Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 42%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 67%
• Might end up supporting someone else 33%

If the Republican candidates were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 53%
• Mitt Romney 31%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Not sure 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 70% / 22% {+48%}
• Newt Gingrich 59% / 30% {+29%}
• Mitt Romney 49% / 41%{+8%}
• Ron Paul 35% / 55% {-20%}
• Buddy Roemer 28% / 56% {-28%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 34%
• No 53%

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 57%
• Are not 43%

Among Evangelical Christians

• Rick Santorum 51%
• Mitt Romney 23%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 1%

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Mitt Romney 34%
• Rick Santorum 31%
• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Buddy Roemer 3%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Do you think Governor Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2016, or not?

• He should 46%
• He should not 42%
• Not sure 13%

Do you approve or disapprove of former President George W. Bush’s handling of Hurricane Katrina?

• Approve 67%
• Disapprove 23%

Survey of 650 likely primary voters was conducted March 21-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Political ideology: 53% Very conservative; 32% Somewhat conservative; 11% Moderate; 2% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Rick Santorum 37%
• Mitt Romney 24%
• Newt Gingrich 21%
• Buddy Roemer 3%
• Ron Paul 3%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Michele Bachmann 2%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Undecided 6%

And if the Republican primary were being held today and the only candidates were, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?

• Rick Santorum 55%
• Mitt Romney 34%
• Undecided 11%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 72% / 20% {+52%}
• Newt Gingrich 61% / 28% {+33%}
• Mitt Romney 49% / 41% {+8%}

When making your choice to vote for the Republican candidate for President, are you more likely to vote for the candidate who best shares your position on the issues or the candidate who has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Candidate who has best chance of defeating Obama 49%
• Candidate who best shares your position on issues 45%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 36%
• No 46%

Survey of 2,018 likely primary voters was conducted March 19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.18 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Newt Gingrich 25% {51%} [22%] (17%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {14%}
• Rick Santorum 24% {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%}
• Mitt Romney 22% {14%} [19%] (17%) {12%} [16%] (23%) {25%}
• Ron Paul 9% {7%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (6%) {9%}
• Rick Perry 4% {4%} [10%] (15%) {35%} [17%] (14%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%}
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 11% {11%} [8%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {10%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 42% {37%} [34%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 58% {63%} [66%]

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 17% {15%} [19%]
• Rick Santorum 17% {2%} [2%]
• Mitt Romney 16% {18%} [12%]
• Rick Perry 12% {6%} [10%]
• Ron Paul 5% {3%} [4%]
• Jon Huntsman 4% {1%} [1%]
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Someone else/Not sure 28% {46%} [26%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 51%
• Mitt Romney 33%
• Not sure 16%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?

• Newt Gingrich 43%
• Mitt Romney 42%
• Not sure 15%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Rick Perry 35%
• Not sure 13%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 67%
• Ron Paul 21%
• Not sure 12%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 62% / 22% {+40%}
• Newt Gingrich 48% {73%} [65%] (58%) {42%} {38%} [55%] (62%) {61%} [63%] / 35% {17%} [25%] (31%) {43%} {47%} [25%] (18%) {21%} [21%] {+13%}
• Mitt Romney 46% {50%} [53%] (50%) {45%} [46%] (56%) {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 38% {34%} [30%] (31%) {38%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {+8%}
• Rick Perry 38% {31%} [39%] (44%) {61%} [40%] / 44% {49%} [41%] (37%) {17%} [16%] {-6%}
• Ron Paul 29% {29%} [27%] (34%) / 56% {51%} [48%] (45%) {-27%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 32% {29%} [31%]
• No 52% {53%} [54%]

Survey of 555 usual North Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted January 5-8, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% {40%} [36%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {39%} Very conservative; 38% {38%} [40%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} Somewhat conservative; 17% {18%} [17%] (16%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} Moderate; 3% {2%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 2% {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 35% (36%) {35%} [28%] (40%)
• Ron Paul 18% (21%) {19%} [9%] (18%)
• Jon Huntsman 16% (12%) {13%} [7%] 
• Newt Gingrich 12% (13%) {17%} [4%] (17%)
• Rick Santorum 11% (3%) {3%}  
• Buddy Roemer 3% (3%)
• Rick Perry 1% (3%) {2%} [9%]
• Someone else/Undecided 4% (2%) {4%} [9%] (10%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 42% (42%) {41%}
• Newt Gingrich 14% (15%) {20%}
• Ron Paul 14% (19%) {14%}
• Rick Santorum 13% (4%) {3%}
• Jon Huntsman 11% (7%) {8%}
• Rick Perry 2% (3%) {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% (2%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 26% (27%) {28%}
• Ron Paul 24% (25%) {26%}
• Jon Huntsman 23% (23%) {20%} 
• Rick Santorum 9% (2%) {2%}
• Newt Gingrich 8% (9%) {12%}
• Buddy Roemer 4% (5%)
• Rick Perry 0% (1%) {1%}
  

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 76% (71%) {65%}
• Might end up supporting someone else 24% (29%) {35%}

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 17% (8%) {5%}
• Mitt Romney 16% (18%) {16%}
• Newt Gingrich 15% (15%) {17%}
• Jon Huntsman 13% (13%) {10%} 
• Ron Paul 8% (8%) {13%}
• Rick Perry 5% (4%) {4%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% (2%)
• Someone else/Undecided 24% (25%) {22%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 60% (63%) {63%} [60%] (68%) / 34% (32%) {30%} [29%] (19%) {+26%}
• Jon Huntsman 55% (55%) {47%} [25%] (8%) / 30% (27%) {34%} [26%] (13%) {+25%}
• Rick Santorum 49% (39%) {37%} [40%] (30%) / 42% (40%) {44%} [25%] (17%) {+7%} 
• Ron Paul 43% (47%) {53%} [53%] (53%) / 51% (46%) {38%} [30%] (21%) {-8%} 
• Newt Gingrich 38% (42%) {42%} [33%] (45%) / 54% (53%) {51%} [51%] (36%) {-16%}
• Rick Perry 24% (26%) {24%} [33%] / 65% (62%) {63%} [13%] {-41%}

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• A candidate's ability to beat Obama 37% (36%) {35%}
• Their issue positions 55% (55%) {51%}

Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in New Hampshire?

• Mitt Romney 42% (40%) {35%}
• Jon Huntsman 16% (10%) {10%}
• Ron Paul 14% (15%) {12%}
• Newt Gingrich 5% (4%) {5%}
• Rick Santorum 4% (0%) {1%} 
• Buddy Roemer 2% (2%)
• Rick Perry 1% (1%) {0%}
• Someone else/Not sure 15% (26%) {34%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 20% (24%) {24%} [33%] (30%)
• No 71% (66%) {68%} [54%] (51%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 21% (23%)
• Are not 79% (77%)

Do you think Mitt Romney is too liberal, too conservative, both, about right, or are you not sure?

• Too liberal 18%
• Too conservative 8%
• Both 18%
• About right 32%
• Not sure 24%

Survey of 1,771 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted January 7-8, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 59% (61%) {61%} [65%] (67%) Republican; 37% (34%) {34%} [33%] (32%) Independent/Other; 5% (4%) {5%} [2%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 37% (39%) {36%} [36%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 27% (27%) {26%} [21%] (22%) Moderate; 26% (25%) {27%} [37%] (31%) Very conservative; 6% (4%) {7%} [4%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 4% (5%) {4%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 27-28, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 31% (22%) {25%} [25%] (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 24% (33%) {8%} [3%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 24% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Ron Paul 9% (8%) {7%} [2%] (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% (3%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Rick Perry 2% (8%) {15%} [6%]
• Undecided 7% (12%) {12%} [15%] (11%)

Among Definite GOP Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 32%
• Rick Santorum 26%
  
• Newt Gingrich 24%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Rick Perry 2%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Undecided 7%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 30%
• Newt Gingrich 25% 
• Rick Santorum 25%
  
• Ron Paul 9%
• Rick Perry 2%
  
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Undecided 7%

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Newt Gingrich 33%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Rick Santorum 19%
  
• Ron Paul 9%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Rick Perry 0%
  
• Undecided 8%

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 32%
• Rick Santorum 27%
  
• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Undecided 6%

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (503 Republicans, 93 independents, and 4 Democrats) was conducted January 4-5, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: Republican: 84% (74%) {81%} [79%] (76%); Independent: 16% (26%) {19%} [21%] (24%). Tea Party supporter: 46% (46%) {47%} [51%] (52%); Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 54% (54%) {53%} [49%] (48%).  Preference by Likely to Vote: Definite (10): 90%; Probably (7-9): 10%. Results from the poll conducted November 25-28, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-23, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ron Paul 20% (24%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {10%} [16%] (11%) {16%}
• Mitt Romney 19% (20%) {20%} [16%] (16%) {22%} [19%] (26%) {28%}
• Rick Santorum 18% (10%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [5%]
• Newt Gingrich 14% (13%) {14%} [22%] (27%) {8%} [5%] (15%) {19%}
• Rick Perry 10% (10%) {10%} [9%] (9%) {9%} [22%]
• Michele Bachmann 8% (11%) {10%} [11%] (13%) {8%} [18%] (14%) {15%}
• Jon Huntsman 4% (4%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {1%} [3%] (1%)
• Buddy Roemer 2% (2%)
• Someone else/Not sure 4% (5%) {7%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (8%) {12%}

Among Republicans 

• Mitt Romney 21% (22%) {22%} [15%] (16%) 
• Rick Santorum 19% (11%) {10%} [8%] (7%) 
• Newt Gingrich 17% (13%) {17%} [25%] (29%) 
• Ron Paul 17% (20%) {19%} [17%] (15%)
• Rick Perry 11% (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%)
• Michele Bachmann 8% (10%) {10%} [12%] (13%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% (4%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 4% (7%) {7%} [8%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 33% (46%) {34%} [35%] (34%) 
• Rick Santorum 14% (9%) {9%} [6%] (1%)
• Mitt Romney 14% (11%) {13%} [15%] (11%)  
• Jon Huntsman 10% (5%) {11%} [13%] (7%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% (8%) {6%} [12%] (21%)  
• Rick Perry 6% (4%) {7%} [6%] (7%)
• Buddy Roemer 5% (3%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% (13%) {10%} [8%] (7%)  
• Someone else/Not sure 6% (2%) {6%} [3%] (9%)

Regularly Watch Fox News

• Mitt Romney 24% (27%)
• Newt Gingrich 21% (16%)
• Rick Santorum 18% (11%)
• Ron Paul 11% (12%)
• Rick Perry 10% (10%)
• Michele Bachmann 9% (15%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% (2%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% (2%)
• Someone else/Not sure 4% (6%)

Do NOT Regularly Watch Fox News

• Ron Paul 30% (38%) 
• Rick Santorum 18% (10%)
• Mitt Romney 15% (13%)
• Rick Perry 9% (9%) 
• Newt Gingrich 8% (9%)
• Michele Bachmann 7% (7%)
• Jon Huntsman 6% (6%)
• Buddy Roemer 3% (2%)
• Someone else/Not sure 4% (5%)

Evangelicals

• Rick Santorum 24% (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 16% (14%)
• Mitt Romney 15% (16%) 
• Ron Paul 15% (21%) 
• Rick Perry 12% (12%)
• Michele Bachmann 11% (15%)  
• Buddy Roemer 2% (0%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 4% (6%)

Non-Evangelicals

• Ron Paul 25% (27%)
• Mitt Romney 24% (24%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% (11%)
• Rick Santorum 12% (7%)
• Rick Perry 8% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 7% (7%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% (8%)
• Buddy Roemer 3% (4%)
• Someone else/Not sure 4% (5%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 76% (72%) {63%} [60%] (55%)
• Might end up supporting someone else 24% (28%) {37%} [40%] (45%)

Among Those Strongly Committed to That Candidate

• Ron Paul 24% (28%) {29%} [29%] (22%)
  
• Mitt Romney 21% (21%) {23%} [18%] (20%)
• Rick Santorum 18% (10%) {9%} [5%] (5%)
• Newt Gingrich 14% (12%) {14%} [21%] (25%)
• Rick Perry 9% (9%) {9%} [9%] (7%)
• Michele Bachmann 8% (14%) {9%} [11%] (15%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
• Buddy Roemer 2% (1%)

Among Those Who Might End Up Supporting Someone Else

• Rick Santorum 20% (14%) {12%} [13%] (7%)
• Newt Gingrich 19% (17%) {18%} [28%] (32%)
• Mitt Romney 18% (22%) {19%} [14%] (13%)
  
• Rick Perry 14% (13%) {14%} [12%] (14%)
• Ron Paul 13% (21%) {18%} [13%] (16%)
• Michele Bachmann 8% (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%)
  
• Jon Huntsman 5% (3%) {4%} [6%] (4%)
• Buddy Roemer 2% (4%) 

Second Choice 

• Rick Perry 15% (11%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {12%}
• Rick Santorum 14% (14%) {9%} [8%] (9%) {5%}
• Michele Bachmann 13% (12%) {15%} [11%] (10%) {11%}
• Newt Gingrich 11% (12%) {13%} [14%] (17%) {17%}
• Mitt Romney 11% (10%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {11%}
• Ron Paul 8% (9%) {9%} [12%] (10%) {9%}
• Jon Huntsman 5% (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%}
• Buddy Roemer 2% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 22% (25%) {18%} [25%] (22%) {15%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 60% (56%) {52%} [49%] (51%) {46%} [44%] (29%) {27%} [28%] / 30% (29%) {32%} [33%] (28%) {17%} [22%] (18%) {11%} [9%] {+30%}
• Michele Bachmann 52% (53%) {52%} [55%] (56%) {44%} [47%] (53%) {49%} / 37% (37%) {34%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [35%] (16%) {13%} {+15%}
• Rick Perry 52% (48%) {48%} [43%] (44%) {38%} [56%] (21%) / 39% (40%) {40%} [47%] (46%) {41%} [24%] (16%) {+13%}
• Mitt Romney 48% (44%) {49%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [45%] (51%) {55%} [57%] / 44% (47%) {40%} [44%] (45%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {25%} [26%] {+4%}
• Ron Paul 43% (53%) {54%} [61%] (52%) {37%} [53%] (42%) {55%} [47%] / 51% (40%) {38%} [31%] (38%) {46%} [29%] (29%) {17%} [23%] {-8%}
• Newt Gingrich 40% (37%) {46%} [52%] (62%) {56%} [42%] (39%) {47%} [53%] / 54% (54%) {47%} [40%] (31%) {32%} [44%] (41%) {26%} [27%] {-14%}
• Jon Huntsman 27% (31%) {32%} [28%] (30%) {18%} [13%] (7%) {5%} / 53% (43%) {38%} [43%] (45%) {28%} [40%] (23%) {8%} {-26%} 

Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 27% (25%) {25%} [21%] (23%)
• Newt Gingrich 14% (13%) {17%} [30%] (33%)
• Ron Paul 14% (14%) {16%} [14%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 9% (5%) {3%} [3%] (2%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% (8%) {7%} [5%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 5% (8%) {6%} [7%] (7%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% (4%) {3%} [2%] (3%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 22% (23%) {20%} [16%] (14%)

Who do you think is going to win the Iowa caucuses?

• Mitt Romney 24% (15%) {19%}
• Ron Paul 20% (29%) {20%}
• Rick Santorum 9% (5%) {2%} 
• Newt Gingrich 8% (8%) {20%}
• Michele Bachmann 4% (7%) {6%}
• Rick Perry 4% (4%) {3%}
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%) {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 28% (30%) {27%}

Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in Iowa?

• Ron Paul 22% (26%) {22%}
• Rick Santorum 13% (10%) {8%}
• Michele Bachmann 13% (18%) {19%}
• Mitt Romney 8% (5%) {5%}
• Rick Perry 7% (7%) {7%}
• Newt Gingrich 5% (5%) {8%}
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%) {1%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% (1%)
• Someone else/Not sure 29% (28%) {28%}

Do you think that Rick Santorum has strong principles, or not?

• He does 59%
• He does not 16%

Do you think that Ron Paul has strong principles, or not?

• He does 60% (68%) {73%}
• He does not 19% (14%) {10%}

Do you think that Mitt Romney has strong principles, or not?

• He does 41% (42%) {50%}
• He does not 37% (37%) {31%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 25% (26%) {26%} [27%] (32%) {29%} [33%] (31%) {28%}
• No 65% (64%) {61%} [61%] (58%) {52%} [51%] (48%) {48%}

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• A candidate's ability to beat Obama 31% (30%) {32%} [32%] (34%)
• Their issue positions 54% (58%) {56%} [56%] (57%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 49% (47%)
• Are not 51% ( 53%)

Do you regularly watch Fox News, or not?

• Do 51% (52%)
• Do not 49% (48%)

When did you decide who to vote for: in the last week, the last month, or earlier?

• In the last week 29%
• In the last month 29%
• Earlier 34%

Decided in the Last Week

• Rick Santorum 29%
• Mitt Romney 17%
• Newt Gingrich 13%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Rick Perry 10%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Jon Huntsman 4%
• Buddy Roemer 3%

Decided in the Last Month

• Rick Santorum 20%
• Mitt Romney 19%
• Ron Paul 19%
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Rick Perry 14%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Jon Huntsman 3%
• Buddy Roemer 2%

Decided Earlier

• Ron Paul 28%
• Mitt Romney 24%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Rick Santorum 8%
• Rick Perry 8%
• Jon Huntsman 5%
• Buddy Roemer 2%

Survey of 1,340 likely Iowa Republican caucus voters was conducted December 31, 2011 - January 1, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 76% (76%) {75%} [78%] (80%) Republican; 18% (16%) {19%} [17%] (14%) Independent/Other; 6% (8%) {5%} [4%] (6%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 38% (37%) {36%} [42%] (40%) {36%} [38%] (41%) {44%} Very conservative; 33% (33%) {36%} [35%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {33%} Somewhat conservative; 18% (21%) {19%} [17%] (15%) {21%} [21%] (14%) {17%} Moderate; 6% (4%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {2%} Very liberal; 5% (5%) {6%} [3%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (6%) {4%} Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 26-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 36% {35%} [28%] (40%)
• Ron Paul 21% {19%} [9%] (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% {17%} [4%] (17%)
• Jon Huntsman 12% {13%} [7%]
• Michele Bachmann 7% {5%} [21%] (8%)
• Buddy Roemer 3%
• Rick Perry 3% {2%} [9%]
• Rick Santorum 3% {3%} 
• Someone else/Undecided 2% {4%} [9%] (10%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 71% {65%}
• Might end up supporting someone else 29% {35%}

Second Choice

• Mitt Romney 18% {16%}
• Newt Gingrich 15% {17%}
• Jon Huntsman 13% {10%}
• Rick Santorum 8% {5%} 
• Ron Paul 8% {13%}
• Michele Bachmann 7% {9%}
• Rick Perry 4% {4%}
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Someone else/Undecided {22%}

If the candidates at the time of the New Hampshire primary were just Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 37% {37%}
• Ron Paul 23% {21%}
• Newt Gingrich 16% {20%}
• Jon Huntsman 16% {15%}
• Not sure 8% {7%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 63% {63%} [60%] (68%) / 32% {30%} [29%] (19%) {+31%}
• Jon Huntsman 55% {47%} [25%] (8%) / 27% {34%} [26%] (13%) {+28%}
• Ron Paul 47% {53%} [53%] (53%) / 46% {38%} [30%] (21%) {+1%}
• Rick Santorum 39% {37%} [40%] (30%) / 40% {44%} [25%] (17%) {-1%} 
• Michele Bachmann 38% {42%} [64%] (38%) / 48% {46%} [24%] (18%) {-10%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% {42%} [33%] (45%) / 53% {51%} [51%] (36%) {-11%}
• Rick Perry 26% {24%} [33%] / 62% {63%} [13%] {-36%}

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• A candidate's ability to beat Obama 36% {35%}
• Their issue positions 55% {51%}

Do you think that Ron Paul has strong principles, or not?

• He does 72% {69%}
• He does not 12% {8%}

Do you think that Mitt Romney has strong principles, or not?

• He does 52% {51%}
• He does not 30% {26%}

Do you think that Jon Huntsman has strong principles, or not?

• He does 51% {48%}
• He does not 18% {15%}

Do you think that Newt Gingrich has strong principles, or not?

• He does 31% {34%}
• He does not 49% {41%}

Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 44% {38%}
• Newt Gingrich 11% {14%}
• Ron Paul 10% {9%}
• Jon Huntsman 8% {9%}
• Michele Bachmann 6% {3%}
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Rick Perry 1% {1%}
• Rick Santorum 1% {1%}
• Someone else/Not sure 18% {24%}

Who do you think is going to win the New Hampshire primary?

• Mitt Romney 47% {41%}
• Ron Paul 13% {9%}
• Newt Gingrich 6% {12%}
• Jon Huntsman 5% {4%}
• Michele Bachmann 3% {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Rick Perry 1% {0%}
• Rick Santorum 1% {0%}
• Someone else/Not sure 23% {31%}

Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in New Hampshire?

• Mitt Romney 40% {35%}
• Ron Paul 15% {12%}
• Jon Huntsman 10% {10%}
• Newt Gingrich 4% {5%}
• Michele Bachmann 3% {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Rick Perry 1% {0%}
• Rick Santorum 0% {1%}
• Someone else/Not sure 26% {34%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 24% {24%} [33%] (30%)
• No 66% {68%} [54%] (51%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 23%
• Are not 77%

Do you regularly watch Fox News, or not?

• Do 51%
• Do not 49%

Regularly Watch Fox News

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Ron Paul 15%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Jon Huntsman 6%
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Buddy Roemer 0% 
• Someone else/Undecided 1%

Do NOT Regularly Watch Fox News

• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 27%
• Jon Huntsman 18% 
• Newt Gingrich 8%
  
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Buddy Roemer 5%  
• Rick Santorum 2%
  
• Rick Perry 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 4%

Survey of 830 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted December 27-28, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 61% {61%} [65%] (67%) Republican; 34% {34%} [33%] (32%) Independent/Other; 4% {5%} [2%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 39% {36%} [36%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 27% {26%} [21%] (22%) Moderate; 25% {27%} [37%] (31%) Very conservative; 5% {4%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal; 4% {7%} [4%] (3%) Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ron Paul 24% {23%} [21%] (18%) {10%} [16%] (11%) {16%}
• Mitt Romney 20% {20%} [16%] (16%) {22%} [19%] (26%) {28%}
• Newt Gingrich 13% {14%} [22%] (27%) {8%} [5%] (15%) {19%}
• Michele Bachmann 11% {10%} [11%] (13%) {8%} [18%] (14%) {15%}
• Rick Perry 10% {10%} [9%] (9%) {9%} [22%]
• Rick Santorum 10% {10%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [5%]
• Jon Huntsman 4% {4%} [5%] (4%) {1%} [3%] (1%)
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 5% {7%} [7%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (8%) {12%}

Among Republicans 

• Mitt Romney 22% {22%} [15%] (16%) 
• Ron Paul 20% {19%} [17%] (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% {17%} [25%] (29%) 
• Rick Perry 12% {11%} [10%] (10%)
• Rick Santorum 11% {10%} [8%] (7%)
• Michele Bachmann 10% {10%} [12%] (13%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% {2%} [3%] (3%)
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 7% {7%} [8%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 46% {34%} [35%] (34%) 
• Michele Bachmann 13% {10%} [8%] (7%) 
• Mitt Romney 11% {13%} [15%] (11%)  
• Rick Santorum 9% {9%} [6%] (1%)
• Newt Gingrich 8% {6%} [12%] (21%)  
• Jon Huntsman 5% {11%} [13%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 4% {7%} [6%] (7%)
• Buddy Roemer 3%
• Someone else/Not sure 2% {6%} [3%] (9%)

Regularly Watch Fox News

• Mitt Romney 27%
• Newt Gingrich 16%
• Michele Bachmann 15%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Rick Santorum 11%
• Rick Perry 10%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 6%

Do NOT Regularly Watch Fox News

• Ron Paul 38% 
• Mitt Romney 13%
• Rick Santorum 10%
• Newt Gingrich 9%
• Rick Perry 9%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Jon Huntsman 6%
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 5%

Evangelicals

• Ron Paul 21% 
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Michele Bachmann 15% 
• Rick Santorum 15%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Rick Perry 12%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Someone else/Not sure 6%

Non-Evangelicals

• Ron Paul 27%
• Mitt Romney 24%
• Newt Gingrich 11%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Rick Perry 8%
• Rick Santorum 7%
• Jon Huntsman 7%
• Buddy Roemer 4%
• Someone else/Not sure 5%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 72% {63%} [60%] (55%)
• Might end up supporting someone else 28% {37%} [40%] (45%)

Among Those Strongly Committed to That Candidate

• Ron Paul 28% {29%} [29%] (22%)
  
• Mitt Romney 21% {23%} [18%] (20%)
• Michele Bachmann 14% {9%} [11%] (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 12% {14%} [21%] (25%)
• Rick Santorum 10% {9%} [5%] (5%)
• Rick Perry 9% {9%} [9%] (7%)
• Jon Huntsman 5% {4%} [4%] (5%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% 

Among Those Who Might End Up Supporting Someone Else

• Mitt Romney 22% {19%} [14%] (13%)
  
• Ron Paul 21% {18%} [13%] (16%)
• Newt Gingrich 17% {18%} [28%] (32%)
• Rick Santorum 14% {12%} [13%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 13% {14%} [12%] (14%)
• Michele Bachmann 7% {13%} [13%] (14%)
  
• Buddy Roemer 4% 
• Jon Huntsman 3% {4%} [6%] (4%)

Second Choice 

• Rick Santorum 14% {9%} [8%] (9%) {5%}
• Newt Gingrich 12% {13%} [14%] (17%) {17%}
• Michele Bachmann 12% {15%} [11%] (10%) {11%}
• Rick Perry 11% {14%} [10%] (11%) {12%}
• Mitt Romney 10% {12%} [13%] (13%) {11%}
• Ron Paul 9% {9%} [12%] (10%) {9%}
• Jon Huntsman 7% {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%}
• Someone else/Not sure 25% {18%} [25%] (22%) {15%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 56% {52%} [49%] (51%) {46%} [44%] (29%) {27%} [28%] / 29% {32%} [33%] (28%) {17%} [22%] (18%) {11%} [9%] {+27%}
• Michele Bachmann 53% {52%} [55%] (56%) {44%} [47%] (53%) {49%} / 37% {34%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [35%] (16%) {13%} {+16%}
• Ron Paul 53% {54%} [61%] (52%) {37%} [53%] (42%) {55%} [47%] / 40% {38%} [31%] (38%) {46%} [29%] (29%) {17%} [23%] {+13%}
• Rick Perry 48% {48%} [43%] (44%) {38%} [56%] (21%) / 40% {40%} [47%] (46%) {41%} [24%] (16%) {+8%}
• Mitt Romney 44% {49%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [45%] (51%) {55%} [57%] / 47% {40%} [44%] (45%) {36%} [38%] (34%) {25%} [26%] {-3%}
• Jon Huntsman 31% {32%} [28%] (30%) {18%} [13%] (7%) {5%} / 43% {38%} [43%] (45%) {28%} [40%] (23%) {8%} {-12%}
• Newt Gingrich 37% {46%} [52%] (62%) {56%} [42%] (39%) {47%} [53%] / 54% {47%} [40%] (31%) {32%} [44%] (41%) {26%} [27%] {-17%}

Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 25% {25%} [21%] (23%)
• Ron Paul 14% {16%} [14%] (9%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% {17%} [30%] (33%)
• Michele Bachmann 8% {7%} [5%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 8% {6%} [7%] (7%)
• Rick Santorum 5% {3%} [3%] (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% {3%} [2%] (3%)
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 23% {20%} [16%] (14%)

Who do you think is going to win the Iowa caucuses?

• Ron Paul 29% {20%}
• Mitt Romney 15% {19%}
• Newt Gingrich 8% {20%}
• Michele Bachmann 7% {6%}
• Rick Santorum 5% {2%}
• Rick Perry 4% {3%}
• Jon Huntsman 1% {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 30% {27%}

Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in Iowa?

• Ron Paul 26% {22%}
• Michele Bachmann 18% {19%}
• Rick Santorum 10% {8%}
• Rick Perry 7% {7%}
• Newt Gingrich 5% {8%}
• Mitt Romney 5% {5%}
• Jon Huntsman 1% {1%}
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 28% {28%}

Do you think that Ron Paul has strong principles, or not?

• He does 68% {73%}
• He does not 14% {10%}

Do you think that Mitt Romney has strong principles, or not?

• He does 42% {50%}
• He does not 37% {31%}

Do you think that Newt Gingrich has strong principles, or not?

• He does 32% {36%}
• He does not 45% {43%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 26% {26%} [27%] (32%) {29%} [33%] (31%) {28%}
• No 64% {61%} [61%] (58%) {52%} [51%] (48%) {48%}

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• A candidate's ability to beat Obama 30% {32%} [32%] (34%)
• Their issue positions 58% {56%} [56%] (57%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 47%
• Are not 53%

Do you regularly watch Fox News, or not?

• Do 52%
• Do not 48%

Survey of 565 likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers was conducted December 26-27, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 76% {75%} [78%] (80%) Republican; 16% {19%} [17%] (14%) Independent/Other; 8% {5%} [4%] (6%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 37% {36%} [42%] (40%) {36%} [38%] (41%) {44%} Very conservative; 33% {36%} [35%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {33%} Somewhat conservative; 21% {19%} [17%] (15%) {21%} [21%] (14%) {17%} Moderate; 5% {6%} [3%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (6%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 4% {3%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {2%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Clarus Research Louisiana 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Clarus Research Louisiana 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Newt Gingrich 31% (4%)
• Mitt Romney 23% (17%)
• Herman Cain 12% (21%)
• Rick Perry 11% (23%)
• Ron Paul 6% (4%)
• Michele Bachmann 4% (3%)
• Buddy Roemer 2% (3%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%)
• Rick Santorum 0% (0%)
• Undecided/Other/None 10% (24%)

Survey of 300 registered Republicans was conducted November 20-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: IBOPE Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

IBOPE Zogby Interactive 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 45% {41%} [44%] (45%) (40%)
• Chris Christie 43% {45%} [43%] (44%) (43%)

• Barack Obama 45% {40%} [43%] (44%)
• Ron Paul 40% {40%} [37%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 45% {41%} [45%] (45%) (41%)
• Tim Pawlenty 39% {41%} [41%] (40%) (38%)

• Barack Obama 45% {43%} [42%] (45%) (41%)
• Mitt Romney 39% {42%} [41%] (40%) (41%)

• Barack Obama 46% {42%} [45%] (46%)
• Herman Cain 39% {42%} [40%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 46% {43%}
• Rick Perry 39% {42%}

• Barack Obama 46% {44%} [47%] (47%)
• Michele Bachmann 39% {42%} [41%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 47% {44%} [46%] (47%)
• Rick Santorum 36% {39%} [36%] (36%)

• Barack Obama 48% {47%} (49%) (45%)
• Sarah Palin 36% {37%} (36%) (38%)

• Barack Obama 47% {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Newt Gingrich 34% {33%} [33%] (30%)

• Barack Obama 43% {39%} [44%] (44%)
• Jon Huntsman 28% {31%} [29%] (29%)

• Barack Obama 45%
• Buddy Roemer 25%

Interactive poll of 2,132 likely voters was conducted July 22-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 17-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 30, 2010 - January 3, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 GOP Nomination Survey (Dark Horse Edition)

If the 2012 Republican Primary for President were held today and you had a choice between Rick Perry, Rick Santorum, Michele Bachman, Herman Cain, Buddy Roemer, Gary Johnson, Thaddeus McCotter or John Huntsman for whom would you vote?

• Michele Bachmann 27%
• Rick Santorum 12%
• Herman Cain 9%
• Rick Perry 7%
• Jon Huntsman 3%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Thaddeus McCotter 1%
• Some other candidate 17%
• Undecided 22%

National survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Bachmann’s support climbs to 31% among unaffiliated voters who are likely to vote in a Republican primary. 

Given this slate of candidates, however, 42% of Republicans who plan to vote in the primaries either want another candidate or are undecided, compared to 32% of unaffiliated primary voters.