Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ted Cruz 29.7% [6.2%] (6.6%) {6.5%} [5.4%] (6.2%)
• Donald Trump 23.4% [18.6%] (24.5%) {3.1%}  
• Ben Carson 10.8% [30.6%] (18.1%) {6.3%} [12.8%]
• Marco Rubio 10.6% [10.0%] (4.0%) {10.0%} [4.2%] (4.7%)
• Jeb Bush 6.2% [6.8%] (10.4%) {9.6%} [13.1%] (10.7%)
• Carly Fiorina 3.4% [2.4%] (5.2%) {1.0%} [1.3%]
• Rand Paul 2.4% [1.8%] (2.2%) {6.3%} [7.0%] (8.5%)
• Mike Huckabee 1.8% [1.2%] (4.4%) {8.6%} [14.4%] (14.7%)
• John Kasich 1.0% [1.4%] (3.2%) {1.0%} [1.3%] (0.7%)
• Rick Santorum 1.0% [0.8%] (1.0%) {3.5%} [3.8%] (4.7%)
• Chris Christie 0.4% [1.8%] (2.4%) {5.1%} [5.4%] (8.0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0.0% [0.4%] (0.2%) {0.0%} [0.6%]
• Undecided 9.0% [12.8%] (7.2%) {22.8%} [14.7%] (23.8%)

Who would be your second option?

• Ted Cruz 22.6% [7.2%] (5.6%)
  
• Marco Rubio 19.2% [10.0%] (8.4%)
• Ben Carson 13.2% [19.0%] (15.9%)
• Donald Trump 9.2% [8.6%] (9.2%)  
• Carly Fiorina 4.4% [8.8%] (6.0%)
• Jeb Bush 3.4% [7.6%] (9.8%)
• Chris Christie 3.0% [2.6%] (3.4%) 
• Mike Huckabee 2.6% [3.6%] (4.4%)
• Rand Paul 2.0% [1.8%] (4.2%)
• John Kasich 1.0% [1.6%] (2.8%)
• Rick Santorum 0.8% [2.0%] (2.0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0.2% [0.4%] (0.8%)
• Undecided 18.0% [22.6%] (15.1%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ted Cruz 78.2% [52.4%] (50.0%) / 10.8% [23.2%] (25.5%) {+67.4%}
• Ben Carson 75.2% [83.4%] (72.9%) / 14.2% [4.6%] (10.2%) {+61.0%}
• Marco Rubio 74.3% [68.8%] (59.8%) / 13.8% [13.4%] (16.3%) {+60.5%}
• Carly Fiorina 57.7% [58.6%] (55.2%) / 19.6% [20.8%] (14.7%) {+38.1%}
• Mike Huckabee 62.7% [56.2%] (60.8%) / 25.9% [26.6%] (24.5%) {+36.8%}
• Rick Santorum 49.7% [46.8%] (47.4%) / 27.9% [27.6%] (27.3%) {+21.8%}
• Donald Trump 53.3% [55.8%] (51.8%) / 35.1% [32.4%] (35.1%) {+18.2%}  
• Chris Christie 44.5% [38.2%] (32.5%) / 34.3% [37.2%] (45.4%) {+10.2%}  
• Jeb Bush 44.3% [47.6%] (46.6%) / 39.7% [35.0%] (38.4%) {+4.6%}
• Rand Paul 38.5% [33.6%] (36.7%) / 44.9% [45.2%] (39.0%) {-6.4%}
• John Kasich 24.0% [28.4%] (33.1%) / 39.7% [27.8%] (23.1%) {-15.7%}
• Lindsey Graham 27.6% [16.2%] (15.9%) / 72.4% [45.4%] (47.2%) {-44.8%}

Survey of 499 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted December 7-10, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-8, 2014 are in parentheses.