Monday, July 23, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania 2012 Senate Poll
  • Bob Casey (D) 49% (48%)
  • Tom Smith (R) 38% (41%)
  • Some other candidate 4% (3%)
  • Undecided 9% (7%)
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
The Democrat leads among both male and female voters. Smith is slightly ahead among middle-aged voters but trails among those under 40 and the elderly.

Casey has 89% support from Pennsylvania Democrats, while Smith carries 78% of the state’s Republican vote. The GOP challenger leads by three among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

The candidates are tied among married voters, but Casey is well ahead among those who are not married.

Casey is viewed very favorably by 15% of the state’s voters and very unfavorably by 15%. Twelve percent (12%) share a very favorable opinion of Smith, while 10% regard him very unfavorably. However, 29% don’t know enough about Smith to venture any kind of opinion of him, compared to just 10% who have no opinion of Casey.

No comments: