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PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are
Democrat Jeanne Shaheen and Republican
Scott Brown. If the election was today, who
would you vote for?
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% (49%) {49%} [50%] (50%)
- Scott Brown (R) 47% (47%) {45%} [44%] (44%)
- Undecided 4% (4%) {5%} [5%] (6%)
Among Democrats
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 87% {91%} [82%] (85%)
- Scott Brown (R) 11% {7%} [16%] (14%)
Among Republicans
- Scott Brown (R) 84% {85%} [76%] (76%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 13% {11%} [18%] (16%)
Among Independents
- Scott Brown (R) 48% {44%} [43%] (46%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46% {48%} [49%] (45%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 51% {53%} [45%] (46%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44% {41%} [50%] (47%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% {57%} [51%] (52%)
- Scott Brown (R) 43% {38%} [43%] (42%)
Horse race, with undecideds asked
if they lean Shaheen or Brown:
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%
- Scott Brown (R) 48%
- Completely undecided 3%
Among Democrats
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 88%
- Scott Brown (R) 11%
Among Republicans
- Scott Brown (R) 84%
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 14%
Among Independents
- Scott Brown (R) 49%
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46%
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 52%
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44%
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54%
- Scott Brown (R) 44%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Scott Brown 44% {44%} [43%] (42%) / 46% {48%} [53%] (49%) {-2%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator
Jeanne Shaheen’s job performance?
- Approve 47%
- Disapprove 46%
Survey of 1,690 likely voters was conducted November 1-3, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Party ID: 29% (36%) {31%} [32%] (32%) Democrat; 27% (31%) {31%} [30%] (27%) Republican; 44% (33%) {39%} [38%] (41%)
Independent/Other. Gender: 53% (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) Men. Results from
the poll conducted October 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.
PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% {49%} [50%] (50%)
- Scott Brown (R) 47% {45%} [44%] (44%)
- Undecided 4% {5%} [5%] (6%)
Survey of 679 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund.
Party ID: 36% {31%} [32%] (32%) Democrat; 31% {31%} [30%] (27%) Republican; 33% {39%} [38%] (41%)
Independent/Other. Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) Men. Results from
the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
If the election were held today, 46% of likely voters say they would vote for Shaheen, 43% would vote for Brown, 2% say they will vote for some other candidate and 10% are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, the race becomes even closer – 47% say they will vote for Shaheen, 45% for Brown, 3% for some other candidate, and 6% remain undecided. When undecided voters are allocated to the candidate they are most likely to support, the final UNH prediction for the NH Senate race is 49% for Shaheen and 48% for Brown.
Almost all likely voters (90%) are firm in their choice while 10% say they could change their minds. Among voters who are firm in their choice, 53% say they will vote for Shaheen and 46% say they will vote for Brown. Among voters who say they might change their minds, 56% say they plan to vote for Brown and 30% say they will vote for Shaheen.
NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Scott Brown (R) 48.7% (48.3%) {47.7%} [48.0%] (45.9%) {46.6%} [42.8%] (40.2%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.2% (46.8%) {47.3%} [46.9%] (48.5%) {47.1%} [50.1%] (51.0%)
- Another candidate 1.4% (2.5%) {2.7%} [2.8%] (3.2%) {3.3%} [4.0%] (4.5%)
- Not sure 1.7% (2.4%) {2.3%} [2.3%] (2.3%) {2.9%} [3.2%] (4.2%)
Among Independents
- Scott Brown (R) 49.6% (45.2%) {48.7%} [47.5%] (41.8%) {48.7%} [42.4%] (39%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47.0% (47.9%) {44.0%} [43.7%] (49.8%) {45.1%} [47.9%] (45%)
- Another candidate 1.2% (3.1%) {4.3%} [4.6%] (3.8%) {3.5%} [5.5%] (5%)
- Not sure 2.2% (3.7%) {3.0%} [4.3%] (4.5%) {2.7%} [4.1%] (12%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 53.2% (51.6%) {50.2%} [53.5%] (50.4%) {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44.3% (42.9%) {45.7%} [41.3%] (45.6%) {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
- Another candidate 1.4% (3.5%) {2.8%} [3.7%] (2.5%) {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
- Not sure 1.1% (2.0%) {1.2%} [1.5%] (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 51.6% (50.2%) {48.7%} [51.7%] (51.1%) {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
- Scott Brown (R) 44.8% (45.5%) {45.4%} [43.1%] (41.9%) {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
- Another candidate 1.3% (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.0%] (3.9%) {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
- Not sure 2.2% (2.8%) {3.3%} [3.1%] (3.1%) {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)
Survey of 1,526 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 2.51 percentage points. Results from
the poll conducted October 24, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted October 16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.
Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 52% [48%] (50%)
- Scott Brown (R) 45% [42%] (41%)
- Some other candidate 1% [5%] (4%)
- Undecided 2% [5%] (5%)
Survey of 940 likely voters was conducted October 29-30, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 12-13, 2014 are in parentheses.
ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Scott Brown (R) 49% {48%} [43%] (45%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% {49%} [53%] (50%)
- Undecided 2% {3%} [4%] (5%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 54% {52%} [49%]
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 43% {45%} [46%]
- Undecided 3% {3%} [5%]
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% {53%} [59%]
- Scott Brown (R) 43% {44%} [38%]
- Undecided 3% {3%} [3%]
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 27-29, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 36% {34%} [35%]
Republican; 30% {31%} [32%] Democrat; 34% {35%} [33%] Undeclared. Results from the poll
conducted October 19-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll
conducted September 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.
NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Scott Brown (R) 48.3% {47.7%} [48.0%] (45.9%) {46.6%} [42.8%] (40.2%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46.8% {47.3%} [46.9%] (48.5%) {47.1%} [50.1%] (51.0%)
- Another candidate 2.5% {2.7%} [2.8%] (3.2%) {3.3%} [4.0%] (4.5%)
- Not sure 2.4% {2.3%} [2.3%] (2.3%) {2.9%} [3.2%] (4.2%)
Among Independents
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47.9% {44.0%} [43.7%] (49.8%) {45.1%} [47.9%] (45%)
- Scott Brown (R) 45.2% {48.7%} [47.5%] (41.8%) {48.7%} [42.4%] (39%)
- Another candidate 3.1% {4.3%} [4.6%] (3.8%) {3.5%} [5.5%] (5%)
- Not sure 3.7% {3.0%} [4.3%] (4.5%) {2.7%} [4.1%] (12%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 51.6% {50.2%} [53.5%] (50.4%) {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 42.9% {45.7%} [41.3%] (45.6%) {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
- Another candidate 3.5% {2.8%} [3.7%] (2.5%) {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
- Not sure 2.0% {1.2%} [1.5%] (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50.2% {48.7%} [51.7%] (51.1%) {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
- Scott Brown (R) 45.5% {45.4%} [43.1%] (41.9%) {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
- Another candidate 1.5% {2.5%} [2.0%] (3.9%) {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
- Not sure 2.8% {3.3%} [3.1%] (3.1%) {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)
Survey of 1,132 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 2.91 percentage points. Results from
the poll conducted October 16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.
CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46% {48%} [47%] (52%)
- Scott Brown (R) 41% {41%} [41%] (42%)
- Other 1% {1%} [4%]
- Not sure 12% {10%} [9%]
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 49% {47%} [44%]
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 42% {42%} [45%]
- Other 2% {2%} [4%]
- Not sure 8% {9%} [7%]
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% {55%} [47%]
- Scott Brown (R) 35% {34%} [39%]
- Other 0% {0%} [3%]
- Not sure 15% {10%} [10%]
Survey of 1,042 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.
UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49%
- Scott Brown (R) 46%
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 53%
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41%
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 56%
- Scott Brown (R) 39%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Jeanne Shaheen 54% / 42% {+12%}
- Scott Brown 44% / 49% {-5%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeanne Shaheen is handling her job as U.S. Senator?
- Approve 48%
- Disapprove 47%
Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.
ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% [53%] (50%)
- Scott Brown (R) 48% [43%] (45%)
- Undecided 3% [4%] (5%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 52% [49%]
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45% [46%]
- Undecided 3% [5%]
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 53% [59%]
- Scott Brown (R) 44% [38%]
- Undecided 3% [3%]
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 19-22, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [35%]
Republican; 31% [32%] Democrat; 35% [33%] Undeclared. Results from the poll
conducted September 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 99% (97%)
- Scott Brown (R) 1% (3%)
Among Republicans
- Scott Brown (R) 92% (86%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 6% (12%)
Among Independents
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% (43%)
- Scott Brown (R) 45% (48%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 51% (54%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44% (41%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% (54%)
- Scott Brown (R) 44% (42%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Jeanne Shaheen 52% (54%) / 45% (42%) {+7%}
- Scott Brown 48% (46%) / 50% (48%) {-2%}
Survey of 645 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 28% (30%) Republican; 24% (27%) Democrat; 48% (43%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.
New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Scott Brown (R) 47.7% [48.0%] (45.9%) {46.6%} [42.8%] (40.2%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47.3% [46.9%] (48.5%) {47.1%} [50.1%] (51.0%)
- Another candidate 2.7% [2.8%] (3.2%) {3.3%} [4.0%] (4.5%)
- Not sure 2.3% [2.3%] (2.3%) {2.9%} [3.2%] (4.2%)
Among Independents
- Scott Brown (R) 48.7% [47.5%] (41.8%) {48.7%} [42.4%] (39%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44.0% [43.7%] (49.8%) {45.1%} [47.9%] (45%)
- Another candidate 4.3% [4.6%] (3.8%) {3.5%} [5.5%] (5%)
- Not sure 3.0% [4.3%] (4.5%) {2.7%} [4.1%] (12%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 50.2% [53.5%] (50.4%) {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45.7% [41.3%] (45.6%) {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
- Another candidate 2.8% [3.7%] (2.5%) {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
- Not sure 1.2% [1.5%] (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.7% [51.7%] (51.1%) {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
- Scott Brown (R) 45.4% [43.1%] (41.9%) {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
- Another candidate 2.5% [2.0%] (3.9%) {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
- Not sure 3.3% [3.1%] (3.1%) {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)
Survey of 921 likely voters was conducted October 16, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 3.23 percentage points. Results from
the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 91% [82%] (85%)
- Scott Brown (R) 7% [16%] (14%)
Among Republicans
- Scott Brown (R) 85% [76%] (76%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 11% [18%] (16%)
Among Independents
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48% [49%] (45%)
- Scott Brown (R) 44% [43%] (46%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 53% [45%] (46%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41% [50%] (47%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 57% [51%] (52%)
- Scott Brown (R) 38% [43%] (42%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Jeanne Shaheen 49% [50%] (52%) / 44% [44%] (42%) {+5%}
- Scott Brown 44% [43%] (42%) / 48% [53%] (49%) {-4%}
Survey of 764 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters.
Party ID: 31% [30%] (27%) Republican; 31% [32%] (32%) Democrat; 39% [38%] (41%)
Independent/Other. Gender: 53% [53%] (53%) Women; 47% [47%] (47%) Men. Results from
the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted August 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses.
UMass Amherst/WBZ New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48%
- Scott Brown (R) 45%
- Other 5%
- Not sure 2%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Jeanne Shaheen 49% / 43% {+6%}
- Scott Brown 39% / 52% {-13%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Senator Jeanne Shaheen is doing her job?
- Approve 47%
- Disapprove 45%
Survey of 322 likely voters was conducted October 10-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points.
Party ID: 32% Democrat; 26% Republican; 42% Independent.
Suffolk University/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.60% [49.38%] (52.00%)
- Scott Brown (R) 45.60% [39.38%] (39.13%)
- Undecided 5.60% [8.75%] (8.87%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Jeanne Shaheen 49.00% [51.50%] (52.75%) / 42.20% [36.38%] (37.13%) {+6.80%}
- Scott Brown 39.20% [34.63%] (32.75%) / 47.80% [45.75%] (42.38%) {-8.60%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Jeanne Shaheen is doing as U.S. Senator?
- Approve 46.00%
- Disapprove 46.00%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 16-19, 2014.
Party registration: 30.60% [29.88%] (30%) Republican; 27.20% [28.25%] (27%) Democrat; 41.20% [39.63%] (43%)
Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 5, 2014 are in parentheses.
Among Independents
- Scott Brown (R) 47.5% (41.8%) {48.7%} [42.4%] (39%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 43.7% (49.8%) {45.1%} [47.9%] (45%)
- Another candidate 4.6% (3.8%) {3.5%} [5.5%] (5%)
- Not sure 4.3% (4.5%) {2.7%} [4.1%] (12%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 53.5% (50.4%) {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41.3% (45.6%) {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
- Another candidate 3.7% (2.5%) {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
- Not sure 1.5% (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 51.7% (51.1%) {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
- Scott Brown (R) 43.1% (41.9%) {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
- Another candidate 2.0% (3.9%) {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
- Not sure 3.1% (3.1%) {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)
Survey of 1,081 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 2.98 percentage points. Results from
the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from
the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.
Survey of 824 likely voters was conducted October 4-8, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 27% Democrat; 26% Republican; 45% Independent/Unaffiliated. Gender: 53% Female; 47% Male.
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 50.4% {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45.6% {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
- Another candidate 2.5% {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
- Not sure 1.5% {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 51.1% {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
- Scott Brown (R) 41.9% {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
- Another candidate 3.9% {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
- Not sure 3.1% {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)
Survey of 1,286 likely voters was conducted October 3, 2014.
The margin of error is +/- 2.73 percentage points. Results from
the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.
UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47% (46%) {52%} [45%] (47%)
- Scott Brown (R) 41% (44%) {40%} [39%] (37%)
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 48% (49%) {43%} [45%] (42%)
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 39% (40%) {44%} [42%] (43%)
Among Women
- Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% (53%) {57%} [48%] (50%)
- Scott Brown (R) 35% (39%) {31%} [33%] (32%)
Survey of 532 likely voters was conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in parentheses.