Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% {47%} [48%] (51%) {46%} [49%] (49%) [45%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 44% {45%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [39%] (40%) [41%] (41%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 91% {87%} [87%] (90%) {86%} [87%] (84%) [81%] (86%)
• Mitt Romney 7% {10%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [9%] (10%) [10%] (9%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 85% {85%} [84%] (79%) {81%} [77%] (78%) [81%] (76%)
• Barack Obama 10% {8%} [10%] (11%) {9%} [8%] (9%) [6%] (11%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [46%] (54%) {35%} [47%] (51%) [41%] (40%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {36%} [38%] (34%) {42%} [34%] (32%) [37%] (38%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 64% {62%} [66%] (70%) {59%} [57%] (62%) [56%] (58%)
• Mitt Romney 31% {25%} [23%] (24%) {27%} [28%] (24%) [26%] (29%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 49% {40%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [46%] (45%) [41%] (36%)
• Mitt Romney 44% {51%} [48%] (46%) {48%} [41%] (43%) [45%] (48%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% {53%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [51%] (52%) [49%] (56%)
• Mitt Romney 44% {40%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [36%] (36%) [37%] (35%)

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 40% {47%} [37%] (34%) {34%} [31%] (35%) [36%] (37%) / 55% {48%} [55%] (56%) {52%} [53%] (47%) [44%] (42%) {-15%}

Among Democrats

• Mitt Romney 7% {14%} [7%] (9%) {17%} [21%] (20%) [21%] (16%) / 92% {82%} [88%] (86%) {72%} [67%] (59%) [63%] (62%) {-85%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 79% {82%} [72%] (63%) {52%} [45%] (51%) [56%] (59%) / 15% {12%} [19%] (25%) {36%} [36%] (35%) [23%] (25%) {+64%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 37% {41%} [31%] (28%) {32%} [27%] (35%) [33%] (35%) / 53% {52%} [57%] (59%) {44%} [55%] (46%) [43%] (39%) {-11%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 26% {27%} [20%] (22%) {33%} [31%] (34%) [30%] (32%) / 69% {63%} [70%] (70%) {50%} [49%] (44%) [47%] (46%) {-43%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 40% {52%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (35%) [40%] (42%) / 54% {42%} [50%] (51%) {52%} [55%] (49%) [45%] (40%) {-14%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 40% {41%} [31%] (29%) {32%} [30%] (35%) [32%] (32%) / 55% {53%} [60%] (61%) {52%} [51%] (45%) [44%] (45%) {-15%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 49% {45%} [47%] (49%) {43%} [45%] (49%) [46%] (50%)
• Disapprove 48% {50%} [49%] (46%) {52%} [48%] (45%) [48%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 91% {84%} [86%] (86%) {82%} [79%] (84%) [82%] (87%)
• Disapprove 8% {12%} [11%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%) [14%] (8%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 10% {6%} [9%] (11%) {5%} [10%] (9%) [8%] (13%)
• Disapprove 88% {91%} [89%] (84%) {92%} [87%] (86%) [87%] (82%)

Among Independents

• Approve 40% {49%} [45%] (52%) {37%} [43%] (52%) [41%] (49%)
• Disapprove 52% {42%} [48%] (41%) {54%} [47%] (38%) [50%] (40%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 63% {58%} [63%] (65%) {55%} [58%] (65%) [62%] (64%)
• Disapprove 35% {33%} [31%] (28%) {37%} [32%] (26%) [30%] (27%)

Among Men

• Approve 46% {38%} [41%] (44%) {34%} [42%] (45%) [42%] (43%)
• Disapprove 50% {56%} [54%] (52%) {60%} [51%] (49%) [52%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 52% {52%} [53%] (54%) {52%} [48%] (54%) [49%] (56%)
• Disapprove 45% {44%} [44%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (41%) [44%] (37%)

Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?

• Familiar 86% 
• Not familiar 14%

Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?

• Appropriate 42%
• Inappropriate 51%

Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not
make a difference?

• More likely 24%
• Less likely 42%
• No difference 33%
  

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 51%
• He should not 40%

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

• Very excited 52%
• Somewhat excited 27%
• Not at all excited 20%

Among Democrats

• Very excited 62%
• Somewhat excited 27%
• Not at all excited 11%

Among Republicans

• Very excited 55%
• Somewhat excited 24%
• Not at all excited 21%

Among Independents

• Very excited 38%
• Somewhat excited 31%
• Not at all excited 30%

Survey of 754 likely Iowa voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {35%} [35%] (36%) {39%} [35%] (37%) [38%] (37%) Democrat; 33% {38%} [34%] (37%) {35%} [32%] (34%) [33%] (37%) Republican; 30% {27%} [30%] (27%) {26%} [33%] (28%) [29%] (25%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 35% {28%} [33%] (30%) {29%} [32%] (34%) [30%] Moderate; 27% {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [23%] (22%) [22%] Somewhat conservative; 15% {17%} [18%] (19%) {18%} [17%] (17%) [20%] Very conservative; 14% {19%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (18%) [19%] Somewhat liberal; 9% {11%} [7%] (10%) {12%} [9%] (9%) [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in parentheses.