Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 35% (22%) {27%} [27%] (24%)
• Ted Cruz 16% (4%) {9%} [5%] (6%)
• Ben Carson 13% (26%) {21%} [23%] (6%)
• Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• Rand Paul 4% (4%) {4%} [3%] (4%)
• Jeb Bush 3% (7%) {6%} [6%] (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% (4%) {2%} [6%] (8%)
• John Kasich 3% (4%) {2%} [3%] (1%)
• Chris Christie 3% (1%) {3%} [1%] (3%)
• Carly Fiorina 1% (7%) {6%} [4%] (0%)
• Rick Santorum 0% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% (2%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
• None of them (vol.) 2% {3%} 
• Don't know/No answer 7% (6%) {11%} [9%] (9%)

Who would be your second choice for the Republican nomination for president?

• Ted Cruz 19% (12%) {6%} [12%] (8%)
• Ben Carson 13% (19%) {20%} [19%] (10%)
• Marco Rubio 13% (11%) {18%} [7%] (11%)
• Donald Trump 12% (18%) {11%} [12%] (6%)
• Jeb Bush 10% (8%) {7%} [9%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 6% (3%) {5%} [4%] (3%)
• Rand Paul 6% (4%) {2%} [3%] (8%)
• Carly Fiorina 4% (9%) {13%} [6%] (5%)
• Mike Huckabee 4% (3%) {6%} [4%] (7%)
• John Kasich 3% (2%) {1%} [2%] (4%)
• George Pataki 1% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 0% (1%) {1%} [0%] (2%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)

National survey of 431 Republican primary voters was conducted December 4-8, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 21-25, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 4-8, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Morning Consult Nevada 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Morning Consult Nevada 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 38%
• Ben Carson 18%
• Marco Rubio 12%
• Ted Cruz 7%
• Jeb Bush 6%
• Carly Fiorina 2%
• Mike Huckabee 2%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Chris Christie 1%
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• John Kasich 1%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• George Pataki 0%

Survey of 249 registered Republican caucus-goers was conducted November 10-16, 2015.

Poll Watch: University of Mary Washington Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UMW Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll 

• Ben Carson 29%
• Donald Trump 24%
• Marco Rubio 11%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Jeb Bush 5%
• Carly Fiorina 5%
• Chris Christie 4%
• Mike Huckabee 4%
• Rand Paul 4%
• John Kasich 1%
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Second Choice 

• Ben Carson 21%
• Marco Rubio 16%
• Donald Trump 15%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Jeb Bush 7%
• Carly Fiorina 7%
• Chris Christie 6%
• Mike Huckabee 5%
• Rand Paul 3%
• John Kasich 2%
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Note: Poll did not include the following candidates: Lindsey Graham, Bobby Jindal, George Pataki, and Rick Santorum.

Survey of 333 likely Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted November 4-9, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UT/TT Texas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ted Cruz 27% (20%) {20%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [32%] (25%)
• Donald Trump 27% (2%)
• Ben Carson 13% (6%) {9%} [10%] 
• Marco Rubio 9% (8%) {4%} [3%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 4% (7%) {9%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] 
• Rand Paul 4% (6%) {4%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Carly Fiorina 4% (3%) {0%}
• Mike Huckabee 2% (5%) {5%} [7%] (8%)  
• Chris Christie 1% (1%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (8%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [3%] (2%)
• John Kasich 1% (1%) {1%} [0%]
• Bobby Jindal 0% (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (2%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {0%}
• George Pataki 0% (0%)
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Second Choice

• Ted Cruz 19% (16%) {12%}
  
• Ben Carson 19% (5%) {13%}
  
• Donald Trump 15% (2%)
• Marco Rubio 10% (9%) {7%}
• Carly Fiorina 7% (4%) {1%}
• Jeb Bush 6% (5%) {6%}
• Mike Huckabee 5% (7%) {7%}
• Chris Christie 4% (3%) {3%}
• Rand Paul 3% (8%) {7%}
• John Kasich 2% (1%) {2%}
• Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {5%}
• George Pataki 1% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {2%}
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• Lindsey Graham 0% (2%) {0%}

Internet survey of 542 registered GOP primary voters was conducted October 30 - November 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.21 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-14, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 6-15, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 7-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 31%
• Ben Carson 16% [2%] (6%)
• Marco Rubio 15% [7%] (3%)
• Chris Christie 8% [22%] (24%)
• Ted Cruz 7% [6%] (6%) 
• Jeb Bush 4% [11%] (13%)
• Carly Fiorina 4% [1%]
• John Kasich 3% [1%] (0%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (2%)
• Rand Paul 1% [9%] (5%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [0%] (0%)
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] 
• Mike Huckabee 0% [4%] (4%)
• George Pataki 0%

Survey of 481 registered Republican voters was conducted November 4-8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 9-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

CNN/ORC Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 25% [22%]
• Ben Carson 23% [14%]
• Marco Rubio 13% [5%] (5%)
• Ted Cruz 11% [8%] (4%)
• Jeb Bush 5% [5%] (6%)
• Carly Fiorina 4% [7%]
• Bobby Jindal 4% [2%] (4%)
• Chris Christie 3% [3%] (6%) 
• Lindsey Graham 2% [2%]
• Mike Huckabee 2% [7%] (21%)
• John Kasich 2% [2%]
• Rand Paul 2% [5%] (7%) 
• George Pataki 0% [0%]
• Rick Santorum 0% [1%] (3%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%]
• No opinion 3% [4%] (15%)

Survey of 548 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 7-11, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 26% [24%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (18%) {11%} [4%] (4%) {5%} [3%] 
• Ben Carson 23% [23%] (18%) {12%} [7%] (6%) {10%} [11%] (13%) {6%} [11%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 11% [10%] (8%) {10%} [6%] (4%) {4%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%)
• Marco Rubio 11% [9%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {13%} [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%) 
• Jeb Bush 4% [8%] (7%) {9%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%) 
• John Kasich 4% [1%] (4%) {4%} [3%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%}
• Rand Paul 4% [3%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
• Mike Huckabee 4% [5%] (3%) {6%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [6%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (13%) 
• Carly Fiorina 3% [5%] (9%) {5%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%]
• Chris Christie 2% [1%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)
• Rick Santorum 0% [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%) 
• Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
• Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] 
• George Pataki 0% [1%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%]

National survey of 476 likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 1-3, 2015, under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July  30 - August 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. >Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 24% {25%} [28%] (20%) {5%}
• Ben Carson 23% {17%} [12%] (6%) {10%} [3%] (7%) {9%}
• Marco Rubio 14% {9%} [7%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
• Ted Cruz 13% {7%} [7%] (5%) {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%] 
• Jeb Bush 4% {10%} [7%] (10%) {10%} [13%] (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 3% {2%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% {12%} [5%] (1%) {2%} [1%]
• John Kasich 3% {2%} [5%] (5%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
• Rand Paul 2% {1%} [2%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%) 
• Mike Huckabee 1% {2%} [3%] (6%) {10%} [7%] (8%) {7%} [10%]
• Rick Santorum 1% {0%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] 
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Lindsey Graham {0%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Bobby Jindal {0%} [0%] (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• George Pataki 0% {1%} [0%] (1%) {0%}
• Don't know 9% {9%} [11%] (12%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)

Survey of 502 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted October 29 - November 2, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: KBUR/Monmouth College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

KBUR/Monmouth College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ben Carson 27.5% (5%)
• Donald Trump 20.4% (7%)
• Ted Cruz 15.1% (8%)
• Marco Rubio 10.1% (9%)
• Jeb Bush 9.0% (12%)
• Carly Fiorina 4.1% (3%)
• Chris Christie 2.3% (5%) 
• John Kasich 1.9% (1%)
• Mike Huckabee 1.7% (10%)
• Rand Paul 1.6% (10%)
• Bobby Jindal 1.3% (2%)
• Rick Santorum 0.7% (4%)
• Jim Gilmore 0.3%
• Lindsey Graham 0.2%
• George Pataki 0.0%
• Undecided 3.8% (3%)

Survey of 874 likely Republican caucus-goers was conducted October 29-31, 2015 by by Douglas Fulmer & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 3.37 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 27-29, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Ben Carson 29% [22%] (20%) {10%} [11%] (7%) 
• Donald Trump 23% [25%] (21%) {19%} [1%]
• Marco Rubio 11% [13%] (11%) {5%} [14%] (18%)
• Ted Cruz 10% [9%] (5%) {9%} [4%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 8% [8%] (7%) {14%} [22%] (23%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% [7%] (11%) {0%} [2%] (1%)
• John Kasich 3% [3%] (6%) {3%} [1%]
• Mike Huckabee 3% [3%] (2%) {6%} [9%] (5%)
• Chris Christie 3% [1%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (5%)  
• Rand Paul 2% [2%] (3%) {6%} [7%] (11%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) {0%}
• Rick Santorum 0% [0%] (1%) {1%} [0%]
• Bobby Jindal 0% [0%] (1%) {1%} [0%]
• Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
• George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]

National survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted October 25-29, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 22% (24%) {19%}
• Ben Carson 21% (17%) {12%} [7%]
• Ted Cruz 14% (8%) {9%} [8%] (15%) {10%} [10%]  
• Marco Rubio 10% (8%) {6%} [13%] (4%) {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
• Mike Huckabee 6% (6%) {6%} [10%] (20%) {17%} (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
• Bobby Jindal 6% (4%) {2%} {7%} [2%] (3%)
• Jeb Bush 5% (6%) {11%} [12%] (12%) {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
• Carly Fiorina 5% (13%) {10%}  
• Chris Christie 3% (1%) {1%} [5%] (9%) {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
• John Kasich 2% (2%) {3%}
• Rand Paul 2% (4%) {3%} [10%] (10%) {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {2%} (3%) [6%] {10%} [17%] (16%) 
• Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {0%}
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%}
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%}
• Undecided 1% (3%) {2%} [8%] (13%) {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)

Who would be your second choice?

• Ben Carson 19% (14%) {6%} [8%]
• Marco Rubio 12% (8%) {10%} [13%]
• Ted Cruz 10% (7%) {7%} [11%]
• Donald Trump 10% (6%) {8%}
• Carly Fiorina 7% (16%) {11%}
• Jeb Bush 6% (8%) {7%} [9%]
• Mike Huckabee 6% (4%) {8%} [9%]
• Bobby Jindal 6% (4%) {4%}
• Chris Christie 5% (3%) {3%} [4%]
• John Kasich 2% (2%) {5%}
• Rand Paul 2% (3%) {2%} [9%]
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {2%}
• Lindsey Graham 1% (0%) {1%}
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%}
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%}
• Undecided 11% (14%) {14%} [17%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ben Carson 74% (77%) {69%} [44%] (37%) / 13% (11%) {10%} [15%] (6%) {+61%}
• Ted Cruz 62% (51%) {56%} [52%] (58%) {40%} [27%] / 16% (23%) {21%} [22%] (11%) {14%} [12%] {+46%} 
• Bobby Jindal 60% (56%) {59%} (41%) {36%} [42%] (43%) / 18% (19%) {14%} (9%) {10%} [14%] (11%) {+42%}
• Marco Rubio 60% (61%) {66%} [53%] (51%) {42%} [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 20% (19%) {15%} [20%] (10%) {14%} [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+40%}
• Mike Huckabee 60% (60%) {64%} [57%] (70%) {63%} (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 21% (24%) {20%} [23%] (14%) {19%} (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+39%}
• Carly Fiorina 55% (62%) {56%} / 20% (15%) {15%} {+35%}    
• Rick Santorum 51% (51%) {55%} (62%) {44%} [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 21% (25%) {22%} (13%) {21%} [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+30%}
• Chris Christie 48% (43%) {34%} [28%] (36%) {38%} [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 28% (32%) {44%} [50%] (38%) {35%} [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {+20%} 
• Donald Trump 53% (48%) {46%} (30%) {23%} / 34% (38%) {40%} (40%) {44%} {+19%}
• Rand Paul 44% (43%) {31%} [51%] (60%) {59%} [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 28% (32%) {45%} [26%] (12%) {15%} [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+16%}
• Jeb Bush 30% (38%) {45%} [38%] (48%) {50%} [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 43% (40%) {32%} [37%] (25%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {-13%} 
• John Kasich 22% (25%) {33%} (18%) {11%} / 37% (30%) {23%} (10%) {13%} {-15%}
• Lindsey Graham 20% (22%) {22%} / 38% (34%) {33%} {-18%}
• Jim Gilmore 3% (2%) {4%} / 26% (20%) {16%} {-23%} 
• George Pataki 8% (8%) {14%} / 34% (31%) {25%} {-26%}

Survey of 638 usual Republican primary voters was conducted October 30 - November 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% (43%) {36%} [41%] (37%) {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 37% (35%) {34%} [34%] (42%) {33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 15% (15%) {23%} [19%] (16%) {21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 7% (6%) {6%} [5%] (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 31% [26%] (24%) {16%}
• Ben Carson 23% [21%] (14%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (19%)
• Marco Rubio 11% [10%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (11%) {7%} (4%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%) 
• Jeb Bush 6% [5%] (13%) {12%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
• Ted Cruz 6% [9%] (10%) {6%} [11%] (11%) {3%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
• Carly Fiorina 6% [12%] (6%) {4%} [2%]
• Mike Huckabee 5% [6%] (6%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {17%} [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%) 
• John Kasich 5% [4%] (1%) {0%}
• Chris Christie 3% [2%] (2%) {5%} [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (14%) {12%} [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 2% [0%] (3%) {7%} [12%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
• Rick Santorum 2% [1%] (2%) {1%} (4%) {5%} [2%] (5%) 
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (0%) {1%}
• Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} {2%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
• George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} 
• Undecided 1% [2%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Survey of 425 Republican primary voters was conducted October 23-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.

Political ideology: 36% [38%] (41%) {47%} [36%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (39%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 33% [36%] (35%) {36%} [39%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 23% [21%] (17%) {14%} [21%] (18%) {19%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 6% [2%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (3%) {0%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.

Results from September 24-27, 2015 are in square brackets.
Results from August 12-16, 2015 are in parentheses. 
Results from July 2-6, 2015 are in curly brackets.
Results from May 28-31, 2015 are in square brackets.
Results from April 2-5, 2015 are in parentheses.
Results from February 24-26, 2015 are in curly brackets.
Results from January 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. 
Results from December 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. 
Results from May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.
Results from April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.
Results from April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.
Results from March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.
Results from February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.
Results from January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.
Results from December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.
Results from November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.
Results from December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Ben Carson 26% {21%} [23%] (6%)
• Donald Trump 22% {27%} [27%] (24%)
• Marco Rubio 8% {8%} [6%] (6%)
• Jeb Bush 7% {6%} [6%] (13%)
• Carly Fiorina 7% {6%} [4%] (0%)
• Ted Cruz 4% {9%} [5%] (6%)
• Mike Huckabee 4% {2%} [6%] (8%)
• John Kasich 4% {2%} [3%] (1%)
• Rand Paul 4% {4%} [3%] (4%)
• Lindsey Graham 2% {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Chris Christie 1% {3%} [1%] (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Bobby Jindal 0% {0%} [0%] (2%)
• George Pataki 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Don't know 6% {11%} [9%] (9%)

National survey of 575 Republican primary voters was conducted October 21-25, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 4-8, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ben Carson 30.6% (18.1%) {6.3%} [12.8%]
• Donald Trump 18.6% (24.5%) {3.1%}  
• Marco Rubio 10.0% (4.0%) {10.0%} [4.2%] (4.7%)
• Jeb Bush 6.8% (10.4%) {9.6%} [13.1%] (10.7%)
• Ted Cruz 6.2% (6.6%) {6.5%} [5.4%] (6.2%) 
• Bobby Jindal 4.6% (1.4%) {1.0%} [1.6%]
• Carly Fiorina 2.4% (5.2%) {1.0%} [1.3%]
• Chris Christie 1.8% (2.4%) {5.1%} [5.4%] (8.0%)
• Rand Paul 1.8% (2.2%) {6.3%} [7.0%] (8.5%)
• John Kasich 1.4% (3.2%) {1.0%} [1.3%] (0.7%)
• Mike Huckabee 1.2% (4.4%) {8.6%} [14.4%] (14.7%)
• Rick Santorum 0.8% (1.0%) {3.5%} [3.8%] (4.7%)
• Lindsey Graham 0.4% (0.2%) {0.0%} [0.6%]
• George Pataki 0.0% (0.0%)
• Undecided 12.8% (7.2%) {22.8%} [14.7%] (23.8%)

Survey of 500 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted October 19-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Monmouth University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ben Carson 32% [23%] (8%)
• Donald Trump 18% [23%] (13%)
• Ted Cruz 10% [9%] (7%) 
• Marco Rubio 10% [4%] (5%)
• Jeb Bush 8% [5%] (7%) 
• Carly Fiorina 5% [10%] (3%)
• Rand Paul 3% [3%] (5%)
• Mike Huckabee 2% [2%] (6%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% [1%] (4%)
• John Kasich 2% [4%] (2%)
• Chris Christie 1% [1%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (3%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% [0%] (0%) 
• George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%)
• Undecided (vol.) 5% [5%] (11%)

Survey of 400 Iowa voters likely to attend the Republican presidential caucuses was conducted October 22-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 27-30, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: WPR/St. Norbert College Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

WPR/St. Norbert College Wisconsin 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ben Carson 20%
• Marco Rubio 18%
• Donald Trump 18%
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Carly Fiorina 8%
• Mike Huckabee 3%
• John Kasich 3%
• Jeb Bush 3%
• Rand Paul 2% 
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Chris Christie 1%
• Bobby Jindal 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Lindsey Graham 0%
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• Not sure 12%

Survey of Republican primary voters was conducted October 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Ben Carson 28% (21%) {10%} [7%] (11%)
• Donald Trump 20% (27%) {10%}
• Marco Rubio 13% (5%) {7%} [13%] (4%)
• Ted Cruz 10% (9%) {9%} [12%] (5%)
• Rand Paul 6% (4%) {9%} [13%] (13%)
• Jeb Bush 5% (6%) {8%} [5%] (10%)
• Carly Fiorina 5% (5%) {3%} [2%]
• Bobby Jindal 3% (2%) {3%} [1%] (2%)
• John Kasich 3% (5%) {2%} [2%] (0%) 
• Mike Huckabee 2% (4%) {5%} [11%] (11%)
• Chris Christie 1% (1%) {1%} [3%] (4%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {4%} [2%] (4%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%}

Survey of 574 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted October 14-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Gender: 63% (57%) {61%} [58%] (60%) Men; 37% (43%) {39%} [42%] (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 45% (42%) {44%} [43%] (45%) Very conservative; 28% (28%) {29%} [27%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 26% (28%) {25%} [29%] (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

ABC News/Washington Post 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 32% [33%] (24%) {4%}
• Ben Carson 22% [20%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (8%) {7%}
• Marco Rubio 10% [7%] (7%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (10%)
• Jeb Bush 7% [8%] (12%) {10%} [21%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (18%)
• Ted Cruz 6% [7%] (4%) {8%} [12%] (8%) {4%} [7%] (12%) 
• Carly Fiorina 5% [2%] (0%) {2%} [1%] 
• Chris Christie 3% [1%] (3%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% [3%] (8%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [14%]  
• Rand Paul 2% [5%] (6%) {11%} [8%] (10%) {12%} [15%] (11%)
• John Kasich 2% [3%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
• Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
• George Pataki 1% [0%] (1%) {1%}
• Rick Santorum 0% [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%}
• Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (2%) {0%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%]

Survey of 364 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 28% [30%] (26.0%) {13%} [2%] (7%)
• Ben Carson 18% [18%] (4.6%) {6%} [11%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 10% [8%] (5.8%) {9%} [5%] (11%)
• Carly Fiorina 6% [4%] (1.9%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Marco Rubio 6% [5%] (4.4%) {6%} [9%] (5%)
• Jeb Bush 5% [8%] (12.2%) {15%} [9%] (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 4% [4%] (5.7%) {7%} [8%] (9%)
• Rand Paul 4% [2%] (4.4%) {6%} [6%] (6%)
• Chris Christie 3% [2%] (4.4%) {2%} [4%] (5%)
• Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (0.7%) {0%} [2%] (1%) 
• Bobby Jindal 1% [0%] (1.2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) 
• John Kasich 1% [2%] (3.2%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
• George Pataki 0% [0%] (0.4%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0.0%) {0%}
• Rick Santorum 0% [0%] (1.0%) {2%} [3%] (1%) 
• No one (vol.) 3% [2%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%)
• Undecided (vol.) 9% [9%] (10%) {18%} [20%] (14%)

National survey of 348 registered voters who identify themselves as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party was conducted October 15-18, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 25% (21%) {19%} [1%]
• Ben Carson 22% (20%) {10%} [11%] (7%) 
• Marco Rubio 13% (11%) {5%} [14%] (18%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (5%) {9%} [4%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 8% (7%) {14%} [22%] (23%)
• Carly Fiorina 7% (11%) {0%} [2%] (1%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% (2%) {6%} [9%] (5%)
• John Kasich 3% (6%) {3%} [1%]
• Rand Paul 2% (3%) {6%} [7%] (11%)
• Chris Christie 1% (3%) {3%} [4%] (5%)  
• Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {0%} [1%]
• Rick Santorum 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {0%} [0%]
• Bobby Jindal 0% (1%) {1%} [0%]
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%}

Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted October 15-18, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.