Thursday, April 28, 2011

Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

If the 2012 Republican Primary for President were held today, would you vote for Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Donald Trump, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Newt Gingrich or Mitch Daniels?
  • Donald Trump 19%
  • Mitt Romney 17% [24%] (20%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% [17%] (19%)
  • Newt Gingrich 9% [11%] (13%)
  • Sarah Palin 9% [19%] (19%)
  • Ron Paul 8% [4%] (5%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% [6%] (6%)
  • Mitch Daniels 3% [3%] (3%)
  • Some other candidate 5% [6%] (7%)
  • Not sure 11% [10%] (8%)
    National survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 26, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

    Inside the numbers:
    Trump leads among male GOP primary voters, while female voters prefer Romney as their first choice. 
    Similarly, Republican voters favor Trump, but unaffiliated voters who are likely to vote in GOP primaries like Romney best. 
    Trump is the top choice of likely primary voters who are Tea Party members with 22% support, compared to 16% support among non-members. Romney is the top choice of those who are not members of the grass roots movement. 
    Huckabee runs strongest among primary voters who are Evangelical Christians with 23% support. Romney leads among other Protestants and is tied with Trump among Catholic voters. Trump has a slight edge among likely primary voters of other faiths. 
    The nationally-known businessman and reality TV star leads among most income groups, too. He’s also ahead among married voters and those with children in the home.

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