Friday, August 31, 2012

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Senatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Senate Poll
  • Debbie Stabenow (D) 51% {49%} (49%) [48%] {47%} (44%)
  • Pete Hoekstra (R) 44% {35%} (38%) [42%] {38%} (42%)
Survey of 1,200 likely voters was conducted August 28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-31, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Political Ideology

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Political Ideology

Many people have different ideological perspectives on fiscal issues and social issues. When it comes to fiscal issues such as taxes, government spending and business regulation, are you politically conservative, moderate or liberal?
  • Conservative 43% [43%] {40%} [43%] {42%} (44%) [43%] {44%} [44%] (43%)
  • Moderate 37% [36%] {41%} [40%] {41%} (40%) [37%] {40%} [39%] (38%)
  • Liberal 18% [14%] {13%} [13%] {13%} (11%) [14%] {12%} [14%] (13%)
When it comes to social issues like abortion, public prayer, and Church-state topics, are you politically conservative, moderate or liberal?
  • Conservative 35% [36%] {36%} [34%] {35%} (35%) [36%] {40%} [37%] (36%)
  • Moderate 27% [30%] {32%} [32%] {30%} (30%) [29%] {26%} [30%] (31%)
  • Liberal 35% [31%] {30%} [30%] {31%} (31%) [32%] {31%} [30%] (29%)
Combined Results
  • Fiscal and Social Conservative 27% [28%] {26%} [27%] {27%} (29%)
  • Fiscal and Social Liberal 15% [12%] {10%} [11%] {11%}
Note: Fifty-eight percent (58%) are some other combination.

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 27-28, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 27-28, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-23, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-15, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Seventy-three percent (73%) of Republicans say they are conservative when it comes to fiscal issues and 59% are conservative about social issues. Among Democrats, 46% describe themselves as fiscally moderate, while 57% are socially liberal. Voters not affiliated with either party are mostly moderate to conservative on fiscal issues but almost evenly divided in the social area.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 46%  
Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted August 24-30, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 45% [46%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% [43%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 4% [4%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
  • Undecided 6% [6%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted August 24-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-25, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
The president’s job approval in the swing states is currently 49%. Fifty-one percent (51%) disapprove. Those figures include 26% who strongly approve and 40% who strongly disapprove.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 7% 
Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted August 28-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Thursday, August 30, 2012

Mitt Romney Addresses the Republican National Convention

Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Marco Rubio at the RNC


Visit NBCNews.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Clint Eastwood at the Republican National Convention


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Poll Watch: Grove Insight (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

Grove Insight (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll
  • Patrick Murphy (D) 47%
  • Allen West (R) 46%
  • Undecided 7%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Allen West 43% / 38% {+5%}
Survey of 400 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted August 21-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 46% (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (44%) {44%} [44%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 4% (4%) {3%} [3%] (4%)
  • Undecided 6% (6%) {6%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted August 23-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Results from the poll conducted August 22-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-25, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
The president’s job approval in the swing states is currently 50%. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. Those figures include 25% who strongly approve and 38% who strongly disapprove.

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% [48%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% [42%] (46%) {43%} [40%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%)
Survey of 1,200 likely voters was conducted August 28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-16, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-17, 2011 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
The poll showed the key bloc of independent voters swinging toward Romney by a wide margin, 51%-38% with 11% undecided. Romney held a 48%-47% lead among men while women voters preferred Obama by a 51%-44% margin.

The poll showed African-Americans supporting Obama 91% to 7% for Romney and 3% undecided.

Whites voters supported Romney 50% to 45% for Obama and 5% undecided.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 53% (52%) {44%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (47%) 
  • Barack Obama 41% (42%) {45%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (41%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 45% (49%) {42%} [46%] (43%) {39%} [45%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 44% (43%) {39%} [37%] (40%) {42%} [33%] (35%)
  Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 57% (58%) {66%} [61%] (61%) {63%} [61%] (55%)
  • Mitt Romney 32% (36%) {23%} [27%] (28%) {22%} [25%] (28%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 56% (60%) {44%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (52%)
  • Barack Obama 37% (35%) {45%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (36%)
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 51% (44%) {45%} [42%] (44%) {42%} [41%] (42%)
  • Barack Obama 43% (47%) {45%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (46%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 51% (48%) {38%} [30%] (28%) {31%} [32%] (30%) / 43% (45%) {50%} [54%] (51%) {45%} [44%] (42%) {+8%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 47% (46%) {36%} [34%] (28%) {26%} [35%] (26%) / 43% (50%) {46%}  [48%] (48%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {+4%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 32% (35%) {22%} [28%] (25%) {26%} [29%] (20%) / 60% (59%) {66%} [59%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {-28%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 54% (54%) {40%} [30%] (29%) {35%} [32%] (34%) / 40% (41%) {51%} [57%] (54%) {50%} [49%] (42%) {+14%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 49% (43%) {36%} [30%] (28%) {29%} [31%] (27%) / 45% (49%) {49%} [52%] (47%) {41%} [39%] (42%) {+4%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 39% (42%) {44%} [45%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 55% (55%) {52%} [50%] (53%) {53%} [52%] (52%)
Survey of 621 likely Missouri voters was conducted August 28-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% (39%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 33% (30%) {35%} [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 32% (32%) {33%} [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% (27%) {30%} [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 29% (29%) {25%} [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (19%) {21%} [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 12% (16%) {14%} [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

  • Claire McCaskill (D) 45% (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {46%} [45%]
  • Todd Akin (R) 44% (44%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [44%]
Among Men
  • Todd Akin (R) 48% (50%) {46%} [45%]
  • Claire McCaskill (D) 40% (36%) {44%} [43%]
Among Women
  • Claire McCaskill (D) 49% (49%) {45%} [43%]
  • Todd Akin (R) 42% (39%) {43%} [41%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Todd Akin 33% (24%) {21%} [19%] (18%) {18%}[20%] / 56% (58%) {21%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [24%] {-23%}
Among Men
  • Todd Akin 36% (27%) {24%} [20%] / 56% (55%) {25%} [32%] {-20%} 
Among Women
  • Todd Akin 31% (22%) {18%} [17%] / 56% (60%) {18%} [24%] {-25%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Claire McCaskill’s job performance?
  • Approve 40% (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 55% (53%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (44%)
Do you think Todd Akin should withdraw from the U.S. Senate race, or not?
  • He should withdraw 37%
  • He should not 54%
Do you accept Todd Akin’s apology for the comments he made last week, or not?
  • Accept his apology 53%
  • Do not 40%
Survey of 621 likely Missouri voters was conducted August 28-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (39%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 33% (30%) {35%} [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 32% (32%) {33%} [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (27%) {30%} [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 29% (29%) {25%} [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (19%) {21%} [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 12% (16%) {14%} [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Poll

I’m going to read you a short list of issues in the news. For each, please let me know which presidential candidate you trust more to handle that issue—Barack Obama or Mitt Romney.

Economy
  • Mitt Romney 48% {49%} (50%) [51%] {49%} (45%) [48%]
  • Barack Obama 44% {43%} (42%) [39%] {39%} (44%) [39%]
Health care
  • Mitt Romney 47% {46%} (47%) [45%] {46%} (41%)
  • Barack Obama 45% {45%} (44%) [40%] {42%} (44%)
National security
  • Barack Obama 47% {42%} (44%) [42%] {45%} (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% {45%} (45%) [44%] {42%} (41%)
Taxes
  • Barack Obama 46% {44%} (42%) [38%] {42%} (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {47%} (49%) [48%] {47%} (45%)
Energy Policy
  • Mitt Romney 44% {44%} (43%) [43%] {45%}
  • Barack Obama 44% {41%} (44%) [40%] {43%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 1-2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-14, 2012 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:
Republicans (83%) show slightly more confidence in Romney to handle the economy than Democrats (75%) do in the president. Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, however, Romney holds a 51% to 39% lead over the president when it comes to the economy.

Unaffiliated voters express more faith in Romney on every issue. The GOP challenger has an 18-point lead over Obama among these voters on the issue of health care.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 5% 
Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted August 27-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Paul Ryan at the Republican National Convention


Click here to read transcript of Paul Ryan's speech.

Condoleezza Rice at the RNC


Click here to read transcript.

Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Political Predictions Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Political Predictions Poll

Regardless of who you want to win, who do you think is most likely to win the presidential election this year…President Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • President Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 33%
  • Not sure 13%
After the next election, which political party is most likely to have majority control in the U.S. House of Representatives…the Republicans or the Democrats?
  • Republicans 59%
  • Democrats 22%
  • Not sure 19%
Following the election, which political party is most likely to have majority control in the U.S. Senate…the Republicans or the Democrats?
  • Democrats 39%
  • Republicans 38%
  • Not sure 23%
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 26-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:
Seventy-nine percent (79%) of voters in the president’s party think he is likely to be reelected, compared to 60% of GOP voters who believe Romney will win. Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, Obama is the projected winner by a 51% to 32% margin.

Among those who plan to vote for Obama, 90% see him as the likely winner. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Romney voters think their candidate will win.

Solid majorities of Republicans and unaffiliated voters expect the GOP to remain in charge of the House. Democrats are evenly divided on the question. Sixty-two percent (62%) of GOP voters also think their party will win a majority in the Senate, compared to 53% of Democrats who believe their party will triumph instead. Unaffiliated voters by a 42% to 35% margin say Democrats will retain their majority in the Senate.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Gallup Survey on Paul Ryan

USA Today/Gallup Poll on Paul Ryan 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan, or have you never heard of him?
  • Favorable 38% (25%)
  • Unfavorable 36% (17%)
  • Never heard of/No opinion 26% (58%)
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 10% (6%)
  • Unfavorable 60% (34%)
  • Never heard of/No opinion 29% (61%)
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 73% (50%)
  • Unfavorable 9% (3%)
  • Never heard of/No opinion 17% (48%)
Among Independents
  • Favorable 34% (23%)
  • Unfavorable 35% (17%)
  • Never heard of/No opinion 31% (62%)
Survey of 1,033 adults was conducted August 20-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 12, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 50% {48%} [51%] (46%) {47%} [43%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 47% {42%} [43%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 51% {35%} [39%] (41%) {49%} [58%] (52%)
  • Barack Obama 41% {37%} [54%] (47%) {44%} [27%] (41%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 53% {57%} [67%] (64%) {55%} [53%] (61%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% {30%} [29%] (26%) {36%} [34%] (35%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 52% {46%} [41%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 44% {43%} [51%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (44%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% {52%} [51%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {39%} [44%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (45%)
If the candidates for President this year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Gary Johnson 2%
  • Undecided 2%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 45% / 46% {-1%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% {41%} [38%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (47%) / 49% {53%} [51%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {-3%}
  • Gary Johnson 8% / 24% {-16%}
Among Independents
  • Paul Ryan 49% / 44% {+5%}
  • Mitt Romney 49% {32%} [36%] (40%) {40%} [48%] (58%) / 46% {54%} [54%] (47%) {43%} [38%] (28%) {+3%}
  • Gary Johnson 13% / 27% {-14%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 42% {29%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [44%] (42%) / 54% {64%} [56%] (57%) {50%} [38%] (42%) {-12%}
  • Gary Johnson 10% / 22% {-12%}
  • Paul Ryan 39% / 53% {-14%}
Among Men
  • Paul Ryan 51% / 41% {+10%}
  • Mitt Romney 50% {41%} [36%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (45%) / 44% {54%} [56%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {+6%}
  • Gary Johnson 11% / 28% {-17%}
Among Women
  • Paul Ryan 41% / 50% {-9%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% {40%} [40%] (45%) {34%} [44%] (49%) / 53% {52%} [47%] (44%) {42%} [41%] (30%) {-10%}
  • Gary Johnson 6% / 20% {-14%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48% {49%} [50%] (44%) {47%} [45%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% {47%} [46%] (53%) {50%} [52%] (46%)
Do you support or oppose Paul Ryan's proposal for reforming Medicare?
  • Support 43%
  • Oppose 47%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 53%
  • He should not 44%
Survey of 831 likely Nevada voters was conducted August 23-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {40%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 34% {38%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 28% {21%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 35% {34%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 21% {23%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 16% {17%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 15% {14%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 13% {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Senate Poll
  • Chris Murphy (D) 48% [50%] (50%)
  • Linda McMahon (R) 44% [42%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Linda McMahon (R) 56% [53%] (48%)
  • Chris Murphy (D) 36% [36%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Linda McMahon (R) 54% [49%] (52%)
  • Chris Murphy (D) 39% [42%] (42%)
Among Women
  • Chris Murphy (D) 55% [57%] (58%)
  • Linda McMahon (R) 36% [37%] (36%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Linda McMahon 45% [42%] (39%) / 47% [48%] (49%) {-2%}
  • Chris Murphy 39% [38%] (35%) / 41% [31%] (28%) {-2%}
Survey of 881 Connecticut voters was conducted August 22-23, 2012. Party ID: 46% [41%] (45%) Democrat; 25% [28%] (31%) Republican; 29% [30%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 53% [51%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% [43%] (45%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% [47%] (48%)
  • Barack Obama 39% [40%] (36%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% [49%] (53%)
  • Barack Obama 43% [43%] (38%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 62% [57%] (55%)
  • Mitt Romney 32% [38%] (37%)
Survey of 881 Connecticut voters was conducted August 22-23, 2012. Party ID: 46% [41%] (45%) Democrat; 25% [28%] (31%) Republican; 29% [30%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 46%  
Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted August 22-28, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Capitol Correspondent Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Capitol Correspondent Ohio 2012 Senate Poll
  • Sherrod Brown (D) 43.58%
  • Josh Mandel (R) 41.36%
  • Unsure 15.06%
Survey of  1,397 likely voters was conducted August 27, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Capitol Correspondent Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Capitol Correspondent Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45.27%
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44.39%
  • Unsure 10.34%
Survey of  1,397 likely voters was conducted August 27, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.

Rudy Giuliani Morning Show Round Robin at RNC


Chris Christie Delivers Keynote Address at Republican National Convention


Click here to read transcript of Chris Christie's speech.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 47% {47%} [48%] (46%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {44%} [44%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 4% {3%} [3%] (4%)
  • Undecided 6% {6%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted August 22-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-25, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Romney leads by two among men in the swing states, while Obama has a seven-point advantage among women.

The president’s job approval in the swing states is currently 50%. Forty-nine percent (49%) disapprove. Those figures include 25% who strongly approve and 38% who strongly disapprove.

Poll Watch: Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

Democracy Corps (D) 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49.1% [50%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (48%)
  • Mitt Romney 47.1% [46%] (46%) {47%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [48%] (46%)
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?
  • Approve 47.0% [50%] (47%) {45%} [50%] (44%) {40%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [44%] (47%)
  • Disapprove 49.7% [46%] (48%) {50%} [46%] (49%) {53%} [50%] (48%) {45%} [50%] (47%)
I know it is a long way off, but thinking about the elections for Congress in 2012, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you be voting for the Democratic House candidate or the Republican House candidate?
  • Republican candidate 46.8% [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
  • Democratic candidate 45.6% [46%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (44%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 23-27, 2012 by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: [38%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (40%) {35%} [38%] (35%) {38%} [38%] (34%) Democrat; [33%] (31%) {31%} [31%] (31%) {31%} [33%] (32%) {31%} [36%] (34%) Republican; [25%] (28%) {29%} [26%] (26%) {32%} [26%] (30%) {28%} [23%] (28%) Independent. Political ideology: [37%] (39%) {39%} [41%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (42%) Conservative; [33%] (33%) {32%} [30%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (34%) Moderate; [22%] (21%) {21%} [22%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {21%} [18%] (18%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-27, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 5% 
Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted August 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.
Inside the numbers:
Voters under 30 are once again poised to go heavily for Obama. He leads by 35 among those younger voters, very similar to his 34-point margin in 2008. For Obama and the Democrats, that’s a better result among young voters than they managed in 2010.

Among seniors, however, Romney leads by 21 points. That matches the Republican edge among seniors in 2010 rather than the margins from 2008. Four years ago, Republican candidate John McCain won seniors only by eight points.

So Obama’s margin among the youth may be similar to results from 2008, while the GOP advantage among seniors is more like the results from 2010.