Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 47% {48%} [49%] (45%) {43%} [46%] (50%) {44%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [47%]
• Newt Gingrich 37% {37%} [39%] (40%) {45%} [40%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (30%) {37%} [39%]

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 26, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 6-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 28-29, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-12, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2011are in square brackets.  Results from the polls conducted June 24-25, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-16, 2011 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

President Obama leads Gingrich among men 46% to 39%. Among women, the president holds a 47% to 34% advantage.

The president leads by a wide margin among voters under 40, while Gingrich holds a slight edge among voters over 40.

Obama holds a 13-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either major party. 

Most Tea Party members support Gingrich, while union members heavily favor Obama. Non-Tea Party members support Obama by a 26-point margin. Voters who are not in a labor union are evenly divided between the candidates.