Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 48%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Gary Johnson (L) 4%
• Jill Stein (G) 1%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 57%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
• Others 3%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Donald Trump (R) 38%
• Others 7%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 2, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Indiana 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG Indiana 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 51%
• Bernie Sanders 43%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 5%

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 27-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Indiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Indiana 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 41%
• Ted Cruz 32%
• John Kasich 21%
• Undecided 6%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 27-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG Wisconsin 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 49%
• Bernie Sanders 48%

Among Men

• Bernie Sanders 54%
• Hillary Clinton 44%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton 53%
• Bernie Sanders 44%

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 1-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Wisconsin 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 42%
• Ted Cruz 32%
  
• John Kasich 23%

Among Men

• Donald Trump 57%
• Ted Cruz 23%
  
• John Kasich 17%

Among Women 

• Ted Cruz 43%
• John Kasich 29%
• Donald Trump 24%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 1-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 52%
• Bernie Sanders 45%

Among Men

• Bernie Sanders 55%
• Hillary Clinton 41%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton 59%
• Bernie Sanders 38%

Early Vote (28%)

• Hillary Clinton 58%
• Bernie Sanders 41%

Election Date (72%)

• Hillary Clinton 49%
• Bernie Sanders 47%

Survey of 400 likely Democrats was conducted March 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• John Kasich 44%
• Donald Trump 38%
• Ted Cruz 12%
• Marco Rubio 2%

Among Men

• Donald Trump 49%
• John Kasich 37%
• Ted Cruz 9%
• Marco Rubio 2%

Among Women

• John Kasich 51%
• Donald Trump 26%
• Ted Cruz 15%
• Marco Rubio 3%

Early Vote (24%)

• John Kasich 55%
• Donald Trump 30%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Marco Rubio 3%

Election Day (76%)

• Donald Trump 41%
• John Kasich 40%
• Ted Cruz 13%
• Marco Rubio 2%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 49%
• Marco Rubio 24%
• Ted Cruz 16%
• John Kasich 8%

Among Men

• Donald Trump 53%
• Marco Rubio 23%
• Ted Cruz 14%
• John Kasich 7%

Among Women

• Donald Trump 45%
• Marco Rubio 25%
• Ted Cruz 18%
• John Kasich 9%

Early Vote (37%)

• Donald Trump 49%
• Marco Rubio 28%
• Ted Cruz 17%
• John Kasich 5%

Election Day (63%)

• Donald Trump 49%
• Marco Rubio 22%
• Ted Cruz 15%
• John Kasich 10%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 11-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• John Kasich 33% (17%)
• Donald Trump 31% (35%)
• Ted Cruz 15% (12%)
• Marco Rubio 11% (12%) 

Among Men

• Donald Trump 34%
• John Kasich 30%
• Ted Cruz 18%
• Marco Rubio 9%

Among Women 

• John Kasich 36%
• Donald Trump 29%
• Marco Rubio 13%
• Ted Cruz 11%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted March 4-5, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 19-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 33%
• Donald Trump 32%
• Marco Rubio 17%
• John Kasich 7%
• Ben Carson 6%
• Undecided 5% 

Among Men

• Ted Cruz 38%
• Donald Trump 28%
• Marco Rubio 16%
• John Kasich 7%
• Ben Carson 7%
• Undecided 4%

Among Women 

• Donald Trump 37%
• Ted Cruz 27%
• Marco Rubio 17%
• John Kasich 8%
• Ben Carson 5%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted February 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Michigan 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG Michigan 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 53%
• Bernie Sanders 40%

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 19-20, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 35%
• John Kasich 17%
• Ted Cruz 12%
• Marco Rubio 12%
• Ben Carson 9%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 19-20, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 61% {59%} [61%] (65%)
• Bernie Sanders 32% {33%} [31%] (27%)

Among Whites

• Bernie Sanders 48% {48%}
• Hillary Clinton 47% {45%}

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton 73% {72%}
• Bernie Sanders 19% {20%}

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 17-18, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Race: 53% {52%} Black; 47% {48%} White. Results from the poll conducted February 16-17, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 34% {33%} [33%] (35%)
• Marco Rubio 22% {20%} [16%] (14%)
• John Kasich 14% {15%} [14%] (15%)
• Ted Cruz 13% {13%} [14%] (12%)
• Jeb Bush 9% {8%} [9%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 4% {3%} [3%] (2%)

Survey of 401 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 17-18, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 16-17, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 59% [61%] (65%)
• Bernie Sanders 33% [31%] (27%)

Among Whites

• Bernie Sanders 48%
• Hillary Clinton 45%

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton 72%
• Bernie Sanders 20%

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 16-17, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Race: 52% Black; 48% White. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 33% [33%] (35%)
• Marco Rubio 20% [16%] (14%)
• John Kasich 15% [14%] (15%)
• Ted Cruz 13% [14%] (12%)
• Jeb Bush 8% [9%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 3% [3%] (2%)

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 16-17, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 61% (65%)
• Bernie Sanders 31% (27%)

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 14-16, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 33% (35%)
• Marco Rubio 16% (14%)
• Ted Cruz 14% (12%)
• John Kasich 14% (15%)
• Jeb Bush 9% (10%)
• Ben Carson 3% (2%)

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 14-16, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 65%
• Bernie Sanders 27%

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 35%
• John Kasich 15%
• Marco Rubio 14%
• Ted Cruz 12%
• Jeb Bush 10%
• Ben Carson 2%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.