Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% 
• Mitt Romney 48%  
  

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Barack Obama 36%   

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 63% 
• Mitt Romney 32% 
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 57% 
  
• Barack Obama 40% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% 
• Mitt Romney 42%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 62% 
  
• Barack Obama 35%

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama 92% 
• Mitt Romney 7%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 47%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Which candidate for President do you think better understands the struggles you and your family are going through?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 46% / 49%  {-3%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 52% / 42% {+10%} 
  

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 32% / 62% {-30%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% / 42% {+11%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 40% / 53%  {-13%}

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 59% / 36% {+23%}
  

Among Blacks

• Mitt Romney 7% / 88% {-81%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 49% 
  

Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?

• Familiar 91%
• Not familiar 9%

Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?

• Appropriate 44%
• Inappropriate 50%

Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?

• More likely 28%
• Less likely 38%
• No difference 32%
  

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 50% 
• He should not 41%

Do you think pollsters are intentionally skewing their polls this year to help Barack Obama, or not?

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 46%
• They are not 38%
• Not sure 17%

Among Democrats

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 19%
• They are not 61%
• Not sure 19%

Among Republicans

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 77%
• They are not 9%
• Not sure 14%

Among Independents

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 55%
• They are not 30%
• Not sure 15%

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

• Very excited 63%
• Somewhat excited 23%
• Not at all excited 14%

Among Democrats

• Very excited 69%
• Somewhat excited 20%
• Not at all excited 11%

Among Republicans

• Very excited 58%
• Somewhat excited 26%
• Not at all excited 16%

Among Independents

• Very excited 56%
• Somewhat excited 24%
• Not at all excited 20%

Survey of 981 likely North Carolina voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 48% Democrat; 34% Republican; 19% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 13% Very liberal. Race: 72% White; 22% Black; 6% Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 42% {51%} [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
• Barack Obama 41% {34%} [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
  

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 60% [64%] (66%) {56%} [56%] (62%) {64%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [61%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 32% [28%] (27%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {23%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [21%] (24%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 50% {43%} [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 48% {55%} [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 46% {39%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Ohio: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 31%

Is the candidates’ for President records on the automotive industry very important, somewhat important, or not that important to you?

• Very important 44%
• Somewhat important 29%
• Not that important 24%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (41%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 49% [49%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-4%} 

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 41% [42%] (34%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 45% [47%] (57%) {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {-4%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 33% [28%] (24%) {19%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [37%] (22%) {26%} [26%] (27%) / 61% [62%] (68%) {68%} [62%] (59%) {46%} [40%] (54%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {-28%} 

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% [47%] (45%) {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 51% [47%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {-5%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (37%) {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 48% [52%] (55%) {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-4%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48% [48%] (46%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
• Disapprove 49% [48%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)

Among Independents

• Approve 41% [40%] (46%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
• Disapprove 52% [54%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)

Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?

• Familiar 90%
• Not familiar 10%

Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?

• Appropriate 42%
• Inappropriate 53%

Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?

• More likely 31%
• Less likely 40%
• No difference 28%
  

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 50%
• He should not 41%

Do you think pollsters are intentionally skewing their polls this year to help Barack Obama, or not?

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 41%
• They are not 43%
• Not sure 16%

Among Democrats

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 16%
• They are not 69%
• Not sure 16%

Among Republicans

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 72%
• They are not 14%
• Not sure 14%

Among Independents

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 40%
• They are not 42%
• Not sure 18%

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

• Very excited 58%
• Somewhat excited 24%
• Not at all excited 18%

Among Democrats

• Very excited 66%
• Somewhat excited 20%
• Not at all excited 14%

Among Republicans

• Very excited 62%
• Somewhat excited 26%
• Not at all excited 13%

Among Independents

• Very excited 36%
• Somewhat excited 28%
• Not at all excited 36%

Survey of 897 likely Ohio voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 36% {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 23% {26%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 24% [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 17% [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 16% [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Paul Ryan on Fox News Sunday

Paul Ryan: Giving specifics would ‘take me too long’

Click here to watch Chris Wallace's complete interview with Rep. Paul Ryan

Sen. Roy Blunt and Gov. Martin O'Malley on CNN State of the Union

Face the Nation Roundtable

This Week Roundtable: State of the Race

This Week Roundtable: Debate Showdown

Meet the Press Roundtable and PRESS Pass

This Week: Interview with David Plouffe

This Week: Interview with Chris Christie

Chris Christie: ‘Stop Lying, Mr. President’ About Romney’s Economic Plan

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 44%  

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted September 23-29, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

CNN State of the Union: Interview with David Axelrod (Part 2)

CNN State of the Union: Interview with David Axelrod (Part 1)

CNN State of the Union: Interview with John McCain (Part 2)

CNN State of the Union: Interview with John McCain (Part 1)

Newt Gingrich on Face the Nation

Chris Christie on Face the Nation

Chris Christie and David Plouffe on Meet the Press

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Washington 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Washington 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 41%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 4%

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 25%
• Somewhat favorable 19%
• Somewhat unfavorable 15%
• Very unfavorable 38%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 44% / 53% {-9%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 35%
• Somewhat approve 16%
• Somewhat disapprove 9%
• Strongly disapprove 39%

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 48%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

The president leads Romney by 20 points among female voters in Washington, 56% to 36%, but the two run even among male voters. Obama draws strong support from young voters, while their elders are more narrowly divided.

Romney holds a 44% to 41% advantage over the incumbent among voters not affiliated with either political party.

In terms of voter trust, Obama holds a double-digit advantage over Romney on the issues of the economy, national security, health care and energy policy. On the issue of taxes, the president holds a smaller 49% to 41% edge over his Republican challenger.

Poll Watch: Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

Columbus Dispatch Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% (45%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% (45%)
• Other 3%
• Undecided 5% (10%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42%
• Other 5%
• Undecided 9%

Among Men

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 4%

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 54%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 37%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 6%

Mail poll of 1,662 likely voters was conducted September 19-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 43% Democrat; 35% Republican; 20% Independent; 2% Libertarian; Results from the poll conducted August 15-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll
  
Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 50% 
• Mitt Romney 45%

Not Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 48% 
• Mitt Romney 44%
• Some other candidate 5% 
• Undecided 3%

Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted September 23-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Inside the numbers:

The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 51%. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove. These figures include 27% who Strongly Approve and 40% who Strongly Disapprove.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  
Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Not Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 46%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 3%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted September 27-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 35.97% Republican; 33.77% Democrat; 30.27% Independent.  Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 57% [46%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 30% [34%] (33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 33% [45%] (42%) / 60% [45%] (47%) {-27%}

Survey of 502 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted September 21-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-31, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senatorial Survey

UNH/Boston Globe Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll

• Elizabeth Warren (D) 43% [37%] (35%)
• Scott Brown (R) 38% [39%] (37%)
• Other 1% [2%] (2%)
• Undecided 18% [23%] (26%)

Regardless of which candidate you are planning to vote for, which candidate do you think is most likable?

• Scott Brown 58% [52%] (57%)
• Elizabeth Warren 27% [26%] (23%) 

Survey of 502 likely Massachusetts voters was conducted September 21-27, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-31, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Warren leads Brown among women by 12 percentage points, a larger margin than the 3-point advantage Brown has with men.

Poll Watch: Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram/Critical Insights Maine 2012 Senatorial Survey

Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram/Critical Insights Maine 2012 Senate Poll

• Angus King (I) 50% {55%}
• Charlie Summers (R) 28% {27%}
  
• Cynthia Dill (D) 12% {7%}
• Other/Undecided 10% {10%}

Survey of 618 likely voters was conducted September 12-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Inside the numbers: 

Among Democrats, King's support dropped from 67 percent in June to 62 percent in September, while Dill's increased from 17 percent to 25 percent.

King's lead in September is still substantial, even with the variation in recent polls. He has especially strong support among women (52 percent), young voters (58 percent), college graduates (58 percent) and voters with household incomes over $100,000 a year (59 percent), according to the Critical Insights poll.

Summers' support, meanwhile, is strongest among men (34 percent) and middle-aged voters (34 percent), and he has the most support of any candidate among voters who have a high school diploma or did not complete high school (39 percent).

While King leads Summers overall, 50 percent to 28 percent, a larger portion of his support is in the "probably" or "leaning" categories.

Comparing only "definite" voters, King leads 32 percent to 22 percent.

Poll Watch: Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram/Critical Insights Maine 2012 Presidential Survey

Portland Press Herald/Maine Sunday Telegram/Critical Insights Maine 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% {49%} [50%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 36% {35%} [42%] (40%)
• Other 3%
• Undecided 9%

First Congressional District

• Barack Obama 59%
• Mitt Romney 31%
• Other/Undecided 11%

Second Congressional District

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 41%
• Other/Undecided 13%

Which candidate do you trust to do a better job dealing with:

International affairs

• Barack Obama 55%
• Mitt Romney 36%

Health care

• Barack Obama 53% {49%} [44%]
• Mitt Romney 36% {36%} [36%]

Survey of 618 likely voters was conducted September 12-16, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 20-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-23, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Even as voters remain worried about the weak economy and lack of jobs, Obama's favorability rating rose from 48 percent in June to 52 percent this month, according to the poll.

Unlike in the country as a whole, Obama is more popular here with higher-income voters and Romney's strongest support is among lower-income Mainers. Obama has a 13-point lead among voters earning $100,000 a year or more, but only a 7-point lead among voters with household incomes less than $50,000.

Poll Watch: Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

Des Moines Register/Selzer & Co. Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (46%)
• Some other candidate 4%
• Undecided 2%

Survey of 650 likely voters was conducted September 23-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Ten percent (10%) say they could still be persuaded to vote for another candidate.

 
Compare with recent Iowa 2012 Presidential Polls:

• PPP (D): Obama 51%, Romney 44% (754 LV; Sept. 24-26)
• ARG: Obama 51%, Romney 44% (600 LV; Sept. 20-23)
• Rasmussen (R): Romney 47%, Obama 44% (500 LV; Sept. 19)
• NBC/WSJ/Marist: Obama 50%, Romney 42% (898 LV; Sept. 16-18)

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Maine 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Maine 2012 Senate Poll

• Angus King (I) 45%
• Charlie Summers (R) 33%
  
• Cynthia Dill (D) 14%
• Some other candidate 1%
• Undecided 7%

Among Independents

• Angus King (I) 61%
• Charlie Summers (R) 26%
  
• Cynthia Dill (D) 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Angus King 56% / 38% {+18%}
• Charlie Summers 43% / 33% {+10%}
  
• Cynthia Dill 36% / 46% {-10%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers: 

King draws support from 53% of Maine Democrats, while Dill picks up the vote from just 29% of voters in her own party. Summers has the backing of 77% of Republicans in the state, but 15% of GOP voters prefer King instead.

King leads Summers and Dill among both male and female voters. Summers and King are tied among voters 65 and older, but King is ahead in all other age groups.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 44%  

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted September 22-28, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll
  
Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 48% 
• Mitt Romney 47%

Not Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 47% 
• Mitt Romney 45%
• Some other candidate 5% 
• Undecided 3%

Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted September 22-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Inside the numbers:

The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 49%. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. These figures include 27% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove.

President Obama Delivers Weekly Address: "It’s Time for Congress to Help Responsible Homeowners"

Vernon Parker Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  
Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Not Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 46%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted September 26-28, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 35.97% Republican; 33.77% Democrat; 30.27% Independent.  Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Inside the numbers:

There is a very small sliver of uncommitted voters who do not support one of the two leading candidates at this time. These voters are evenly divided as to whether the economy would get better or worse with a Romney victory. In fact, a plurality (43%) expects little change. However, if Obama is reelected, 43% of the uncommitted voters expect the economy to get worse, while three percent (3%) think it will get better. This tends to confirm the conventional wisdom that uncommitted voters are unhappy with the president but are not convinced that Romney is the solution.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Washington Marijuana Legalization Survey

Rasmussen (R) Washington Marijuana Legalization Poll

This November an initiative will be on the ballot that would remove state-law prohibitions against producing, processing, and selling marijuana, subject to licensing and regulation by the liquor control board. If the election were held today, would you vote for or against this initiative?

• For 44%
• Against 41%
• Undecided 15%

Survey of 500 likely Washington voters was conducted September 26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

This November an initiative will be on the ballot that would allow people 21 and over to buy up to an ounce of marijuana from stores regulated and licensed by the state.

Inslee leads McKenna by a two-to-one margin among those voters in the state who support the marijuana initiative. The Republican is ahead by the same margin among those who are against it.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Washington 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Washington 2012 Gubernatorial Poll

• Jay Inslee (D) 46%
• Rob McKenna (R) 45%
• Some other candidate 3%
  
• Undecided 6%

Among Independents

• Rob McKenna (R) 48%
• Jay Inslee (D) 35%

Among Men

• Rob McKenna (R) 49%
• Jay Inslee (D) 44%

Among Women

• Jay Inslee (D) 48%
• Rob McKenna (R) 41%

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. 

Jay Inslee

• Very favorable 20%
• Somewhat favorable 30%
• Somewhat unfavorable 19%
• Very unfavorable 18%

Rob McKenna

• Very favorable 26%
• Somewhat favorable 23%
• Somewhat unfavorable 25%
• Very unfavorable 16%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jay Inslee 50% / 37% {+13%}
• Rob McKenna 49% / 41% {+8%}

Survey of 500 likely Washington voters was conducted September 26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 44%  

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted September 21-27, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg College/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} [49%] (45%) {48%} [45%] (43%)
• Mitt Romney 42% {41%} [40%] (40%) {37%} [41%] (36%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 47% {46%} [48%]
• Mitt Romney 46% {43%} [41%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% {53%} [50%]
• Mitt Romney 38% {39%} [39%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 49% {50%} [48%] / 45% {42%} [45%] {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 39% {40%} [37%] / 51% {48%} [49%] {-12%}

Please tell me if you approve or disapprove of the way President Barack Obama is doing his job.

• Approve 47% {47%} [43%]
  
• Disapprove 45% {44%} [47%] 
  

Survey of 427 likely voters was conducted September 22-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Party registration: 47% {49%} [49%] Democrat; 39% {39%} [40%] Republican; 12% {8%} [10%] Independent; {4%} [2%] Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 20-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 23 - April 1, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 15-21, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28 - December 7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 9-28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 50% {48%} [51%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% {46%} [43%] (41%)
• Other 1% {2%}
• Undecided 4% {4%} [6%] (11%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 95% {93%} [81%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 2% {4%} [14%]
• Undecided 3% {3%} [5%]

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 92% {90%} [82%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 4% {7%} [12%]
• Undecided 4% {3%} [6%]

Among Independents

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% {47%} [62%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42% {43%} [31%]
• Other 2% {4%}
• Undecided 5% {6%} [7%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 52% {51%} [52%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% {43%} [44%]
• Other 1% {2%}
• Undecided 3% {4%} [4%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 55% {52%} [58%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 38% {42%} [34%]
• Other 1% {1%}
• Undecided 6% {5%} [8%]

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 25-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points among all registered voters. Party ID: 30% {30%} [34%] Republican; 30% {28%} [30%] Democrat; 40% {42%} [36%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

ARG Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 3%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 91%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 5%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 93%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 4%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 56%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 41%

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 56%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 38%

Age 18-49

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 52%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44%

Age 50+

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 56%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 40%

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 93%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 3%

Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted September 24-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 36% Republican; 25% Independent. Gender: 47% Male; 53% Female.  Race: 71% White; 20% Black. Age: 18-49: 61%; 50 and older: 39%.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Swing State Presidential Tracking Poll
  
Including "Leaners"

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 47%

Not Including "Leaners"

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 46% 
• Some other candidate 4% 
• Undecided 5%

Survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted September 21-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. The swing state poll covers 11 key states: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Inside the numbers:

The president’s Job Approval in the swing states is currently at 48%. Fifty percent (50%) disapprove. These figures include 28% who Strongly Approve and 41% who Strongly Disapprove.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Maine 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Maine 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 40%
• Some other candidate 4%
• Undecided 4%

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 24%
• Somewhat favorable 20%
• Somewhat unfavorable 18%
• Very unfavorable 36%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 44% / 54% {-10%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 33%
• Somewhat approve 22%
• Somewhat disapprove 8%
• Strongly disapprove 37%

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 55%
• Disapprove 45%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

The two candidates run nearly even among male voters, but Obama leads by 21 points among female voters in Maine.

Eighty percent (80%) of the state’s Republicans support Romney. But Obama has the backing of 91% of Maine Democrats and 13% of GOP voters.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, the president leads by four points.

Among all voters in the state, Obama leads Romney in terms of trust in five major policy areas, with double-digit leads when it comes to health care, taxes and energy policy. The president’s ahead by eight points on the issue of national security and leads by seven when it comes to the economy.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
  
Including "Leaners"

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 48%

Not Including "Leaners"

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 46%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted September 25-27, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 35.97% Republican; 33.77% Democrat; 30.27% Independent.  Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Inside the numbers:

Romney is supported by 86% of Republicans, while Obama gets the vote from 85% of Democrats. The GOP hopeful has a four-point edge among voters not affiliated with either major party.