Sunday, January 29, 2012

Poll Watch: American Research Group Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Mitt Romney 43% {41%} [42%] (19%) {28%} [15%] (26%)
  • Newt Gingrich 32% {34%} [25%] (50%) {11%} [3%] (11%)
  • Rick Santorum 11% {9%} [9%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Ron Paul 8% {7%} [8%] (2%) {4%} [4%] (1%)
  • Undecided 5% {6%} [8%] (10%) {12%} [12%] (11%)
Already Voted (36%)
  • Mitt Romney 51%
  • Newt Gingrich 33%
  • Rick Santorum 9%
  • Ron Paul 7%
Did Not Vote Yet (64%)
  • Mitt Romney 39%
  • Newt Gingrich 31% 
  • Rick Santorum 12%
  • Ron Paul 9%
  • Undecided 7%
Among Men
  • Newt Gingrich 37% {37%} [34%
  • Mitt Romney 37% {37%} [30%]  
  • Ron Paul 10% {10%} [7%] 
  • Rick Santorum 9% {9%} [10%]
  • Undecided 5% {5%} [10%]
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 49% {45%} [56%]
  • Newt Gingrich 27% {31%} [14%]
  • Rick Santorum 13% {9%} [8%]
  • Ron Paul 6% {4%} [8%]
  • Undecided 5% {7%} [6%]
Tea Party Supporters (47%)
  • Newt Gingrich 44%
  • Mitt Romney 33%  
  • Rick Santorum 12%
  • Ron Paul 5%
  • Undecided 6%
Non-Tea Party Republicans (53%)
  • Mitt Romney 52% 
  • Newt Gingrich 21%  
  • Ron Paul 11%
  • Rick Santorum 10%
  • Undecided 4%
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 27-28, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 2, 2011 are in parentheses.

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