Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 36% (27%) {24%} [32%] (24%) {18%} [12%] (3%) 
• Ted Cruz 16% (4%) {6%} [7%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {7%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Ben Carson 14% (22%) {14%} [19%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (7%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [11%] 
• Marco Rubio 12% (8%) {11%} [3%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (14%) {11%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 4% (4%) {3%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [7%] (7%) {13%} [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%) 
• Jeb Bush 3% (8%) {9%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [17%] (13%) {17%} [16%] (14%) {23%} [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% (4%) {15%} [3%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
• Mike Huckabee 2% (5%) {6%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (16%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• John Kasich 2% (3%) {2%} [2%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
• Rand Paul 1% (5%) {4%} [3%] (6%) {6%} [8%] (8%) {11%} [12%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
• Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) 
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (3%) {0%}   
• Rick Santorum 0% (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)

Among Republicans

• Donald Trump 36% (24%) {28%} [28%] (26%) {17%} [14%]
  
• Ben Carson 17% (24%) {15%} [22%] (9%) {2%} [7%]
• Ted Cruz 14% (3%) {5%} [7%] (6%) {6%} [2%]
• Marco Rubio 11% (7%) {13%} [2%] (10%) {8%} [9%]
• Chris Christie 6% (4%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {5%} [3%]
• Mike Huckabee 3% (5%) {6%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [5%]
• Carly Fiorina 2% (5%) {12%} [4%] (4%) {0%} [1%]
• Jeb Bush 1% (11%) {7%} [10%] (15%) {20%} [19%]
• John Kasich 1% (4%) {3%} [2%] (5%) {4%} [3%]
• Rand Paul 1% (2%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {3%} [5%]
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
• Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%]
• Rick Santorum 0% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [6%]

Survey of 445 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 62% (64%) {69%} [65%] (61%) {55%} [64%] Republican; 38% (36%) {31%} [35%] (39%) {45%} [36%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.