Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Montana 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Montana 2016 Presidential Poll

• Rand Paul (R) 55% {48%} [46%]
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {39%} [38%]
• Unsure 7% {14%} [16%]

• Paul Ryan (R) 54% {46%} [51%]
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {39%} [37%]
• Unsure 9% {16%} [11%]

• Ted Cruz (R) 52%
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
• Unsure 9%

• Jeb Bush (R) 50% {43%} [45%] (49%)
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {38%} [36%] (39%)
• Unsure 12% {19%} [19%] (13%)

• Nikki Haley (R) 45%
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
• Unsure 18%

Survey of 836 registered voters was conducted November 24-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {36%} [36%] (36%) Republican; 28% {29%} [29%] (29%) Democrat; 36% {35%} [35%] (35%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 33%
• Marco Rubio 14%
• Ted Cruz 11%
• Rand Paul 11%
• Chris Christie 6%
• Nikki Haley 5%
• Paul Ryan 5%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Unsure 13%

Survey of 811 Republican voters was conducted November 19-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 29% [30%] (16%) {30%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% [23%] (8%) {15%}
• Ron Paul 15% [9%] (5%) {10%}
• Rick Santorum 14% [19%] (4%)
• Rick Perry 6% [5%] (36%)
• Jon Huntsman 5% [4%] (2%) {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 6% [9%] (7%) {11%}

Among Republicans (80%)

• Mitt Romney 31% [31%]
• Newt Gingrich 28% [24%]
• Rick Santorum 16% [20%]
• Ron Paul 12% [7%]
• Rick Perry 6% [6%]
• Jon Huntsman 2% [2%]
• Buddy Roemer 0% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 5% [9%]

Among Independents (17%)

• Ron Paul 24% [16%]
  
• Mitt Romney 21% [27%]
• Jon Huntsman 17% [12%]
• Rick Santorum 11% [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 10% [20%]
• Rick Perry 4% [2%]
• Buddy Roemer 2% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 12% [10%]

Very Conservative (40%)

• Newt Gingrich 28% [29%]
• Rick Santorum 23% [24%]
• Mitt Romney 22% [21%]
• Ron Paul 10% [8%]
• Rick Perry 8% [8%]
• Jon Huntsman 2% [1%]
• Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 6% [9%]

Somewhat Conservative (37%)

• Mitt Romney 33% [37%]
• Newt Gingrich 27% [20%]
• Ron Paul 15% [9%]
• Rick Santorum 11% [18%]
• Rick Perry 5% [4%]
• Jon Huntsman 3% [2%]
• Buddy Roemer 0% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 6% [9%]

Moderate (18%)

• Mitt Romney 37% [38%]
• Ron Paul 20% [9%]
• Newt Gingrich 15% [13%]
• Jon Huntsman 13% [14%]
• Rick Santorum 5% [9%]
• Rick Perry 4% [3%]
• Buddy Roemer 2% [3%]
• Someone else/Not sure 6% [11%]

Among Men (54%)

• Newt Gingrich 27% [24%]
  
• Mitt Romney 24% [29%]
• Ron Paul 17% [10%]
• Rick Santorum 14% [19%]
• Rick Perry 6% [6%]
• Jon Huntsman 5% [4%]
• Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 5% [8%]

Among Women (46%)

• Mitt Romney 35% [30%]
• Newt Gingrich 21% [22%]
• Rick Santorum 14% [19%]
• Ron Paul 12% [8%]
• Rick Perry 6% [5%]
• Jon Huntsman 5% [4%]
• Buddy Roemer 0% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 7% [11%]

Upstate (32%)

• Newt Gingrich 28% [24%]
  
• Mitt Romney 25% [29%]
• Ron Paul 20% [11%]
• Rick Santorum 13% [18%]
• Rick Perry 7% [3%]
• Jon Huntsman 4% [3%]
• Buddy Roemer 0% [2%]
• Someone else/Not sure 4% [10%]

Midlands (33%)

• Mitt Romney 28% [31%]
• Newt Gingrich 26% [25%]
• Rick Santorum 17% [20%]
• Ron Paul 12% [4%]
• Jon Huntsman 7% [5%]
• Rick Perry 5% [5%]
• Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 5% [9%]

Low Country (35%)

• Mitt Romney 34% [29%]
• Newt Gingrich 19% [20%]
• Rick Santorum 13% [19%]
• Ron Paul 13% [11%]
• Rick Perry 6% [8%]
• Jon Huntsman 5% [3%]
• Buddy Roemer 1% [2%]
• Someone else/Not sure 9% [9%]

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 65% [59%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 35% [41%]

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 20% [14%]
• Rick Santorum 17% [21%]
• Mitt Romney 17% [16%]
• Rick Perry 13% [10%]
• Ron Paul 9% [7%]
• Jon Huntsman 7% [5%]
• Buddy Roemer 1% [1%]
• Someone else/Not sure 16% [26%]

Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on economic issues?

• Mitt Romney 35%
• Newt Gingrich 25%
• Ron Paul 16%
• Rick Santorum 10%
• Jon Huntsman 5%
• Rick Perry 5%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Someone else/Not sure 5%

Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on foreign policy issues?

• Newt Gingrich 41%
• Mitt Romney 22%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Rick Santorum 8%
• Jon Huntsman 7%
• Rick Perry 6%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 5%

Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on social issues like abortion and gay marriage?

• Rick Santorum 23%
• Mitt Romney 21%
• Newt Gingrich 19%
• Ron Paul 14%
• Rick Perry 9%
• Jon Huntsman 5%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Someone else/Not sure 9%

Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in South Carolina?

• Mitt Romney 23%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Rick Perry 8%
• Rick Santorum 6%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 31%

Who do you think will win the Republican nomination for President?

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Newt Gingrich 16%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Rick Santorum 6%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 20%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 57% [60%] (52%) {56%} [60%] / 33% [29%] (32%) {27%} [22%] {+24%}
• Rick Santorum 53% [63%] (34%) {31%} [25%] / 30% [21%] (19%) {16%} [7%] {+23%}
• Newt Gingrich 51% [49%] (42%) {37%} [54%] / 37% [39%] (40%) {44%} [25%] {+14%}
• Rick Perry 44% [42%] (65%) {24%} / 44% [43%] (15%) {11%} {0%}
• Jon Huntsman 34% [28%] (11%) {10%} [9%] / 40% [41%] (26%) {20%} [4%] {-6%}
• Ron Paul 38% [33%] (35%) {38%} [47%] / 52% [54%] (35%) {31%} [19%] {-14%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney’s record in business?

• Favorable 58%
• Unfavorable 27%
• Not sure 15%

Generally speaking, would you like the Republican nominee for President to be Mitt Romney or someone else?

• Mitt Romney 34%
• Someone else 58%
• Not sure 8%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 48% [45%]
• Rick Santorum 39% [40%]
• Not sure 13% [15%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 48% [49%]
• Newt Gingrich 37% [35%]
• Not sure 15% [16%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 56% [57%]
• Rick Perry 31% [29%]
• Not sure 12% [15%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 63% [67%]
• Ron Paul 28% [23%]
• Not sure 9% [10%]

Would you be willing or unwilling to vote for a candidate who had supported an individual mandate for health care at the state level, or are you not sure?

• Willing 25%
• Unwilling 34%
• Not sure 41%

Are you comfortable with the idea of a Mormon being President, or not?

• Comfortable 63% [57%]
• Not comfortable 23% [18%]
• Not sure 14% [25%]

Among Evangelicals

• Comfortable 48% [48%]
• Not comfortable 52% [52%]

Among Non-Evangelicals

• Comfortable 73% [69%]
• Not comfortable 27% [31%]

Do you think that interracial marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 66%
• Illegal 20%
• Not sure 14%

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• More concerned about a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama 50%
• Their positions on the issues 37%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 30% [31%]
• No 57% [57%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 56% [57%]
• Are not 44% [43%]

Survey of 803 likely South Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted January 11-13, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 80% [82%] (80%) {78%} [81%] Republican; 17% [14%] (18%) {19%} [18%] Independent/Other; 3% [3%] (1%) {3%} [0%] Democrat. Political ideology: 40% [41%] (40%) {41%} Very conservative; 37% [38%] (39%) {36%} Somewhat conservative; 18% [15%] (16%) {17%} Moderate; 2% [4%] (4%) {3%} Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-28, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 30% (16%) {30%}
• Newt Gingrich 23% (8%) {15%}
• Rick Santorum 19% (4%)
• Ron Paul 9% (5%) {10%}
• Rick Perry 5% (36%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (2%) {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 9% (7%) {11%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 59%
• Might end up supporting someone else 41%

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 21%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Rick Perry 10%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Jon Huntsman 5%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 26%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Rick Santorum 40%
• Not sure 15%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Newt Gingrich 35%
• Not sure 16%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 57%
• Rick Perry 29%
• Not sure 15%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 67%
• Ron Paul 23%
• Not sure 10%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 63% (34%) {31%} [25%] / 21% (19%) {16%} [7%] {+42%}
• Mitt Romney 60% (52%) {56%} [60%] / 29% (32%) {27%} [22%] {+31%}
• Newt Gingrich 49% (42%) {37%} [54%] / 39% (40%) {44%} [25%] {+10%}
• Rick Perry 42% (65%) {24%} / 43% (15%) {11%} {-1%}
• Jon Huntsman 28% (11%) {10%} [9%] / 41% (26%) {20%} [4%] {-13%}
• Ron Paul 33% (35%) {38%} [47%] / 54% (35%) {31%} [19%] {-21%}

Are you comfortable with the idea of a Mormon being President, or not?

• Comfortable 57%
• Not comfortable 18%
• Not sure 25%

Among Evangelicals

• Comfortable 48%
• Not comfortable 23%
• Not sure 29%

Non-Evangelicals

• Comfortable 69%
• Not comfortable 11%
• Not sure 20%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by John McCain, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 11%
• Less likely 30%
• Doesn't make a difference 41%
• Not sure 17%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Lindsey Graham, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 15%
• Less likely 27%
• Doesn't make a difference 41%
• Not sure 17%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Jim DeMint, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 31%
• Less likely 18%
• Doesn't make a difference 34%
• Not sure 17%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Nikki Haley, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 14%
• Less likely 25%
• Doesn't make a difference 42%
• Not sure 18%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Mark Sanford, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 13%
• Less likely 24%
• Doesn't make a difference 44%
• Not sure 19%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 31%
• No 57%

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 57%
• Are not 43%

Survey of 1,112 likely South Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted January 5-7, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 82% (80%) {78%} [81%] Republican; 14% (18%) {19%} [18%] Independent/Other; 3% (1%) {3%} [0%] Democrat. Political ideology: 41% (40%) {41%} Very conservative; 38% (39%) {36%} Somewhat conservative; 15% (16%) {17%} Moderate; 4% (4%) {3%} Somewhat liberal; 3% (1%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-28, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.

Meet the Press: Interview with South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Poll Watch: PPP (D) South Carolina Political Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Nikki Haley’s job performance?

• Approve 41% [42%] (36%)
• Disapprove 43% [41%] (24%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Vincent Sheheen?

• Favorable 27% [27%]
• Unfavorable 25% [27%]

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again would you vote for Republican Nikki Haley or Democrat Vincent Sheheen?

• Nikki Haley 49% [48%]
• Vincent Sheheen 43% [42%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Lindsey Graham’s job performance?

• Approve 41% [40%] (40%)
• Disapprove 39% [38%] (37%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Jim DeMint’s job performance?

• Approve 47% [47%] (49%)
• Disapprove 32% [34%] (34%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Sanford?

• Favorable 28% [27%]
• Unfavorable 58% [56%]

Survey of 587 South Carolina voters was conducted August 25-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% [43%] (42%) Republican; 36% [35%] (37%) Democrat; 20% [22%] (22%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% [27%] Moderate; 26% [25%] Very conservative; 26% [22%] Somewhat conservative; 14% [16%] Somewhat liberal; 7% [9%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in parentheses.

CBS News Town Hall Meeting with Republican Leaders Ryan, Coburn, Haley, and West

Below, CBS News' Rebecca Jarvis and MoneyWatch.com's Jill Schlesinger speak with the live audience on whether they were satisfied with responses to their questions:

Poll Watch: PPP (D) South Carolina Political Survey

PPP (D) South Carolina Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Nikki Haley’s job performance?

• Approve 42% (36%)
• Disapprove 41% (24%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Vincent Sheheen?

• Favorable 27%
• Unfavorable 27%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again would you vote for Republican Nikki Haley or Democrat Vincent Sheheen?

• Nikki Haley 48%
• Vincent Sheheen 42%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Lindsey Graham’s job performance?

• Approve 40% (40%)
• Disapprove 38% (37%)

Do you think Lindsey Graham is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 29% (27%)
• Too conservative 20% (19%)
• About right 40% (40%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mark Sanford?

• Favorable 27%
• Unfavorable 56%

Do you think interracial marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 70%
• Illegal 16%
• Not sure 15%

Are you glad that the North won the Civil War or do you wish that the South had won?

• Glad the North won 46%
• Wish the South had 24%
• Not sure 29%

Survey of 741 South Carolina voters was conducted June 2-5, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% (42%) Republican; 35% (37%) Democrat; 22% (22%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 25% Very conservative; 22% Somewhat conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 9% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in parentheses.

What does Nikki Haley "really" think of Mitt Romney?

Several people have suggested Nikki Haley's comments recently re: Romney have indicated she was looking for another candidate, perhaps leaning towards Pawlenty. I thought you ought to see the specific interview from which some have said indicates she is backing away from Mitt.

Her comment is that Romney was extremely courageous, and later that we need a leader who is courageous like that. Her caveat is also that we need leaders who can admit when they're wrong and she is waiting to hear Romney's explanation for why he did what he did.

Judge for yourself, but I'm inclined to believe that she is going to give Romney every opportunity for her endorsement.

Nikki Haley on This Week with Christiane Amanpour

WEB EXTRA: Gov. Nikki Haley on Unions
Governor Haley wants to hear Obama speak on National Labor Relations Board.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen South Carolina Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen South Carolina Gubernatorial Survey

• Nikki Haley (R) 47% [50%] (52%) {49%} [52%] (55%)
• Vincent Sheheen (D) 38% [33%] (36%) {35%} [40%] (34%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Nikki Haley 56% [62%] (64%) {66%} [70%] (63%) / 41% [32%] (25%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {+15%}
• Vincent Sheheen 44% [47%] (44%) {49%} [50%] (46%) / 48% [40%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (36%) {-4%}

How would you rate the job Mark Sanford has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 17% [18%] (11%) {13%} [12%]
• Somewhat approve 29% [37%] (36%) {33%} [32%]
• Somewhat disapprove 23% [18%] (23%) {23%} [24%]
• Strongly disapprove 29% [25%] (28%) {27%} [29%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 30% [27%] (31%) {28%} [32%]
• Somewhat approve 13% [11%] (8%) {12%} [10%]
• Somewhat disapprove 5% [9%] (6%) {10%} [10%]
• Strongly disapprove 52% [52%] (54%) {48%} [47%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 19, 2010.  The margin of error is +/-4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 47% [47%] Republican; 32% [26%] Democrat; 21% [27%] Independent/Other.   Results from the poll conducted September 22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Haley earns 77% of the Republican vote in the state, while 73% of South Carolina Democrats support Sheheen.  Haley has a narrow two-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.

Poll Watch: Crantford & Associates South Carolina Political Survey

Crantford & Associates South Carolina Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• Nikki Haley (R) 45%
• Vincent Sheheen (D) 41%
• Undecided 13%

Senatorial Election

• Jim DeMint (R) 56%
• Alvin Greene (D) 23%
• Undecided 21%

Survey of 634 likely voters was conducted September 30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% Republican; 39% Democrat; 19% Independent.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen South Carolina Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen South Carolina Gubernatorial Survey

• Nikki Haley (R) 50% (52%) {49%} [52%] (55%)
• Vincent Sheheen (D) 33% (36%) {35%} [40%] (34%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Nikki Haley 62% (64%) {66%} [70%] (63%) / 32% (25%) {25%} [26%] (26%) {+30%}
• Vincent Sheheen 47% (44%) {49%} [50%] (46%) / 40% (35%) {34%} [35%] (36%) {+7%}

How would you rate the job Mark Sanford has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 18% (11%) {13%} [12%]
• Somewhat approve 37% (36%) {33%} [32%]
• Somewhat disapprove 18% (23%) {23%} [24%]
• Strongly disapprove 25% (28%) {27%} [29%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 27% (31%) {28%} [32%]
• Somewhat approve 11% (8%) {12%} [10%]
• Somewhat disapprove 9% (6%) {10%} [10%]
• Strongly disapprove 52% (54%) {48%} [47%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 22, 2010.  The margin of error is +/-4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 47% Republican; 26% Democrat; 27% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Haley earns 78% of the Republican vote in the state, while 69% of South Carolina Democrats support Sheheen.  Haley holds a 10-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.