Showing posts with label WMUR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label WMUR. Show all posts

Monday, February 08, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Tracking Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll
  • Donald Trump 31% [33%] (28%) {29%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Marco Rubio 17% [16%] (17%) {18%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [14%] (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Ted Cruz 14% [14%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (12%) {14%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • John Kasich 10% [11%] (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% [7%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 5% [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Chris Christie 4% [4%] (4%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Ben Carson 3% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 362 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 4-8, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (FULL) are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (EARLY) are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 58% {61%} [61%] (57%) {60%} [50%] (46%) {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%) 
  • Hillary Clinton 35% {31%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [40%] (30%) {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
Survey of 406 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 3-6, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (FULL) are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (EARLY) are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Tracking Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll
  • Donald Trump 33% (28%) {29%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Marco Rubio 16% (17%) {18%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [14%] (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Ted Cruz 14% (13%) {13%} [12%] (12%) {14%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • John Kasich 11% (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% (9%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 6% (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Chris Christie 4% (4%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Ben Carson 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 362 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 3-6, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (FULL) are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (EARLY) are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Friday, February 05, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 61% [61%] (57%) {60%} [50%] (46%) {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%) 
  • Hillary Clinton 31% [30%] (34%) {33%} [40%] (30%) {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
Survey of 312 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 2-4 (FULL), 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (EARLY) are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Tracking Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll
  • Donald Trump 28% {29%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Marco Rubio 17% {18%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [14%] (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Ted Cruz 13% {13%} [12%] (12%) {14%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • John Kasich 13% {12%} [10%] (9%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Jeb Bush 9% {10%} [9%] (6%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 5% {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Chris Christie 4% {4%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Ben Carson 1% {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 287 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 2-4 (FULL), 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (EARLY) are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Thursday, February 04, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Tracking Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll
  • Donald Trump 29% [29%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Marco Rubio 18% [11%] (11%) {10%} [14%] (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Ted Cruz 13% [12%] (12%) {14%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • John Kasich 12% [10%] (9%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% [9%] (6%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Chris Christie 4% [9%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Carly Fiorina 4% [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Ben Carson 2% [2%] (3%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 209 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 2-4, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 6.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 61% (57%) {60%} [50%] (46%) {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%) 
  • Hillary Clinton 30% (34%) {33%} [40%] (30%) {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
Survey of 228 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 2-4, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 6.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Sunday, January 31, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 57% {60%} [50%] (46%) {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%) 
  • Hillary Clinton 34% {33%} [40%] (30%) {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% {1%} [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
Survey of 347 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 27-30, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 30% {34%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Ted Cruz 12% {14%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Marco Rubio 11% {10%} [14%] (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • John Kasich 9% {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Chris Christie 8% {6%} [9%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 6% {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 4% {4%} [5%] (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Ben Carson 3% {3%} [5%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Rand Paul 3% {6%} [2%] (3%) {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)  
  • Mike Huckabee 1% {1%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
Survey of 409 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 27-30, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 34% [32%] (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Ted Cruz 14% [6%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Marco Rubio 10% [14%] (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% [8%] (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Rand Paul 6% [2%] (3%) {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)  
  • Chris Christie 6% [9%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • John Kasich 6% [7%] (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Carly Fiorina 4% [5%] (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Ben Carson 3% [5%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Mike Huckabee 1% [1%] (0%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
Who would be your second choice?
  • Ted Cruz 20% [11%] (4%) [4%]
  • Marco Rubio 19% [20%] (9%) [8%]
  • Chris Christie 11% [12%] (10%) [8%] 
  • Jeb Bush 10% [7%] (10%) [14%]
  • Donald Trump 8% [11%] (8%) [10%]
  • John Kasich 6% [3%] (7%) [1%]
  • Ben Carson 5% [8%] (12%) [5%] 
  • Carly Fiorina 4% [8%] (13%) [8%]
  • Rand Paul 4% [3%] (3%) [5%] 
  • Mike Huckabee 1% [1%] (1%) [3%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (0%) [4%]
  • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) [0%]
Survey of 414 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 13-18, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 60% [50%] (46%) {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%) 
  • Hillary Clinton 33% [40%] (30%) {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
Survey of 420 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 13-18, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, December 09, 2015

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 50% (46%) {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%) 
  • Hillary Clinton 40% (30%) {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
Survey of 370 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, December 08, 2015

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 32% (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Marco Rubio 14% (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 8% (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • John Kasich 7% (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Ben Carson 5% (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Carly Fiorina 5% (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Rand Paul 2% (3%) {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)  
  • Lindsey Graham 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Mike Huckabee 1% (0%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% (0%) {1%} [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {1%} 
Who would be your second choice?
  • Marco Rubio 20% (9%) [8%]
  • Chris Christie 12% (10%) [8%]
  • Ted Cruz 11% (4%) [4%] 
  • Donald Trump 11% (8%) [10%]
  • Ben Carson 8% (12%) [5%] 
  • Carly Fiorina 8% (13%) [8%]
  • Jeb Bush 7% (10%) [14%]
  • John Kasich 3% (7%) [1%]
  • Rand Paul 3% (3%) [5%] 
  • Lindsey Graham 2% (0%) [0%]
  • Mike Huckabee 1% (1%) [3%]
  • George Pataki 1% (1%) [4%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% (0%) [4%]
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) [0%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 61% (58%) [49%] / 23% (22%) [21%] {+38%}
  • Donald Trump 57% (55%) [38%] / 36% (38%) [48%] {+21%}
  • Carly Fiorina 49% (62%) [39%] / 29% (15%) [15%] {+20%}
  • Chris Christie 53% (50%) [31%] / 34% (37%) [44%] {+19%}
  • Ben Carson 47% (60%) [40%] / 35% (18%) [13%] {+12%}
  • Ted Cruz 46% (42%) [32%] / 36% (35%) [31%] {+10%}
  • John Kasich 36% (45%) [20%] / 35% (24%) [13%] {+1%}
  • Jeb Bush 42% (47%) [50%] / 45% (36%) [33%] {-3%}
  • Rand Paul 34% (31%) [43%] / 49% (48%) [32%] {-15%
  • Mike Huckabee 31% (35%) [31%] / 52% (45%) [43%] {-21%}
  • Jim Gilmore 3% (5%) [6%] / 30% (30%) [15%] {-27%}
  • Lindsey Graham 22% (18%) [17%] / 50% (53%) [40%] {-28%}
  • Rick Santorum 20% (23%) [27%] / 50% (52%) [38%] {-30%}
  • George Pataki 10% (19%) [23%] / 55% (48%) [34%] {-45%}
Which Republican candidate do you think has the right experience to be President?
  • Donald Trump 19% (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 17% (17%)
  • Chris Christie 14% (7%)
  • John Kasich 10% (11%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 3% (10%)
  • Rand Paul 3% (4%)
  • Ben Carson 2% (2%)
  • Lindsey Graham 2% (1%)
  • Mike Huckabee 2% (1%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
  • George Pataki 0% (0%)
Survey of 402 likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 46% {36%} [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%) 
  • Hillary Clinton 30% {42%} [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Joe Biden 14% {5%} [8%] (2%) {8%} [3%] (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
  • Jim Webb 1% {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
  • Lincoln Chafee 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)  
  • Lawrence Lessig 0%
Survey of 314 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 17-23, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 26% {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Carly Fiorina 16% {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Marco Rubio 9% {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Ben Carson 8% {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Jeb Bush 7% {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • John Kasich 7% {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Chris Christie 5% {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Ted Cruz 5% {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Rand Paul 3% {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)  
  • Jim Gilmore 1% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Lindsey Graham 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Mike Huckabee 0% {2%} [2%] (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
  • George Pataki 0% {0%} [1%] (2%) {1%}
  • Rick Santorum 0% {1%} [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • Bobby Jindal 0% {2%} [0%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
  • Mark Everson 0%
Survey of 344 likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 17-23, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, August 05, 2015

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Scott Walker (R) 45% [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [44%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% [47%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [43%] (50%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [47%] (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [41%] (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 40%
Survey of 652 likely New Hampshire 2016 presidential election voters was conducted July 22-30, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 42% [43%] (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Bernie Sanders 36% [35%] (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%)
  • Joe Biden 5% [8%] (2%) {8%} [3%] (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 1% [2%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
  • Jim Webb 1% [1%] (1%) {1%}
  • Lincoln Chafee 0% [0%] (1%) 
Survey of 276 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted July 22-30, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, August 04, 2015

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 24% [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Jeb Bush 12% [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Scott Walker 11% [8%] (11%) {12%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Chris Christie 7% [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Rand Paul 7% [9%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%) 
  • John Kasich 6% [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) 
  • Ted Cruz 5% [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Ben Carson 5% [5%] (4%) {8%}
  • Marco Rubio 3% [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% [0%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
  • Rick Perry 2% [4%] (4%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {4%} 
  • Mike Huckabee 2% [2%] (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)  
  • Carly Fiorina 1% [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Lindsey Graham 1% [1%] (1%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • George Pataki 0% [1%] (2%) {1%}
  • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%)
Survey of 308 likely Republican primary voters was conducted July 22-30, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Thursday, June 25, 2015

Poll Watch: CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 43% (51%) {58%} [58%] (59%) {65%} [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Bernie Sanders 35% (13%) {6%} [3%] (5%)
  • Joe Biden 8% (2%) {8%} [3%] (14%) {6%} [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {0%} (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) 
  • Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%}
  • Lincoln Chafee 0% (1%) 
Survey of 360 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 18-24, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 2 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNN/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 16% (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Donald Trump 11% (5%) {2%}
  • Rand Paul 9% (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Scott Walker 8% (11%) {12%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%) 
  • Carly Fiorina 6% (4%) {0%}
  • Marco Rubio 6% (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Ben Carson 5% (4%) {8%} 
  • Chris Christie 5% (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Rick Perry 4% (4%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {4%} 
  • Ted Cruz 3% (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Mike Huckabee 2% (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)  
  • John Kasich 2% (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Lindsey Graham 1% (1%)
  • George Pataki 1% (2%) {1%}
  • Bobby Jindal 0% (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
  • Peter King 0% (0%) {0%}
  • Bob Ehrlich 0% (0%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
Survey of 402 likely Republican primary voters was conducted June 18-24, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.