Poll Watch: UNH/Boston Globe New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/Boston Globe New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll 

• Mitt Romney 39% (42%) {37%} [35%] (41%) {33%} [36%] (40%)
• Newt Gingrich 17% (15%) {4%} [1%] (3%) {7%} [4%] (6%)
• Ron Paul 17% (12%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%)
• Jon Huntsman 11% (8%) {8%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [0%]
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
• Michele Bachmann 2% (2%) {2%} [12%] (4%) {4%} [4%]
• Rick Perry 1% (4%) {4%} [4%]
• Buddy Roemer 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
• Don't know 8%

Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary … are you leaning toward someone … or have you considered some candidates but are still trying to decide? 

• Definitely decided 26% (16%) {11%} [8%] (8%) {4%}
• Leaning toward someone 28% (24%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {9%}
• Still trying to decide 46% (59%) {68%} [75%] (76%) {87%}

Second Choice

• Mitt Romney 22%
• Newt Gingrich 21%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Jon Huntsman 7%
• Other 15%
• No second choice 22%
• Don't know 5%

Regardless of who you vote for, who do you think will win the primary?

• Mitt Romney 67%
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Ron Paul 3%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Other 1%
• Don't know 13%

Who has the best chance of beating President Obama in November?

• Mitt Romney 55%
• Newt Gingrich 18%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Jon Huntsman 4%
• Rick Perry 1%
• Other 3%
• Don't know 14%

Which candidate is most likely to flip-flop on the issues?

• Mitt Romney 36%
• Newt Gingrich 22%
• Rick Perry 7%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Ron Paul 1%
• Other 2%
• Don't know 31%

Which GOP candidate would you NOT support under any circumstances?

• Newt Gingrich 20%
• Ron Paul 17%
• Michele Bachmann 14%
• Rick Perry 11%
• Mitt Romney 9%
• Other 8%
• Don't know 20%

Survey of 543 likely Republican primary voters, was conducted December 12-19, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 15-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 21 - July 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 18-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15- May 2, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28 - February 7, 2011 are in parentheses.