Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 35% (36%) {35%} [28%] (40%)
• Ron Paul 18% (21%) {19%} [9%] (18%)
• Jon Huntsman 16% (12%) {13%} [7%] 
• Newt Gingrich 12% (13%) {17%} [4%] (17%)
• Rick Santorum 11% (3%) {3%}  
• Buddy Roemer 3% (3%)
• Rick Perry 1% (3%) {2%} [9%]
• Someone else/Undecided 4% (2%) {4%} [9%] (10%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 42% (42%) {41%}
• Newt Gingrich 14% (15%) {20%}
• Ron Paul 14% (19%) {14%}
• Rick Santorum 13% (4%) {3%}
• Jon Huntsman 11% (7%) {8%}
• Rick Perry 2% (3%) {2%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% (2%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 26% (27%) {28%}
• Ron Paul 24% (25%) {26%}
• Jon Huntsman 23% (23%) {20%} 
• Rick Santorum 9% (2%) {2%}
• Newt Gingrich 8% (9%) {12%}
• Buddy Roemer 4% (5%)
• Rick Perry 0% (1%) {1%}
  

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 76% (71%) {65%}
• Might end up supporting someone else 24% (29%) {35%}

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 17% (8%) {5%}
• Mitt Romney 16% (18%) {16%}
• Newt Gingrich 15% (15%) {17%}
• Jon Huntsman 13% (13%) {10%} 
• Ron Paul 8% (8%) {13%}
• Rick Perry 5% (4%) {4%}
• Buddy Roemer 3% (2%)
• Someone else/Undecided 24% (25%) {22%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 60% (63%) {63%} [60%] (68%) / 34% (32%) {30%} [29%] (19%) {+26%}
• Jon Huntsman 55% (55%) {47%} [25%] (8%) / 30% (27%) {34%} [26%] (13%) {+25%}
• Rick Santorum 49% (39%) {37%} [40%] (30%) / 42% (40%) {44%} [25%] (17%) {+7%} 
• Ron Paul 43% (47%) {53%} [53%] (53%) / 51% (46%) {38%} [30%] (21%) {-8%} 
• Newt Gingrich 38% (42%) {42%} [33%] (45%) / 54% (53%) {51%} [51%] (36%) {-16%}
• Rick Perry 24% (26%) {24%} [33%] / 65% (62%) {63%} [13%] {-41%}

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• A candidate's ability to beat Obama 37% (36%) {35%}
• Their issue positions 55% (55%) {51%}

Who do you think has run the strongest campaign in New Hampshire?

• Mitt Romney 42% (40%) {35%}
• Jon Huntsman 16% (10%) {10%}
• Ron Paul 14% (15%) {12%}
• Newt Gingrich 5% (4%) {5%}
• Rick Santorum 4% (0%) {1%} 
• Buddy Roemer 2% (2%)
• Rick Perry 1% (1%) {0%}
• Someone else/Not sure 15% (26%) {34%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 20% (24%) {24%} [33%] (30%)
• No 71% (66%) {68%} [54%] (51%)

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 21% (23%)
• Are not 79% (77%)

Do you think Mitt Romney is too liberal, too conservative, both, about right, or are you not sure?

• Too liberal 18%
• Too conservative 8%
• Both 18%
• About right 32%
• Not sure 24%

Survey of 1,771 likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted January 7-8, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 59% (61%) {61%} [65%] (67%) Republican; 37% (34%) {34%} [33%] (32%) Independent/Other; 5% (4%) {5%} [2%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 37% (39%) {36%} [36%] (43%) Somewhat conservative; 27% (27%) {26%} [21%] (22%) Moderate; 26% (25%) {27%} [37%] (31%) Very conservative; 6% (4%) {7%} [4%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 4% (5%) {4%} [2%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 27-28, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 16-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2010 are in parentheses.