Poll Watch: American Research Group Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 43% (43%) {41%} [42%] (19%) {28%} [15%] (26%)
• Newt Gingrich 31% (32%) {34%} [25%] (50%) {11%} [3%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 13% (11%) {9%} [9%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
• Ron Paul 9% (8%) {7%} [8%] (2%) {4%} [4%] (1%)
• Undecided 3% (5%) {6%} [8%] (10%) {12%} [12%] (11%)

Already Voted (36%)

• Mitt Romney 51% (51%)
  
• Newt Gingrich 29% (33%)
• Rick Santorum 12% (9%)
• Ron Paul 8% (7%)

Did Not Vote Yet (64%)

• Mitt Romney 39% (39%)
  
• Newt Gingrich 32% (31%) 
  
• Rick Santorum 14% (12%)
• Ron Paul 10% (9%)
• Undecided 4% (7%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 37% (37%) {37%} [30%]  
• Newt Gingrich 33% (37%) {37%} [34%] 
  
• Ron Paul 12% (10%) {10%} [7%] 
• Rick Santorum 12% (9%) {9%} [10%]
• Undecided 5% (5%) {5%} [10%]

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 49% (49%) {45%} [56%]
• Newt Gingrich 29% (27%) {31%} [14%]
• Rick Santorum 14% (13%) {9%} [8%]
• Ron Paul 6% (6%) {4%} [8%]
• Undecided 1% (5%) {7%} [6%]

Tea Party Supporters (53%)

• Newt Gingrich 38% (44%)
• Mitt Romney 35% (33%)  
  
• Rick Santorum 17% (12%)
  
• Ron Paul 4% (5%)
• Undecided 5% (6%)

Non-Tea Party Republicans (47%)

• Mitt Romney 52% (52%) 
• Newt Gingrich 23% (21%)  
  
• Ron Paul 15% (11%)
• Rick Santorum 8% (10%)
• Undecided 1% (4%)

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 29-30, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-28, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 23-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 2, 2011 are in parentheses.