Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% 
• Mitt Romney 48%  
  

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 54%
• Barack Obama 36%   

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 63% 
• Mitt Romney 32% 
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 57% 
  
• Barack Obama 40% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% 
• Mitt Romney 42%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 62% 
  
• Barack Obama 35%

Among Blacks

• Barack Obama 92% 
• Mitt Romney 7%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 47%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 47%

Which candidate for President do you think better understands the struggles you and your family are going through?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 46% / 49%  {-3%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 52% / 42% {+10%} 
  

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 32% / 62% {-30%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% / 42% {+11%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 40% / 53%  {-13%}

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 59% / 36% {+23%}
  

Among Blacks

• Mitt Romney 7% / 88% {-81%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 49% 
  

Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?

• Familiar 91%
• Not familiar 9%

Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?

• Appropriate 44%
• Inappropriate 50%

Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?

• More likely 28%
• Less likely 38%
• No difference 32%
  

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 50% 
• He should not 41%

Do you think pollsters are intentionally skewing their polls this year to help Barack Obama, or not?

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 46%
• They are not 38%
• Not sure 17%

Among Democrats

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 19%
• They are not 61%
• Not sure 19%

Among Republicans

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 77%
• They are not 9%
• Not sure 14%

Among Independents

• They are intentionally skewing their polls 55%
• They are not 30%
• Not sure 15%

Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?

• Very excited 63%
• Somewhat excited 23%
• Not at all excited 14%

Among Democrats

• Very excited 69%
• Somewhat excited 20%
• Not at all excited 11%

Among Republicans

• Very excited 58%
• Somewhat excited 26%
• Not at all excited 16%

Among Independents

• Very excited 56%
• Somewhat excited 24%
• Not at all excited 20%

Survey of 981 likely North Carolina voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 48% Democrat; 34% Republican; 19% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% Moderate; 24% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 13% Very liberal. Race: 72% White; 22% Black; 6% Other.

• Barack Obama 48% {49%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%) 
• Mitt Romney 48% {48%} [48%] (46%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 57% {56%} [52%] (56%) {51%} [53%] (51%) {49%} [54%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%) 
• Barack Obama 40% {42%} [44%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (39%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% {55%} [51%] (57%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {54%} [55%] (55%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%} [51%] (52%) {49%} [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) 
• Mitt Romney 42% {42%} [44%] (38%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [39%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 46% {48%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (37%) {29%} [31%] (31%) {34%} [32%] (36%) {32%} [28%] (32%) {32%} [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 49% {49%} [48%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (53%) {58%} [56%] (56%) {48%} [51%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-3%}
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% {55%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (36%) {37%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 42% {42%} [46%] (45%) {44%} [44%] (50%) {56%} [55%] (52%) {48%} [55%] (46%) {48%} [55%] (48%) {52%} [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {+11%} 

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 40% {42%} [45%] (34%) {42%} [37%] (34%) {24%} [28%] (27%) {30%} [32%] (33%) {28%} [23%] (29%) {28%} [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 53% {54%} [49%] (54%) {49%} [48%] (56%) {60%} [57%] (60%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (44%) {42%} [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-13%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48% {50%} [48%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 49% {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (50%) {53%} [53%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 2-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-10, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-13, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Party ID: 48% {47%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 34% {34%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 19% {20%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (23%) {18%} [18%] (19%) {16%} [19%] (18%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% {27%} [28%] (28%) {28%} [26%] (29%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (31%) {28%} [28%] (28%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 24% {25%} [25%] (22%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (24%) {27%} [24%] (27%) {25%} [22%] (30%) {25%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 19% {20%} [18%] (21%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {22%} [20%] (22%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {22%} [22%] (19%) {20%} [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 14% {15%} [15%] (17%) {17%} [13%] (17%) {19%} [15%] (15%) {16%} [17%] (17%) {16%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 13% {13%} [15%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (11%) {10%} [12%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (7%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.