Thursday, December 22, 2011

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate
Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)
  • Newt Gingrich +14% [+20%] {+20%} (+17%) [+14%] {+12%} (+12%) [+13%] {+13%} (+11%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+7%] {+7%} (+4%) [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
  • Mitt Romney +12% [+9%] {+11%} (+10%) [+10%] {+12%} (+13%) [+15%] {+14%} (+13%) [+14%] {+15%} (+16%) [+12%] {+11%} (+14%) [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
  • Rick Santorum +11% [+7%] {+6%} (+5%) [+6%] {+8%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+8%) [+11%] {+10%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
  • Ron Paul +6% [+2%] {+2%} (+4%) [+6%] {+6%} (+5%) [+2%] {+2%} (+3%) [+6%] {+7%} (+7%) [+6%] {+6%} (+9%) [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
  • Michele Bachmann +2% [+2%] {+1%} (+1%) [+3%] {+3%} (+3%) [+4%] {+4%} (+5%) [+8%] {+11%} (+10%) [+11%] {+13%} (+16%) [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
  • Rick Perry +1% [0%] {+2%} (0%) [+3%] {+6%} (+5%) [+4%] {+7%} (+15%) [+22%] {+24%} (+24%) [+25%] {+25%} (+22%) [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
  • Jon Huntsman 0% [-2%] {-2%} (-3%[-3%] {-2%} (-2%) [+1%] {+1%} (-1%) [+1%] {+2%} (-1%) [-2%] {+1%} (+2%) [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}
Survey Methods
Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking December 12-18, 2011, with random samples of U.S. adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia -- with the precise number varying according to the percentage of respondents familiar with each person rated.

Positive intensity results for the Republican candidates are based on between 607 and 914 Republicans/Republican-leaning independents. For samples of this size, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is between ±4 and ±5 percentage points.
Results from the poll conducted November 14-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 7-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 24 - November 6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-30, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 3-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 9, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19 - October 2, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 5-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22 - September 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 8-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.

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