Tuesday, December 08, 2015

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 32% (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Marco Rubio 14% (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Chris Christie 9% (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 8% (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • John Kasich 7% (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Ben Carson 5% (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Carly Fiorina 5% (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Rand Paul 2% (3%) {7%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)  
  • Lindsey Graham 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Mike Huckabee 1% (0%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {9%} [9%] (8%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% (0%) {1%} [0%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (2%) {1%} 
Who would be your second choice?
  • Marco Rubio 20% (9%) [8%]
  • Chris Christie 12% (10%) [8%]
  • Ted Cruz 11% (4%) [4%] 
  • Donald Trump 11% (8%) [10%]
  • Ben Carson 8% (12%) [5%] 
  • Carly Fiorina 8% (13%) [8%]
  • Jeb Bush 7% (10%) [14%]
  • John Kasich 3% (7%) [1%]
  • Rand Paul 3% (3%) [5%] 
  • Lindsey Graham 2% (0%) [0%]
  • Mike Huckabee 1% (1%) [3%]
  • George Pataki 1% (1%) [4%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% (0%) [4%]
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) [0%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 61% (58%) [49%] / 23% (22%) [21%] {+38%}
  • Donald Trump 57% (55%) [38%] / 36% (38%) [48%] {+21%}
  • Carly Fiorina 49% (62%) [39%] / 29% (15%) [15%] {+20%}
  • Chris Christie 53% (50%) [31%] / 34% (37%) [44%] {+19%}
  • Ben Carson 47% (60%) [40%] / 35% (18%) [13%] {+12%}
  • Ted Cruz 46% (42%) [32%] / 36% (35%) [31%] {+10%}
  • John Kasich 36% (45%) [20%] / 35% (24%) [13%] {+1%}
  • Jeb Bush 42% (47%) [50%] / 45% (36%) [33%] {-3%}
  • Rand Paul 34% (31%) [43%] / 49% (48%) [32%] {-15%
  • Mike Huckabee 31% (35%) [31%] / 52% (45%) [43%] {-21%}
  • Jim Gilmore 3% (5%) [6%] / 30% (30%) [15%] {-27%}
  • Lindsey Graham 22% (18%) [17%] / 50% (53%) [40%] {-28%}
  • Rick Santorum 20% (23%) [27%] / 50% (52%) [38%] {-30%}
  • George Pataki 10% (19%) [23%] / 55% (48%) [34%] {-45%}
Which Republican candidate do you think has the right experience to be President?
  • Donald Trump 19% (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 17% (17%)
  • Chris Christie 14% (7%)
  • John Kasich 10% (11%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 3% (10%)
  • Rand Paul 3% (4%)
  • Ben Carson 2% (2%)
  • Lindsey Graham 2% (1%)
  • Mike Huckabee 2% (1%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
  • George Pataki 0% (0%)
Survey of 402 likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

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