Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing Nevada 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Gravis Marketing Nevada 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 50% (55.4%)
  • Bernie Sanders 27% (18.3%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (0.4%)
  • Unsure 22% (11.9%)
Survey of 326 likely Democratic caucus participants was conducted December 23-27, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 12-13, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing Nevada 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Gravis Marketing Nevada 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Donald Trump 33% (27.7%)
  • Ted Cruz 20% (3.7%)
  • Marco Rubio 11% (5.4%)
  • Ben Carson 6% (7.8%)
  • Carly Fiorina 5% (0.2%)
  • Jeb Bush 5% (6.8%)
  • Chris Christie 5% (1.5%)
  • Rand Paul 1% (3.9%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% (0.1%)
  • John Kasich 0%
  • Mike Huckabee 0% (1.6%)
  • Unsure 12% (20.4%)
Survey of 406 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted December 23-27, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 12-13, 2015 are in parentheses.

Friday, December 25, 2015

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll 
  • Hillary Clinton 49% (39.5%) {45.1%} [50.8%] (59%)
  • Bernie Sanders 31% (30.6%) {16.9%} [24.0%] (15%)
  • Martin O'Malley 10% (1.5%) {4.9%} [4.7%] (3%)  
Survey of 418 Democratic caucus participants was conducted December 18-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll released October 1, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 28-29, 2015 are in parentheses.

Thursday, December 24, 2015

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll 
  • Donald Trump 31% (18.8%) {31.7%} [30.9%]
  • Ted Cruz 31% (10.6%) {6.9%} [5.5%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (7%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% (8.9%) {5.8%} [2.8%] (13%) {12%} [7%] (4%)
  • Ben Carson 7% (14.1%) {15.8%} [5.1%] (12%) {9%} [5%]   
  • Jeb Bush 4% (6.9%) {4.1%} [10.0%] (10%) {16%} [10%] (14%)
  • Mike Huckabee 4% (1.8%) {2.6%} [6.0%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (9%)
  • Carly Fiorina 3% (9.7%) {4.6%} [4.3%] (5%) {3%} [3%]
  • Chris Christie 2% (1.4%) {2.0%} [0.8%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (5%)
  • John Kasich 2% (2.6%) {1.4%} [5.0%]
  • George Pataki 1% (0.3%) {0.1%} [0.6%] 
  • Rand Paul 1% (2.4%) {1.3%} [0.8%] (4%) {9%} [10%] (8%)
  • Rick Santorum 0% (1.3%) {0.6%} [2.9%] (6%) {2%} [6%]
  • Unsure 5% (17.9%) {10.9%} {15%} {17%} [15%] (18%)
Survey of 440 Republican caucus participants was conducted December 18-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.Results from the poll released October 1, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 29-31, 2015are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conductedMay 28-29, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2015are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 46%
  • Bernie Sanders 43%
  • Martin O'Malley 3%
  • Undecided 7%
Survey of 600 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted December 20-22, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Poll
  • Marco Rubio (R) 49% {49%} (40%) {46%} [41%] (42%) (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%] (56%) {49%} [55%] (55%) (56%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 48% {47%} {43%} [36%] {35%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {50%} {52%} [60%] {60%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {49%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [56%] (59%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 47% {46%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [40%] (35%)
National survey of 927 registered voters was conducted December 17-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conductedMay 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 21%
  • Marco Rubio 15%
  • John Kasich 13%
  • Chris Christie 12%
  • Ted Cruz 10%
  • Jeb Bush 7%
  • Ben Carson 6%
  • Carly Fiorina 5%
  • Rand Paul 4%
  • Mike Huckabee 0%
  • George Pataki 0%
  • Rick Santorum 0%
  • Jim Gilmore 0%
  • Undecided 5%
    Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 20-22, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

    CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll 
    • Hillary Clinton 50% [58%] (56%) {57%} [48%] (56%) {66%} [68%]
    • Bernie Sanders 34% [30%] (33%) {28%} [32%] (33%) {21%} [18%]
    • Martin O'Malley 3% [2%] (1%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [2%]
    Survey of 414 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted December 17-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conductedSeptember 4-8, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets.

    Wednesday, December 23, 2015

    Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
    • Donald Trump 39% [36%] (27%) {24%} [32%] (24%) {18%} [12%] (3%) 
    • Ted Cruz 18% [16%] (4%) {6%} [7%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {7%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
    • Ben Carson 10% [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (7%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [11%] 
    • Marco Rubio 10% [12%] (8%) {11%} [3%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (14%) {11%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
    • Chris Christie 5% [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [7%] (7%) {13%} [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%
    • Rand Paul 4% [1%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (6%) {6%} [8%] (8%) {11%} [12%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
    • Jeb Bush 3% [3%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [17%] (13%) {17%} [16%] (14%) {23%} [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
    • Mike Huckabee 2% [2%] (5%) {6%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (16%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
    • John Kasich 2% [2%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
    • Carly Fiorina 1% [3%] (4%) {15%} [3%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
    • George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (3%) {0%}   
    • Rick Santorum 0% [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
    • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
    Survey of 438 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 17-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Tuesday, December 22, 2015

    Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

    • Hillary Clinton 46% [50%] (50%) {50%} [59%]
    • Bernie Sanders 30% [29%] (26%) {24%} [4%]
    • Martin O'Malley 7% [1%] (1%) {2%} [2%]
    • Some other candidate 9% {10%} [5%]
    • Undecided 7% {10%} [9%]
    Survey of 546 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted December 20-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 15-16, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 23-24, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2015 are in square brackets.

    Poll Watch: AIF Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    Open-Ended Ballot Test
    • Donald Trump 29% (33%)
    • Ted Cruz 18% (3%)
    • Marco Rubio 17% (7%)
    • Jeb Bush 10% (13%)
    • Ben Carson 6% (10%)
    • Other 8% (14%)
    • Undecided 12% (20%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Marco Rubio 73% (73%) / 18% (15%) {+55%}
    • Ted Cruz 70% (48%) / 18% (20%) {+52%}
    • Ben Carson 67% (67%) / 21% (7%) {+46%}
    • Donald Trump 61% (64%) / 34% (25%) {+27%}
    Survey of 800 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 16-17, 2015 by Data Targeting. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 28, 2015 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: AIF South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    Open-Ended Ballot Test
    • Donald Trump 27%
    • Ted Cruz 27%
    • Marco Rubio 12%
    • Ben Carson 11%
    • Jeb Bush 7%
    • Others 5%
    • Undecided 11%
    Second Choice
    • Marco Rubio 26%
    • Ted Cruz 23%
    • Ben Carson 11%
    • Donald Trump 9%
    • Jeb Bush 6%
    • Others 13%
    • Undecided 12%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Ted Cruz 71% / 17% {+54%}
    • Marco Rubio 70% / 16% {+54%}
    • Ben Carson 63% / 25% {+38%}
    • Donald Trump 56% / 37% {+19%}
    Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 16-17, 2015 by Tel Opinion Research.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: AIF New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    Open-Ended Ballot Test
    • Donald Trump 24%
    • Ted Cruz 16%
    • Marco Rubio 14%
    • Chris Christie 13%
    • Jeb Bush 9%
    • Others 13%
    • Undecided 11%
    Second Choice
    • Ted Cruz 20%
    • Marco Rubio 19%
    • Chris Christie 17%
    • Donald Trump 9%
    • Ben Carson 7%
    • Others 17%
    • Undecided 11%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Marco Rubio 69% / 18% {+51%}
    • Ted Cruz 65% / 19% {+46%}
    • Chris Christie 66% / 22% {+44%}
    • Ben Carson 52% / 32% {+20%}
    • Donald Trump 48% / 45% {+3%}
    • Jeb Bush 39% / 48% {-9%}
    Survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 17-18, 2015 by Tel Opinion Research.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2016 Presidential Survey

    Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {47%} [43%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (48%) [50%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
    • Ted Cruz (R) 44% {42%} [46%] (37%) {41%} [38%] (37%) [35%] (37%) {36%} [31%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%} [41%] {44%} (45%) {45%} [46%] [50%]
      • Marco Rubio (R) 43% {44%} [46%] {43%} (41%) {43%} [41%] [34%] 
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (50%)
          • Donald Trump (R) 40% {41%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (32%)
          National survey of 1,140 registered voters was conducted December 16-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {32%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [30%] (31%) {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 30% {31%} [32%] (31%) {29%} [26%] (23%) {25%} [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 28% {30%} [25%] (29%) {26%} [34%] (36%) {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 8% {8%} [8%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 74% {73%} [74%] (72%) {74%} [75%] (72%) {73%} [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 11% {12%} [12%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 8% {8%} [7%] (9%) {7%} [7%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 8% {8%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted November 23-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

          • Hillary Clinton 61% {60%} [53%] (53%)
          • Bernie Sanders 30% {30%} [35%] (30%)
          • Martin O'Malley 2% {2%} [0%] (1%)
          • Don't know 6% {6%} [9%] (12%)
          National survey of 462 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted December 16-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 23-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses.

          Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

          Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
          • Donald Trump 28% [27%] (24%) {25%} [28%] (20%) {5%}
          • Ted Cruz 24% [16%] (13%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%] 
          • Marco Rubio 12% [17%] (14%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
          • Ben Carson 10% [16%] (23%) {17%} [12%] (6%) {10%} [3%] (7%) {9%}
          • Chris Christie 6% [2%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
          • Jeb Bush 4% [5%] (4%) {10%} [7%] (10%) {10%} [13%] (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
          • Carly Fiorina 2% [3%] (3%) {12%} [5%] (1%) {2%} [1%]
          • Rand Paul 2% [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%) 
          • Mike Huckabee 1% [1%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (6%) {10%} [7%] (8%) {7%} [10%]
          • John Kasich 1% [2%] (3%) {2%} [5%] (5%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
          • Rick Santorum 1% [0%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] 
          • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
          • George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
          • Don't know 8% [8%] (9%) {9%} [11%] (12%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
          Survey of 508 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted December 16-20, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 23-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

          Monday, December 21, 2015

          Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

          PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll
          • Marco Rubio (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [43%] (43%) {41%} (40%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [37%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {43%} [43%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (46%) {48%} (48%) {45%} [51%] (49%) {49%} [51%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {46%} [44%] (44%) {47%} [46%] (47%) {48%}  
            • Ben Carson (R) 45% {45%} [48%] (44%) {39%} [43%] (42%) {40%} 
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {46%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {50%} (51%) {47%} [49%] (50%)
              • Ted Cruz (R) 43% {44%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {40%} (40%) {41%} [41%] (33%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {45%} [44%] (46%) {50%}
              • Donald Trump (R) 43% {44%} [44%] (44%) {37%}
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {43%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {50%} [45%] (47%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} {49%} [51%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 39% {41%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {41%} {43%} [37%]
                National survey of 1,267 registered voters was conducted December 16-17, 2015. Party ID: 41% {41%} [42%] (43%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {39%} [40%] (38%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {42%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 32% {34%} [34%] (33%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {34%} [37%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {32%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [34%] (32%) Republican; 26% {25%} [24%] (23%) {26%} [29%] (31%) {26%} [23%] (26%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {26%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted November 16-17, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-30, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 23-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29-31, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.

                Poll Watch: Compass Consulting (R) Illinois 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Compass Consulting (R) Illinois 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 30%
                • Ted Cruz 15%
                • Marco Rubio 13%
                • Jeb Bush 7%
                • Ben Carson 6%
                • Chris Christie 6%
                • John Kasich 3%
                • Carly Fiorina 2%
                • Rand Paul 2%
                • Another candidate 2%
                • Undecided 11%
                Survey of 2,104 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 16, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.

                Sunday, December 20, 2015

                Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                Rasmussen (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

                If the 2016 Republican presidential primary were held in your state today, for whom would you vote—Jeb Bush, Ben Carson, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, Donald Trump or some other candidate? 
                • Donald Trump 29% (27%) {17%} [26%]
                • Ted Cruz 18% (13%) {7%} [7%] [12%]
                • Marco Rubio 15% (16%) {10%} [5%] (5%) [16%] (18%)
                • Ben Carson 9% (20%) {8%} [5%] (12%)
                • Chris Christie 9% {4%} [2%] (7%) {15%} [22%] (21%
                • Jeb Bush 7% (8%) {10%} [10%] (13%) {18%} [12%] (16%) 
                • Some other candidate 9%
                • Undecided 4%
                Survey of 624 likely Republican voters was conducted December 16-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 11-12, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 9-10, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 20-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Friday, December 18, 2015

                Poll Watch: Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 34.6% (24.0%) {34%} [30%] (1.9%)
                • Ted Cruz 15.8% (13.7%) {6%} [6%]
                • Marco Rubio 12.0% (8.6%) {2%} (3.9%)
                • Ben Carson 6.4% (26.3%) {25%} [10%] (15.5%)
                • Jeb Bush 6.0% (7.6%) {11%} [17%] (21.5%)
                • Chris Christie 5.6% (3.6%) {2%} (3.0%) 
                • Carly Fiorina 5.1% (6.1%) {5%}
                • John Kasich 2.3% (1.8%) {3%} 
                • Rand Paul 2.1% (1.2%) {0%} (3.9%) 
                • Lindsey Graham 1.4% (0.9%) {0.1%}
                • Mike Huckabee 1.4% (1.5%) {5%} [7%] (16.4%)
                • George Pataki 0.5% (0.0%) {0%}
                Survey of 538 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 16, 2015 for Fox5 Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 11, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Opinion Savvy (R) South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Opinion Savvy (R) South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 28.3%
                • Ted Cruz 21.1%
                • Marco Rubio 11.6%
                • Jeb Bush 9.6%
                • Ben Carson 9.5%
                • Chris Christie 5.5%
                • Carly Fiorina 4.6%
                • Rand Paul 2.6%
                • Mike Huckabee 2.1%
                • Lindsey Graham 1.9%
                • John Kasich 1.4%
                • Rick Santorum 0.5%
                • George Pataki 0.2%
                Survey of 536 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 16, 2015 for The Augusta Chronicle. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 29.7% {22.7%} [29%] (27%)
                • Ted Cruz 20.4% {12.4%} [3%] (8%) 
                • Marco Rubio 15.0% {17.9%} [6%] (7%)
                • Jeb Bush 12.5% {10.9%} [19%] (26%)
                • Ben Carson 7.7% {22.3%} [25%] (8%)
                • Chris Christie 6.1% {2.9%} [2%] (1%)
                • Carly Fiorina 2.7% {4.7%} [5%] (2%)
                • Rand Paul 2.6% {1.0%} [0%] (2%)
                • John Kasich 0.9% {2.8%} [3%] (3%)
                • George Pataki 0.1% {0.0%} [0%]
                • Rick Santorum 0.1% {0.1%} [0%]
                Survey of 555 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 16, 2015 for The Florida Times-Union and Fox 13 Tampa Bay. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 11, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

                Fox News 2016 Presidential Poll
                • Marco Rubio (R) 45% (50%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {43%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (42%) {45%} [47%] (46%) {47%} 
                • Ted Cruz (R) 45% (45%) {42%} [43%] (42%) {42%} (36%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (41%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {48%} (52%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (42%) {39%} {46%} [48%]
                • Ben Carson (R) 44% (47%) {50%} {41%} [42%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (41%) [40%] [46%] (47%) {51%}
                • Donald Trump (R) 38% (46%) [45%] [42%] (42%) {34%}
                National survey of 1,013 registered voters was conducted December 16-17, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 56% [55%] (56%) {54%}
                • Bernie Sanders 34% [32%] (31%) {28%}
                • Martin O'Malley 2% [3%] (2%) {2%}
                National survey of 390 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted December 16-17, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in curly brackets.

                Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                • Donald Trump 39% (28%) {26%} [24%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (18%) {11%} [4%] (4%) {5%} [3%] 
                • Ted Cruz 18% (14%) {11%} [10%] (8%) {10%} [6%] (4%) {4%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%)
                • Marco Rubio 11% (14%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {13%} [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%) 
                • Ben Carson 9% (18%) {23%} [23%] (18%) {12%} [7%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (13%) {6%} [11%] (10%)
                • Jeb Bush 3% (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%) {9%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%) 
                • Chris Christie 3% (3%) {2%} [1%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)
                • Carly Fiorina 3% (3%) {3%} [5%] (9%) {5%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%]
                • Rand Paul 3% (2%) {4%} [3%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
                • John Kasich 2% (2%) {4%} [1%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%}
                • Mike Huckabee 1% (3%) {4%} [5%] (3%) {6%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [6%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (13%) 
                • Rick Santorum 1% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%) 
                • George Pataki 0% (1%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
                • Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
                • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] 
                Which Republican would be your second choice?
                • Ted Cruz 20% (11%) {10%} [7%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (6%)
                • Ben Carson 13% (16%) {20%} [18%] (13%) {8%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (4%)
                • Marco Rubio 13% (11%) {14%} [13%] (10%) {13%} [6%] (8%) {10%} [11%] (9%) {15%} [8%] (6%)
                • Donald Trump 12% (17%) {15%} [13%] (12%) {10%} [12%] (11%) {7%} [2%] (4%) {2%} [3%]
                • Jeb Bush 8% (7%) {6%} [4%] (10%) {10%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%) {10%} [11%] (13%)
                • Chris Christie 8% (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [6%] (3%) {5%} [4%] (6%) {5%} [7%] (7%)
                • Mike Huckabee 4% (4%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (4%) {10%} [7%] (11%) {5%} [6%] (9%)
                • Carly Fiorina 3% (4%) {6%} [9%] (14%) {6%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%]
                • John Kasich 3% (3%) {2%} [1%] (4%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%)
                • Lindsey Graham 1% (0%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (1%) 
                • Rand Paul 1% (3%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (6%)
                • Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [4%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (2%)
                • Jim Gilmore 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
                • George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
                National survey of 402 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 16-17, 2015, under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July  30 - August 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 59% (60%) {64%} [56%] (68%)
                • Bernie Sanders 28% (34%) {25%} [28%] (16%)
                • Martin O'Malley 5% (3%) {2%} [3%] (2%)
                Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted December 10-13, 2015. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                • Donald Trump 34% {26%} [27%] (29%) {19%}
                • Ted Cruz 18% {14%} [7%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (10%) {16%} [5%] (9%)
                • Marco Rubio 13% {13%} [13%] (7%) {10%} [13%] (13%) {6%} [3%] 
                • Jeb Bush 7% {5%} [10%] (9%) {12%} [15%] (11%) {17%} [17%] (17%)
                • Ben Carson 6% {19%} [17%] (15%) {10%} [12%] (12%) {10%} [18%] (15%)
                • Chris Christie 5% {3%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (7%)
                • Carly Fiorina 4% {4%} [6%] (8%) {4%} [5%] 
                • Mike Huckabee 4% {4%} [4%] (5%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {6%} [10%] (9%)
                • John Kasich 2% {3%} [4%] (6%) {3%}
                • Rand Paul 2% {2%} [2%] (1%) {4%} [8%] (9%) {10%} [4%] (4%) 
                • Lindsey Graham 1% {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%}
                • Rick Santorum 1% {0%} [2%] (2%) {1%}
                • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
                • George Pataki 0% {1%} [1%] (0%) {0%}
                • Undecided 2% {2%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [9%] (7%) {8%} [11%] (5%)
                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Mike Huckabee 63% {58%} [44%] (51%) {49%} [55%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) / 19% {23%} [38%] (34%) {30%} [27%] (24%) {26%} [19%] (21%) {+44%}
                • Ben Carson 61% {61%} [71%] (68%) {53%} [54%] (54%) {48%} [54%] (49%) / 26% {24%} [16%] (14%) {19%} [16%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {+35%}
                • Ted Cruz 59% {55%} [50%] (53%) {51%} [48%] (51%) {52%} [45%] (49%) / 27% {26%} [30%] (26%) {21%} [24%] (25%) {30%} [16%] (19%) {+32%}
                • Carly Fiorina 53% {51%} [57%] (53%) {38%} [38%] (28%) / 28% {30%} [27%] (23%) {22%} [22%] (21%) {+25%}
                • Donald Trump 58% {51%} [50%] (56%) {48%} [38%] (37%) / 34% {37%} [38%] (30%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {+24%}
                • Chris Christie 49% {46%} [43%] (28%) {25%} [26%] (31%) {24%} [28%] (35%) / 30% {32%} [38%] (54%) {56%} [49%] (52%) {57%} [45%] (43%) {+19%}
                • Marco Rubio 49% {55%} [57%] (58%) {54%} [59%] (56%) {55%} [46%] / 34% {25%} [24%] (24%) {19%} [16%] (22%) {22%} [18%] {+15%}
                • Rick Santorum 37% {37%} [37%] (40%) {48%} [46%] (45%) / 34% {30%} [34%] (27%) {19%} [24%] (22%) {+3%}
                • Rand Paul 34% {36%} [31%] (29%) {42%} [45%] (48%) {49%} [42%] (50%) / 44% {39%} [42%] (50%) {30%} [33%] (29%) {30%} [24%] (23%) {-10%}
                • John Kasich 26% {25%} [29%] (29%) {29%} [23%] (22%) / 40% {37%} [36%] (34%) {15%} [19%] (17%) {-14%}
                • Jeb Bush 34% {27%} [34%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (47%) / 49% {50%} [49%] (42%) {35%} [40%] (36%) {37%} [29%] (24%) {-15%}
                • Lindsey Graham 22% {24%} [18%] (19%) {21%} [16%] (19%) / 50% {37%} [45%] (40%) {33%} [39%] (31%) {-28%}
                Survey of 532 Republican primary voters was conducted December 16-17, 2015.  Political ideology: 44% {40%} [39%] (40%) {39%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Somewhat conservative; 27% {33%} [30%] (35%) {33%} [40%] (37%) {34%} [38%] (35%) Very conservative; 23% {20%} [23%] (20%) {21%} [19%] (21%) {19%} [17%] (21%) Moderate; 5% {6%} [6%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {1%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 16-17, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-30, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 26-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                • Bernie Sanders 48.1% {48.1%}
                • Hillary Clinton 45.9% {38.1%}
                • Martin O'Malley 1.9% {1.7%}
                • Someone else 1.3% {5.0%}
                • Unsure 2.8% {5.2%}
                Survey of 410 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted December 13-17, 2015 by RKM Research and Communications.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in curly brackets.

                Poll Watch: Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 26% {28%} [18%]
                • Ted Cruz 12% {5%} [10%] (9%) 
                • Marco Rubio 12% {6%} [4%] (4%)
                • Chris Christie 11% {3%} [3%] (10%) 
                • Jeb Bush 10% {9%} [13%] (15%
                • John Kasich 8% {6%} [12%] (1%)
                • Carly Fiorina 6% {10%} [9%] (0%)
                • Ben Carson 5% {16%} [4%] (4%)
                • Rand Paul 3% {5%} [6%] (13%)
                • Lindsey Graham 0% {0%} [1%] (0%)
                • Mike Huckabee 0% {2%} [3%] (7%)
                • George Pataki 0% {0%} [1%] (0%) 
                • Rick Santorum 0% {0%} [0%] (2%)
                • Other 1% {2%} [3%] (5%)
                • Unsure 5% {7%} [9%] (10%)
                Second Choice
                • Marco Rubio 16%
                • Chris Christie 15%
                • Ted Cruz 15%
                • Jeb Bush 12%
                • Donald Trump 9%
                • John Kasich 7%
                • Carly Fiorina 7%
                • Ben Carson 5%
                • Rand Paul 2%
                • Lindsey Graham 2%
                • Mike Huckabee 1%
                • George Pataki 1%
                • Rick Santorum 1%
                • Other 2%
                • Unsure 6%
                Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                • Marco Rubio 65% {59%} [62%] (55%) / 26% {19%} [21%] (15%) {+39%}
                • Chris Christie 64% {46%} [49%] (43%) / 30% {39%} [41%] (46%) {+34%}
                • Carly Fiorina 56% {60%} [55%] (25%) / 31% {18%} [12%] (9%) {+25%}
                • Ted Cruz 57% {45%} [47%] (55%) / 33% {29%} [29%] (22%) {+24%}
                • Ben Carson 56% {69%} [55%] (35%) / 36% {14%} [13%] (11%) {+20%}
                • Donald Trump 55% {55%} [46%] / 41% {42%} [46%] {+14%}
                • Jeb Bush 53% {57%} [62%] (53%) / 42% {37%} [31%] (37%) {+11%}
                • John Kasich 43% {46%} [50%] (24%) / 39% {22%} [16%] (7%) {+4%}
                • Rand Paul 38% {48%} [44%] (57%) / 52% {36%} [45%] (24%) {-14%}
                • Mike Huckabee 33% {34%} [49%] (49%) / 51% {48%} [37%] (35%) {-18%}
                • Rick Santorum 27% {27%} [42%] (36%) / 52% {43%} [36%] (34%) {-25%}
                • Lindsey Graham 24% {27%} [23%] (25%) / 52% {46%} [44%] (34%) {-28%}
                • George Pataki 15% {14%} [22%] (26%) / 52% {46%} [43%] (37%) {-37%}
                Survey of 430 likely Republican primary voters was conducted December 13-17, 2015 by RKM Research and Communications.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Thursday, December 17, 2015

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

                • Marco Rubio (R) 48% {43%} [44%] (35%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {42%} [46%] (47%)
                • Ted Cruz (R) 47% {42%} [42%] (39%) {40%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [49%] (47%) {47%}
                • Ben Carson (R) 45% {44%} [41%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {40%} [48%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%}
                • Donald Trump (R) 43% {40%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {42%}
                • Carly Fiorina (R) 42% {40%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {44%} [45%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (50%)
                • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {40%} [42%] (43%) {39%} [41%] (36%)
                Survey of 1,426 registered voters was conducted December 10-13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {36%} [37%] (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) Democrat; 37% {35%} [35%] (36%) {34%} [31%] (37%) Republican; 26% {29%} [28%] (29%) {28%} [32%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% {30%} [32%] (33%) {27%} [30%] (32%) Moderate; 23% {24%} [23%] (21%) {22%} [24%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 18% {20%} [18%] (17%) {18%} [22%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 16% {16%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [14%] (18%) Very conservative; 10% {10%} [11%] (12%) {14%} [10%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-26, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Wednesday, December 16, 2015

                Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [57%]
                • Bernie Sanders 26% [24%]
                • Martin O'Malley 4% [1%]
                • Other (vol.) 1% [0%]
                • No one (vol.) 3% [4%]
                • Undecided (vol.) 8% [12%]
                Survey of 374 registered voters who identify themselves as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party was conducted December 10-13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in square brackets.

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Post-Debate Republican Nomination Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 Post-Debate GOP Nomination Poll
                • Donald Trump 34% [42%] (32.7%) {35.6%} [34.7%] (22%) {40.1%} [30.8%] (15%)
                • Ted Cruz 23% [16%] (7.6%) {5.9%} [7.3%] (6%) {7.0%} [5.6%] (5%)
                • Marco Rubio 14% [11%] (14.5%) {10.7%} [10.8%] (15%) {4.7%} [5.4%] (8%)
                • Ben Carson 10% [9%] (22.6%) {21.7%} [17.2%] (12%) {13.0%} [6.1%] (10%)
                • Chris Christie 5% [4%] (2.8%) {1.7%} [2.3%] (4%) {1.4%} [3.4%] (5%)
                • Jeb Bush 4% [6%] (4.3%) {7.6%} [6.9%] (6%) {10.0%} [13.3%] (22%)
                • Carly Fiorina 4% [3%] (6.1%) {5.7%} [8.8%] (22%) {5.2%} [1.9%] (3%)
                • John Kasich 2% [2%] (2.4%) {2.9%} [3.1%] (4%) {4.8%} [5.1%]
                • Mike Huckabee 1% [2%] (1.1%) {3.2%} [4.5%] (2%) {3.7%} [5.6%] (10%)
                • Rand Paul 1% [2%] (4.4%) {1.6%} [2.5%] (2%) {1.5%} [4.4%] (4%)
                • Lindsey Graham 1% [1%] (0.6%) {1.7%} [0.3%] (0%) {0.6%} [0.7%] (2%)
                • Rick Santorum 0% [1%] (0.2%) {1.3%} [1.4%] (1%) {1.0%} [1.6%] (1%)
                • George Pataki 0% [0%] (0.1%) {0.1%} [0.2%] (0%) {1.1%} [0.2%] (1%)
                Who do you think won the debate?
                • Donald Trump 35%
                • Ted Cruz 25%
                • Marco Rubio 14%
                • Chris Christie 9%
                • Ben Carson 5%
                • Carly Fiorina 5%
                • Jeb Bush 3%
                • John Kasich 3%
                • Rand Paul 2%
                Who do you think lost the debate?
                • Jeb Bush 26%
                • Rand Paul 19%
                • John Kasich 16%
                • Donald Trump 13%
                • Carly Fiorina 9%
                • Ben Carson 7%
                • Marco Rubio 5%
                • Ted Cruz 2%
                • Chris Christie 2%
                Do you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of ____________ after the debate?

                More / Less {Net}
                • Chris Christie 64% / 17% {+47%}
                • Ted Cruz 58% / 22% {+36%}
                • Donald Trump 50% / 31% {+19%}
                • Marco Rubio 46% / 31% {+15%}
                • Carly Fiorina 46% / 32% {+14%}
                • Ben Carson 42% / 31% {+11%}
                • John Kasich 23% / 48% {-25%}
                • Jeb Bush 22% / 56% {-34%}
                • Rand Paul 20% / 56% {-36%}
                Do you think that CNN was fair to the candidates?
                • Fair 52%
                • Unfair 32%
                Do you think that, overall, CNN did a good job?
                • Good job 46%
                • Fair job 39%
                • Poor job 12%
                National survey of 1,641 registered Republican voters was conducted December 15, 2015, directly following the GOP debate. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll released December 7-8, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll released October 29, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.