Sunday, September 30, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 49% {50%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 42% {51%} [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
  • Barack Obama 41% {34%} [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 60% [64%] (66%) {56%} [56%] (62%) {64%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [61%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 32% [28%] (27%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {23%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [21%] (24%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 50% {43%} [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 48% {55%} [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% {39%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Ohio: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Mitt Romney 31%
Is the candidates’ for President records on the automotive industry very important, somewhat important, or not that important to you?
  • Very important 44%
  • Somewhat important 29%
  • Not that important 24%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (41%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 49% [49%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-4%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 41% [42%] (34%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 45% [47%] (57%) {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {-4%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 33% [28%] (24%) {19%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [37%] (22%) {26%} [26%] (27%) / 61% [62%] (68%) {68%} [62%] (59%) {46%} [40%] (54%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {-28%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 46% [47%] (45%) {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 51% [47%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {-5%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (37%) {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 48% [52%] (55%) {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-4%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48% [48%] (46%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 49% [48%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 41% [40%] (46%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
  • Disapprove 52% [54%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)
Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?
  • Familiar 90%
  • Not familiar 10%
Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?
  • Appropriate 42%
  • Inappropriate 53%
Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?
  • More likely 31%
  • Less likely 40%
  • No difference 28%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 50%
  • He should not 41%
Do you think pollsters are intentionally skewing their polls this year to help Barack Obama, or not?
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 41%
  • They are not 43%
  • Not sure 16%
Among Democrats
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 16%
  • They are not 69%
  • Not sure 16%
Among Republicans
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 72%
  • They are not 14%
  • Not sure 14%
Among Independents
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 40%
  • They are not 42%
  • Not sure 18%
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 58%
  • Somewhat excited 24%
  • Not at all excited 18%
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 66%
  • Somewhat excited 20%
  • Not at all excited 14%
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 62%
  • Somewhat excited 26%
  • Not at all excited 13%
Among Independents
  • Very excited 36%
  • Somewhat excited 28%
  • Not at all excited 36%
Survey of 897 likely Ohio voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 36% {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 23% {26%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 24% [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 17% [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 16% [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

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