Poll Watch: Clarus Research Group Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

Clarus Research Group Louisiana 2016 Presidential Poll

• Jeb Bush (R) 56%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38%

• Donald Trump (R) 47%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Bobby Jindal (R) 42%

Survey of 800 Louisiana voters was conducted September 20-23, 2015 for The Advocate and WWL-TV. The margin of error is +/- 3.49 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Clarus Research Group Louisiana 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Clarus Research Group Louisiana 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 57%
• Joe Biden 22%
• Bernie Sanders 7%
• Martin O'Malley 2%
• Jim Webb 1%
• Undecided 8%

Survey of likely Democratic primary voters was conducted September 20-23, 2015 for The Advocate and WWL-TV.

Poll Watch: Clarus Research Group Louisiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Clarus Research Group Louisiana 2016 GOP Primary Poll 

• Ben Carson 23%
• Donald Trump 19%
• Jeb Bush 10%
• Marco Rubio 9%
• Carly Fiorina 7%
• Ted Cruz 6%
• Mike Huckabee 4%
  
• Bobby Jindal 3%
• John Kasich 3%
• Chris Christie 2% 
• Rand Paul 0%
• Rick Santorum 0% 
• Other 1%
• Don't know/No answer 13%

Survey of likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 20-23, 2015 for The Advocate and WWL-TV.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 56% {56%} [50%] (52%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 40% {41%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [46%] (40%) 

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 2-4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 22-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Among the 89% who say they will definitely vote in the runoff election, Cassidy leads 57% to 40%.

Thirty percent (30%) say they have voted already, and the Republican holds a narrower 50% to 44% lead in this group. He’s ahead 58% to 39% among the 70% who say they have yet to cast their ballots.

This survey was taken just after the only debate between Landrieu and Cassidy, held on Monday night. Thirty-four percent (34%) of the state’s voters say they have changed the way they were going to vote after watching a debate between candidates for statewide office. Fifty-nine percent (59%) say they have not ever changed their vote because of a debate, compared to 53% of voters nationwide.

But even among voters who say a debate has caused them to change a vote, Cassidy leads 52% to 45%.

Landrieu is viewed favorably by 43% of voters in Louisiana and unfavorably by 55%. This includes 29% with a Very Favorable opinion of her and 42% with a Very Unfavorable one.

For Cassidy, favorables are 55% and unfavorable 42%, including 26% with a Very Favorable opinion and 28% who view him Very Unfavorably.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 56% [50%] (52%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 41% [46%] (43%) {41%} [46%] (40%) 

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 22-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Landrieu, a member of the U.S. Senate since 1997, has the support of only 76% of Louisiana Democrats. Twenty-one percent (21%) of the state’s Democrats and 92% of Louisiana Republicans favor Cassidy. He also has a seven-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

Cassidy leads nearly two-to-one among men, while the candidates run almost even among women voters. Landrieu is the choice of voters under 40, while the Republican is well ahead among those who are older.

When voters are asked which candidate they trust more in four major policy areas, Cassidy has double-digit leads in three of them – taxes (52% to 39%), government spending (52% to 38%) and government ethics and corruption (52% to 37%). He leads by nine points in voter trust in the area of social issues (50% to 41%).

Cassidy is viewed favorably by 55% of all voters in the state and unfavorably by 43%. This includes 27% with a Very Favorable opinion of him and 28% with a Very Unfavorable one. For Landrieu, favorables are 43% and unfavorable 55%, including 29% with a Very Favorable view of the three-term senator and 42% with a Very Unfavorable view.

Poll Watch: Vox Populi (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Survey

Vox Populi (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 53% (48%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 42% (44%)
• Unsure 5% (8%) 

Survey of 761 active voters was conducted November 16-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.55 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 59%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 38%
• Unsure 3%

Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted November 12-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 36% Republican; 20% Independent/Other.  Gender: 52% Female; 48% Male.  Race: 69% White; 25% Black; 2% Hispanic; 1% Asian; 3% Other.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

NBC News/Marist Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

If November's election for U.S. Senate in Louisiana were held today, whom would you support?

• Mary Landrieu (D) 44%
• Bill Cassidy (R) 36%
• Rob Maness (R) 15%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 4% 

If none of the candidates for U.S. Senate receives 50%, a run-off will be held on Saturday December 6th between the top two candidates. Whom would you support?

• Bill Cassidy (R) 50%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 45%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Cassidy 45% / 41% {+4%}
• Mary Landrieu 44% / 50% {-6%}

Survey of 630 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 48% {48%} [47%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (40%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 47% {45%} [47%] (45%) {48%} [50%] (50%)
• Not sure 5% {7%} [6%] (10%) {11%} [10%] (10%)

Among Men

• Bill Cassidy (R) 55% {52%} [53%] (48%) {51%} [43%] (50%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 41% {44%} [43%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (42%)
• Not sure 5% {4%} [4%] (6%) {9%} [12%] (8%)

Among Women

• Mary Landrieu (D) 52% {46%} [50%] (44%) {54%} [55%] (57%)
• Bill Cassidy (R) 42% {44%} [42%] (42%) {33%} [36%] (31%)
• Not sure 5% {10%} [8%] (15%) {14%} [9%] (12%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Cassidy 36% {37%} [28%] (24%) [24%] (19%) / 44% {41%} [36%] (26%) [27%] (24%) {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mary Landrieu's job performance?

• Approve 45% {42%} [42%] (37%) [46%] (47%)
• Disapprove 50% {52%} [52%] (52%) [43%] (45%)

Survey of 1,003 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 1, 2014. Party ID: 44% {43%} [44%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 36% {39%} [36%] (38%) {36%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 20% {19%} [20%] (20%) {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 26% {28%} [29%] (32%) [27%] (28%) Moderate; 25% {24%} [24%] (25%) [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 24% {24%} [22%] (21%) [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 14% {10%} [7%] (9%) [9%] (12%) Very liberal; 12% {14%} [17%] (13%) [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of New Orleans Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

University of New Orleans Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for the United States Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?

• Mary Landrieu (D) 38%
• Bill Cassidy (R) 33%
• Rob Maness (R) 7%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 21% 

If no candidate in the senate race reaches 50% of the vote there will be a runoff between the top two finishers in December. If those two candidates were Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican Bill Cassidy, for whom would you vote?

• Bill Cassidy (R) 51%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 43%
• Neither 2%
• Undecided 4% 

Survey of 292 likely voters was conducted October 11-24, 2014.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

If the 2014 election for U.S. Senate was held today, would you vote for Republican Bill Cassidy or Democrat Mary Landrieu or Republican Rob Maness?

• Mary Landrieu (D) 43% (41%)
• Bill Cassidy (R) 36% (38%)
• Rob Maness (R) 13% (14%)
• Some other candidate 3% (2%)
• Undecided 6% (5%) 

If none of the candidates get more than 50% of the vote on November 4th, Louisiana will hold a runoff election on December 6, 2014 between the top two vote-getters. Suppose the candidates in that runoff are Republican Bill Cassidy and Democrat Mary Landrieu. For whom would you vote?

• Bill Cassidy (R) 50% (52%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 46% (43%) {41%} [46%] (40%)

Survey of 988 likely voters was conducted October 22-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 48.0%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 40.6%
• Undecided 11.4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Cassidy 38.4% / 35.6% {+2.8%}
• Mary Landrieu 38.0% / 54.0% {-16.0%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Runoff Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Louisiana 2014 Senate Runoff Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 46% [47%] (47%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 42% [41%] (46%)
• Not sure 12% [13%]

Among Men

• Bill Cassidy (R) 52% [54%]
• Mary Landrieu (D) 41% [36%]
• Not sure 7% [9%]

Among Women

• Mary Landrieu (D) 44% [45%]
• Bill Cassidy (R) 40% [40%]
• Not sure 17% [16%]

Survey of 1,316 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Multi-Quest International Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Multi-Quest International Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for the United States Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?

• Mary Landrieu (D) 36%
• Bill Cassidy (R) 32%
• Rob Maness (R) 6%
• Undecided 23% 

If no candidate in the senate race reaches 50% of the vote there will be a runoff between the top two finishers in December. If those two candidates were Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican Bill Cassidy, for whom would you vote?

• Bill Cassidy (R) 43%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 40%

Survey of 605 registered voters was conducted October 14-19, 2014 for Raycom Media stations. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Vox Populi (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Vox Populi (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for the United States Senate were held today, for whom would you vote?

• Mary Landrieu (D) 38%
• Bill Cassidy (R) 38%
• Rob Maness (R) 10%
• Brannon McMorris (L) 2%
• Someone different 4%
• Don't know 8% 

If no candidate in the senate race reaches 50% of the vote there will be a runoff between the top two finishers in December. If those two candidates were Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican Bill Cassidy, for whom would you vote?

• Bill Cassidy (R) 48%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 44%
• Don't know 8% 

Survey of 546 likely voters was conducted October 13-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

If the 2014 election for U.S. Senate was held today, would you vote for Republican Bill Cassidy or Democrat Mary Landrieu or Republican Rob Maness?

• Mary Landrieu (D) 41%
• Bill Cassidy (R) 38%
• Rob Maness (R) 14%
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 5% 

If none of the candidates get more than 50% of the vote on November 4th, Louisiana will hold a runoff election on December 6, 2014 between the top two vote-getters. Suppose the candidates in that runoff are Republican Bill Cassidy and Democrat Mary Landrieu. For whom would you vote?

• Bill Cassidy (R) 52% {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 43% {41%} [46%] (40%)

Survey of 965 likely voters was conducted October 13-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 47% (47%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 41% (46%)
• Not sure 13%

Among Men

• Bill Cassidy (R) 54%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 36%
• Not sure 9%

Among Women

• Mary Landrieu (D) 45%
• Bill Cassidy (R) 40%
• Not sure 16%

Survey of 2,187 likely voters was conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Poll 

• Jeb Bush (R) 49% (46%) {50%} [44%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%) {43%} [44%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 50% (46%) {49%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%) {44%}

• Rand Paul (R) 47% (46%) {47%} [45%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (46%) {43%} [44%] 
  

• Ted Cruz (R) 47% (45%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (48%) {45%} [47%] (48%)
• Bobby Jindal (R) 45% (44%) {47%} [40%] (45%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%) {43%} [42%]
• Chris Christie (R) 42% (42%) {44%} [41%]

Among Men

• Jeb Bush (R) 52% (47%) {52%} [49%] 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (42%) {39%} [37%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 55% (53%) {54%} 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (39%) {40%}

• Rand Paul (R) 54% (52%) {51%} [51%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (41%) {39%} [37%]

• Ted Cruz (R) 55% (53%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (41%)

• Bobby Jindal (R) 49% (49%) {50%} [44%] (54%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (42%) {43%} [42%] (40%)

• Chris Christie (R) 45% (48%) {51%} [44%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (40%) {36%} [35%]

Among Women 

• Jeb Bush (R) 45% (45%) {48%} [39%] 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (48%) {45%} [52%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (50%) {46%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (40%) {45%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (50%) {46%} [51%]
• Rand Paul (R) 42% (40%) {44%} [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (50%) 
• Ted Cruz (R) 40% (39%) 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (53%) {47%} [53%] (56%)
• Bobby Jindal (R) 41% (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (51%) {48%} [49%]
• Chris Christie (R) 38% (37%) {39%} [37%]

Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2016, or not?

• He should run 20% (17%) {25%} [17%] (24%)
• He should not 68% (72%) {63%} [72%] (66%)

Survey of 1,141 likely voters was conducted September 25-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (44%) {42%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 39% (36%) {38%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 19% (20%) {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% (29%) {32%} [27%] (28%) Moderate; 24% (24%) {25%} [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 24% (22%) {21%} [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 14% (17%) {13%} [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 10% (7%) {9%} [9%] (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

• Bill Cassidy (R) 48% [47%] (44%) {41%} [40%] (40%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 45% [47%] (45%) {48%} [50%] (50%)
• Undecided 7% [6%] (10%) {11%} [10%] (10%)

Among Men

• Bill Cassidy (R) 52% [53%] (48%) {51%} [43%] (50%)
• Mary Landrieu (D) 44% [43%] (47%) {41%} [46%] (42%)
• Undecided 4% [4%] (6%) {9%} [12%] (8%)

Among Women

• Mary Landrieu (D) 46% [50%] (44%) {54%} [55%] (57%)
• Bill Cassidy (R) 44% [42%] (42%) {33%} [36%] (31%)
• Undecided 10% [8%] (15%) {14%} [9%] (12%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Cassidy 37% [28%] (24%) [24%] (19%) / 41% [36%] (26%) [27%] (24%) {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mary Landrieu's job performance?

• Approve 42% [42%] (37%) [46%] (47%)
• Disapprove 52% [52%] (52%) [43%] (45%)

Survey of 1,141 likely voters was conducted September 25-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [44%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 39% [36%] (38%) {36%} [36%] (39%) Republican; 19% [20%] (20%) {20%} [18%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% [29%] (32%) [27%] (28%) Moderate; 24% [24%] (25%) [31%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 24% [22%] (21%) [22%] (26%) Very conservative; 14% [17%] (13%) [12%] (12%) Somewhat liberal; 10% [7%] (9%) [9%] (12%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-15, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll 

If the general election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were the Democrat, Mary Landrieu, and the Republicans, Bill Cassidy and Rob Maness, who would you be more likely to vote for?

• Mary Landrieu (D) 43%
• Bill Cassidy (R) 40%
• Rob Maness (R) 9%

If no candidate gets more than fifty percent of the vote in November, Louisiana will hold a run-off election for U.S. Senate in December between the two candidates with the most votes in November. 2. If that run-off election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Mary Landrieu, the Democrat, and Bill Cassidy, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for?

• Bill Cassidy (R) 50%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 47%

Among Men

• Bill Cassidy (R) 51%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 45%

Among Women

• Bill Cassidy (R) 49%
• Mary Landrieu (D) 48%

Survey of 610 likely Louisiana voters was conducted September 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID : 33% Republican; 31% Democrat; 36% Independent.