Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 36% {35%} [28%] (40%)
• Ron Paul 21% {19%} [9%] (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 13% {17%} [4%] (17%)
• Jon Huntsman 12% {13%} [7%]
• Michele Bachmann 7% {5%} [21%] (8%)
• Buddy Roemer 3%
• Rick Perry 3% {2%} [9%]
• Rick Santorum 3% {3%} 
• Someone else/Undecided 2% {4%} [9%] (10%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 71% {65%}
• Might end up supporting someone else 29% {35%}

Second Choice

• Mitt Romney 18% {16%}
• Newt Gingrich 15% {17%}
• Jon Huntsman 13% {10%}
• Rick Santorum 8% {5%} 
• Ron Paul 8% {13%}
• Michele Bachmann 7% {9%}
• Rick Perry 4% {4%}
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Someone else/Undecided {22%}

If the candidates at the time of the New Hampshire primary were just Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 37% {37%}
• Ron Paul 23% {21%}
• Newt Gingrich 16% {20%}
• Jon Huntsman 16% {15%}
• Not sure 8% {7%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 63% {63%} [60%] (68%) / 32% {30%} [29%] (19%) {+31%}
• Jon Huntsman 55% {47%} [25%] (8%) / 27% {34%} [26%] (13%) {+28%}
• Ron Paul 47% {53%} [53%] (53%) / 46% {38%} [30%] (21%) {+1%}
• Rick Santorum 39% {37%} [40%] (30%) / 40% {44%} [25%] (17%) {-1%} 
• Michele Bachmann 38% {42%} [64%] (38%) / 48% {46%} [24%] (18%) {-10%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% {42%} [33%] (45%) / 53% {51%} [51%] (36%) {-11%}
• Rick Perry 26% {24%} [33%] / 62% {63%} [13%] {-36%}

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• A candidate's ability to beat Obama 36% {35%}
• Their issue positions 55% {51%}

Do you think that Ron Paul has strong principles, or not?

• He does 72% {69%}
• He does not 12% {8%}

Do you think that Mitt Romney has strong principles, or not?

• He does 52% {51%}
• He does not 30% {26%}

Do you think that Jon Huntsman has strong principles, or not?

• He does 51% {48%}
• He does not 18% {15%}

Do you think that Newt Gingrich has strong principles, or not?

• He does 31% {34%}
• He does not 49% {41%}

Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 44% {38%}
• Newt Gingrich 11% {14%}
• Ron Paul 10% {9%}
• Jon Huntsman 8% {9%}
• Michele Bachmann 6% {3%}
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Rick Perry 1% {1%}
• Rick Santorum 1% {1%}
• Someone else/Not sure 18% {24%}

Who do you think is going to win the New Hampshire primary?

• Mitt Romney 47% {41%}
• Ron Paul 13% {9%}
• Newt Gingrich 6% {12%}
• Jon Huntsman 5% {4%}
• Michele Bachmann 3% {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Rick Perry 1% {0%}
• Rick Santorum 1% {0%}
• Someone else/Not sure 23% {31%}

Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in New Hampshire?

• Mitt Romney 40% {35%}
• Ron Paul 15% {12%}
• Jon Huntsman 10% {10%}
• Newt Gingrich 4% {5%}
• Michele Bachmann 3% {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 2%
• Rick Perry 1% {0%}
• Rick Santorum 0% {1%}
• Someone else/Not sure 26% {34%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 24% {24%} [33%] (30%)
• No 66% {68%} [54%] (51%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 23%
• Are not 77%

Do you regularly watch Fox News, or not?

• Do 51%
• Do not 49%

Regularly Watch Fox News

• Mitt Romney 45%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Ron Paul 15%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Jon Huntsman 6%
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Buddy Roemer 0% 
• Someone else/Undecided 1%

Do NOT Regularly Watch Fox News

• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 27%
• Jon Huntsman 18% 
• Newt Gingrich 8%
  
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Buddy Roemer 5%  
• Rick Santorum 2%
  
• Rick Perry 2%
• Someone else/Undecided 4%

Survey of 830 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted December 27-28, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 61% {61%} [65%] (67%) Republican; 34% {34%} [33%] (32%) Independent/Other; 4% {5%} [2%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 39% {36%} [36%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 27% {26%} [21%] (22%) Moderate; 25% {27%} [37%] (31%) Very conservative; 5% {4%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal; 4% {7%} [4%] (3%) Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2010 are in parentheses.