Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 28% {25%} [20%] (27%) {10%}
• Ted Cruz 27% {23%} [10%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (5%)
• Marco Rubio 14% {13%} [13%] (5%) {7%} [13%] (4%)
• Ben Carson 10% {18%} [28%] (21%) {10%} [7%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 5% {4%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 4% {5%} [6%] (4%) {9%} [13%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 3% {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (4%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% {3%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [2%]
• Mike Huckabee 1% {2%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [11%] (11%)
• John Kasich 1% {1%} [3%] (5%) {2%} [2%] (0%) 
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [0%]
• George Pataki 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} 
• Rick Santorum 0% {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%] (4%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ben Carson 74% {79%} [84%] (79%) {63%} [53%] (51%) / 20% {15%} [10%] (6%) {7%} [9%] (5%) {+54%}
• Ted Cruz 72% {73%} [65%] (61%) {58%} [59%] (46%) / 18% {15%} [18%] (19%) {19%} [19%] (19%) {+54%}
• Marco Rubio 71% {70%} [70%] (66%) {60%} [69%] (48%) / 18% {18%} [15%] (15%) {13%} [9%] (15%) {+53%}
• Carly Fiorina 59% {60%} [61%] (62%) {36%} [26%] / 22% {19%} [18%] (8%) {8%} [8%] {+37%}
• Mike Huckabee 59% {61%} [63%] (61%) {61%} [64%] (63%) / 28% {28%} [29%] (28%) {28%} [27%] (24%) {+31%}
• Donald Trump 55% {59%} [53%] (60%) {42%} / 39% {34%} [43%] (35%) {47%} {+16%}
• Rick Santorum 46% {50%} [50%] (51%) {55%} [56%] (54%) / 33% {31%} [32%] (27%) {27%} [28%] (23%) {+13%}
• Chris Christie 49% {45%} [36%] (37%) {25%} [32%] (30%) / 40% {40%} [52%] (50%) {59%} [56%] (54%) {+9%}
• Rand Paul 43% {41%} [45%] (41%) {53%} [59%] (58%) / 42% {44%} [43%] (43%) {31%} [23%] (22%) {+1%}
• Jeb Bush 41% {39%} [43%] (41%) {46%} [39%] (41%) / 51% {53%} [51%] (48%) {42%} [45%] (40%) {-10%}
• John Kasich 24% {22%} [28%] (33%) {20%} [20%] (17%) / 38% {39%} [25%] (18%) {11%} [8%] (6%) {-14%}
• Jim Gilmore 2% {1%} [3%] (3%) / 18% {19%} [14%] (12%) {-16%}
• George Pataki 8% {5%} [9%] (7%) {9%} / 33% {36%} [28%] (26%) {20%} {-25%}
• Lindsey Graham 16% {20%} [18%] (17%) {20%} [15%] / 49% {45%} [47%] (45%) {38%} [37%] {-33%}

Survey of 874 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted December 4-13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Gender: 58% {61%} [63%] (57%) {61%} [58%] (60%) Men; 42% {39%} [37%] (43%) {39%} [42%] (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 40% {43%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (45%) Very conservative; 31% {33%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [27%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 27% {23%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [29%] (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 16-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.