Saturday, January 28, 2012

Poll Watch: First Coast News/Dixie Strategies (R) Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

First Coast News/Dixie Strategies (R) Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 35.46%
  • Mitt Romney 35.08%
  • Rick Santorum 9.38%
  • Ron Paul 7.42%
  • Someone else 3.93%
  • Undecided 8.74%
Among Men
  • Newt Gingrich 37.30%
  • Mitt Romney 33.17%
  • Rick Santorum 9.45%
  • Ron Paul 7.70%
  • Someone else 4.41%
  • Undecided 7.98%
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 36.21%
  • Newt Gingrich 33.96%
  • Rick Santorum 9.97%
  • Ron Paul 6.92%
  • Someone else 3.68%
  • Undecided 9.25%
    Very Strong Support for Candidate
    • Newt Gingrich 23.11%
    • Mitt Romney 21.29%
    • Rick Santorum 4.86%
    • Ron Paul 4.00%
    Which of the following best describes your opinion of Mitt Romney?
    • Very positive 29.06%
    • Somewhat positive 38.19%
    • Somewhat negative 17.63%
    • Very negative 9.88%
    Which of the following best describes your opinion of Rick Santorum?
    • Very positive 20.06%
    • Somewhat positive 40.69%
    • Somewhat negative 19.34%
    • Very negative 9.79%
    Which of the following best describes your opinion of Newt Gingrich?
    • Very positive 27.64%
    • Somewhat positive 28.61%
    • Somewhat negative 19.34%
    • Very negative 17.86%
    Which of the following best describes your opinion of Ron Paul?
    • Very positive 7.77%
    • Somewhat positive 23.69%
    • Somewhat negative 31.79%
    • Very negative 26.59%
    Survey of 2,567 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 1.93 percentage points.  Political ideology: 45.91% Very conservative; 33.57% Somewhat conservative; 14.35% Moderate; 2.12% Somewhat liberal; 1.54% Very liberal.  Click here to view crosstabs.

    1 comment:

    Teemu said...

    The voter ideology seems to be way off in this poll.

    Combined "Very conservative"/"Somewhat Conservative" numbers are 79.48%, whereas in 2008 exit Florida exit polls they were 61%.

    If you compare 2008 and 2012 SC exit polls, the combined "Very conservative"/"Somewhat Conservative" number staid same.

    Don't see a reason why for Florida it would be 18.48% higher than in 2008.