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USA Today/Suffolk University Arkansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Mike Huckabee 39.27%
- Rick Perry 8.38%
- Ted Cruz 7.33%
- Rand Paul 6.28%
- Chris Christie 4.71%
- Jeb Bush 4.71%
- Marco Rubio 4.71%
- Paul Ryan 3.14%
- Bobby Jindal 2.62%
- Rick Santorum 2.09%
- Scott Walker 1.57%
- Jon Huntsman 1.57%
- John Kasich 1.05%
- Other 2.09%
- Undecided 10.47%
Survey of 171 GOP primary voters was conducted September 20-23, 2014.
USA Today/Suffolk University Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Jeb Bush 11.17%
- Mike Huckabee 11.17%
- Marco Rubio 9.57%
- Rand Paul 6.91%
- Chris Christie 6.38%
- Rick Perry 6.38%
- Scott Walker 6.38%
- Paul Ryan 5.85%
- Ted Cruz 5.32%
- Rick Santorum 5.32%
- Bobby Jindal 2.66%
- Jon Huntsman 2.13%
- John Kasich 0.53%
- Undecided 17.02%
Survey of 188 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 6-10, 2014.
USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
- Mike Huckabee 13.11% (11.02%)
- Chris Christie 10.68% (7.09%)
- Rick Perry 8.74% (3.15%)
- Jeb Bush 7.28 (10.24%)
- Rand Paul 6.80% (10.24%)
- Paul Ryan 6.31% (6.30%)
- Rick Santorum 5.83% (5.51%)
- Marco Rubio 5.34% (5.51%)
- Ted Cruz 4.85% (9.45%)
- Scott Walker 4.37% (5.51%)
- Bobby Jindal 2.91% (3.15%)
- Jon Huntsman 0.97%
- John Kasich 0.97%
- Other 4.37%
- Undecided 16.99% (3.15%)
Survey of 206 GOP caucus-goers was conducted August 23-36, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.83 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.
Suffolk/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Chris Christie 11.00%
- Paul Ryan 11.00%
- Jeb Bush 10.75%
- Rand Paul 10.50%
- Mike Huckabee 7.00%
- Scott Walker 6.75%
- Marco Rubio 5.75%
- Rick Perry 4.75%
- Ted Cruz 4.25%
- Bobby Jindal 3.50%
- Rick Santorum 2.75%
- Jon Huntsman 1.75%
- John Kasich 1.00%
- Undecided 18.25%
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.
Suffolk/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Chris Christie 11.22% (11.50%)
- Rand Paul 10.98% (12.21%)
- Jeb Bush 8.35% (9.39%)
- Ted Cruz 7.88% (4.93%)
- Jon Huntsman 7.16% (8.22%)
- Marco Rubio 4.53% (5.63%)
- Mike Huckabee 4.30% (5.40%)
- Scott Walker 3.82% (6.57%)
- Bobby Jindal 3.34% (4.23%)
- Paul Ryan 2.86% (9.15%)
- Rick Perry 1.67%
- Rick Santorum 0.95% (2.35%)
- Undecided 31.50% (14.32%)
Survey of 419 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 14-18, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 5, 2014 are in parentheses.
Suffolk/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
- Rand Paul 12.21%
- Chris Christie 11.50%
- Jeb Bush 9.39%
- Paul Ryan 9.15%
- Jon Huntsman 8.22%
- Scott Walker 6.57%
- Marco Rubio 5.63%
- Mike Huckabee 5.40%
- Ted Cruz 4.93%
- Scott Brown 4.69%
- Bobby Jindal 4.23%
- Rick Santorum 2.35%
- Undecided 14.32%
Who would be your second choice?
- Chris Christie 12.26%
- Ted Cruz 11.70%
- Marco Rubio 11.14%
- Jeb Bush 10.86%
- Rand Paul 10.03%
- Mike Huckabee 7.80%
- Paul Ryan 5.29%
- Scott Walker 5.01%
- Scott Brown 4.18%
- Jon Huntsman 3.34%
- Rick Santorum 3.06%
- Bobby Jindal 2.79%
- Undecided 12.53%
Survey of 426 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 27 - March 5, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.
Magellan Strategies (R) Louisiana 2012 GOP Primary Poll
- Rick Santorum 37%
- Mitt Romney 24%
- Newt Gingrich 21%
- Buddy Roemer 3%
- Ron Paul 3%
- Rick Perry 3%
- Michele Bachmann 2%
- Jon Huntsman 1%
- Undecided 6%
And if the Republican primary were being held today and the only candidates were, Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?
- Rick Santorum 55%
- Mitt Romney 34%
- Undecided 11%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Rick Santorum 72% / 20% {+52%}
- Newt Gingrich 61% / 28% {+33%}
- Mitt Romney 49% / 41% {+8%}
When making your choice to vote for the Republican candidate for President, are you more likely to vote for the candidate who best shares your position on the issues or the candidate who has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?
- Candidate who has best chance of defeating Obama 49%
- Candidate who best shares your position on issues 45%
Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
Survey of 2,018 likely primary voters was conducted March 19, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.18 percentage points.
Quinnipiac Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
- Mitt Romney 28% {18%} [20%] (23%) {25%} [19%]
- Rick Santorum 19% {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [3%]
- Newt Gingrich 17% {36%} [11%] (7%) {6%} [6%]
- Ron Paul 10% {7%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [6%]
- Rick Perry 4% {4%} [4%] (4%) {21%} [8%]
- Don't know 20% {15%} [20%] (18%) {22%} [31%]
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as having the knowledge and experience necessary to be a good president?
- Newt Gingrich 38% {54%}
- Mitt Romney 25% {20%}
- Rick Santorum 14% {1%}
- Ron Paul 7% {5%}
- Rick Perry 2% {3%}
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think is best described as being a strong leader?
- Mitt Romney 32% {20%}
- Newt Gingrich 31% {44%}
- Rick Santorum 12% {2%}
- Ron Paul 8% {4%}
- Rick Perry 4% {6%}
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling the economy?
- Mitt Romney 36% {24%}
- Newt Gingrich 19% {31%}
- Ron Paul 16% {9%}
- Rick Santorum 11% {2%}
- Rick Perry 4% {5%}
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling foreign policy?
- Newt Gingrich 43% {51%}
- Mitt Romney 16% {11%}
- Rick Santorum 11% {2%}
- Ron Paul 7% {4%}
- Rick Perry 3% {2%}
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President, which Republican candidate do you think would do the best job handling immigration issues?
- Newt Gingrich 23% {27%}
- Mitt Romney 18% {11%}
- Rick Santorum 17% {4%}
- Rick Perry 12% {13%}
- Ron Paul 10% {8%}
GENERAL ELECTION
- Barack Obama 44% {42%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [45%]
- Mitt Romney 42% {43%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [41%]
- Barack Obama 48%
- Ron Paul 39%
- Barack Obama 48%
- Rick Santorum 37%
- Barack Obama 52% {42%} [49%]
- Newt Gingrich 38% {43%} [37%]
- Mitt Romney 36% {32%} [36%] / 34% {28%} [31%] {+2%}
- Barack Obama 48% {42%} [47%] / 47% {52%} [46%] {+1%}
- Rick Santorum 25% / 25% {0%}
- Ron Paul 28% / 33% {-5%}
- Newt Gingrich 26% {32%} [28%] / 51% {38%} [44%] {-25%}
Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
- Mitt Romney 48% {47%} [45%]
- Barack Obama 42% {39%} [43%]
Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy - Barack Obama or Rick Santorum?
- Barack Obama 46%
- Rick Santorum 39%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
- Approve 44% {41%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [46%] (49%)
- Disapprove 51% {55%} [50%] (51%) {53%} [50%] (45%)
Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
- Yes/Deserves 45% {42%} [46%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (47%)
- No/Does not 51% {53%} [48%] (49%) {51%} [47%] (47%)
Survey of 1,610 registered voters, including a subsample of 542 Republican primary voters, was conducted January, 9-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.2 percent among Republican voters. Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 5, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 31 - November 7, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20-25, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 10-16, 2011 are in parentheses.
InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (R) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll
- Mitt Romney 31.9% [23.1%] (18.7%) {15.4%} [16.1%] (16.4%)
- Newt Gingrich 20.8% [21.3%] (30.6%) {37.9%} [18.9%] (7.8%)
- Ron Paul 14.2% [13.3%] (7.1%) {6.9%} [3.1%] (6.6%)
- Rick Santorum 13.2% [13.5%] (4.1%) {2.2%} [1.6%]
- Jon Huntsman 6.2% [6.7%] (4.3%) (0.6%)
- Rick Perry 4.6% [5.2%] (5.2%) {3.7%} [6.1%] (12.4%)
- Someone else 1.7% [1.7%] (1.6%) {4.6%} [4.0%] (3.7%)
- No opinion 7.4% [15.2%] (20.1%) {13.2%} [19.8%] (14.7%)
Among Republicans
- Mitt Romney 34.4% [24.8%]
- Newt Gingrich 24.4% [21.4%]
- Rick Santorum 13.7% [14.5%]
- Ron Paul 9.0% [6.9%]
- Rick Perry 4.7% [6.5%]
- Jon Huntsman 4.3% [4.2%]
- Someone else 0.7% [1.9%]
- No opinion 8.8% [19.8%]
Among Independents
- Mitt Romney 30.1% [18.8%]
- Ron Paul 21.6% [29.1%]
- Rick Santorum 13.7% [11.4%]
- Newt Gingrich 12.0% [20.3%]
- Jon Huntsman 11.8% [13.8%]
- Rick Perry 5.3% [2.1%]
- Someone else 0.4% [1.4%]
- No opinion 5.1% [3.1%]
- Mitt Romney 32.6% [22.2%] (17.2%) {15.8%} [15.9%] (15.6%)
- Newt Gingrich 19.9% [25.9%] (33.4%) {39.5%} [25.9%] (6.9%)
- Ron Paul 18.7% [14.4%] (6.8%) {11.9%} [3.9%] (9.1%)
- Rick Santorum 14.0% [8.2%] (4.1%) {1.1%} [0.2%]
- Rick Perry 5.8% [5.8%] (6.1%) {5.3%} [2.5%] (14.7%)
- Jon Huntsman 4.8% [9.3%] (1.9%)
- Someone else 0.2% [0.8%] (2.2%) {2.4%} [3.7%] (4.9%)
- No opinion 3.9% [13.4%] (20.2%) {10.9%} [11.3%] (7.3%)
Among Women
- Mitt Romney 31.2% [23.9%] (20.2%) {15.3%} [16.2%] (17.2%)
- Newt Gingrich 21.7% [16.8%] (28.0%) {36.4%} [12.2%] (8.6%)
- Rick Santorum 12.5% [18.6%] (4.0%) {3.3%} [2.9%]
- Ron Paul 9.6% [12.3%] (7.4%) {1.9%} [2.4%] (4.2%)
- Jon Huntsman 7.6% [4.2%] (6.6%)
- Rick Perry 3.5% [4.6%] (4.4%) {2.1%} [9.7%] (10.3%)
- Someone else 3.1% [2.6%] (1.0%) {6.7%} [4.3%] (2.6%)
- No opinion 10.9% [17.0%] (20.1%) {15.2%} [28.0%] (21.8%)
Survey of 720 likely South Carolina GOP primary voters was conducted January 15, 2012. Party ID breakdown: 66.9% [71.9%] (73.1%) {73.4%} [75.0%] Republican; 27.9% [25.3%] (21.5%) {23.7%} [20.8%] Independent; 5.1% [2.8%] (5.4%) {2.9%} [3.9%] Democrat. Results from the poll conducted January, 11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 18, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 28, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 8, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2011 are in parentheses.
Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll
- Mitt Romney 37% (35%) {34%} [34%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [24%] (26%) {27%} [25%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (21%) {23%} [23%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [23%] (22%)
- Rick Santorum 14% (14%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {16%} [15%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
- Newt Gingrich 13% (13%) {15%} [14%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {22%} [23%] (24%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [36%] (37%)
- Ron Paul 12% (13%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (8%)
- Rick Perry 5% (5%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
- Jon Huntsman 3% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted January 10-14, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 6-10, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 5-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-7, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 29, 2011 - January 5, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 28, 2011 - January 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conductedDecember 27, 2011 - January 3, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 26, 2011 - January 2, 2012 are in Results from the poll conducted December 23-29, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 22-28, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 21-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-26, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 19-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 18-22, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 15-20, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-19, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-18, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 12-17, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-10, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-7, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 2-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 1-5, 2011 are in parentheses.
New Frontier Strategy (R) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll
- Mitt Romney 31.72%
- Newt Gingrich 23.05%
- Rick Santorum 13.88%
- Ron Paul 9.67%
- Rick Perry 5.58%
- Jon Huntsman 4.34%
- Undecided 11.77%
Survey of 810 likely South Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted January 11-12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.44 percentage points. Ideology: Very conservative 46.85%; Somewhat conservative 37.95%; Moderate 11.62%; Liberal 2.60%.
Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll
- Mitt Romney 35% {34%} [34%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [24%] (26%) {27%} [25%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (21%) {23%} [23%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [23%] (22%)
- Rick Santorum 14% {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {16%} [15%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
- Ron Paul 13% {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (8%)
- Newt Gingrich 13% {15%} [14%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {22%} [23%] (24%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [36%] (37%)
- Rick Perry 5% {5%} [5%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
- Jon Huntsman 3% {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted January 9-13, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 6-10, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 5-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-7, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 29, 2011 - January 5, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 28, 2011 - January 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conductedDecember 27, 2011 - January 3, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 26, 2011 - January 2, 2012 are in Results from the poll conducted December 23-29, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 22-28, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 21-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-26, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 19-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 18-22, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 15-20, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-19, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-18, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 12-17, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-10, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-7, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 2-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 1-5, 2011 are in parentheses.
Behavior Research Center Arizona 2012 Presidential Poll
REPUBLICAN PRIMARY
- Mitt Romney 29% (20%)
- Ron Paul 12% (9%)
- Rick Santorum 10% (1%)
- Newt Gingrich 8%
- Rick Perry 5% (7%)
- Jon Huntsman 3% (2%)
- Undecided 33% (23%)
GENERAL ELECTION
- Mitt Romney 43% (40%)
- Barack Obama 37% (45%)
- Barack Obama 44%
- Ron Paul 36%
- Barack Obama 43%
- Rick Santorum 34%
- Barack Obama 45%
- Newt Gingrich 35%
Survey of 553 registered voters, including a subsample of registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents, was conducted January 5-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 7.1 percentage points among GOP primary voters. Results from the poll conducted October 13-24, 2011 are in parentheses.
CNN/ORC 2012 GOP Nomination Poll
- Mitt Romney 34% {28%} [20%] (24%) {26%} [22%] (21%) {18%} [23%] (22%)
- Newt Gingrich 18% {28%} [24%] (22%) {8%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (5%)
- Ron Paul 15% {14%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (13%) {6%} [14%] (12%)
- Rick Santorum 15% {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%)
- Rick Perry 9% {7%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [30%] (32%) {32%} [18%] (17%)
- Jon Huntsman 4% {2%} [3%] (3%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [5%] (1%)
- None/No one (vol.) 3% {5%} [3%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} [5%] (10%)
- No opinion 3% {4%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (2%)
Would you say you will definitely support that candidate in 2012, or is it possible you would change your mind?
- Definitely support 37% {35%} [27%] (31%) {33%}
- Might change mind 56% {56%} [67%] (61%) {67%}
Which Republican candidate is the most qualified to be Commander-in-Chief?
- Newt Gingrich 30% [36%]
- Mitt Romney 28% [20%]
- Ron Paul 14% [8%]
- Rick Santorum 9% [2%]
- Rick Perry 8% [12%]
- Jon Huntsman 3% [3%]
Which Republican candidate do you think is the most likeable?
- Mitt Romney 37% {30%} [29%] {29%} (21%)
- Rick Santorum 17% {5%} [3%] {3%} (2%)
- Ron Paul 15% {10%} [7%] {4%} (7%)
- Newt Gingrich 10% {15%} [9%] {2%} (3%)
- Rick Perry 9% {11%} [14%] {13%} (25%)
- Jon Huntsman 3% {4%} [2%] {0%} (1%)
Which Republican candidate do you think has the best chance of beating Barack Obama in the general election next November?
- Mitt Romney 55% {36%} [40%] {41%} (26%)
- Newt Gingrich 13% {35%} [21%] {5%} (5%)
- Ron Paul 9% {6%} [4%] {7%} (5%)
- Rick Santorum 9% {2%} [2%] {1%} (0%)
- Rick Perry 4% {7%} [9%] {12%} (42%)
- Jon Huntsman 1% {0%} [1%] {1%} (2%)
Would you feel enthusiastic, pleased but not enthusiastic, displeased but not upset, or upset if Mitt Romney won the Republican presidential nomination?
- Enthusiastic 17% [25%] (27%) [21%]
- Pleased but not enthusiastic 47% [44%] (49%) [49%]
- Displeased but not upset 22% [18%] (20%) [22%]
- Upset 13% [10%] (5%) [7%]
Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich. Which of those two would you support?
- Mitt Romney 59%
- Newt Gingrich 37%
Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum. Which of those two would you support?
- Mitt Romney 60%
- Rick Santorum 37%
Suppose the only Republican candidates were Mitt Romney and Ron Paul. Which of those two would you support?
- Mitt Romney 67%
- Ron Paul 31%
Survey of 449 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted January 11-12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 24-25, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2011 are in square brackets.
PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll
- Mitt Romney 29% [30%] (16%) {30%}
- Newt Gingrich 24% [23%] (8%) {15%}
- Ron Paul 15% [9%] (5%) {10%}
- Rick Santorum 14% [19%] (4%)
- Rick Perry 6% [5%] (36%)
- Jon Huntsman 5% [4%] (2%) {2%}
- Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 6% [9%] (7%) {11%}
Among Republicans (
80%)
- Mitt Romney 31% [31%]
- Newt Gingrich 28% [24%]
- Rick Santorum 16% [20%]
- Ron Paul 12% [7%]
- Rick Perry 6% [6%]
- Jon Huntsman 2% [2%]
- Buddy Roemer 0% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 5% [9%]
Among Independents (
17%)
- Ron Paul 24% [16%]
- Mitt Romney 21% [27%]
- Jon Huntsman 17% [12%]
- Rick Santorum 11% [12%]
- Newt Gingrich 10% [20%]
- Rick Perry 4% [2%]
- Buddy Roemer 2% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 12% [10%]
Very Conservative (
40%)
- Newt Gingrich 28% [29%]
- Rick Santorum 23% [24%]
- Mitt Romney 22% [21%]
- Ron Paul 10% [8%]
- Rick Perry 8% [8%]
- Jon Huntsman 2% [1%]
- Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 6% [9%]
Somewhat Conservative (
37%)
- Mitt Romney 33% [37%]
- Newt Gingrich 27% [20%]
- Ron Paul 15% [9%]
- Rick Santorum 11% [18%]
- Rick Perry 5% [4%]
- Jon Huntsman 3% [2%]
- Buddy Roemer 0% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 6% [9%]
Moderate (
18%)
- Mitt Romney 37% [38%]
- Ron Paul 20% [9%]
- Newt Gingrich 15% [13%]
- Jon Huntsman 13% [14%]
- Rick Santorum 5% [9%]
- Rick Perry 4% [3%]
- Buddy Roemer 2% [3%]
- Someone else/Not sure 6% [11%]
Among Men (
54%)
- Newt Gingrich 27% [24%]
- Mitt Romney 24% [29%]
- Ron Paul 17% [10%]
- Rick Santorum 14% [19%]
- Rick Perry 6% [6%]
- Jon Huntsman 5% [4%]
- Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 5% [8%]
Among Women (
46%)
- Mitt Romney 35% [30%]
- Newt Gingrich 21% [22%]
- Rick Santorum 14% [19%]
- Ron Paul 12% [8%]
- Rick Perry 6% [5%]
- Jon Huntsman 5% [4%]
- Buddy Roemer 0% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 7% [11%]
Upstate (32%)
- Newt Gingrich 28% [24%]
- Mitt Romney 25% [29%]
- Ron Paul 20% [11%]
- Rick Santorum 13% [18%]
- Rick Perry 7% [3%]
- Jon Huntsman 4% [3%]
- Buddy Roemer 0% [2%]
- Someone else/Not sure 4% [10%]
Midlands (33%)
- Mitt Romney 28% [31%]
- Newt Gingrich 26% [25%]
- Rick Santorum 17% [20%]
- Ron Paul 12% [4%]
- Jon Huntsman 7% [5%]
- Rick Perry 5% [5%]
- Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 5% [9%]
Low Country (35%)
- Mitt Romney 34% [29%]
- Newt Gingrich 19% [20%]
- Rick Santorum 13% [19%]
- Ron Paul 13% [11%]
- Rick Perry 6% [8%]
- Jon Huntsman 5% [3%]
- Buddy Roemer 1% [2%]
- Someone else/Not sure 9% [9%]
- Strongly committed to that candidate 65% [59%]
- Might end up supporting someone else 35% [41%]
Second Choice
- Newt Gingrich 20% [14%]
- Rick Santorum 17% [21%]
- Mitt Romney 17% [16%]
- Rick Perry 13% [10%]
- Ron Paul 9% [7%]
- Jon Huntsman 7% [5%]
- Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
- Someone else/Not sure 16% [26%]
Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on economic issues?
- Mitt Romney 35%
- Newt Gingrich 25%
- Ron Paul 16%
- Rick Santorum 10%
- Jon Huntsman 5%
- Rick Perry 5%
- Buddy Roemer 0%
- Someone else/Not sure 5%
Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on foreign policy issues?
- Newt Gingrich 41%
- Mitt Romney 22%
- Ron Paul 12%
- Rick Santorum 8%
- Jon Huntsman 7%
- Rick Perry 6%
- Buddy Roemer 1%
- Someone else/Not sure 5%
Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on social issues like abortion and gay marriage?
- Rick Santorum 23%
- Mitt Romney 21%
- Newt Gingrich 19%
- Ron Paul 14%
- Rick Perry 9%
- Jon Huntsman 5%
- Buddy Roemer 0%
- Someone else/Not sure 9%
Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in South Carolina?
- Mitt Romney 23%
- Newt Gingrich 18%
- Ron Paul 10%
- Rick Perry 8%
- Rick Santorum 6%
- Jon Huntsman 2%
- Buddy Roemer 1%
- Someone else/Not sure 31%
Who do you think will win the Republican nomination for President?
- Mitt Romney 46%
- Newt Gingrich 16%
- Ron Paul 7%
- Rick Santorum 6%
- Rick Perry 3%
- Jon Huntsman 2%
- Buddy Roemer 1%
- Someone else/Not sure 20%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Mitt Romney 57% [60%] (52%) {56%} [60%] / 33% [29%] (32%) {27%} [22%] {+24%}
- Rick Santorum 53% [63%] (34%) {31%} [25%] / 30% [21%] (19%) {16%} [7%] {+23%}
- Newt Gingrich 51% [49%] (42%) {37%} [54%] / 37% [39%] (40%) {44%} [25%] {+14%}
- Rick Perry 44% [42%] (65%) {24%} / 44% [43%] (15%) {11%} {0%}
- Jon Huntsman 34% [28%] (11%) {10%} [9%] / 40% [41%] (26%) {20%} [4%] {-6%}
- Ron Paul 38% [33%] (35%) {38%} [47%] / 52% [54%] (35%) {31%} [19%] {-14%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney’s record in business?
- Favorable 58%
- Unfavorable 27%
- Not sure 15%
Generally speaking, would you like the Republican nominee for President to be Mitt Romney or someone else?
- Mitt Romney 34%
- Someone else 58%
- Not sure 8%
If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?
- Mitt Romney 48% [45%]
- Rick Santorum 39% [40%]
- Not sure 13% [15%]
If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?
- Mitt Romney 48% [49%]
- Newt Gingrich 37% [35%]
- Not sure 15% [16%]
If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?
- Mitt Romney 56% [57%]
- Rick Perry 31% [29%]
- Not sure 12% [15%]
If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who would you vote for?
- Mitt Romney 63% [67%]
- Ron Paul 28% [23%]
- Not sure 9% [10%]
Would you be willing or unwilling to vote for a candidate who had supported an individual mandate for health care at the state level, or are you not sure?
- Willing 25%
- Unwilling 34%
- Not sure 41%
Are you comfortable with the idea of a Mormon being President, or not?
- Comfortable 63% [57%]
- Not comfortable 23% [18%]
- Not sure 14% [25%]
Among Evangelicals
- Comfortable 48% [48%]
- Not comfortable 52% [52%]
Among Non-Evangelicals
- Comfortable 73% [69%]
- Not comfortable 27% [31%]
Do you think that interracial marriage should be legal or illegal?
- Legal 66%
- Illegal 20%
- Not sure 14%
What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?
- More concerned about a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama 50%
- Their positions on the issues 37%
Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
- Yes 30% [31%]
- No 57% [57%]
Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
- Are 56% [57%]
- Are not 44% [43%]
Survey of 803 likely South Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted January 11-13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 80% [82%] (80%) {78%} [81%] Republican; 17% [14%] (18%) {19%} [18%] Independent/Other; 3% [3%] (1%) {3%} [0%] Democrat. Political ideology: 40% [41%] (40%) {41%} Very conservative; 37% [38%] (39%) {36%} Somewhat conservative; 18% [15%] (16%) {17%} Moderate; 2% [4%] (4%) {3%} Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 25-28, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.
Gallup 2012 GOP Nomination Daily Tracking Poll
- Mitt Romney 34% [34%] (31%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {26%} [24%] (26%) {27%} [25%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (21%) {23%} [23%] (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [22%] (23%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {25%} [23%] (22%)
- Newt Gingrich 15% [14%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (16%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {22%} [23%] (24%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {26%} [26%] (27%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {28%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [36%] (37%)
- Rick Santorum 14% [15%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {16%} [15%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
- Ron Paul 12% [13%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (13%) {12%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {12%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (8%)
- Rick Perry 5% [5%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {6%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
- Jon Huntsman 2% [2%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
Survey of at least 1,000 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents was conducted January 8-12, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 6-10, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 5-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-7, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 29, 2011 - January 5, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 28, 2011 - January 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 27, 2011 - January 3, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 26, 2011 - January 2, 2012 are in Results from the poll conducted December 23-29, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 22-28, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 21-27, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-26, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 19-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 18-22, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 15-20, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-19, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-18, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 12-17, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-16, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted December 10-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 9-13, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 7-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-10, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-8, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 3-7, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 2-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 1-5, 2011 are in parentheses.
Rasmussen South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll
- Mitt Romney 28% [27%] (23%)
- Newt Gingrich 21% [18%] (15%)
- Rick Santorum 16% [24%] (1%)
- Ron Paul 16% [11%] (5%)
- Rick Perry 6% [5%] (9%)
- Jon Huntsman 5% [2%] (1%)
- Some other candidate 1% [2%]
- Undecided 8% [11%]
Are you certain you will vote for that candidate or is it possible that something come up that causes you to change your mind?
- Certain 52%
- Could change mind 41%
- No preference yet 8%
Note: Those primary voters who’ve already made up their minds include 63% of Paul’s supporters, 61% of both Romney and Gingrich voters and 57% of Huntsman’s backers. Just 44% of Santorum’s voters and 33% of Perry’s have made their final decision.
Suppose your favorite candidate does not win the nomination. When the general election is held, would you be most likely to vote for the Republican candidate, President Barack Obama, or a third party candidate?
- Republican candidate 80%
- President Barack Obama 6%
- Third party candidate 7%
Note: As is found nationally and in other states, a sizable number (26%) of Paul supporters in South Carolina say they will vote third party if that’s the case.
Survey of 750 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 12, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 5, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 1, 2011 are in parentheses. Among likely primary voters who describe themselves as Very Conservative, Gingrich and Santorum each earn 23% of the vote, while Romney runs third with 18%. However, among Somewhat Conservative voters in South Carolina, Romney leads by 16.
Among Tea Party voters, Gingrich runs first on the ballot with 26% support, followed by Santorum at 20%, Paul at 18% and Romney in fourth with 16%. But Romney outpolls Gingrich two-to-one – 35% to 17% - among those who say they are not part of the grass roots movement.
Romney also leads among all religious groups except Evangelical Christians. Among these voters, Gingrich picks up 25% support, Santorum 23% and Romney 20%.
Regardless of the candidate they support, 68% of likely GOP primary voters in the Palmetto State expect Romney to be the eventual nominee, with no one else even close. A plurality (43%) thinks Romney would be the strongest GOP candidate to oppose President Obama, followed by Gingrich who is seen as the strongest challenger by 23%. Paul is seen as the weakest challenger to Obama by South Carolina primary voters and GOP voters nationally.
Romney is viewed favorably by 68% of likely South Carolina Republican primary voters, followed by Santorum at 63%, Gingrich at 56%, Perry at 48%, Paul at 43% and Huntsman at 35%.
Only nine percent (9%) of primary voters in the state at least somewhat approve of the job Obama is doing as president, and 84% think it’s at least somewhat likely that the Republican nominee will win in November. The latter includes 51% who say it is Very Likely.
