Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 35% [28%] (40%)
• Ron Paul 19% [9%] (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 17% [4%] (17%)
• Jon Huntsman 13% [7%]
• Michele Bachmann 5% [21%] (8%)
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Rick Perry 2% [9%]
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Someone else/Undecided 4% [9%] (10%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 65%
• Might end up supporting someone else 35%

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Jon Huntsman 10%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Gary Johnson 3%
• Someone else/Undecided 22%

If the candidates at the time of the New Hampshire primary were just Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 37%
• Ron Paul 21%
• Newt Gingrich 20%
• Jon Huntsman 15%
• Not sure 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 63% [60%] (68%) / 30% [29%] (19%) {+33%}
• Ron Paul 53% [53%] (53%) / 38% [30%] (21%) {+15%}
• Jon Huntsman 47% [25%] (8%) / 34% [26%] (13%) {+13%}
• Michele Bachmann 42% [64%] (38%) / 46% [24%] (18%) {-4%}
• Rick Santorum 37% [40%] (30%) / 44% [25%] (17%) {-7%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% [33%] (45%) / 51% [51%] (36%) {-9%}
• Rick Perry 24% [33%] / 63% [13%] {-39%}

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• A candidate's ability to beat Obama 35%
• Their issue positions 51%

Do you think that Ron Paul has strong principles, or not?

• He does 69%
• He does not 8%

Do you think that Mitt Romney has strong principles, or not?

• He does 51%
• He does not 26%

Do you think that Jon Huntsman has strong principles, or not?

• He does 48%
• He does not 15%

Do you think that Newt Gingrich has strong principles, or not?

• He does 34%
• He does not 41%

Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 38%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Jon Huntsman 9%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Rick Perry 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 24%

Who do you think is going to win the New Hampshire primary?

• Mitt Romney 41%
• Newt Gingrich 12%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Jon Huntsman 4%
• Michele Bachmann 2%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Rick Perry 0%
• Rick Santorum 0%
• Someone else/Not sure 31%

Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in New Hampshire?

• Mitt Romney 35%
• Ron Paul 12%
• Jon Huntsman 10%
• Newt Gingrich 5%
• Michele Bachmann 2%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Rick Perry 0%
• Someone else/Not sure 34%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 24% [33%] (30%)
• No 68% [54%] (51%)

Do you think that Barack Obama was born in the United States, or not?

• He was 53%
• He was not 27%
• Not sure 20%

Would you support or oppose repealing New Hampshire’s law allowing same-sex marriages?

• Support 44%
• Oppose 39%
• Not sure 17%

Survey of 1,235 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted December 16-18, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 61% [65%] (67%) Republican; 34% [33%] (32%) Independent/Other; 5% [2%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 36% [36%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 27% [37%] (31%) Very conservative; 26% [21%] (22%) Moderate; 7% [4%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 4% [2%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2010 are in parentheses.