Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Scott Walker 17% [16%] (4%)
  
• Rand Paul 10% [15%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 10% [10%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 9% [9%] (4%)
• Mike Huckabee 9% [13%] (9%)
• Marco Rubio 6% [4%] (2%)
• Rick Santorum 6% [5%] (3%)
• Ted Cruz 5% [6%] (7%) 
• Chris Christie 4% [6%] (6%)
• Donald Trump 4% [1%]
• Rick Perry 3% [3%] (7%)
• Carly Fiorina 2% [1%]
• John Kasich 2% [1%]  (1%)
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Bobby Jindal 1% [2%] (1%)
• George Pataki 0%

Survey of 402 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted May 25-29, 2015 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-7, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Washington 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Washington 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Marco Rubio (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Rand Paul (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Scott Walker (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Jeb Bush (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Ted Cruz (R) 40%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Chris Christie (R) 37%

Survey of 1,032 registered voters was conducted May 18-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Washington 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Washington 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 45%
• Bernie Sanders 36%
• Lincoln Chafee 2%
• Bill de Blasio 2%
• Martin O'Malley 2%
• Jim Webb 1%
• Unsure 12%

Survey of 256 Democratic voters was conducted May 18-19, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Washington 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Washington 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Rand Paul 13.2%
• Scott Walker 12.4%
• Jeb Bush 11.5%
• Marco Rubio 11.3%
• Ben Carson 7.6%
• Chris Christie 6%
• Ted Cruz 5%
• Mike Huckabee 5%
• Carly Fiorina 3%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Unsure 23%

Survey of 523 Republican voters was conducted May 18-19, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (52%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 45% (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (50%) {52%} [51%]
• Rand Paul (R) 43% (39%) {38%} [43%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Scott Walker (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%) {49%} [44%]
• Chris Christie (R) 41% (39%) {39%} [48%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (51%) {52%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 42% (39%) {37%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (51%)
• Ben Carson (R) 42% (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (52%) {51%} [51%] (55%)
• Rick Santorum (R) 42% (36%) {40%} [42%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {53%} [53%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 41% {34%} [41%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%) {51%} [48%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 38% (38%) {37%} [44%]

Survey of 799 registered voters was conducted May 21-24, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 46% (44%) {46%} [46%] (48%) Democrat; 37% (40%) {39%} [43%] (40%) Republican; 17% (16%) {15%} [11%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% (31%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Moderate; 24% (23%) {25%} [26%] (19%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (20%) {20%} [18%] (20%) Somewhat liberal; 15% (15%) {15%} [15%] (15%) Very conservative; 12% (11%) {11%} [11%] (15%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 8-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Democratic Primary Poll 

• Hillary Clinton 63% {58%} [65%] (61%)
• Bernie Sanders 14% {5%}
• Martin O'Malley 6% {1%} [0%] (0%)
• Lincoln Chafee 3%
• Jim Webb 3% {1%}
• Not sure 12% {11%} [10%] (9%)

Survey of 385 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Ideology: 34% {36%} [33%] (34%) Moderate; 29% {32%} [30%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 25% {17%} [21%] (19%) Very liberal; 10% {12%} [14%] (17%) Somewhat conservative; 2% {2%} [3%] (3%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 1, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 GOP Primary Poll 

• Scott Walker 17% (9%) {3%} [3%]
• Chris Christie 12% (12%) {23%} [26%] (20%)
• Rick Santorum 12% (8%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 12% (19%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% (10%) {14%} (9%)
• Jeb Bush 9% (18%) {10%} [10%] (10%)
• Marco Rubio 9% {6%} [6%] (17%)
• Ted Cruz 6% (10%) {10%} [16%] 
• Rand Paul 6% (8%) {12%} [14%] (17%)
• Someone else/Not sure 6% (7%) {9%} [9%] (6%)

Survey of 334 Republican primary voters was conducted May 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Ideology: 38% (32%) {40%}  [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 32% (41%) {31%} [33%] (29%) Very conservative; 23% (18%) {23%} [19%] (21%) Moderate; 6% (7%) {5%} [8%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (3%) {1%} [3%] (4%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 22-25, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [46%] [50%]
• Marco Rubio (R) 41% {43%} [41%] [34%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [47%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [53%] (50%) {49%}
• Rand Paul (R) 42% {42%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {40%} [36%] (38%) {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%} [47%] (46%) {49%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 40% {42%} [40%] (41%) {40%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [48%]
• Scott Walker (R) 38% {41%} [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {45%} [46%] (43%) {47%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [49%] (46%) [45%]
• Chris Christie (R) 37% {40%} [39%] (42%) {38%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [36%] (40%) [37%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {46%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
• Jeb Bush (R) 37% {39%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {48%} [48%] (48%) [50%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 37% {41%} [38%] (37%) [35%] (37%) {36%} [31%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Donald Trump (R) 32%

National survey of 1,711 registered voters was conducted May 19-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 23% {25%} [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 36% {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 10% {9%} [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 72% {73%} [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 12% {12%} [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 8% {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 8% {8%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 57% [60%] (56%) {57%} [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
• Bernie Sanders 15% [8%] (4%) {4%}
• Joe Biden 9% [10%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%) 
• Lincoln Chafee 1% [0%] 
• Martin O'Malley 1% [3%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Jim Webb 1% [1%] (1%) {1%}
• Don't know 14% [14%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)

National survey of 748 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted May 19-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 10% [13%] (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 10% [3%] (7%) {9%}
• Mike Huckabee 10% [7%] (8%) {7%} [10%]
• Marco Rubio 10% [15%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
• Scott Walker 10% [11%] (18%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
• Rand Paul 7% [8%] (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%)
• Ted Cruz 6% [9%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
• Donald Trump 5%
• Chris Christie 4% [7%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
• Carly Fiorina 2% [1%] 
• John Kasich 2% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
• Lindsey Graham 1% [2%] (1%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% [1%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Rick Perry 1% [3%] (1%) {3%} [3%]   
• George Pataki 0%
• Rick Santorum 0% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%]
• Don't know 20% [14%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)

Survey of 679 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted May 19-26, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Field Research California 2016 Presidential Survey

Field Research California 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Jeb Bush (R) 31%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Marco Rubio (R) 32%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
• Scott Walker (R) 30%

Survey of 801 likely voters was conducted April 23 - May 16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Field Research California 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Field Research California 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 53% (59%)
• Elizabeth Warren 13% (17%)
• Joe Biden 6% (9%)
• Bernie Sanders 5% (6%)
• Jim Webb 1% (2%)
• Martin O'Malley 0%
• Lincoln Chafee 0%
• Other/Undecided 22% (7%)

Survey of 356 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 23 - May 16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 26 - February 16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Field Research California 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Field Research California 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 11% (16%)
• Marco Rubio 11% (7%)
• Scott Walker 10% (18%)
• Rand Paul 8% (10%)
• Chris Christie 6% (3%)
• Mike Huckabee 6% (5%)
• Ben Carson 5% (8%)
• Ted Cruz 4% (5%) 
• Carly Fiorina 3%
• Lindsey Graham 1% (1%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% (1%)
• John Kasich 1%
• Rick Perry 0% (4%)
• Other 2% (3%)
• Undecided 31% (19%)

Survey of 227 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 23 - May 16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 26 - February 16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Washington 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Washington 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Marco Rubio (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  
• Ben Carson (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Jeb Bush (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Scott Walker (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Ted Cruz (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Rand Paul (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  
• Rick Perry (R) 37%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Chris Christie (R) 34% 

• Scott Walker (R) 35%
• Bernie Sanders (D) 35% 

• Scott Walker (R) 33% 
• Jim Webb (D) 32%

• Scott Walker (R) 34%
• Martin O'Malley (D) 31%

• Scott Walker (R) 35%
• Lincoln Chafee (D) 29%

Survey of 879 registered voters was conducted May 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 19% Somewhat conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very liberal; 16% Very conservative.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Washington 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

PPP (D) Washington 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 57%
• Bernie Sanders 24%
• Martin O'Malley 4% 
• Jim Webb 2%
• Lincoln Chafee 1%
• Not sure 12%

Survey of 391 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Ideology: 34% Somewhat liberal; 32% Very liberal; 30% Moderate; 3% Somewhat conservative; 1% Very conservative.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Washington 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Washington 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Scott Walker 18%
• Marco Rubio 15%
• Mike Huckabee 13%
• Ted Cruz 11%
• Jeb Bush 10%
• Ben Carson 10%
• Chris Christie 6%
• Rand Paul 5%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Someone else/Not sure 7%

Survey of 372 Republican primary voters was conducted May 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% Somewhat conservative; 38% Very conservative; 16% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone Georgia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Landmark/Rosetta Stone Georgia 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 18.3%
• Ben Carson 15.4%
• Scott Walker 12.6%
• Jeb Bush 10.1%
• Marco Rubio 9.6%
• Ted Cruz 9.3%
• Rand Paul 4.0%
• Carly Fiorina 2.6%
• Chris Christie 2.2%
• Rick Santorum 0.3%
• Undecided 15.6%

Survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 11-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Gender: 50.3% Female; 49.7% Male. Race: 96.5% White; 1.7% Black; 1.8% Other.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky 2016 Republican Primary Survey

SurveyUSA Kentucky 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 26%
• Mike Huckabee 15%
• Jeb Bush 12%
• Scott Walker 10%

Note: Eight other Republican presidential contenders are in single digits.

Survey of 517 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 5-10, 2015 for The Courier-Journal, WHAS-TV, the Lexington Herald-Leader and WKYT-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky 2016 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Kentucky 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Rand Paul (R) 45%

Survey of 2,104 registered voters was conducted May 5-10, 2015 for The Courier-Journal, WHAS-TV, the Lexington Herald-Leader and WKYT-TV. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2016 Presidential Poll

• Jeb Bush (R) 45% (41%) {45%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [42%] (38%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {45%} [48%] (49%) {52%} [51%] (51%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 44%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%) {47%}
• Marco Rubio (R) 43% (42%) {43%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (47%) {48%} (52%)
• Ted Cruz (R) 43% (42%) {42%} (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (46%) {48%}
• Scott Walker (R) 42% (40%) {42%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Ben Carson (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (53%) {54%}
• John Kasich (R) 40% (37%) {35%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Carly Fiorina (R) 37%

National survey of 1,006 registered voters was conducted May 9-12, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 63% (62%) {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
• Elizabeth Warren 13% (12%) {11%} [12%] (12%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
• Joe Biden 6% (9%) {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
• Bernie Sanders 6% (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Andrew Cuomo 2% (3%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [2%] (4%)
• Jim Webb 2% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) 
• Martin O'Malley 0% (1%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0% (0%)

National survey of 370 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 9-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 13% {9%} [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
• Ben Carson 13% {6%} [11%] (10%) 
• Scott Walker 11% {12%} [15%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% {9%} [10%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 9% {13%} [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
• Rand Paul 7% {10%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
• Chris Christie 6% {6%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {8%} [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%)  
• Donald Trump 4% {5%} [3%] 
• John Kasich 2% {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%}
• Rick Perry 2% {2%} [3%] (4%) {12%} [5%] (3%)  
• Rick Santorum 2% {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
• Carly Fiorina 1% {0%} [1%]
• Bobby Jindal 1% {1%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
• Lindsey Graham 0% {1%} [0%] (1%)  
• George Pataki 0% {1%} [1%]

National survey of 413 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 9-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 63% {54%} [54%] (60%)
• Bernie Sanders 13% {6%} [5%] (2%) 
• Jim Webb 6% {2%} [2%] (1%)
• Lincoln Chafee 5%
• Martin O'Malley 2% {3%} [1%] (1%)
• Not sure 11% {13%} [10%] (11%)

Survey of 600 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 7-10, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Political ideology: 32% {30%} [29%] (38%) Moderate; 30% {34%} [26%] (26%) Somewhat liberal; 25% {20%} [28%] (22%) Very liberal; 9% {13%} [14%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 3% {3%} [3%] (3%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Scott Walker 18% {20%} [25%] (11%) 
• Marco Rubio 13% {6%} [3%]
• Ben Carson 12% {10%} [18%] (15%) 
• Mike Huckabee 12% {6%} [10%] (9%)
• Jeb Bush 11% {17%} [17%] (17%)
• Ted Cruz 10% {16%} [5%] (9%)
• Rand Paul 9% {10%} [4%] (4%) 
• Chris Christie 5% {4%} [5%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 2% {3%} [3%] (2%) 
• Someone else/Not sure 7% {8%} [11%] (5%)

Survey of 685 Republican primary voters was conducted May 7-10, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% {34%} [38%] (35%) Very conservative; 34% {36%} [38%] (38%) Somewhat conservative; 21% {19%} [17%] (21%) Moderate; 6% {8%} [6%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {3%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Hillary Clinton 44%
• Marco Rubio 42%
• Not sure 14%

• Hillary Clinton 44% [50%] (47%)
• Jeb Bush 42% [36%] (39%)
• Not sure 14% [14%] (14%)

• Hillary Clinton 46% [48%] (48%)
• Rand Paul 43% [41%] (41%)
• Not sure 11% [11%] (10%)  

• Hillary Clinton 46% [50%]
• Scott Walker 40% [37%]
• Not sure 14% [14%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 62% [56%] (62%)
• Bernie Sanders 18% [8%] (6%)
• Joe Biden 5% [8%] (5%) 
• Martin O'Malley 3% [0%] (1%)
• Lincoln Chafee 1%
• Jim Webb 1% [0%]
• Someone else 0% [0%] (0%)
• None of the above 3% [2%] (2%)
• Not sure 8% [11%] (8%)  

Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Saint Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

St. Anselm College/Bloomberg Politics New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Rand Paul 12% [13%] (16%)  
• Scott Walker 12% [12%]
• Jeb Bush 11% [16%] (14%)
• Marco Rubio 11% [5%] 
• Donald Trump 8% [3%]
• Chris Christie 7% [10%] (16%) 
• Ted Cruz 6% [3%] (5%)
• Ben Carson 5% [6%] (9%)
• Mike Huckabee 4% [6%] (8%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% [1%]
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (4%)
• John Kasich 1% [2%]
• Rick Perry 1% [1%] (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%]
• Someone else 1% [1%] (1%)
• None of the above 3% [2%] (4%)
• Not sure 12% [14%] (13%)  

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 2-6, 2015 by Purple Insights.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% (39%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (51%)

• Marco Rubio (R) 47%
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

• Rand Paul (R) 47% (40%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (50%)

• Scott Walker (R) 44%
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Ted Cruz (R) 45%
  

Survey of 627 likely New Hampshire 2016 presidential election voters was conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 60% (61%)
• Bernie Sanders 15% (5%)
• Joe Biden 11% (7%)
• Martin O'Malley 3% (0%)
• Jim Webb 3% (2%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0%

Survey of 692 likely Iowa Democratic caucus participants was conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 15% {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
• Marco Rubio 12% {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%) 
• Scott Walker 11% {12%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
• Rand Paul 10% {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
• Donald Trump 5% {2%}
• Ben Carson 4% {8%}
• Rick Perry 4% {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {4%} 
• Carly Fiorina 4% {0%}
• Chris Christie 3% {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% {9%} [9%] (8%) 
• Bobby Jindal 2% {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
• George Pataki 2% {1%} 
• Rick Santorum 2% {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
• John Kasich 1% {1%} [0%] (0%)
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Peter King 0% {0%}
• Bob Ehrlich 0%
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• John Bolton 0% {1%}
• Someone else 1% {1%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
• Don't know yet 14% {15%} [28%] (15%) {15%} [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)

Survey of 293 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Dartmouth Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

Dartmouth Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Scott Walker (R) 38.7%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34.8%

• Jeb Bush (R) 36.9% [32.3%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34.1% [42.2%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 34.5%
• Marco Rubio (R) 34.4%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 36.5% [36.5%] (37.1%)
• Chris Christie (R) 34.4% [34.4%] (32.3%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 36.1% [35.9%]
• Rand Paul (R) 33.3% [38.5%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 38.1% [39.3%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 31.1% [36.3%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 39.6%
• Ted Cruz (R) 28.7%

Survey of 355 registered voters was conducted April 27-30, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 21-25, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Chris Christie (R) 46% (41%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (44%)

• Rand Paul (R) 45% (43%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (46%)

• Mike Huckabee (R) 44% (41%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%)

• Marco Rubio (R) 43%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%

• Ted Cruz (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

• Scott Walker (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (44%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 41% (45%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  
• Ben Carson (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  
• Rick Perry (R) 41%

• Scott Walker (R) 41%
• Lincoln Chafee (D) 26%

• Scott Walker (R) 43%
• Bernie Sanders (D) 28%

• Scott Walker (R) 43%
• Martin O'Malley (D) 25%

• Scott Walker (R) 44%
• Jim Webb (D) 26%

Survey of 600 Arizona voters was conducted May 1-3, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (39%) Republican; 33% (31%) Democrat; 26% (30%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% (29%) Moderate; 23% (26%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) Very conservative; 15% (18%) Somewhat liberal; 12% (10%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 28 - March 2, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 58%
• Bernie Sanders 16%
• Lincoln Chafee 5%
• Jim Webb 5%
• Martin O'Malley 4%
• Not sure 12%

Survey of 268 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 1-3, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.0 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Scott Walker 16% (8%)
• Jeb Bush 14% (11%) 
• Marco Rubio 14% (4%)
• Ben Carson 11%
• Rand Paul 11% (14%) 
• Ted Cruz 9% (16%) 
• Chris Christie 5% (12%)
• Mike Huckabee 5% (11%)
• Rick Perry 2%
• Not sure 12% (13%)

Survey of 300 Republican primary voters was conducted May 1-3, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% (39%) Somewhat conservative; 32% (31%) Very conservative; 24% (23%) Moderate; 4% (7%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 28 - March 2, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Scott Walker 21% (25%)
• Marco Rubio 13% (4%)
• Rand Paul 13% (13%) 
• Ted Cruz 12% (5%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% (11%)
• Ben Carson 7% (11%) 
• Jeb Bush 5% (10%)
• Chris Christie 3% (4%)
• Rick Perry 3% (3%)
• Carly Fiorina 2%
• John Kasich 2% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (4%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% (2%)
• Lindsey Graham 0%

Survey of 667 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Gender: 58% (60%) Men; 42% (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 43% (45%) Very conservative; 27% (28%) Somewhat conservative; 29% (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 51% {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
• Elizabeth Warren 20% {14%} [18%] (8%) (6%)  
• Bernie Sanders 13% {6%} [3%] (5%)
• Andrew Cuomo 3% {2%} [1%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
• Joe Biden 2% {8%} [3%] (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
• Jim Webb 1% {1%}
• Lincoln Chafee 1% 
• Undecided 8% {9%} [13%] (9%) {18%} [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)

Survey of 229 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Rand Paul (R) 44%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Marco Rubio (R) 43%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Jeb Bush (R) 43%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Scott Walker (R) 40%

• Jeb Bush (R) 48%
• Joe Biden (D) 40%

Survey of registered voters was conducted April 26-30, 2015.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 23%
• Marco Rubio 18%
• Scott Walker 14%
• Rand Paul 11%
• Ted Cruz 11%
• Ben Carson 7%
• Chris Christie 5%
• Mike Huckabee 5%
• Rick Perry 2%
• Carly Fiorina 1%

Survey of 251 registered Republican primary voters was conducted April 26-30, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6.19 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%) {46%} [47%] (48%)
• Rand Paul (R) 43% (42%) {42%} [42%] (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 44% (35%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (46%) {46%} [46%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 44% (42%) {42%} [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (43%) {44%} [45%] (50%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%) {39%} [41%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {45%} [45%] (43%)
• Chris Christie (R) 40% (41%) {39%} [39%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (47%) {47%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 42% (39%) {40%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Scott Walker (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Ben Carson (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Rick Perry (R) 41%

Survey of 1,219 likely voters was conducted April 23-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) Democrat; 35% (36%) {34%} [31%] (37%) Republican; 28% (29%) {28%} [32%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% (33%) {27%} [30%] (32%) Moderate; 23% (21%) {22%} [24%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (17%) {18%} [22%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 16% (18%) {19%} [14%] (18%) Very conservative; 11% (12%) {14%} [10%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.