%] (55%) {54%} [65%] (56%) / 27% [23%] (23%) {19%} [23%] (20%) {+23%}
• Mitt Romney 45% [48%] (48%) {51%} [57%] (44%) / 32% [25%] (25%) {20%} [21%] (22%) {+13%}
• Donald Trump 45% / 42% {+3%}

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee 39% [30%] (46%) {39%} [39%] (51%) / 39% [56%] (32%) {41%} [31%] (26%) {0%}
• Mitt Romney 34% [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 43% [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-9%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% [17%] (29%) {34%} [34%] (33%) / 56% [58%] (54%) {51%} [43%] (41%) {-32%}
• Donald Trump 28% / 61% {-33%}
• Sarah Palin 26% [29%] (32%) {29%} [36%] (38%) / 67% [67%] (62%) {64%} [52%] (50%) {-41%}

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 45% [42%] (45%) {44%} [49%] (47%) / 41% [39%] (41%) {34%} [40%] (31%) {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 31% [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 50% [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-19%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% [36%] (37%) {38%} [40%] (43%) / 55% [43%] (50%) {46%} [50%] (41%) {-22%}
• Sarah Palin 31% [39%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (42%) / 63% [54%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (50%) {-32%}
• Donald Trump 28% / 65% {-37%}

Among Women

• Mike Huckabee 39% [42%] (40%) {41%} [38%] (41%) / 34% [38%] (28%) {31%} [28%] (31%) {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 31% [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 38% [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-7%}
• Newt Gingrich 29% [23%] (24%) {31%} [31%] (26%) / 45% [52%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {-16%}
• Sarah Palin 35% [34%] (34%) {39%} [31%] (30%) / 56% [59%] (60%) {55%} [60%] (60%) {-21%}
• Donald Trump 26% / 58% {-32%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 49% [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 48% [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Survey of 507 North Carolina voters was conducted April 14-17, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 46% [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 36% [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 18% [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% [28%] Moderate; 22% [23%] Somewhat conservative; 22% [24%] Very conservative; 14% [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% [9%] Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa Political Survey

PPP (D) Iowa Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Terry Branstad’s job performance?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 45%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Chet Culver or Republican Terry Branstad?

• Chet Culver 48%
• Terry Branstad 46%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Charles Grassley’s job performance?

• Approve 57% (54%)
• Disapprove 30% (31%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Tom Harkin’s job performance?

• Approve 47% (48%)
• Disapprove 38% (38%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Christie Vilsack 38% / 23% {+15%}
• Tom Vilsack 46% / 34% {+12%}
• Tom Latham 31% / 22% {+9%}
• Dave Loebsack 25% / 20% {+5%}
• Bruce Braley 22% / 20% {+2%}
• Leonard Boswell 28% / 30% {-2%}
• Steve King 27% / 34% {-7%}

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 35%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 29%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 33%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 57%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 25%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 17%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 10%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 28%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 58%

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 35%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 36%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 27%

Survey of 1,109 Iowa voters was conducted April 15-17, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 38% (37%) Democrat; 33% (37%) Republican; 29% (25%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 22% Somewhat conservative; 20% Very conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Gallup 2012 Presidential Survey

USA Today/Gallup 2012 Presidential Survey

I'm going to ask you about some people who may run for president in 2012. For each one, please tell me whether you will definitely vote for that person, whether you might consider voting for that person, or whether you will definitely not vote for that person?

Barack Obama

• Will definitely vote for 31%
• Might consider voting for 23%
• Will definitely not vote for 46%

Mitt Romney

• Will definitely vote for 6%
• Might consider voting for 42%
• Will definitely not vote for 45%

Mike Huckabee

• Will definitely vote for 7%
• Might consider voting for 39%
• Will definitely not vote for 46%

Donald Trump

• Will definitely vote for 7%
• Might consider voting for 28%
• Will definitely not vote for 64%

Sarah Palin

• Will definitely vote for 8%
• Might consider voting for 26%
• Will definitely not vote for 65%

AMONG REPUBLICANS

Mike Huckabee

• Definitely vote for/Might consider voting for 69%
• Definitely not voting for 22%

Mitt Romney

• Definitely vote for/Might consider voting for 69%
• Definitely not voting for 26%

Sarah Palin

• Definitely vote for/Might consider voting for 60%
• Definitely not voting for 37%

Donald Trump

• Definitely vote for/Might consider voting for 52%
• Definitely not voting for 46%

Survey of 902 registered voters was conducted April 20-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

• Dean Heller (R) 47% (51%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 43% (38%)

Among Democrats

• Shelley Berkley (D) 76% (64%)
• Dean Heller (R) 13% (20%)

Among Republicans

• Dean Heller (R) 86% (85%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 8% (12%)

Among Independents

• Dean Heller (R) 56% (56%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 29% (28%)

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 52% (53%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 39% (36%)

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 46% (40%)
• Dean Heller (R) 43% (49%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dean Heller 43% (46%) / 29% (23%) {+14%}
• Shelley Berkley 34% (34%) / 31% (29%) {+3%}

John Ensign announced this week that he will be resigning effective next month. Would you like for Governor Sandoval to appoint his replacement, or would you rather that there was a special election to choose his replacement?

• Special election to choose Sen. Ensign’s replacement 53%
• Gov. Sandoval to appoint Sen. Ensign’s replacement 44%

Survey of 491 Nevada voters was conducted April 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% (45%) Democrat; 35% (39%) Republican; 20% (16%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 18% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

(LIVE) White House Press Briefing

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Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) Political Survey

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

• Favorable 46% 
• Unfavorable 49%

Among Democrats

• Favorable 81%
• Unfavorable 14% 

Among Republicans

• Favorable 9%
• Unfavorable 88%

Among Independents

• Favorable 38%
• Unfavorable 53%

Among Liberals

• Favorable 88%
• Unfavorable 7%

Among Moderates

• Favorable 60%
• Unfavorable 35%

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 14%
• Unfavorable 81%

Among Men

• Favorable 45%
• Unfavorable 51%

Among Women

• Favorable 48%
• Unfavorable 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 50%

Among Democrats

• Approve 77%
• Disapprove 15%

Among Republicans

• Approve 8%
• Disapprove 90%

Among Independents

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 54%

Among Liberals

• Approve 87%
• Disapprove 8%

Among Moderates

• Approve 56%
• Disapprove 36%

Among Conservatives

• Approve 13%
• Disapprove 82%

Among Men

• Approve 42% 
• Disapprove 52% 

Among Women

• Approve 45%
• Disapprove 48%

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 47%
• Too conservative 8% 
• About right 42%

Among Democrats

• Too liberal 14%
• Too conservative 12%
• About right 70%

Among Republicans

• Too liberal 86%
• Too conservative 6%
• About right 8%

Among Independents

• Too liberal 49%
• Too conservative 7%
• About right 41%

Among Liberals

• Too liberal 12%
• Too conservative 15%
• About right 72%

Among Moderates

• Too liberal 30%
• Too conservative 10%
• About right 56%

Among Conservatives

• Too liberal 78%
• Too conservative 3%
• About right 15%

Among Men

• Too liberal 50%
• Too conservative 10%
• About right 38%

Among Women

• Too liberal 44%
• Too conservative 7%
• About right 45%

Generally speaking if there was an election today would you vote to reelect Barack Obama, or would you vote for his Republican opponent?

• Republican opponent 46%
• Barack Obama 45%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 80%
• Republican opponent 11%

Among Republicans

• Republican opponent 89%
• Barack Obama 5%

Among Independents

• Republican opponent 46%
• Barack Obama 41%

Among Men

• Republican opponent 50%
• Barack Obama 43%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 47%
• Republican opponent 43%

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 election for President?

• Very excited 54%
• Somewhat excited 27%
• Not at all excited 19%

Among Democrats

• Very excited 52%
• Somewhat excited 31%
• Not at all excited 17%

Among Republicans

• Very excited 61%
• Somewhat excited 25%
• Not at all excited 14%

Among Independents

• Very excited 48%
• Somewhat excited 24%
• Not at all excited 28%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Harry Reid is doing?

• Approve 22%
• Disapprove 45%

Among Democrats

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 22%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mitch McConnell is doing?

• Approve 17%
• Disapprove 36%

Among Republicans

• Approve 25%
• Disapprove 26%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Democratic Party?

• Favorable 41%
• Unfavorable 49%

Among Men

• Favorable 37%
• Unfavorable 52%

Among Women

• Favorable 44%
• Unfavorable 46%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Republican Party?

• Favorable 36%
• Unfavorable 51%

Among Men

• Favorable 36%
• Unfavorable 51%

Among Women

• Favorable 35%
• Unfavorable 50%

Which do you think should be a higher priority for the government: creating jobs or cutting the deficit?

• Creating jobs 52%
• Cutting the deficit 40%

Among Democrats

• Creating jobs 70%
• Cutting the deficit 21%

Among Republicans

• Cutting the deficit 59%
• Creating jobs 37%

Among Independents

• Cutting the deficit 49%
• Creating jobs 43%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 18%
• No 67%

Survey of 1,002 registered voters was conducted April 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% Democrat; 34% Republican; 25% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 44% Moderate; 40% Conservative; 16% Liberal.