Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53% [53%] (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 50% [48%] (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 37% [36%] (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 68% [66%] (70%) {56%} [56%] (59%)
• Mitt Romney 23% [21%] (22%) {30%} [25%] (29%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 48% [48%] (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [45%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 59% [58%] (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 33% [34%] (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 50%
• Romney-Rice 42%
• Undecided 9%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 52%
• Romney-Pawlenty 38%
• Undecided 10%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 52%
• Romney-Portman 37%
• Undecided 11%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 54%
• Romney-Jindal 37%
• Undecided 9%

Who do you think has been better for the automotive industry in Michigan: Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 55% [55%]
• Mitt Romney 29% [31%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 38% [35%] (29%) {39%} [37%] (39%) / 55% [57%] (58%) {43%} [45%] (37%) {-17%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 36% [32%] (32%) {48%} [42%] (43%) / 57% [60%] (52%) {34%} [39%] (34%) {-21%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 20% [22%] (29%) {37%} [34%] (31%) / 71% [65%] (57%) {42%} [46%] (39%) {-51%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 43% [40%] (35%) {41%} [35%] (46%) / 50% [53%] (55%) {40%} [50%] (41%) {-7%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 32% [30%] (25%) {37%} [39%] (33%) / 61% [60%] (61%) {46%} [40%] (32%) {-29%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 56%
• Unfavorable 28%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 22%
• Unfavorable 30%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 21%
• Unfavorable 29%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 15%
• Unfavorable 23%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 51% [53%] (52%) {50%} [47%] (50%)
• Disapprove 44% [41%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (45%)

Among Men

• Approve 44% [48%] (44%) {47%} [49%] (44%)
• Disapprove 50% [48%] (52%) {49%} [47%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 58% [57%] (58%) {53%} [46%] (56%)
• Disapprove 37% [36%] (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%)

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 58%
• He should not 34%

Do you consider Mitt Romney to be a Michigander, or not?

• He is a Michigander 22%
• He is not 67%

Survey of 579 Michigan voters was conducted July 21-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [38%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 28% [28%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 40% [34%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% [30%] (30%) {30%} [35%] Moderate; 21% [22%] (21%) {26%} [21%] Somewhat conservative; 21% [15%] (17%) {14%} [16%] Very conservative; 16% [23%] (20%) {18%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.