Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 31% (22%) {25%} [25%] (18%)
• Newt Gingrich 24% (33%) {8%} [3%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 24% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
• Ron Paul 9% (8%) {7%} [2%] (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 2% (3%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Rick Perry 2% (8%) {15%} [6%]
• Undecided 7% (12%) {12%} [15%] (11%)

Among Definite GOP Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 32%
• Rick Santorum 26%
  
• Newt Gingrich 24%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Rick Perry 2%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Undecided 7%

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 30%
• Newt Gingrich 25% 
• Rick Santorum 25%
  
• Ron Paul 9%
• Rick Perry 2%
  
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Undecided 7%

Among Tea Party Supporters

• Newt Gingrich 33%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Rick Santorum 19%
  
• Ron Paul 9%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Rick Perry 0%
  
• Undecided 8%

Among Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 32%
• Rick Santorum 27%
  
• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Undecided 6%

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (503 Republicans, 93 independents, and 4 Democrats) was conducted January 4-5, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: Republican: 84% (74%) {81%} [79%] (76%); Independent: 16% (26%) {19%} [21%] (24%). Tea Party supporter: 46% (46%) {47%} [51%] (52%); Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 54% (54%) {53%} [49%] (48%).  Preference by Likely to Vote: Definite (10): 90%; Probably (7-9): 10%. Results from the poll conducted November 25-28, 2011 are in Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-23, 2011 are in parentheses.