Showing posts with label Auto Industry. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Auto Industry. Show all posts

Monday, November 12, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Push Poll on Auto Industry Bailouts

Rasmussen (R) Push Poll on Auto Industry Bailouts 

Looking back, were the bailouts of the auto industry good for the United States or bad for the United States?
  • Good 51%
  • Bad 38%
  • Not sure 12%
Official estimates indicate that the government will lose tens of billions of dollars on the auto bailouts. Knowing that the government lost money on the auto bailouts, would you say that the bailouts were a success or a failure? 
  • Success 42%
  • Failure 45%
  • Undecided 14%
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 8-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:
Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Democrats think the auto bailouts were good for the country, compared to 22% of Republicans. A plurality (46%) of voters not affiliated with either political party agrees more with Democrats.
After learning that the government will lose money on the bailouts, 66% of Democrats still support them while 74% of GOP voters and 50% of unaffiliateds deem them a failure.
Younger voters are more supportive of the auto bailouts compared to their elders.

Monday, November 05, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 49% (48%) {47%} [45%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% (45%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
  • Other 3% (2%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 4% (6%) {6%} [9%] (8%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 42% (37%) {39%} [33%] (35%)
  • Mitt Romney 41% (48%) {47%} [41%] (44%)
  • Other 10% (4%) {5%} [9%] (9%)
  • Undecided 7% (11%) {9%} [18%] (12%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 56% (53%) {58%} [51%] (53%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% (36%) {33%} [34%] (33%)
  • Other 4% (3%) {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 4% (9%) {7%} [12%] (10%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 47% (50%) {49%} [45%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 46% (42%) {42%} [41%] (40%)
  • Other 5% (1%) {2%} [5%] (4%)
  • Undecided 3% (6%) {7%} [9%] (8%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% (53%) {52%} [49%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (40%) {40%} [40%] (41%)
  • Other 2% (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Undecided 5% (5%) {6%} [9%] (7%)
Who would do better at balancing the federal budget?
  • Mitt Romney 46% (48%) {46%} [47%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 43% (44%) {44%} [40%] (42%)
  • Not sure 11% (9%) {10%} [12%] (11%)
Who is more in touch with the average person?
  • Barack Obama 54% (54%) {55%} [53%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% (37%) {39%} [36%] (37%)
  • Not sure 10% (9%) {6%} [11%] (11%)
Who will do a better job of keeping America safe?
  • Barack Obama 48% (48%) {49%} [44%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (44%) {43%} [43%] (44%)
  • Not sure 10% (8%) {8%} [13%] (11%)
Do you support or oppose the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers?
  • Support 48% (50%) {47%} [45%] (46%)
  • Oppose 38% (37%) {38%} [38%] (38%)
  • Not sure 14% (13%) {15%} [17%] (15%)
Do you support or oppose the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010?
  • Support 38% (37%) {36%} [37%] (35%)
  • Oppose 50% (47%) {48%} [45%] (49%)
  • Not sure 12% (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
Survey of 803 likely and actual voters was conducted November 1-4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (38%) {39%} [39%] (39%) Democrat; 34% (32%) {32%} [32%] (33%) Republican; 25% (26%) {25%} [26%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 42% (41%) {38%} [42%] (40%) Moderate; 32% (32%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Conservative; 17% (17%) {18%} [17%] (16%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 48% {47%} [45%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [42%] (44%)
  • Other 2% {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 6% {6%} [9%] (8%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 48% {47%} [41%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 37% {39%} [33%] (35%)
  • Other 4% {5%} [9%] (9%)
  • Undecided 11% {9%} [18%] (12%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 53% {58%} [51%] (53%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% {33%} [34%] (33%)
  • Other 3% {2%} [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 9% {7%} [12%] (10%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% {49%} [45%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 42% {42%} [41%] (40%)
  • Other 1% {2%} [5%] (4%)
  • Undecided 6% {7%} [9%] (8%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 53% {52%} [49%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% {40%} [40%] (41%)
  • Other 2% {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Undecided 5% {6%} [9%] (7%)
Already Voted (25%)
  • Barack Obama 56% {58%} [57%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% {39%} [38%] (39%)
  • Other 2% {2%} [3%] (2%)
  • Undecided 1% {2%} [2%] (1%)
Will Vote Before Election Day (14%)
  • Barack Obama 58%
  • Mitt Romney 35%
  • Other 3%
  • Undecided 5%
Will Vote on Election Day (60%)
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 41%
  • Other 1%
  • Undecided 8%
Who would do better at balancing the federal budget?
  • Mitt Romney 48% {46%} [47%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 44% {44%} [40%] (42%)
  • Not sure 9% {10%} [12%] (11%)
Who is more in touch with the average person?
  • Barack Obama 54% {55%} [53%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 37% {39%} [36%] (37%)
  • Not sure 9% {6%} [11%] (11%)
Who will do a better job of keeping America safe?
  • Barack Obama 48% {49%} [44%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {43%} [43%] (44%)
  • Not sure 8% {8%} [13%] (11%)
Do you support or oppose the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers?
  • Support 50% {47%} [45%] (46%)
  • Oppose 37% {38%} [38%] (38%)
  • Not sure 13% {15%} [17%] (15%)
Do you support or oppose the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010?
  • Support 37% {36%} [37%] (35%)
  • Oppose 47% {48%} [45%] (49%)
  • Not sure 16% {15%} [17%] (16%)
Survey of 603 likely and actual voters was conducted October 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% {39%} [39%] (39%) Democrat; 32% {32%} [32%] (33%) Republican; 26% {25%} [26%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 41% {38%} [42%] (40%) Moderate; 32% {34%} [34%] (35%) Conservative; 17% {18%} [17%] (16%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-22, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Sunday, October 28, 2012

John Kasich on Meet the Press



Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% [51%] (49%)
  • Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 49% [46%] (46%)
  • Other 1% [1%] (2%)
  • Undecided 1% [2%] (2%)
Who do you think would do the best job handling foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 50% (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (38%)
Who do you think would do the best job handling the economy?
  • Mitt Romney 51% (49%)
  • Barack Obama 45% (42%)
Will the Obama administration's loans to the U.S. auto industry make you more likely to vote for Obama?
  • More likely 29%
  • Less likely 21%
  • Will not make a difference 48%
Will the debates make you more likely to vote for Romney, Obama, or not make a difference?
  • Romney 23%
  • Obama 14%
  • Won't make a difference 62%
Would you say Romney's 47% comments will make you more likely to vote for Romney, Obama, or not make a difference?
  • Obama 32%
  • Romney 14%
  • Won't make a difference 54%
We often hear from candidates that voters should be scared if their opponent wins.  Which of the following best describes you?
  • Scared if Romney wins 29%
  • Scared if Obama wins 29%
  • Not scared if either wins 39%
Survey of  1,015 likely voters was conducted October 18-23, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 13-18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 47% [45%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% [42%] (44%)
  • Other 2% [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 6% [9%] (8%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 47% [41%] (44%)
  • Barack Obama 39% [33%] (35%)
  • Other 5% [9%] (9%)
  • Undecided 9% [18%] (12%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 58% [51%] (53%)
  • Mitt Romney 33% [34%] (33%)
  • Other 2% [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 7% [12%] (10%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% [45%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 42% [41%] (40%)
  • Other 2% [5%] (4%)
  • Undecided 7% [9%] (8%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52% [49%] (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% [40%] (41%)
  • Other 2% [1%] (2%)
  • Undecided 6% [9%] (7%)
Already Voted: 26%
  • Barack Obama 58% [57%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% [38%] (39%)
  • Other 2% [3%] (2%)
  • Undecided 2% [2%] (1%)
Did Not Vote Yet: 74%
  • Mitt Romney 46% [43%] (45%)
  • Barack Obama 44% [43%] (44%)
  • Other 2% [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 8% [11%] (9%)
Who would do better at balancing the federal budget?
  • Mitt Romney 46% [47%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 44% [40%] (42%)
  • Not sure 10% [12%] (11%)
Who is more in touch with the average person?
  • Barack Obama 55% [53%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% [36%] (37%)
  • Not sure 6% [11%] (11%)
Who will do a better job of keeping America safe?
  • Barack Obama 49% [44%] (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% [43%] (44%)
  • Not sure 8% [13%] (11%)
Do you support or oppose the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers?
  • Support 47% [45%] (46%)
  • Oppose 38% [38%] (38%)
  • Not sure 15% [17%] (15%)
Do you support or oppose the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010?
  • Support 36% [37%] (35%)
  • Oppose 48% [45%] (49%)
  • Not sure 15% [17%] (16%)
Survey of 609 likely and actual voters was conducted October 20-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% [39%] (39%) Democrat; 32% [32%] (33%) Republican; 25% [26%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 38% [42%] (40%) Moderate; 34% [34%] (35%) Conservative; 18% [17%] (16%) Liberal.  Already voted: 26% [18%] (11%) Yes; 74% [82%] (89%) No.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, October 17, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 45% (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (44%)
  • Other 3% (3%)
  • Undecided 9% (8%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 41% (44%)
  • Barack Obama 33% (35%)
  • Other 9% (9%)
  • Undecided 18% (12%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 51% (53%)
  • Mitt Romney 34% (33%)
  • Other 3% (3%)
  • Undecided 12% (10%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 45% (47%)
  • Barack Obama 41% (40%)
  • Other 5% (4%)
  • Undecided 9% (8%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 49% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% (41%)
  • Other 1% (2%)
  • Undecided 9% (7%)
Already Voted (18%)
  • Barack Obama 57% (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% (39%)
  • Other 3% (2%)
  • Undecided 2% (1%)
Did Not Vote Yet (82%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (45%)
  • Barack Obama 43% (44%)
  • Other 3% (3%)
  • Undecided 11% (9%)
Who would do better at balancing the federal budget?
  • Mitt Romney 47% (47%)
  • Barack Obama 40% (42%)
  • Not sure 12% (11%)
Who is more in touch with the average person?
  • Barack Obama 53% (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% (37%)
  • Not sure 11% (11%)
Who will do a better job of keeping America safe?
  • Barack Obama 44% (45%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (44%)
  • Not sure 13% (11%)
Do you support or oppose the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers?
  • Support 45% (46%)
  • Oppose 38% (38%)
  • Not sure 17% (15%)
Do you support or oppose the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010?
  • Support 37% (35%)
  • Oppose 45% (49%)
  • Not sure 17% (16%)
Survey of 613 likely and actual voters was conducted October 12-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (39%) Democrat; 32% (33%) Republican; 26% (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 42% (40%) Moderate; 34% (35%) Conservative; 17% (16%) Liberal.  Already voted: 18% (11%) Yes; 82% (89%) No. Results from the poll conducted October 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.

Saturday, October 13, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 51% (49%) {50%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (45%) {44%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 50% (42%) {51%} [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
  • Barack Obama 45% (41%) {34%} [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 57% (60%) [64%] (66%) {56%} [56%] (62%) {64%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [61%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 36% (32%) [28%] (27%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {23%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [21%] (24%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50% (43%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
  • Barack Obama 48% (50%) {43%} [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54% (48%) {55%} [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 42% (46%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
Have you already voted, either at an early voting site or with an absentee ballot?
  • Yes 19%
  • No 81%
Already Voted
  • Barack Obama 76%
  • Mitt Romney 24%
Did Not Vote Yet
  • Mitt Romney 51%
  • Barack Obama 45%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 51% (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% (47%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of Libya?
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Who do you think won the Vice Presidential debate: Joe Biden or Paul Ryan?
  • Joe Biden 46%
  • Paul Ryan 37%
Looking back, do you support or oppose the bailout of the auto industry?
  • Support 54%
  • Oppose 37%
Who do you think would be better for the automotive industry in Ohio: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
Is the candidates’ for President records on the automotive industry very important, somewhat important, or not that important to you?
  • Very important 42% (44%)
  • Somewhat important 37% (29%)
  • Not that important 19% (24%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (45%) [44%] (41%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 51% (49%) [49%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-6%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 47% (41%) [42%] (34%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 47% (45%) [47%] (57%) {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {0%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 34% (33%) [28%] (24%) {19%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [37%] (22%) {26%} [26%] (27%) / 61% (61%) [62%] (68%) {68%} [62%] (59%) {46%} [40%] (54%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {-27%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 49% (46%) [47%] (45%) {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 48% (51%) [47%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {+1%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 42% (44%) [41%] (37%) {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 54% (48%) [52%] (55%) {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-12%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Paul Ryan?
  • Favorable 45% (34%)
  • Unfavorable 48% (33%)
Among Independents
  • Favorable 43% (32%)
  • Unfavorable 47% (43%)
Among Moderates
  • Favorable 32% (19%)
  • Unfavorable 57% (44%)
Among Men
  • Favorable 47% (41%)
  • Unfavorable 47% (37%)
Among Women
  • Favorable 42% (29%)
  • Unfavorable 49% (30%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Biden?
  • Favorable 47% [46%]
  • Unfavorable 46% [45%]
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 50% (48%) [48%] (46%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 48% (49%) [48%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 45% (41%) [40%] (46%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
  • Disapprove 50% (52%) [54%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 60% (58%)
  • Somewhat excited 26% (24%)
  • Not at all excited 15% (18%)
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 62% (66%)
  • Somewhat excited 25% (20%)
  • Not at all excited 14% (14%)
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 62% (62%)
  • Somewhat excited 27% (26%)
  • Not at all excited 11% (13%)
Among Independents
  • Very excited 54% (36%)
  • Somewhat excited 24% (28%)
  • Not at all excited 23% (36%)
Survey of 880 likely Ohio voters was conducted October 12-13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 36% (36%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 24% (23%) {26%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% (33%) [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 26% (24%) [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 16% (17%) [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 16% (16%) [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 13% (11%) [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

President Obama Delivers Weekly Address: "One Million American Jobs Saved and a Stronger American Auto Industry"

Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
  • Other 3%
  • Undecided 8%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 44%
  • Barack Obama 35%
  • Other 9%
  • Undecided 12%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 33%
  • Other 3%
  • Undecided 10%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 40%
  • Other 4%
  • Undecided 8%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 41%
  • Other 2%
  • Undecided 7%
Who would do better at balancing the federal budget?
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Not sure 11%
Who is more in touch with the average person?
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 37%
  • Not sure 11%
Who will do a better job of keeping America safe?
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
  • Not sure 11%
Do you support or oppose the federal government's financial bailout of American auto manufacturers?
  • Support 46%
  • Oppose 38%
  • Not sure 15%
Do you support or oppose the healthcare reform law that Congress passed in 2010?
  • Support 35%
  • Oppose 49%
  • Not sure 16%
Survey of 808 likely and actual voters was conducted October 5-8, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 33% Republican; 25% Independent.  Ideology: 40% Moderate; 35% Conservative; 16% Liberal.

Sunday, September 30, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

  • Barack Obama 49% {50%} [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 42% {51%} [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
  • Barack Obama 41% {34%} [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 60% [64%] (66%) {56%} [56%] (62%) {64%} [54%] (57%) {52%} [61%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 32% [28%] (27%) {29%} [31%] (33%) {23%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [21%] (24%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 50% {43%} [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 48% {55%} [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
  • Mitt Romney 46% {39%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Ohio: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Mitt Romney 31%
Is the candidates’ for President records on the automotive industry very important, somewhat important, or not that important to you?
  • Very important 44%
  • Somewhat important 29%
  • Not that important 24%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (41%) {35%} [37%] (28%) {28%} [36%] (30%) {32%} [33%] (36%) / 49% [49%] (52%) {54%} [53%] (56%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {43%} [43%] (39%) {-4%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 41% [42%] (34%) {28%} [33%] (30%) {32%} [42%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (38%) / 45% [47%] (57%) {54%} [59%] (53%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {38%} [38%] (36%) {-4%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 33% [28%] (24%) {19%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [37%] (22%) {26%} [26%] (27%) / 61% [62%] (68%) {68%} [62%] (59%) {46%} [40%] (54%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {-28%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 46% [47%] (45%) {39%} [43%] (30%) {30%} [38%] (31%) {42%} [35%] (39%) / 51% [47%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (58%) {53%} [51%] (53%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {-5%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 44% [41%] (37%) {31%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [33%] (29%) {24%} [32%] (33%) / 48% [52%] (55%) {57%} [56%] (53%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (38%) {-4%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 48% [48%] (46%) {44%} [48%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {46%} [47%] (42%)
  • Disapprove 49% [48%] (51%) {51%} [48%] (48%) {49%} [52%] (52%) {49%} [46%] (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 41% [40%] (46%) {37%} [41%] (40%) {30%} [39%] (34%) {37%} [39%] (40%)
  • Disapprove 52% [54%] (49%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [49%] (54%)
Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?
  • Familiar 90%
  • Not familiar 10%
Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?
  • Appropriate 42%
  • Inappropriate 53%
Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?
  • More likely 31%
  • Less likely 40%
  • No difference 28%
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 50%
  • He should not 41%
Do you think pollsters are intentionally skewing their polls this year to help Barack Obama, or not?
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 41%
  • They are not 43%
  • Not sure 16%
Among Democrats
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 16%
  • They are not 69%
  • Not sure 16%
Among Republicans
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 72%
  • They are not 14%
  • Not sure 14%
Among Independents
  • They are intentionally skewing their polls 40%
  • They are not 42%
  • Not sure 18%
Are you very excited, somewhat excited, or not at all excited about voting in the 2012 elections?
  • Very excited 58%
  • Somewhat excited 24%
  • Not at all excited 18%
Among Democrats
  • Very excited 66%
  • Somewhat excited 20%
  • Not at all excited 14%
Among Republicans
  • Very excited 62%
  • Somewhat excited 26%
  • Not at all excited 13%
Among Independents
  • Very excited 36%
  • Somewhat excited 28%
  • Not at all excited 36%
Survey of 897 likely Ohio voters was conducted September 27-30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {41%} [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 36% {33%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 23% {26%} [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 33% [29%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [29%] Moderate; 24% [25%] (25%) {27%} [22%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (24%) {25%} [28%] Somewhat conservative; 17% [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (21%) {18%} [19%] (17%) {13%} [15%] Very conservative; 16% [17%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (19%) {16%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (10%) {7%} [10%] (8%) {13%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Monday, September 03, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 51% {53%} [53%] (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 44% {39%} [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 54% {50%} [48%] (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 38% {37%} [36%] (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 64% {68%} [66%] (70%) {56%} [56%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 30% {23%} [21%] (22%) {30%} [25%] (29%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 53% {48%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 40% {45%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 49% {59%} [58%] (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 48% {33%} [34%] (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)
Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Michigan: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 53% {55%} [55%]
  • Mitt Romney 31% {29%} [31%]
Is the candidates’ for President record on the automotive industry very important, somewhat important, or not that important to you?
  • Very important 48%
  • Somewhat important 32%
  • Not that important 18%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 46% / 41% {+5%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% {38%} [35%] (29%) {39%} [37%] (39%) / 49% {55%} [57%] (58%) {43%} [45%] (37%) {-4%}
Among Independents
  • Paul Ryan 38% / 42% {-4%
  • Mitt Romney 39% {36%} [32%] (32%) {48%} [42%] (43%) / 51% {57%} [60%] (52%) {34%} [39%] (34%) {-12%}
Among Moderates
  • Paul Ryan 31% / 51% {-20%
  • Mitt Romney 30% {20%} [22%] (29%) {37%} [34%] (31%) / 60% {71%} [65%] (57%) {42%} [46%] (39%) {-30%}
Among Men
  • Paul Ryan 42% / 44% {-2%
  • Mitt Romney 43% {43%} [40%] (35%) {41%} [35%] (46%) / 52% {50%} [53%] (55%) {40%} [50%] (41%) {-9%}
Among Women
  • Paul Ryan 50% / 38% {+12%} 
  • Mitt Romney 47% {32%} [30%] (25%) {37%} [39%] (33%) / 46% {61%} [60%] (61%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {+1%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% {51%} [53%] (52%) {50%} [47%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 49% {44%} [41%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (45%)
Among Men
  • Approve 52% {44%} [48%] (44%) {47%} [49%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 46% {50%} [48%] (52%) {49%} [47%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 46% {58%} [57%] (58%) {53%} [46%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 52% {37%} [36%] (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%)
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 52% {58%}
  • He should not 42% {34%}
Do you consider Mitt Romney to be a Michigander, or not?
  • He is a Michigander 34% {22%}
  • He is not 57% {67%}
Who do you think gives better speeches: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 57%
  • Mitt Romney 31%
Do you support or oppose Paul Ryan's proposal for reforming Medicare?
  • Support 35%
  • Oppose 42%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the speech Clint Eastwood gave at the Republican convention?
  • Favorable 34%
  • Unfavorable 41%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Clint Eastwood in general?
  • Favorable 74%
  • Unfavorable 10%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?
  • Favorable 64% {56%}
  • Unfavorable 21% {28%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ann Romney?
  • Favorable 51%
  • Unfavorable 27%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?
  • Favorable 39%
  • Unfavorable 26%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?
  • Favorable 37%
  • Unfavorable 31%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Susana Martinez?
  • Favorable 30%
  • Unfavorable 12%
Did the Republican convention make you more or less likely to vote for Republicans this year, or did it not make a difference?
  • More likely 30%
  • Less likely 35%
  • Didn't make a difference 35%
Survey of 815 likely Michigan voters was conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% {28%} [28%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 33% {32%} [38%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 33% {40%} [34%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 35% {31%} [30%] (30%) {30%} [35%] Moderate; 23% {21%} [22%] (21%) {26%} [21%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {16%} [23%] (20%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 16% {21%} [15%] (17%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 9% {11%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.

Thursday, August 23, 2012

Poll Watch: Glengariff Group Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

Glengariff Group Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 47.5% (45.1%)
  • Mitt Romney 42.0% (39.5%)
  • Undecided 10.5% (15.4%)
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 45.0% (43.1%)
  • Barack Obama 44.7% (43.8%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 50.4% (47.3%)
  • Mitt Romney 39.0% (35.0%)
Would Obama or Romney do a better job:

With the economy
  • Mitt Romney 45.8%
  • Barack Obama 45.0%
Handling foreign affairs
  • Barack Obama 51.0%
  • Mitt Romney 38.2%
Understanding your values
  • Barack Obama 50.2%
  • Mitt Romney 39.3%
Planning for Michigan's auto industry
  • Barack Obama 42.5%
  • Mitt Romney 32.2%
Mitt Romney selected Wisconsin Rep. Paul Ryan to be his vice presidential nominee. Does the selection of Paul Ryan make you more likely to vote for Romney, more likely to vote for Barack Obama, or will the selection have no impact on how you vote for president?
  • More likely to vote for Romney 24.3%
  • More likely to vote for Obama 21.3%
  • No impact on vote 53.3%
Which candidate for president would you prefer to have dinner with, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 51.3%
  • Mitt Romney 31.3%
  • Neither 12.2%
  • Both the same 4.0%
  • Don't know 1.2%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted August 18-20, 2012 for The Detroit News, WDIV, and WZZM. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 53% [53%] (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 50% [48%] (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 37% [36%] (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 68% [66%] (70%) {56%} [56%] (59%)
  • Mitt Romney 23% [21%] (22%) {30%} [25%] (29%)
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 48% [48%] (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
  • Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 59% [58%] (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
  • Mitt Romney 33% [34%] (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)
If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?
  • Obama-Biden 50%
  • Romney-Rice 42%
  • Undecided 9%
If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?
  • Obama-Biden 52%
  • Romney-Pawlenty 38%
  • Undecided 10%
If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?
  • Obama-Biden 52%
  • Romney-Portman 37%
  • Undecided 11%
If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?
  • Obama-Biden 54%
  • Romney-Jindal 37%
  • Undecided 9%
Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Michigan: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
  • Barack Obama 55% [55%]
  • Mitt Romney 29% [31%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 38% [35%] (29%) {39%} [37%] (39%) / 55% [57%] (58%) {43%} [45%] (37%) {-17%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 36% [32%] (32%) {48%} [42%] (43%) / 57% [60%] (52%) {34%} [39%] (34%) {-21%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 20% [22%] (29%) {37%} [34%] (31%) / 71% [65%] (57%) {42%} [46%] (39%) {-51%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 43% [40%] (35%) {41%} [35%] (46%) / 50% [53%] (55%) {40%} [50%] (41%) {-7%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 32% [30%] (25%) {37%} [39%] (33%) / 61% [60%] (61%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-29%}
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?
  • Favorable 56%
  • Unfavorable 28%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?
  • Favorable 22%
  • Unfavorable 30%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?
  • Favorable 21%
  • Unfavorable 29%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?
  • Favorable 15%
  • Unfavorable 23%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 51% [53%] (52%) {50%} [47%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 44% [41%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (45%)
Among Men
  • Approve 44% [48%] (44%) {47%} [49%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 50% [48%] (52%) {49%} [47%] (51%)
Among Women
  • Approve 58% [57%] (58%) {53%} [46%] (56%)
  • Disapprove 37% [36%] (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%)
Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?
  • He should 58%
  • He should not 34%
Do you consider Mitt Romney to be a Michigander, or not?
  • He is a Michigander 22%
  • He is not 67%
Survey of 579 Michigan voters was conducted July 21-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [38%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 28% [28%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 40% [34%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% [30%] (30%) {30%} [35%] Moderate; 21% [22%] (21%) {26%} [21%] Somewhat conservative; 21% [15%] (17%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 16% [23%] (20%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.

Friday, June 15, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
  • Some other candidate 4%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 34%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Barack Obama 43%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Mitt Romney 39%
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?
  • Very favorable 21%
  • Somewhat favorable 24%
  • Somewhat unfavorable 17%
  • Very unfavorable 35%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 45% / 52% {-7%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
  • Strongly approve 32% (34%)
  • Somewhat approve 22% (19%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 8% (11%)
  • Strongly disapprove 37% (34%)
When looking at a choice between Obama and Romney, is it a choice you are excited about or will you simply be voting for the lesser of two evils?
  • Excited about choices 54%
  • Voting for lesser of two evils 38%
Note: Obama leads Romney 61% to 39% among voters who are excited about the race, while Romney leads 49% to 35% among those who will be choosing the lesser of two evils.

Who would do a better job managing the economy: Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted June 14, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
As has always been the case, Michigan voters are more supportive of the government bailouts of General Motors and Chrysler compared to voters on the national level. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of Michigan voters regard the bailouts as a success, and 46% continue to say so even when told the government lost billions on the bailouts. Just 21% of Michigan voters believe the government made money on the bailouts; 35% say it lost money, and 28% think it pretty much broke even.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of Michigan voters share a favorable impression of public employee unions, while nearly as many (45%) view them unfavorably. That's comparable to findings nationally. Obama draws strong support from Michigan voters who view public employee unions favorably, while Romney earns most of the vote from those with an unfavorable impression.

Voters in the Wolverine State are closely divided over the Republican’s business background: 41% say Romney’s track record in business is a reason to vote for him, but 43% see it as a reason to vote against him. Sixteen percent (16%) are undecided.

Sunday, June 03, 2012