Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 41% {44%} [39%] (42%) {37%} [35%] (41%) {33%} [36%] (40%)
• Ron Paul 17% {20%} [17%] (12%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%)
• Jon Huntsman 11% {7%} [11%] (8%) {8%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [0%]
• Rick Santorum 11% {8%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [0%] (1%)
• Newt Gingrich 8% {8%} [17%] (15%) {4%} [1%] (3%) {7%} [4%] (6%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% {1%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%}
• Rick Perry 1% {1%} [1%] (4%) {4%} [4%]

Survey of 461 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 5-8, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 2-5, 2012 are in Results from the poll conducted December 12-19, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 15-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 21 - July 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 18-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15- May 2, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28 - February 7, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Only 44 percent of New Hampshire voters polled said they had made up their minds, making a surprise finish a real possibility.

Twenty-seven percent said they were leaning toward a candidate and 29 percent said they are still trying to decide.

Seventy-eight percent of those surveyed believe Romney will win the primary, and 55 percent said he is the candidate with the best chance to beat President Barack Obama in the general election.