Poll Watch: ARG New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 35% (33%) {30%} [29%] (32%)
• Ron Paul 21% (12%) {12%} [4%] (8%)
• Newt Gingrich 16% (22%) {4%} [7%] (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 13% (8%) {10%} [0%] (0%)
• Michele Bachmann 4% (2%) {7%} [12%] (1%)
• Rick Perry 2% (2%) {13%} [2%]
• Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {2%} [2%] (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
• Undecided 8% (9%) {12%} [18%] (8%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 44% (36%) {35%} [33%] (37%)
• Newt Gingrich 20% (25%) {6%} [7%] (10%)
• Ron Paul 15% (8%) {10%} [6%] (5%)
• Jon Huntsman 5% (5%) {7%} [0%] (0%)
• Michele Bachmann 3% (3%) {9%} [8%] (2%)
• Rick Perry 3% (3%) {13%} [2%]
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%) {2%} [3%] (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (1%) {0%} [0%] (2%)
• Undecided 8% (9%) {10%} [15%] (6%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Ron Paul 30% (19%) {15%} [10%] (15%)
• Jon Huntsman 25% (14%) {17%} [0%] (0%)
• Mitt Romney 22% (26%) {19%} [20%] (20%)
• Newt Gingrich 10% (19%) {2%} [6%] (3%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% (0%) {2%} [21%] (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
• Rick Perry 0% (1%) {14%} [2%] 
• Buddy Roemer 0% (1%) {4%} [0%] (0%)
• Rick Santorum 0% (0%) {3%} [0%] (0%)
• Undecided 8% (9%) {13%} [15%] (7%)

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (362 Republicans and 238 independents) was conducted December 11-14, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 60% (65%) {67%} [70%] Republican; 40% (35%) {33%} [30%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted November 16-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-21, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.