Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 54% (53%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (42%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 48% (58%)
• Mitt Romney 48% (36%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (50%)
• Barack Obama 48% (47%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58% (59%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (35%)

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor Barack Obama 66% (59%)
• Like but with reservations 25% (33%)
• Dislike Mitt Romney 7% (7%)

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor Mitt Romney 52% (41%)
• Like but with reservations 28% (37%)
• Dislike Barack Obama 19% (22%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 54% (53%) / 43% (42%) {+11%}  
• Democratic Party 50% / 40% {+10%}
• Joe Biden 45% / 40% {+5%}
• Paul Ryan 33% / 36% {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 41% (39%) / 50% (47%) {-9%}
• Republican Party 37% / 51% {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 51% (49%)
• Disapprove 45% (46%)

In general which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama presidency so far? Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat disappointed or very disappointed?

• Very satisfied 15%
• Somewhat satisfied 34%
• Somewhat disappointed 16%
• Very disappointed 34% 

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 60% (58%)
• No 37% (39%)

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 38% (39%)
• No 57% (54%)

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 36%
• Somewhat confident 24%
• Not too confident 12%
• Not at all confident 27%
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to be an effective Commander-in-Chief of the nation's military?

• Very confident 19%
• Somewhat confident 31%
• Not too confident 21%
• Not at all confident 27%

How confident are you in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about events in the Middle East?

• Very confident 27%
• Somewhat confident 30%
• Not too confident 12%
• Not at all confident 31%
  

How confident are you in Mitt Romney's ability to make the right decisions about events in the Middle East?

• Very confident 18%
• Somewhat confident 26%
• Not too confident 23%
• Not at all confident 31%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51% (48%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (44%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 54% (51%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (41%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (40%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on Medicare, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55%
  
• Mitt Romney 39%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on taxes, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 53%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on women's reproductive health issues, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 58%
• Mitt Romney 32%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job handling an international crisis, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 39%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on foreign policy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 56%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the budget deficit, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 45%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on immigration, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies, A) They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR B) They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR C) They are not improving the economy and probably never will.

• A)Improving now 27% (21%)
• B)Will improve 30% (35%)
• C)Will never improve 42% (42%)

If Barack Obama is re-elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 9%
• Favor middle class 30%
• Favor the poor 26%
• Treat all the same 29%

If Mitt Romney is elected President, do you think the policies of his administration will favor the rich, favor the middle class, favor the poor, or will they treat all groups the same?

• Favor the rich 59%
• Favor middle class 9%
• Favor the poor 0%
• Treat all the same 29%

Do you think the Obama campaign is saying things it believes to be true, or is it deliberately misleading people?

• Saying things it believes to be true 55%
• Deliberately misleading people 39%

Do you think the Romney campaign is saying things it believes to be true, or is it deliberately misleading people?

• Saying things it believes to be true 45%
  
• Deliberately misleading people 49%

As you may know, there have been efforts in some states to require voters to show a photo identification card to vote. Some people say this is needed to prevent people from voting who are not eligible to vote. Other people say such efforts are designed to suppress voting by minorities. What do you think, do you support or oppose efforts to require voters to show a photo identification card to vote?  

• Support 62%
• Oppose 35% 

Among Democrats

• Support 37%
• Oppose 60% 

Among Republicans

• Support 92%
• Oppose 8% 

Among Independents

• Support 66%
• Oppose 33% 

From what you've read and heard, do you think Barack Obama is removing U.S. troops from Afghanistan too quickly, not quickly enough, or is he handling this about right?

• Too quickly 15%
• Not quickly enough 32%
• About right 43% 

Among Democrats

• Too quickly 3%
• Not quickly enough 30%
• About right 61%

Among Republicans

• Too quickly 30%
• Not quickly enough 32%
• About right 23%
  

Among Independents

• Too quickly 16%
• Not quickly enough 38%
• About right 36%

Survey of 1,180 likely voters was conducted September 18-24, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (38%) Democrat; 28% (32%) Republican; 27% (26%) Independent; 6% (4%) Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted July 24-30, 2012 are in parentheses.