Poll Watch: American Research Group Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 43% {41%} [42%] (19%) {28%} [15%] (26%)
• Newt Gingrich 32% {34%} [25%] (50%) {11%} [3%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 11% {9%} [9%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Ron Paul 8% {7%} [8%] (2%) {4%} [4%] (1%)
• Undecided 5% {6%} [8%] (10%) {12%} [12%] (11%)

Already Voted (36%)

• Mitt Romney 51%
  
• Newt Gingrich 33%
• Rick Santorum 9%
• Ron Paul 7%

Did Not Vote Yet (64%)

• Mitt Romney 39%
  
• Newt Gingrich 31% 
  
• Rick Santorum 12%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Undecided 7%

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 37% {37%} [34%] 
  
• Mitt Romney 37% {37%} [30%]  
• Ron Paul 10% {10%} [7%] 
• Rick Santorum 9% {9%} [10%]
• Undecided 5% {5%} [10%]

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 49% {45%} [56%]
• Newt Gingrich 27% {31%} [14%]
• Rick Santorum 13% {9%} [8%]
• Ron Paul 6% {4%} [8%]
• Undecided 5% {7%} [6%]

Tea Party Supporters (47%)

• Newt Gingrich 44%
• Mitt Romney 33%  
  
• Rick Santorum 12%
  
• Ron Paul 5%
• Undecided 6%

Non-Tea Party Republicans (53%)

• Mitt Romney 52% 
• Newt Gingrich 21%  
  
• Ron Paul 11%
• Rick Santorum 10%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 27-28, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 2, 2011 are in parentheses.