Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 47% (43%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (46%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [35%] (39%)
• Barack Obama 45% (46%) {45%} [49%] (45%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [53%] (50%)

• Barack Obama 49% (49%) {50%} [53%] [52%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {47%} [49%] (45%) [49%] (50%) {49%} [53%] (52%)
• Newt Gingrich 44% (43%) {39%} [41%] [39%] (37%) {38%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {39%} [42%] (45%) [41%] (42%) {41%} [36%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 46% (47%) {47%} {48%} {46%}
• Ron Paul 41% (41%) {39%} {39%} {36%}

• Barack Obama 50% (50%) {50%} [53%] (50%) {48%}
• Michele Bachmann 41% (39%) {38%} [39%] (42%) {41%}

• Barack Obama 50% (49%) {49%} [52%] (49%)
• Rick Perry 40% (39%) {40%} [41%] (43%) 

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 45% (38%) {44%} [44%] (39%) {46%} [35%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (36%) {39%} [46%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (48%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {37%} [42%] (40%) {35%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [30%] (35%)
• Barack Obama 36% (38%) {42%} [42%] (48%) {37%} [52%] (45%) {40%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (35%) {33%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {35%} [55%] (52%)

• Ron Paul 41% (48%) {38%} {37%} {46%}
  
• Barack Obama 38% (39%) {44%} {43%} {28%}

• Barack Obama 46% (46%) {49%} [53%] [59%] (47%) {49%} [53%] (53%) {50%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (39%) {34%} [48%] (44%) [45%] (46%) {41%} [54%] (54%)
• Newt Gingrich 41% (41%) {37%} [33%] [25%] (34%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [40%] (44%) {37%} [36%] (50%) {42%} [34%] (40%) [38%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (38%)

• Barack Obama 49% (49%) {50%} [50%] (57%) {45%}
• Michele Bachmann 34% (35%) {33%} [33%] (33%) {39%}

• Barack Obama 48% (47%) {49%} [48%] (56%)
• Rick Perry 32% (36%) {35%} [38%] (32%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Independent vote (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Independent vote.

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 56% (59%) {53%} [63%] (59%) {54%} [60%] (59%) {60%} [58%] (57%) {63%} [62%] (60%) {59%} [55%] (55%) {58%} [59%] (62%) {55%} [54%] (58%) {65%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [64%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 34% (28%) {29%} [26%] (24%) {33%} [30%] (28%) {27%} [26%] (28%) {21%} [28%] (33%) {31%} [29%] (33%) {26%} [30%] (27%) {31%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [31%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (32%) {28%} [24%] (26%)

• Barack Obama 58% (61%) {53%} {64%} {61%}  
• Ron Paul 31% (26%) {26%} {19%} {24%}

• Barack Obama 64% (66%) {60%} [72%] [69%] (64%) {66%} [66%] (65%) {68%} [66%] (64%) {62%} [62%] (58%) {61%} [65%] (66%) [60%] (61%)
• Newt Gingrich 30% (23%) {26%} [21%] [17%] (22%) {20%} [24%] (24%) {19%} [22%] (26%) {28%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (25%) [28%] (30%)

• Barack Obama 65% (69%) {59%} [70%] (66%)
• Rick Perry 26% (21%) {25%} [23%] (18%)

• Barack Obama 66% (69%) {60%} [71%] (67%) {63%}
• Michele Bachmann 20% (17% {22%} [19%] (22%) {22%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Moderate vote (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Moderate vote.


Among Men 

• Mitt Romney 54% (50%) {47%} [52%] (51%) {52%} [49%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [38%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 38% (40%) {43%} [42%] (40%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {40%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (46%) {39%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (49%)

• Ron Paul 48% (50%) {40%} {43%} {41%} 
• Barack Obama 38% (39%) {46%} {43%} {43%}

• Newt Gingrich 49% (50%) {41%} [47%] [42%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (46%) [46%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 43% (43%) {47%} [47%] [48%] (45%) {44%} [52%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [48%] (46%) [45%] (44%) {46%} [50%] (48%)
  

• Michele Bachmann 45% (46%) {40%} [45%] (47%) {48%} 
  
• Barack Obama 44% (44%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {41%}

• Barack Obama 45% (44%) {48%} [47%] (45%) 
  
• Rick Perry 45% (46%) {41%} [48%] (47%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Male vote (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 55% of the Male vote.

Among Women

• Barack Obama 53% (52%) {47%} [54%] (50%) {52%} [53%] (53%) {52%} [46%] (53%) {51%} [54%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (42%){48%} [47%] (43%){49%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {52%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [56%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (37%) {43%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [41%] (37%) {38%} [41%] (36%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (48%) {39%} [41%] (44%) {39%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [44%] (36%) {34%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [31%] (34%) 

• Barack Obama 55% (55%) {51%} [58%] [56%] (56%) {59%} [52%] (56%) {53%} [57%] (54%) {52%} [52%](43%){50%} [49%] (45%) [53%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (56%)
• Newt Gingrich 39% (37%) {37%} [35%] [36%] (32%) {33%} [35%] (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {38%} [38%] (47%) {35%} [39%] (43%) [35%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (33%)

• Barack Obama 55% (56%) {53%} [57%] (54%) {55%}
• Michele Bachmann 37% (33%) {36%} [34%] (38%) {34%}

• Barack Obama 54% (54%) {49%} [57%] (53%)
• Rick Perry 35% (33%) {39%} [34%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 54% (54%) {47%} {53%} {50%}
• Ron Paul 34% (31%) {38%} {34%} {31%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Female vote. 

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Libertarian Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 43%
• Mitt Romney 41%
• Gary Johnson 9%
• Undecided 7%

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Donald Trump running as an independent, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 45% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 31% (30%)
• Donald Trump 19% (18%)
• Undecided 5% (5%)

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Ron Paul running as an independent, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 42% (45%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (33%)
• Ron Paul 17% (15%)
• Undecided 4% (8%)

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Jon Huntsman running as an independent, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 43% (46%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (40%)
• Jon Huntsman 11% (7%)
• Undecided 8% (7%)

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Michael Bloomberg running as an independent, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 43% (42%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (42%)
• Michael Bloomberg 8% (10%)
• Undecided 8% (7%)

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Bernie Sanders running as an independent, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 42% (45%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (41%)
• Bernie Sanders 7% (5%)
• Undecided 9% (9%)

If the candidates for President next year were Democrat Barack Obama, Republican Mitt Romney, and Rocky Anderson running as an independent, who would you vote for?

• Barack Obama 44%
• Mitt Romney 43%
• Rocky Anderson 4%
• Undecided 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 35% (36%) {37%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [37%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (40%) / 50% (50%) {43%} [44%] (48%) {42%} [47%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {36%} [36%] (42%) {39%} [28%] (32%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {38%} [34%] (37%){36%} [36%] (35%) {-15%}
• Newt Gingrich 34% (39%) {30%} [28%] [16%] (19%) {29%} [28%] (26%) {27%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {28%} [29%] (34%) [33%] (36%) {35%} [30%] (36%) / 55% (50%) {56%} [57%] [68%] (64%) {53%} [55%] (57%) {52%} [52%] (53%) {50%} [48%] (42%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [42%] (42%) {46%} [47%] (44%) {-21%}
• Ron Paul 31% (26%) {21%} {24%} {22%} / 52% (56%) {55%} {45%} {36%} {-21%}
• Michele Bachmann 30% (30%) {27%} [30%] (34%) {29%} / 54% (52%) {56%} [53%] (52%) {45%} {-24%}
• Rick Perry 21% (18%) {23%} [30%] (33%) / 66% (67%) {57%} [50%] (47%) {-45%}

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 39% (36%) {19%} {29%} {35%} / 41% (43%) {56%} {41%} {25%} {-2%}
• Mitt Romney 38% (41%) {48%} [44%] (35%) {45%} [37%] (39%) {29%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [43%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (30%) {37%} [44%] (41%) {28%} [31%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {40%} [37%] (36%) / 46% (40%) {34%} [39%] (47%) {39%} [49%] (45%) {40%} [44%] (45%) {42%} [31%] (46%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (41%) {34%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [37%] (28%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {33%} [42%] (39%) {-8%}
• Newt Gingrich 30% (37%) {29%} [22%] [10%] (12%) {24%} [29%] (20%) {20%} [28%] (31%) {21%} [24%] (32%) {27%} [27%] (29%) [34%] (31%) / 57% (50%) {57%} [60%] [76%] (68%) {58%} [56%] (65%) {60%} [51%] (54%) {56%} [51%] (40%) {43%} [51%] (51%) [45%] (44%) {-27%}
• Michele Bachmann 26% (28%) {23%} [23%] (26%) {28%} / 59% (51%) {64%} [58%] (60%) {47%} {-33%}
• Rick Perry 11% (14%) {16%} [23%] (29%) / 70% (71%) {62%} [51%] (55%) {-59%}

Among Moderates

• Ron Paul 39% (24%) {20%} {19%} {20%} / 42% (53%) {49%} {41%} {38%} {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 37% (38%) {34%} [30%] (32%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {27%} [31%] (30%) {23%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [37%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {32%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [35%] (34%) / 49% (46%) {43%} [46%] (51%) {39%} [47%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {39%} [42%] (34%) {42%} [36%] (49%) {48%} [29%] (38%) {44%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [36%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {-8%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% (22%) {18%} [14%] [7%] (11%) {15%} [23%] (15%) {10%} [18%] (18%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {19%} [18%] (18%) [24%] (24%) {23%} [21%] (23%) / 64% (62%) {65%} [66%] [81%] (76%) {65%} [63%] (69%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {63%} [59%] (53%) {55%} [59%] (64%) [49%] (52%) {53%} [58%] (60%) {-40%}
• Michele Bachmann 20% (18%) {14%} [19%] (19%) {17%} / 67% (63%) {62%} [58%] (66%) {53%} {-47%}
• Rick Perry 14% (12%) {13%} [19%] (17%) / 74% (75%) {60%} [58%] (60%) {-60%}  

 Among Men

• Mitt Romney 44% (42%) {40%} [40%] (38%) {40%} [41%] (40%) {32%} [29%] (34%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (34%) {37%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {34%} [42%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (45%) / 46% (49%) {47%} [46%] (48%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {42%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (36%) {39%} [41%] (49%) {38%} [29%] (35%) {37%} [41%] (35%) {43%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (39%) {-2%}
• Ron Paul 40% (36%) {25%} {25%} {26%} / 49% (52%) {60%} {50%} {36%} {-9%}
• Newt Gingrich 41% (47%) {34%} [31%] [18%] (20%) {31%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [36%] (40%) {36%} [37%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (37%) [38%] (44%) / 51% (45%) {57%} [55%] [70%] (65%) {52%} [56%] (55%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [50%] (51%) [41%] (37%) {-10%}
• Michele Bachmann 31% (30%) {28%} [31%] (37%) {32%} / 54% (54%) {58%} [55%] (50%) {48%} {-23%}
• Rick Perry 25% (24%) {23%} [36%] (38%) / 65% (68%) {63%} [51%] (47%) {-40%}

Among Women

• Michele Bachmann 29% (29%) {26%} [28%] (31%) {26%} / 55% (50%) {54%} [51%] (53%) {42%} {-26%}
• Mitt Romney 27% (31%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {32%} [34%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (30%) {27%} [32%] (34%) {31%} [30%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [35%] (31%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [33%] (34%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 55% (50%) {40%} [43%] (48%) {41%} [47%] (49%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (42%) {32%} [38%] (29%) {34%} [31%] (35%) {40%} [27%] (30%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {34%} [38%] (32%) {-28%}
• Newt Gingrich 28% (32%) {26%} [24%] [15%] (19%) {26%} [24%] (20%) {21%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (32%) {23%} [28%] (31%) [28%] (28%) / 59% (54%) {55%} [58%] [65%] (64%) {54%} [54%] (60%) {54%} [53%] (57%) {53%} [49%] (39%) {46%} [47%] (43%) [42%] (46%) {-31%}
• Ron Paul 22% (16%) {19%} {23%} {18%} / 54% (59%) {51%} {40%} {37%} {-32%}
• Rick Perry 16% (13%) {23%} [25%] (29%) / 67% (66%) {52%} [49%] (48%) {-51%}

Survey of 700 registered voters was conducted December 16-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% (41%) {41%} [41%] (41%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [38%] (40%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [40%] {38%} (36%) [39%] Democrat; 35% (36%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {33%} [34%] {34%} (35%) [34%] Republican; 24% (23%) {24%} [25%] (21%) {25%} [25%] (25%) {27%} [28%] (24%) {20%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [26%] {28%} (29%) [27%] Independent/Other. Political views: 27% (31%) {30%} [31%] (31%) {36%} [31%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (33%) {30%} Moderate; 24% (24%) {26%} [24%] (25%) {21%} [23%] (24%) {22%} [27%] (25%) {25%} Somewhat conservative; 19% (19%) {15%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [14%] (17%) {19%} Very conservative; 18% (15%) {19%} [17%] (18%) {15%} [19%] (17%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {18%} Somewhat liberal; 12% (12%) {10%} [12%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {8%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-18, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-19, 2009 are in parentheses.