Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Nevada 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

CNN/ORC Nevada 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 38%
• Ben Carson 22%
• Carly Fiorina 8%
• Marco Rubio 7%
• Jeb Bush 6%
• Ted Cruz 4%
• Mike Huckabee 4%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Chris Christie 1%
• Jim Gilmore 1%
• John Kasich 1%
• George Pataki 1%
• Lindsey Graham 0%
• Bobby Jindal 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%

Survey of 285 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted October 3-10, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Siena College New York 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 34%
• Ben Carson 14%
• Jeb Bush 11% (20%)
• Chris Christie 9% (25%)
• Carly Fiorina 8%
• Marco Rubio 5% (9%)  
• John Kasich 4% 
• Ted Cruz 3% (6%)
• George Pataki 3%
• Scott Walker 0% 

Survey of 214 registered Republican primary voters was conducted September 14-17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 19-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 24% [32%] (24%) {18%} [12%] (3%) 
• Carly Fiorina 15% [3%] (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
• Ben Carson 14% [19%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (7%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [11%] 
• Marco Rubio 11% [3%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (14%) {11%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Jeb Bush 9% [9%] (13%) {15%} [17%] (13%) {17%} [16%] (14%) {23%} [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 6% [7%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {7%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Mike Huckabee 6% [5%] (4%) {5%} [5%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (16%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Rand Paul 4% [3%] (6%) {6%} [8%] (8%) {11%} [12%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%) 
• Chris Christie 3% [2%] (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [7%] (7%) {13%} [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%) 
• John Kasich 2% [2%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
• Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (1%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} 
• Lindsey Graham 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%)  
• Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (0%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [1%]
• George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (3%) {0%}   
• Scott Walker 0% [5%] (8%) {10%} [6%] (10%) {12%} [13%] (11%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%]

Who would be your second choice?

• Ben Carson 19% [16%] (10%) {5%}
  
• Marco Rubio 13% [7%] (8%) {11%}
• Jeb Bush 11% [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Carly Fiorina 11% [8%] (8%) {3%}
• Mike Huckabee 8% [5%] (5%) {9%}
• Donald Trump 8% [18%] (14%) {12%}
• Chris Christie 6% [5%] (5%) {2%}
• Ted Cruz 5% [7%] (7%) {7%}
• Rand Paul 3% [4%] (5%) {5%}
• Scott Walker 2% [3%] (8%) {9%}
• Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (1%) {0%}
• John Kasich 1% [3%] (4%) {3%}
• George Pataki 1% [2%] (1%) {1%}
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (2%) {1%}
• Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (1%) {0%}
• Bobby Jindal 0% [1%] (2%) {3%}

Regardless of who you support, which candidate do you think did the best job in Wednesday night’s debates?

• Carly Fiorina 52%
• Marco Rubio 14%
• Donald Trump 11%
• Chris Christie 6%
• Ben Carson 3%
• Ted Cruz 3%
• Lindsey Graham 2%
• Jeb Bush 2%
• John Kasich 2%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Mike Huckabee 1%
• Bobby Jindal 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Scott Walker 0%

Survey of 444 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents, including a subsample of 234 who watched one or both debates, was conducted September 17-19, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points among all voters; +/- 6.5 percentage points among debate viewers. Party ID: 69% [65%] (61%) {55%} [64%] Republican; 31% [35%] (39%) {45%} [36%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Voter Gravity New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Voter Gravity New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Carly Fiorina 22%
• Donald Trump 18%
• Ben Carson 10%
• Jeb Bush 9%
• John Kasich 9%
• Marco Rubio 7%
• Chris Christie 6% 
• Ted Cruz 6%
• Rand Paul 3%
• Mike Huckabee 2%
• Scott Walker 2%
• Other 6%

Survey of 2,839 GOP primary voters was conducted September 17, 2015.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Post-Debate Republican Nomination Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 Post-Debate GOP Nomination Poll

• Carly Fiorina 22% {5.2%} [1.9%] (3%)
• Donald Trump 22% {40.1%} [30.8%] (15%)
• Marco Rubio 15% {4.7%} [5.4%] (8%)
• Ben Carson 12% {13.0%} [6.1%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {7.0%} [5.6%] (5%)
• Jeb Bush 6% {10.0%} [13.3%] (22%)
• Chris Christie 4% {1.4%} [3.4%] (5%) 
• John Kasich 4% {4.8%} [5.1%]
• Scott Walker 3% {3.5%} [12.5%] (8%)
• Mike Huckabee 2% {3.7%} [5.6%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 2% {1.5%} [4.4%] (4%) 
• Rick Santorum 1% {1.0%} [1.6%] (1%) 
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• Bobby Jindal 0% {0.9%} [0.6%] (2%) 
• George Pataki 0% {1.1%} [0.2%] (1%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% {0.6%} [0.7%] (2%)

Do you have a more favorable or less favorable opinion of __________ after the debate?

More / Less {Net}

• Carly Fiorina 78% / 13% {+65%}
• Marco Rubio 71% / 11% {+60%}
• Chris Christie 60% / 19% {+41%}
• Ben Carson 48% / 23% {+25%}
• Ted Cruz 42% / 28% {+14%}
• Jeb Bush 42% / 31% {+11%}
• Mike Huckabee 36% / 27% {+9%}
• Scott Walker 31% / 29% {+2%}
• John Kasich 31% / 32% {-1%}
• Donald Trump 33% / 36% {-3%}
• Rand Paul 15% / 58% {-43%}
  

National survey of 1,337 registered Republican voters was conducted September 17, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Ideology: 47% Very conservative; 31% Slightly conservative; 20% Moderate; 2% Slightly liberal; 0% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marketing Resource Group Michigan 2016 Republican Primary Survey

MRG Michigan 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Ben Carson 24%
• Donald Trump 22%
• Jeb Bush 8%
• Mike Huckabee 6%
• Marco Rubio 4%
• Ted Cruz 3%
• Carly Fiorina 3%
• John Kasich 2%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Scott Walker 2%
• Chris Christie 1%
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• Lindsey Graham 0%
• Bobby Jindal 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 9-14, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: WBUR/MassINC New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

WBUR/MassINC New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 22%
• Ben Carson 18%
• Carly Fiorina 11% 
• Jeb Bush 9%
• John Kasich 9%
• Ted Cruz 5%
• Rand Paul 4%
• Chris Christie 2%
• Marco Rubio 2%
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Mike Huckabee 1%
• Scott Walker 1%
• Bobby Jindal 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Survey of 404 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 12-14, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

• Ben Carson (R) 49% [41%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [49%]

• Donald Trump (R) 48%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42%

• Carly Fiorina (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%

• Marco Rubio (R) 48% [46%] (42%) {44%} [40%] (46%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [48%] (49%) {48%} [56%] (50%) 

• Jeb Bush (R) 45% [44%] (44%) {45%} [40%] (44%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [47%] (46%) {46%} [53%] (49%) 

• John Kasich (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%

• Scott Walker (R) 45% [41%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [49%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [49%] (49%) {48%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 43% [44%] (40%) {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [49%] (51%) {50%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 43% [42%] (36%) {39%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?

• Favorable 36% [45%] (50%) {51%} [50%] (51%)
• Unfavorable 52% [42%] (35%) {35%} [37%] (35%)

Do you think that Jeb Bush should continue running for President, or do you think he should drop out of the race?

• Continue running 40%
• Drop out of race 47%

Do you think that Marco Rubio should continue running for President, or do you think he should drop out of the race?

• Continue running 42%
• Drop out of race 48%

Survey of 814 likely voters was conducted September 11-13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% [41%] (40%) {38%} [42%] (44%) Democrat; 38% [41%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (38%) Republican; 20% [19%] (22%) {25%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% [32%] (31%) {28%} [32%] (33%) Moderate; 24% [24%] (23%) {25%} [21%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 16% [17%] (13%) {15%} [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 16% [16%] (19%) {22%} [17%] (17%) Somewhat liberal; 13% [11%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 28%
• Ben Carson 17% {12%} 
• Jeb Bush 13% {25%} [30%] (30%) {26%} [28%] (22%) 
• Marco Rubio 10% {15%} [14%] (29%) {31%} [22%] (24%)
• Ted Cruz 9% {6%} [9%]  
• Carly Fiorina 7%
• John Kasich 5%
• Mike Huckabee 3% {7%} [7%] (9%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 2% {4%} [8%] (8%) {7%} [9%] (10%)
• Scott Walker 2% {17%} [7%]
• Bobby Jindal 1% [1%] (2%) {5%}
• Rick Santorum 1% [3%] (1%)
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• Lindsey Graham 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Rand Paul 0% {4%} [11%] (11%) {5%} [3%] (4%)
• Undecided 1% {6%} [10%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (4%)

Survey of 377 Republican primary voters was conducted September 11-13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Political ideology: 37% {39%} [41%] (40%) {36%} [42%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 36% {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [34%] (33%) Very conservative; 19% {20%} [22%] (24%) {19%} [19%] (20%) Moderate; 6% {5%} [6%] (6%) {9%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 19-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 33.6% 
• Ben Carson 22.4% [8%]
• Jeb Bush 15.2% {27.5%} [23%] (33%)
• Carly Fiorina 6.2% {6.2%}
• Ted Cruz 5.7% {5.2%} [2%] (11%)
• Marco Rubio 5.4% {23.0%} [11%] (14%) 
• John Kasich 5.3%
• Mike Huckabee 1.8% {4.5%} [10%] 
• Scott Walker 1.1% {8.7%} [22%] 
• Rick Perry 1.0% [1%]
• Bobby Jindal 0.8% {2.4%}
• Rick Santorum 0.8% {0.1%} (3%)
• Chris Christie 0.3% [6%] (6%)
• George Pataki 0.3%
• Rand Paul 0.2% {8.8%} [5%] (11%)

If the Republican Primary election for President were held today and the candidates were Marco Rubio and Jeb Bush, who would you vote for?

• Marco Rubio 51% {39.4%} [36%] (34%)
• Jeb Bush 31% {38.7%} [40%] (44%)

Survey of 891 registered Republican voters was conducted September 5-11, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 16-20, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 27% (24%)
• Ben Carson 23% (6%)
• Jeb Bush 6% (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 6% (8%)
• Marco Rubio 6% (6%)
• Ted Cruz 5% (6%)
• Carly Fiorina 4% (0%)
• John Kasich 3% (1%)
• Rand Paul 3% (4%)
• Scott Walker 2% (10%)
• Chris Christie 1% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% (0%)
• Bobby Jindal 0% (2%)
• George Pataki 0% (1%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (1%)

Survey of 376 Republican primary voters was conducted September 9-13, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 29 - August 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Monmouth University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 28% (24%)
• Ben Carson 17% (5%)
• John Kasich 11% (7%)
• Ted Cruz 8% (3%) 
• Jeb Bush 7% (12%)
• Carly Fiorina 7% (3%)
• Rand Paul 4% (5%)
• Marco Rubio 4% (6%)
• Chris Christie 2% (4%)
• Scott Walker 2% (7%)
• Lindsey Graham 1% (0%)
• Mike Huckabee 1% (2%)
• George Pataki 1% (2%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%)
• Bobby Jindal 0% (2%) 
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) 
• Other (vol.) 1% (0%)
• Undecided (vol.) 7% (14%)

Survey of 415 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 10-13, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 23-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

ABC News/Washington Post 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 33% (24%) {4%}
• Ben Carson 20% (6%) {8%} [6%] (8%) {7%}
• Jeb Bush 8% (12%) {10%} [21%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (18%)
• Ted Cruz 7% (4%) {8%} [12%] (8%) {4%} [7%] (12%) 
• Marco Rubio 7% (7%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 5% (6%) {11%} [8%] (10%) {12%} [15%] (11%)
• John Kasich 3% (2%) {3%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
• Mike Huckabee 3% (8%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [14%] 
• Carly Fiorina 2% (0%) {2%} [1%] 
• Scott Walker 2% (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {2%} [5%] 
• Chris Christie 1% (3%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (14%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% (2%) {0%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%]
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%}
• Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {1%} [1%]
• George Pataki 0% (1%) {1%}
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Survey of 342 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted September 7-10, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Los Angeles Times/USC Dornsife California 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 24%
• Ben Carson 18%
• Jeb Bush 6%
• Ted Cruz 6%
• Marco Rubio 5%
• Carly Fiorina 5%
• Scott Walker 2%
• John Kasich 2%
• Rand Paul 2%
• Mike Huckabee 2%
• Chris Christie 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Another candidate 3%
• Undecided 20%

Survey of 422 registered GOP primary voters was conducted August 29 - September 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) South Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Ben Carson (R) 54% (48%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (41%)

• Donald Trump (R) 50%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

• Mike Huckabee (R) 49% (49%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (41%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% (49%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (42%)

• Carly Fiorina (R) 48%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38%

• Scott Walker (R) 48% (46%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (42%)

• Ted Cruz (R) 48% (46%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (43%) 

• Marco Rubio (R) 46%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

• John Kasich (R) 42%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (43%)
• Lindsey Graham (R) 38% (45%)

Survey of 1,115 registered South Carolina voters was conducted September 3-6, 2015. Party ID: 43% (44%) Republican; 33% (32%) Democrat; 24% (25%) Independent/Other. Ideology: 28% (33%) Moderate; 26% (27%) Somewhat conservative; 23% (19%) Very conservative; 14% (13%) Somewhat liberal; 9% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 27% {10%}
• Ben Carson 21% {10%} [7%] (11%)
• Ted Cruz 9% {9%} [12%] (5%)
• Jeb Bush 6% {8%} [5%] (10%)
• Carly Fiorina 5% {3%} [2%]
• John Kasich 5% {2%} [2%] (0%) 
• Marco Rubio 5% {7%} [13%] (4%)
• Mike Huckabee 4% {5%} [11%] (11%)
• Rand Paul 4% {9%} [13%] (13%)
• Scott Walker 3% {18%} [21%] (25%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% {3%} [1%] (2%)
• Chris Christie 1% {1%} [3%] (4%)
• Lindsey Graham 1% {1%} [0%]
• Rick Perry 1% {4%} [3%] (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% {4%} [2%] (4%)
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• George Pataki 0% {0%}

Survey of 1,038 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted August 27 - September 8, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Gender: 57% {61%} [58%] (60%) Men; 43% {39%} [42%] (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 42% {44%} [43%] (45%) Very conservative; 28% {29%} [27%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 28% {25%} [29%] (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 20-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 32% (24%) {18%} [12%] (3%) 
• Ben Carson 19% (9%) {4%} [8%] (7%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [11%] 
• Jeb Bush 9% (13%) {15%} [17%] (13%) {17%} [16%] (14%) {23%} [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 7% (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {7%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Mike Huckabee 5% (4%) {5%} [5%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (16%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Scott Walker 5% (8%) {10%} [6%] (10%) {12%} [13%] (11%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%]
• Carly Fiorina 3% (5%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
• Rand Paul 3% (6%) {6%} [8%] (8%) {11%} [12%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%) 
• Marco Rubio 3% (8%) {6%} [7%] (14%) {11%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 2% (3%) {4%} [3%] (4%) {4%} [7%] (7%) {13%} [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%) 
• John Kasich 2% (5%) {4%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
• Lindsey Graham 1% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% (0%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [1%]
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%}
• George Pataki 0% (0%) {1%} [0%] (3%) {0%} 
• Rick Perry 0% (2%) {3%} [4%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%) 

Survey of 474 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted September 4-8, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 65% (61%) {55%} [64%] Republican; 35% (39%) {45%} [36%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 37%
• Ben Carson 21% (13%)
• Jeb Bush 6% (19%)
• Ted Cruz 6% (3%)
• Carly Fiorina 4%
• John Kasich 4%
• Marco Rubio 4% 
• Lindsey Graham 3% (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% (12%)
• Rand Paul 3% (5%)
• Scott Walker 3% (18%) 
• Rick Santorum 2% 
• Chris Christie 1% (7%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% 
• Rick Perry 1% (3%)
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Someone else/Not sure (6%)

Survey of 764 GOP primary voters was conducted September 3-6, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

NBC News/Marist Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 29% {17%} 
• Ben Carson 22% {8%} [6%] 
• Jeb Bush 6% {12%} [16%] (12%)
• Carly Fiorina 5% {1%}
• Rand Paul 5% {5%} [7%] (12%) 
• Scott Walker 5% {19%} [15%] (5%) 
• Ted Cruz 4% {4%} [2%] (7%)
• Bobby Jindal 4% {1%}
• Marco Rubio 4% {4%} [6%] (7%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% {7%} [17%]
• Chris Christie 2% {2%} [9%] (8%)
• John Kasich 2% {2%}  
• Rick Santorum 1% {0%} [5%] (9%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%}
• Lindsey Graham 0% {1%} [1%]
• George Pataki 0% {0%} 
• Rick Perry 0% {3%} [4%] (7%)
• Undecided 8% {14%} [14%] (20%)

Survey of 390 potential GOP caucus-goers was conducted August 26 - September 2, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 14-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

NBC News/Marist New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 28% {21%}
• John Kasich 12% {7%}
• Ben Carson 11% {6%} [7%]
• Jeb Bush 8% {14%} [18%] (10%)
• Carly Fiorina 6% {2%}
• Chris Christie 5% {6%} [13%] (13%)
• Ted Cruz 5% {5%} [6%] (9%)
• Rand Paul 5% {4%} [14%] (14%)
• Scott Walker 4% {12%} [15%] (6%)
• Marco Rubio 3% {5%} [6%] (7%)
• Mike Huckabee 2% {3%} [7%]
• Lindsey Graham 1% {0%} [1%]
• Bobby Jindal 1% {0%} (4%) 
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%}
• George Pataki 0% {2%}
• Rick Perry 0% {0%} [1%] (5%)
• Rick Santorum 0% {0%} [1%] (3%)
• Undecided 8% {13%} [13%] (22%)

Survey of 413 potential GOP primary voters was conducted August 26 - September 2, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 14-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 3-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2014 are in parentheses.